How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/4100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Valencia 2 Málaga 2 -0.1
-1.1
-0.2
Barcelona 1 Real Madrid 1 +0.1
Atlético Madrid 0 Espanyol 0 +0.2
Leganés 0 Villarreal 0 +0.2
Granada 2 Sevilla 1 +0.5
La Coruña 5 Real Sociedad 1 +0.4
+0.1
Alavés 1 Las Palmas 1 +0.1
Athletic Club 3 Eibar 1 +0.1
Real Betis 3 Celta de Vigo 3 *+0.1
Week of 12/11100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Málaga 1 Granada 1 -0.1
-1.5
+0.1
-0.3
Real Madrid 3 La Coruña 2 -0.0
-0.1
Osasuna 0 Barcelona 3 -0.2
Celta de Vigo 0 Sevilla 3 -0.3
Real Betis 1 Athletic Club 0 +0.2
Real Sociedad 3 Valencia 2 -0.2
Las Palmas 1 Leganés 1 +0.1
Espanyol 2 Sporting Gijón 1 -0.1
Eibar 0 Alavés 0 +0.1
Villarreal 3 Atlético Madrid 0 -0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Málaga finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedSegunda
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920DivisionCount
7819-0-031.5%Yes3249181No2,794
74-75NoYes100No2*
7317-1-1NoYes8317No6
7216-3-0NoYes102070No10*
7116-2-1No83.3%73838142No42
7016-1-2No78.513245201No93*
6915-3-1No61.121346345No193*
6815-2-2No52.20114137110No531*
6715-1-3No32.5042847192No1,043*
6614-3-2No23.50221472630No2,130*
6514-2-3No15.2114423570No4,022*
6413-4-2No8.20835421410No7,175*
6313-3-3No4.50427442220No12,971*
6213-2-4No2.002184431500No22,268*
6112-4-3No0.7011138401010No36,169*
6012-3-4No0.206304517200No58,095*
5912-2-5No0.103214625500No89,698*
5811-4-4No0.00112413510100No133,227*
5711-3-5No0.0007324017300No194,056*
5610-5-4No0.00032241267100No273,087*
5510-4-5NoNo0113353414300No370,115*
5410-3-6NoNo0062637236100No491,228*
539-5-5NoNo00316343113300No628,766*
529-4-6NoNo00182635226100No782,853*
519-3-7NoNo00416333114300No949,511*
508-5-6NoNo00182534237100No1,112,297*
498-4-7NoNo00315323115300No1,268,007*
488-3-8NoNo00172335258100No1,403,095*
477-5-7NoNo000314313316300No1,506,442*
467-4-8NoNo00017223626810No1,568,210*
457-3-9NoNo0002133234163000.0%1,586,055*
446-5-8NoNo00162337267000.01,556,795*
436-4-9NoNo002143435141000.01,478,898*
425-6-8NoNo00172640233000.11,362,516*
415-5-9NoNo0031739337000.31,212,948*
405-4-10NoNo00193342141001.01,048,010*
394-6-9NoNo0042446233002.7869,867*
384-5-10NoNo0021544336006.1699,725*
374-4-11NoNo00183842111011.8541,623*
363-6-10NoNo0042847192020.5404,409*
353-5-11NoNo011947284032.1288,851*
343-4-12NoNo011143378045.4198,435*
333-3-13NoNo006354414159.2129,639*
322-5-12NoNo003254722372.281,235*
312-4-13NoNo01174531682.348,396*
302-3-14NoNo0940401090.427,019*
291-5-13NoNo0430471895.414,164*
281-4-14NoNo0222492797.66,953*
271-3-15NoNo113483799.03,241*
261-2-16NoNo08415199.81,323*
250-4-15NoNo04366099.8512*
240-3-16NoNo22870Yes163*
230-2-17NoNo1387Yes45
220-1-18NoNo1486Yes7
210-0-19NoNo0595Yes2,795
Total:0.0%0.0%00000123579111314141262102.8%22,481,760

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship