How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Las Palmas 1 Málaga 0 -0.5
-2.3
+4.8
-0.8
Málaga 2 Eibar 1 +0.3
+1.9
-7.0
+1.0
Espanyol 0 Real Madrid 2 -0.1
-0.2
-0.3
Villarreal 2 Real Sociedad 1 -0.1
-0.1
Leganés 1 Barcelona 5 -0.1
-0.2
Real Sociedad 4 Las Palmas 1 +0.1
+0.4
Barcelona 1 Atlético Madrid 1 +0.1
Real Madrid 1 Villarreal 1 +0.1
Sevilla 1 Real Betis 0 -0.1
-0.2
Eibar 1 Sevilla 1 +0.1
Athletic Club 2 Valencia 1 -0.1
*-0.1
Real Betis 2 Granada 2 *+0.1
-0.2
Granada 1 Athletic Club 2 -0.1
-0.3
Celta de Vigo 2 Sporting Gijón 1 +0.5
Osasuna 0 Celta de Vigo 0 -0.2
Osasuna 2 Espanyol 1 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Real Betis vs Málaga-0.3-0.2+0.4
-2.2-0.8+2.6
+5.2+0.9-5.6
-0.9-0.2+1.0
Las Palmas vs Real Madrid+0.0+0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Atlético Madrid vs La Coruña-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2-0.0+0.2
Sporting Gijón vs Barcelona+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.3-0.0-0.2
Villarreal vs Osasuna-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.3-0.0+0.4
Athletic Club vs Sevilla+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Valencia vs Alavés+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.5-0.1-0.3
Alavés vs Granada-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3-0.1+0.5
Eibar vs Real Sociedad-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.1-0.0
La Coruña vs Leganés-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Leganés vs Valencia-0.1-0.2+0.2
Espanyol vs Celta de Vigo+0.1-0.2+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Málaga vs Athletic Club+0.5-0.1-0.3
+3.0-0.7-2.2
-5.5+0.7+4.4
+1.0-0.2-0.8
Real Madrid vs Eibar-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2-0.0+0.2
Valencia vs Atlético Madrid+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.6-0.0-0.4
Celta de Vigo vs Barcelona+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.6-0.0-0.4
Espanyol vs Villarreal+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.5-0.1-0.4
Sevilla vs Alavés-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Osasuna vs Las Palmas+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.4-0.1-0.3
Real Sociedad vs Real Betis-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2-0.1+0.2
La Coruña vs Sporting Gijón-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Granada vs Leganés+0.2-0.2-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Málaga finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedSegunda
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920DivisionCount
87-104YesYes100No596,501*
8626-3-499.7%Yes1000No1,358*
8525-5-399.9Yes1000No2,892*
8425-4-499.8Yes1000No5,458*
8324-6-399.5Yes1000No10,338*
8224-5-499.3Yes991No18,933*
8124-4-599.0Yes9910No33,868*
8023-6-498.5Yes9820No59,737*
7923-5-597.6Yes9820No103,006*
7823-4-696.5Yes9630No172,814*
7722-6-594.9Yes9550No286,352*
7622-5-692.5Yes93700No463,802*
7521-7-589.5Yes901000No736,460*
7421-6-685.5Yes851410No1,142,572*
7321-5-780.5100.0%80181000No1,745,430*
7220-7-674.2100.07424200No2,616,037*
7120-6-766.6100.067294000No3,854,765*
7020-5-858.0100.058357100No5,573,976*
6919-7-748.499.94840111000No7,914,100*
6819-6-838.699.83943163000No11,038,941*
6719-5-928.999.429432251000No15,129,989*
6618-7-820.298.520412991000No20,393,538*
6518-6-912.996.41335341530000No27,011,358*
6417-8-87.492.1727362271000No35,177,940*
6317-7-93.784.441934281230000No45,052,762*
6217-6-101.672.621128322061000No56,705,034*
6116-8-90.656.71619312713300000No70,254,675*
6016-7-100.238.90211253121820000No85,543,407*
5916-6-110.022.401517292815510000No102,436,069*
5815-8-100.010.4002922302411300000No120,726,914*
5715-7-110.03.7000312252920820000No139,912,867*
5615-6-120.01.00001516282816510000No159,480,264*
5514-8-11No0.20002719292513410000No178,836,360*
5414-7-12No0.0000021022292310300000No197,186,717*
5313-9-11No0.00000031225292082000000.0%213,896,477*
5213-8-12No0.000014142728186100000.0228,179,680*
5113-7-13No0.0000016172827155100000.0239,404,823*
5012-9-12NoNo00002820292512310000.0246,961,427*
4912-8-13NoNo000031023302210200000.0250,551,087*
4812-7-14NoNo00001413252919710000.2249,812,741*
4711-9-13NoNo0000151628281651000.8244,930,923*
4611-8-14NoNo000028203025123003.1236,041,725*
4511-7-15NoNo00003112531217108.8223,524,083*
4410-9-14NoNo000015172929154018.9207,965,694*
4310-8-15NoNo0000292332248133.4190,098,589*
4210-7-16NoNo0001415303216350.0170,649,492*
419-9-15NoNo000028243524665.9150,410,927*
409-8-16NoNo000041734331178.9130,155,432*
399-7-17NoNo00021030401988.1110,492,842*
388-9-16NoNo0001523432893.992,048,787*
378-8-17NoNo0000316433897.175,196,284*
368-7-18NoNo000111394998.860,216,153*
357-9-17NoNo00006345999.547,250,704*
347-8-18NoNo0004286899.836,287,276*
337-7-19NoNo0002227699.927,307,861*
326-9-18NoNo0011683100.020,099,757*
316-8-19NoNo0001288100.014,465,530*
306-7-20NoNo00892100.010,169,483*
295-9-19NoNo00694100.06,978,476*
285-8-20NoNo00496100.04,673,980*
275-7-21NoNo00298100.03,050,403*
264-9-20NoNo0199Yes1,940,367*
254-8-21NoNo0199Yes1,199,117*
244-7-22NoNo0199Yes719,258*
234-6-23NoNo0100Yes420,287*
223-8-22NoNo0100Yes236,881*
213-7-23NoNo0100Yes129,847*
203-6-24NoNo0100Yes68,062*
192-8-23NoNo0100Yes34,282*
182-7-24NoNo0100Yes16,772*
172-6-25NoNo0100Yes7,620*
5-16NoNo100Yes600,997*
Total:0.8%6.8%1123344556667777777619.0%4,786,419,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship