"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 1/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Villarreal 2 Levante 1 -0.2
Las Palmas 2 Valencia 1 +0.2
Getafe 2 Athletic Club 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Real Betis vs Barcelona+0.0NoNo
+2.4+0.1-0.6
-0.1-0.1+0.1
+1.1+0.2-0.3
Real Madrid vs La Coruña-0.3+0.3+0.6
Eibar vs Málaga-0.1+0.0+0.1
Alavés vs Leganés+0.1+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 1/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Celta de Vigo vs Real Betis-1.1-0.4+1.7
+0.1-0.0-0.1
-0.7-0.1+0.9
Leganés vs Real Madrid+0.5+0.2-0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Villarreal vs Real Sociedad-0.3+0.1+0.3
Valencia vs Real Madrid+0.2+0.1-0.3
Sevilla vs Getafe-0.0+0.1*-0.0
Málaga vs Girona+0.1+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Real Betis finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedSegunda
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920DivisionCount
8419-0-022.7%Yes23753No1,014
80-82NoYes100No4*
7917-1-114.3Yes145729No7
7817-0-2NoYes3863No16*
7716-2-1NoYes6733No30
7616-1-20.9Yes145477No106*
7515-3-1NoYes25668No213*
7415-2-20.299.6%02360170No497*
7315-1-30.198.401557262No957*
7214-3-2No97.01056323No1,826*
7114-2-30.094.905494150No3,287*
7013-4-2No90.94404790No5,637*
6913-3-3No84.223053151No9,786*
6813-2-4No75.9122532220No16,255*
6712-4-3No66.6015523030No25,417*
6612-3-4No55.209463860No39,267*
6512-2-5No42.80538451210No58,096*
6411-4-4No31.30329491920No83,072*
6311-3-5No20.801204827400No115,357*
6210-5-4No12.5001243368100No155,070*
6110-4-5No6.707344215200No202,107*
6010-3-6No3.103244324500No256,654*
599-5-5No1.20114393211200No314,799*
589-4-6No0.40073038205100No374,681*
579-3-7No0.100319362911200No434,698*
568-5-6No0.001102834206100No485,819*
558-4-7No0.0004183329133000No530,541*
548-3-8NoNo0192433238100No560,980*
537-5-7NoNo003142931175100No573,819*
527-4-8NoNo001620322611200No571,355*
516-6-7NoNo00211263221710No552,839*
506-5-8NoNo001416313015300No514,558*
496-4-9NoNo0017223425810No467,429*
485-6-8NoNo000313303417300No409,557*
475-5-9NoNo0016213728800No346,902*
465-4-10NoNo002113237162000.0%284,963*
454-6-9NoNo0152241275000.0225,095*
444-5-10NoNo00213373710100.0173,006*
434-4-11NoNo0006284418200.1127,088*
423-6-10NoNo021844286000.489,833*
413-5-11NoNo0110393812101.361,140*
403-4-12NoNo05294220303.339,705*
393-3-13NoNo02194230707.524,737*
382-5-12NoNo0113637141015.214,608*
372-4-13NoNo052743223024.98,325*
362-3-14NoNo21841326038.84,531*
351-5-13NoNo19354212155.22,210*
341-4-14NoNo5274421368.4961*
331-3-15NoNo1164433682.6448*
321-2-16NoNo74046792.5161*
310-4-15NoNo536382094.555*
300-3-16NoNo95735Yes23*
290-2-17NoNo6733Yes3
280-1-18NoNo100Yes2
270-0-19NoNo33067Yes1,014
Total:0.0%2.4%000259101111111010874210000.2%8,170,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship