How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Leganés 0 Barcelona 3 -1.0
+0.2
Atlético Madrid 0 Real Madrid 0 -0.6
-1.2
-0.1
Sevilla 2 Celta de Vigo 1 -0.7
Getafe 4 Alavés 1 -0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Espanyol vs Valencia+0.4+0.2-0.3
+0.8+0.4-0.6
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Athletic Club vs Villarreal+1.3+0.7-1.2
Eibar vs Real Betis+0.8+0.3-0.6
Girona vs Real Sociedad+0.2+0.3-0.4
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/25100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Real Madrid vs Málaga+1.0-1.1-1.8
+5.1-4.6-9.8
-0.0-0.0+0.1
+0.3-0.2-0.5
Valencia vs Barcelona+0.6+0.5-0.7
-0.7*+0.0+0.5
Levante vs Atlético Madrid+0.2+0.1-0.2
+1.3+0.6-1.0
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Villarreal vs Sevilla-0.4+0.8-0.1
Real Sociedad vs Las Palmas-0.4+0.3+0.6
Espanyol vs Getafe+0.4+0.3-0.4
Real Betis vs Girona-0.5+0.3+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Real Madrid finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedSegunda
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920DivisionCount
94-102YesYes100No959*
9322-3-197.6%Yes982No127*
9222-2-297.8Yes982No227*
9121-4-197.2Yes973No429*
9021-3-294.8Yes955No807*
8921-2-393.5Yes937No1,396*
8820-4-290.5Yes9090No2,485*
8720-3-386.1Yes86140No4,146*
8619-5-282.2Yes82180No6,713*
8519-4-377.2Yes77220No10,570*
8419-3-471.3Yes712810No15,873*
8318-5-364.7Yes653410No23,439*
8218-4-457.5Yes574020No34,223*
8117-6-349.6Yes504740No48,250*
8017-5-441.8Yes425260No65,442*
7917-4-534.2100.0%3456900No87,550*
7816-6-426.8Yes2759141No113,120*
7716-5-520.6100.021601910No144,254*
7616-4-614.9100.015582520No176,248*
7515-6-510.499.910543140No212,344*
7415-5-66.799.87493770No250,405*
7314-7-54.399.6442431000No288,940*
7214-6-62.499.1235471510No324,542*
7114-5-71.398.01274822200No357,204*
7013-7-60.696.01204729400No385,337*
6913-6-70.392.60134435700No404,647*
6813-5-80.187.109374112100No415,704*
6712-7-70.079.505304518300No418,711*
6612-6-80.069.3032245255000No412,864*
6512-5-90.056.9011541329100No397,784*
6411-7-80.043.6019343816300No375,153*
6311-6-90.030.50052639236100No345,955*
6210-8-8No19.302173631112000No313,706*
6110-7-9No10.70110303519510No275,891*
6010-6-10No5.100521352710200No237,520*
599-8-9No2.1002133032175100No200,296*
589-7-10No0.701622332510200No166,005*
579-6-11No0.2003132931185100No133,386*
568-8-10No0.0001721322611200No105,728*
558-7-11No0.0003122731196100No81,710*
548-6-12No0.0001618302714300No61,655*
537-8-11NoNo002102531228100No45,303*
527-7-12NoNo01416292916510No32,158*
517-6-13NoNo002822312510200No22,574*
506-8-12NoNo000313283119510No15,208*
496-7-13NoNo00162032271220No10,209*
486-6-14NoNo0211273320610No6,697*
475-8-13NoNo0061833281320No4,102*
465-7-14NoNo011027342250No2,668*
455-6-15NoNo0415363311100.1%1,504*
444-8-14NoNo1102938183No849*
434-7-15NoNo05184029610.6499*
424-6-16NoNo21229371644.3281*
414-5-17NoNo622422822.1142*
403-7-16NoNo22413088.174*
393-6-17NoNo5304119524.337*
383-5-18NoNo8332529433.324*
373-4-19NoNo1414571471.47*
361-9-16NoNo333333Yes3*
350-11-15NoNo505050.02
240-0-26NoNo595Yes874
Total:4.3%63.7%4172221149532110000000000.0%7,044,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship