"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/16100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Atlético Madrid 1 Málaga 0 -0.1
-0.9
+5.7
-0.6
Getafe 1 Barcelona 2 -0.2
Levante 1 Valencia 1 +0.1
Eibar 1 Leganés 0 +0.5
Real Betis 2 Deportivo La Co 1 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Valencia vs Málaga-0.0-0.0+0.1
-0.4-0.1+0.7
+6.0+0.9-8.8
-0.5-0.1+0.8
Barcelona vs Eibar-0.3*-0.0+0.5
Sevilla vs Las Palmas-0.4*-0.0+0.5
Espanyol vs Celta de Vigo+0.4-0.2-0.2
Deportivo Alavés vs Villarreal+0.4-0.3-0.2
Girona vs Sevilla+0.3*-0.0-0.3
Las Palmas vs Athletic Club+0.5*-0.1-0.3
Levante vs Real Sociedad+0.2*-0.1-0.2
Villarreal vs Espanyol-0.2-0.2+0.4
Deportivo La Co vs Deportivo Alavés+0.1-0.4+0.1
Real Madrid vs Real Betis-0.1-0.1+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Málaga vs Athletic Club+0.1-0.0-0.0
+0.7-0.1-0.4
-9.0+0.5+5.3
+0.8-0.1-0.5
Girona vs Barcelona+0.4*-0.1-0.3
Deportivo Alavés vs Real Madrid+0.7-0.1-0.5
Espanyol vs Deportivo La Co+0.1-0.4+0.1
Real Sociedad vs Valencia-0.2*-0.1+0.2
Las Palmas vs Leganés+0.2*-0.1-0.1
Real Betis vs Levante+0.2*-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Málaga finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedSegunda
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920DivisionCount
78-102YesYes100No791*
7724-5-594.7%Yes955No19*
7624-4-6YesYes100No16*
7523-6-595.3Yes955No43*
7423-5-686.2Yes8614No58*
7322-7-579.1Yes79183No91*
7222-6-679.9Yes80173No184*
7122-5-765.3Yes65305No323*
7021-7-656.8Yes573670No451*
6921-6-748.7Yes4940101No718*
6821-5-838.5Yes3844152No1,151*
6720-7-729.199.1%29442051No1,726*
6620-6-819.899.0204129910No2,545*
6520-5-912.896.91336341430No3,838*
6419-7-88.192.28273621710No5,573*
6319-6-93.784.9419342812300No7,927*
6218-8-81.774.32112833186100No11,172*
6118-7-90.557.41619322712300No15,293*
6018-6-100.239.702112631207200No20,908*
5917-8-90.022.901517292715510No27,956*
5817-7-100.010.7002922302411300No36,280*
5717-6-11No3.7003122530208200No47,822*
5616-8-10No0.90151528281661000No60,821*
5516-7-11No0.10017182826144100No75,495*
5416-6-12No0.00029212924123100No93,805*
5315-8-11NoNo00311232922102000No114,045*
5215-7-12NoNo00141225292082000No135,760*
5114-9-11NoNo0001514262818610000.0%159,745*
5014-8-12NoNo00161728271551000.0185,012*
4914-7-13NoNo000281929251341000.0211,079*
4813-9-12NoNo000210222923102000.3235,661*
4713-8-13NoNo00141225302071001.5259,507*
4613-7-14NoNo0015162828164105.0280,743*
4512-9-13NoNo0028213125112012.7300,018*
4412-8-14NoNo00003132731196125.2314,608*
4312-7-15NoNo001619322811241.3324,685*
4211-9-14NoNo00311283420457.8330,511*
4111-8-15NoNo0016213629872.7329,780*
4011-7-16NoNo00031333371483.9322,761*
3910-9-15NoNo001827422391.4311,896*
3810-8-16NoNo000420443295.8296,259*
3710-7-17NoNo00214424298.1274,068*
369-9-16NoNo0019385399.2250,930*
359-8-17NoNo005326399.7226,442*
349-7-18NoNo003267199.9198,794*
338-9-17NoNo012078100.0171,778*
328-8-18NoNo011584100.0145,143*
318-7-19NoNo001189100.0121,744*
307-9-18NoNo0892Yes98,732*
297-8-19NoNo0595Yes78,568*
287-7-20NoNo0496Yes61,782*
276-9-19NoNo0397Yes47,604*
266-8-20NoNo0199Yes35,391*
256-7-21NoNo199Yes26,609*
245-9-20NoNo199Yes18,685*
235-8-21NoNo0100Yes12,988*
225-7-22NoNo0100Yes8,866*
214-9-21NoNo0100Yes5,906*
204-8-22NoNo0100Yes3,730*
194-7-23NoNo0100Yes2,323*
0-18NoNo100Yes4,201*
Total:0.1%1.0%0000111122334567912162452.6%6,321,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship