"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/17100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Girona 0 Valladolid 0 +0.1
+0.1
-0.1
Betis 0 Levante 3 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Eibar vs Huesca+2.0-0.6-1.6
+5.5-1.4-4.6
-4.4+0.7+4.0
+1.1-0.2-0.9
Valencia vs Atl. Madrid-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Villarreal vs Real Sociedad-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ath Bilbao vs Leganes-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Real Madrid vs Getafe-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Celta Vigo vs Espanyol-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Barcelona vs Alaves-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Getafe vs Eibar-1.6-0.6+2.0
-4.6-1.4+5.5
+3.9+0.7-4.4
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Levante vs Celta Vigo-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Espanyol vs Valencia-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Alaves vs Betis-0.0+0.1*+0.0
-0.1+0.1*+0.0
*-0.0-0.1+0.1
Girona vs Real Madrid-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Leganes vs Real Sociedad-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sevilla vs Villarreal-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ath Bilbao vs Huesca-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Valladolid vs Barcelona-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Atl. Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Eibar finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedSegunda
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920DivisionCount
89-114YesYes100No13,328*
8827-7-499.7%Yes1000No381*
86-87YesYes100No1,809*
8526-7-599.8Yes1000No1,846*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No3,205*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No4,783*
8225-7-699.7Yes1000No7,873*
8125-6-799.8Yes1000No12,053*
8024-8-699.6Yes1000No18,214*
7924-7-799.4Yes991No27,095*
7824-6-899.0Yes991No41,017*
7723-8-798.3Yes9820No58,336*
7623-7-897.5Yes9820No84,211*
7523-6-996.2Yes9640No118,663*
7422-8-894.5Yes94500No164,247*
7322-7-992.0Yes92800No224,057*
7222-6-1088.5Yes881100No299,386*
7121-8-983.9100.0%8415100No398,027*
7021-7-1078.0100.07820200No518,232*
6920-9-970.6100.07126300No663,893*
6820-8-1062.0100.062326000No842,260*
6720-7-1151.899.952389100No1,049,734*
6619-9-1041.299.8414115200No1,287,642*
6519-8-1130.499.43043215100No1,558,778*
6419-7-1220.598.221402892000No1,860,908*
6318-9-1112.395.4123433164100No2,189,955*
6218-8-126.589.46253524920000No2,534,715*
6118-7-132.878.631531301651000No2,894,147*
6017-9-121.062.2182231241130000No3,259,937*
5917-8-130.342.10313263019720000No3,621,714*
5816-10-120.022.901517282715510000No3,962,088*
5716-9-130.09.300281929251341000No4,276,172*
5616-8-140.02.60002921292311310000No4,543,142*
5515-10-13No0.500031122282210300000No4,765,418*
5415-9-14No0.100013112328211030000No4,927,881*
5315-8-15No0.00001412232821920000No5,013,075*
5214-10-14No0.000014122428209200000.0%5,030,219*
5114-9-15NoNo00014122428208200000.04,972,711*
5014-8-16NoNo00001413252819820000.04,846,953*
4913-10-15NoNo0001514252818710000.24,647,792*
4813-9-16NoNo0000151527281761001.14,402,502*
4713-8-17NoNo00017182827144104.64,098,546*
4612-10-16NoNo00029213024112013.13,760,903*
4512-9-17NoNo00013122631206127.53,395,706*
4412-8-18NoNo0001517313014245.83,024,871*
4311-10-17NoNo00029253523663.82,649,231*
4211-9-18NoNo000141734331278.52,283,595*
4111-8-19NoNo00021029402088.61,941,653*
4010-10-18NoNo001521433094.51,615,970*
3910-9-19NoNo000214424297.61,329,263*
3810-8-20NoNo00019375399.01,071,433*
379-10-19NoNo0005316399.6851,566*
369-9-20NoNo003257299.9664,241*
359-8-21NoNo0011980100.0509,227*
348-10-20NoNo0011486100.0382,829*
338-9-21NoNo0001090100.0283,952*
328-8-22NoNo00693100.0205,222*
317-10-21NoNo0496Yes146,973*
307-9-22NoNo0397Yes101,996*
297-8-23NoNo0298Yes69,852*
286-10-22NoNo199Yes46,862*
276-9-23NoNo199Yes30,483*
266-8-24NoNo0100Yes19,570*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes12,282*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes7,690*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes4,561*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes2,684*
0-21NoNo100Yes16,120*
Total:5.0%20.1%5555555555555555555515.0%103,675,680

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship