How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Málaga vs Eibar+2.0-0.6-1.6
+5.5-1.4-4.6
-4.4+0.7+4.0
+1.1-0.2-0.9
Girona vs Atlético Madrid-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Barcelona vs Real Betis*-0.0+0.1-0.0
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
Deportivo La Co vs Real Madrid*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
*+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sevilla vs Espanyol*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Celta de Vigo vs Real Sociedad-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.0
Leganés vs Deportivo Alavés-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
*+0.0-0.1+0.0
Levante vs Villarreal-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
*+0.0-0.1+0.0
Athletic Club vs Getafe-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.0
Valencia vs Las Palmas*-0.0+0.1-0.0
*-0.0+0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Girona vs Málaga-1.6-0.6+2.0
-4.6-1.4+5.5
+3.9+0.7-4.4
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Eibar vs Athletic Club-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Espanyol vs Leganés-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Deportivo Alavés vs Barcelona-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Getafe vs Sevilla-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Real Betis vs Celta de Vigo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Real Sociedad vs Villarreal-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Las Palmas vs Atlético Madrid-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Real Madrid vs Valencia*-0.0+0.1-0.0
*-0.0+0.1-0.1
Levante vs Deportivo La Co-0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Málaga finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedSegunda
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920DivisionCount
83-114YesYes100No9,260*
8225-7-699.8%Yes1000No2,847*
8125-6-799.8Yes1000No4,442*
8024-8-699.4Yes991No6,547*
7924-7-799.4Yes991No9,892*
7824-6-898.8Yes9910No14,333*
7723-8-798.4Yes9820No21,089*
7623-7-897.4Yes9730No30,188*
7523-6-996.2Yes9640No42,613*
7422-8-894.3Yes9460No58,830*
7322-7-991.9Yes92800No80,344*
7221-9-888.3Yes881100No108,614*
7121-8-983.6100.0%8415100No143,027*
7021-7-1077.7100.07820200No186,917*
6920-9-970.4100.07026300No239,159*
6820-8-1061.5100.061326000No302,057*
6720-7-1151.499.9513810100No376,288*
6619-9-1040.899.84142152000No463,546*
6519-8-1130.099.33043225100No560,100*
6419-7-1220.198.1204028102000No667,079*
6318-9-1112.195.2123334164100No786,558*
6218-8-126.389.1624352492000No909,300*
6118-7-132.778.231530301651000No1,041,145*
6017-9-121.061.6182231241130000No1,173,685*
5917-8-130.341.50312263019820000No1,303,291*
5816-10-120.022.401516282716610000No1,425,998*
5716-9-130.09.000271928251341000No1,536,873*
5616-8-140.02.5000292128231231000No1,634,244*
5515-10-13No0.40003102228221031000No1,712,177*
5415-9-14No0.10013112328211030000No1,770,643*
5315-8-15No0.00001311232821930000No1,803,215*
5214-10-14No0.000014122328219200000.0%1,809,040*
5114-9-15NoNo00014122428209200000.01,788,547*
5014-8-16NoNo0001413242820820000.01,740,683*
4913-10-15NoNo0001414252819720000.21,672,328*
4813-9-16NoNo000151527281761001.21,581,997*
4713-8-17NoNo000016182827144104.71,473,190*
4612-10-16NoNo00029213025112013.41,354,428*
4512-9-17NoNo0003122531217127.91,223,518*
4412-8-18NoNo0001517313014246.11,087,450*
4311-10-17NoNo00029253524664.1953,535*
4211-9-18NoNo00141634331278.7820,878*
4111-8-19NoNo00021029402088.6697,043*
4010-10-18NoNo001521433094.5580,912*
3910-9-19NoNo00214424297.6476,337*
3810-8-20NoNo0019375399.1385,000*
379-10-19NoNo005316399.6305,971*
369-9-20NoNo003247399.9238,432*
359-8-21NoNo0011980100.0183,178*
348-10-20NoNo011486100.0138,159*
338-9-21NoNo00990100.0102,321*
328-8-22NoNo00793100.073,641*
317-10-21NoNo0496Yes52,399*
307-9-22NoNo0397Yes36,592*
297-8-23NoNo298Yes25,012*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes16,816*
276-9-23NoNo199Yes11,157*
266-8-24NoNo0100Yes6,940*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes4,495*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes2,749*
22-23NoNo100Yes2,485*
214-9-25NoNo0100Yes550*
0-20NoNo100Yes5,276*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555515.0%37,275,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship