How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/25100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Las Palmas 0 Real Sociedad 0 -0.4
-1.6
+0.8
-0.2
Celta Vigo 0 Real Madrid 1 -0.1
-0.1
-0.1
Sevilla 1 Girona 2 -0.1
-0.1
-0.1
Valencia 1 Osasuna 2 +0.1
Cadiz 1 Almeria 1 +0.2
-0.1
Villarreal 3 Barcelona 4 -0.1
Getafe 1 Alaves 0 +0.1
Granada 3 Mallorca 2 +0.1
Bilbao 4 Betis 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/1100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Girona vs Las Palmas-1.0-0.4+1.2
-5.1-1.5+6.0
+4.8+0.9-5.4
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Real Madrid vs Getafe-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.2*-0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Alaves vs Valencia+0.0+0.0-0.1
*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Mallorca vs Bilbao+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Osasuna vs Barcelona*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Real Sociedad vs Granada*-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Betis vs Vallecano-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Cadiz vs Villarreal-0.1+0.1-0.0
*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Almeria vs Celta Vigo-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.2+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Las Palmas finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedSegunda
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920DivisionCount
85-107YesYes100No10,035*
8426-4-599.4%Yes991No347*
8325-6-499.9Yes1000No700*
8225-5-599.8Yes1000No1,082*
8125-4-699.7Yes1000No1,912*
8024-6-599.7Yes1000No3,157*
7924-5-699.4Yes991No5,089*
7823-7-598.8Yes991No8,048*
7723-6-698.5Yes982No12,698*
7623-5-797.7Yes9820No19,483*
7522-7-696.4Yes9640No29,533*
7422-6-794.6Yes9550No43,780*
7322-5-892.1Yes92800No63,501*
7221-7-788.6Yes891100No90,097*
7121-6-884.3Yes8415100No126,735*
7020-8-778.5Yes7820200No175,675*
6920-7-871.3Yes7126300No238,101*
6820-6-962.4Yes6232500No317,854*
6719-8-852.4100.0%523791000No417,242*
6619-7-941.7100.04241142000No541,726*
6519-6-1031.1100.03143215100No689,097*
6418-8-921.1100.021402892000No862,480*
6318-7-1012.8100.0133433154100No1,064,011*
6218-6-116.899.87253523820000No1,291,769*
6117-8-103.099.231631301541000No1,543,515*
6017-7-111.197.2182332241020000No1,815,877*
5916-9-100.391.6031327291871000No2,102,784*
5816-8-110.179.501617292715510000No2,396,275*
5716-7-120.059.400282029241241000No2,690,030*
5615-9-110.035.20003102229221030000No2,970,999*
5515-8-120.015.20001311232921920000No3,232,135*
5415-7-13No4.40001412242820920000No3,463,646*
5314-9-12No0.80001413242819820000No3,650,196*
5214-8-13No0.100014132528198200000.0%3,789,614*
5114-7-14No0.000014142528197200000.03,875,724*
5013-9-13No0.000001514262818710000.03,899,283*
4913-8-14NoNo0001515262717610000.13,860,443*
4813-7-15NoNo0000161728271551000.93,763,743*
4712-9-14NoNo000028192926133003.93,606,614*
4612-8-15NoNo000021023302392011.43,400,731*
4511-10-14NoNo00014132731196124.93,155,040*
4411-9-15NoNo0001619312812242.72,883,718*
4311-8-16NoNo0000210263422561.02,587,685*
4210-10-15NoNo000151835311076.22,282,939*
4110-9-16NoNo00021130391887.11,983,201*
4010-8-17NoNo001623432893.61,691,058*
399-10-16NoNo000316423997.21,418,425*
389-9-17NoNo000110385198.81,166,610*
379-8-18NoNo0006336199.6943,909*
368-10-17NoNo003267199.8749,191*
358-9-18NoNo0022078100.0583,020*
348-8-19NoNo0011584100.0446,129*
337-10-18NoNo001089100.0335,325*
327-9-19NoNo00793100.0245,846*
317-8-20NoNo00595100.0177,213*
306-10-19NoNo0397Yes124,419*
296-9-20NoNo0298Yes85,776*
286-8-21NoNo0199Yes58,173*
276-7-22NoNo199Yes38,178*
265-9-21NoNo0100Yes24,579*
255-8-22NoNo0100Yes15,521*
245-7-23NoNo00100Yes9,478*
234-9-22NoNo0100Yes5,470*
224-8-23NoNo0100Yes3,270*
214-7-24NoNo0100Yes1,795*
2-20NoNo100Yes11,631*
Total:2.6%21.3%3344444555555666667720.2%77,103,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship