"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 1/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
La Coruña 1 Valencia 2 No
-0.0
+4.3
-0.2
Getafe 1 Málaga 0 -0.9
+0.0
Girona 6 Las Palmas 0 -0.6
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Alavés vs Sevilla+4.9-0.3-2.9
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Levante vs Celta de Vigo+2.1*+0.1-1.2
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Espanyol vs Athletic Club+0.3*-0.1-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 1/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Real Madrid vs La Coruña-0.0-0.0+0.1
+4.6-1.3-12.3
-0.2+0.0+0.6
Alavés vs Leganés+5.0-0.1-2.7
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Villarreal vs Levante-1.2+0.1+2.3
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Eibar vs Málaga-0.9-0.2+1.9
Las Palmas vs Valencia+1.4+0.2-0.3
-0.1-0.0+0.0
Espanyol vs Sevilla+0.2*+0.0-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the La Coruña finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedSegunda
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920DivisionCount
7319-0-00.1%99.5%01557271No1,094
6516-1-2NoYes3367No3
6415-3-1NoNo6733No6*
6315-2-2No8.384250No12*
6215-1-3No31.0315910No29*
6114-3-2No12.1211483262No66*
6014-2-3No6.364433151No111*
5913-4-2No2.5227372481No241*
5813-3-3No1.311930351320No479*
5713-2-4No0.10727352461No934*
5612-4-3No0.1031532311430No1,715*
5512-3-4NoNo1723322510200No3,136*
5412-2-5NoNo0312263120710No5,255*
5311-4-4NoNo1517302815510No8,931*
5211-3-5NoNo001820302511300No14,881*
5110-5-4NoNo00310243022820No23,823*
5010-4-5NoNo000413273018610No36,422*
4910-3-6NoNo001617302814300No55,000*
489-5-5NoNo002822322591000.0%79,447*
479-4-6NoNo003122833194000.0110,840*
469-3-7NoNo001519343010100.0151,920*
458-5-6NoNo00210283820200.0200,574*
448-4-7NoNo004193932600.2257,990*
438-3-8NoNo00110334213100.6322,409*
427-5-7NoNo004254821201.6391,327*
417-4-8NoNo002154832403.7458,001*
407-3-9NoNo0194241707.2524,208*
396-5-8NoNo00043449120012.7576,489*
386-4-9NoNo022553191020.2619,522*
376-3-10NoNo011753282029.7643,350*
365-5-9NoNo001148374040.6644,969*
355-4-10NoNo0641457052.3626,643*
345-3-11NoNo03335112163.7590,757*
334-5-10NoNo01245518174.3533,575*
324-4-11NoNo01165426383.0465,138*
314-3-12NoNo00105035589.7390,979*
303-5-11NoNo064243994.3314,828*
293-4-12NoNo0333491597.2243,256*
283-3-13NoNo0124522398.7180,559*
272-5-12NoNo116513399.5127,620*
262-4-13NoNo010474399.985,289*
252-3-14NoNo054055100.054,298*
241-5-13NoNo033265100.032,455*
231-4-14NoNo12475Yes17,942*
221-3-15NoNo01684Yes9,081*
211-2-16NoNo01090Yes4,292*
200-4-15NoNo0595Yes1,870*
190-3-16NoNo397Yes674*
180-2-17NoNo298Yes177
16-17NoNo100Yes1,143*
Total:0.0%0.0%00000000000123717282611340.8%8,813,760

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship