"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/1100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Real Betis vs Real Madrid+8.2-5.0No
+32.6-19.9No
No-15.0+24.5
+6.1+0.0-6.1
Sporting Gijón vs Valencia-0.2+0.6-0.2
-0.7+2.2-0.7
-0.5+1.7-0.5
Celta de Vigo vs Deportivo-0.2+0.6-0.2
-0.7+2.2-0.7
-0.5+1.7-0.5
Real Sociedad vs Sevilla-0.2+0.6-0.2
-0.7+2.2-0.7
-0.5+1.7-0.5
TBD 2 vs Málaga-0.2+0.6-0.2
-0.7+2.2-0.7
-0.5+1.7-0.5
Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona-0.2+0.6-0.2
-0.7+2.2-0.7
-0.5+1.7-0.5
Aláves vs Athletic Bilbao-0.2+0.6-0.2
-0.7+2.2-0.7
-0.5+1.7-0.5
Villarreal vs TBD1-0.2+0.6-0.2
-0.7+2.2-0.7
-0.5+1.7-0.5
Granada vs Las Palmas-0.2+0.6-0.2
-0.7+2.2-0.7
-0.5+1.7-0.5
Eibar vs Espanyol-0.2+0.6-0.2
-0.7+2.2-0.7
-0.5+1.7-0.5

What If

Chances based on how well the Real Betis finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedSegunda
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920DivisionCount
31-0-013.2%52.6%13131313131211741No9,101,764,747
10-1-00.00.10000014915202015941000000.0%5,744,678,496
00-0-1NoNo1471112131313131339.59,101,923,637
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555515.0%23,948,366,880
Points
Chance Will Win Championship