"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Espanyol 4 Deportivo La Co 1 -0.1
-1.1
+5.8
-0.8
Girona 0 Barcelona 3 -0.1
-0.3
+0.0
Deportivo Alavés 1 Real Madrid 2 -0.1
-0.4
Málaga 3 Athletic Club 3 -0.1
Real Sociedad 2 Valencia 3 -0.1
Getafe 4 Villarreal 0 +0.2
Las Palmas 0 Leganés 2 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/30100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Deportivo La Co vs Getafe+0.1-0.0-0.0
+0.7-0.1-0.4
-8.0+0.5+5.3
+0.9-0.1-0.6
Barcelona vs Las Palmas-0.5+0.0+0.8
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Sevilla vs Málaga-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.7-0.1+1.3
Leganés vs Atlético Madrid+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Valencia vs Athletic Club-0.2-0.0+0.2
Real Madrid vs Espanyol-0.2-0.0+0.3
Real Sociedad vs Real Betis+0.2-0.0-0.1
Levante vs Deportivo Alavés-0.4-0.2+0.8
Celta de Vigo vs Girona-0.4-0.1+0.7
Villarreal vs Eibar-0.3-0.3+0.5

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Deportivo La Co finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedSegunda
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920DivisionCount
82-100YesYes100No21,146*
8124-5-396.1%Yes964No51*
8024-4-498.2Yes982No57*
7924-3-589.3Yes8911No169*
7823-5-490.2Yes9090No264*
7723-4-588.1Yes88111No539*
7622-6-481.3Yes811810No954*
7522-5-575.1Yes752410No1,677*
7422-4-669.8100.0%702730No2,952*
7321-6-560.2100.06035500No5,142*
7221-5-652.3100.05239810No8,642*
7121-4-743.2100.043441210No14,073*
7020-6-634.099.934461730No22,508*
6920-5-725.899.62646235000No35,595*
6819-7-618.198.9184330910No54,816*
6719-6-711.797.2123735143000No82,291*
6619-5-86.793.972938215100No123,851*
6518-7-73.588.0421362710200No179,362*
6418-6-81.678.12133133174100No257,831*
6318-5-90.664.41723342492000No362,227*
6217-7-80.248.003153030165100No502,578*
6117-6-90.031.4018223224102000No683,077*
6016-8-80.017.50031428301861000No912,676*
5916-7-90.07.900172030261331000No1,199,006*
5816-6-10No2.90031124302182000No1,548,865*
5715-8-9No0.800151528281661000No1,963,766*
5615-7-10No0.200027202925123100No2,451,846*
5515-6-11No0.000031124302292000No3,007,563*
5414-8-10No0.0000141427291861000No3,624,248*
5314-7-11No0.00000161829261441000No4,294,059*
5214-6-12NoNo00029223023102000No5,008,293*
5113-8-11NoNo0001413263019710000.0%5,740,489*
5013-7-12NoNo000161729281541000.06,455,372*
4913-6-13NoNo000282231241020000.07,144,818*
4812-8-12NoNo000031226311961000.17,776,090*
4712-7-13NoNo000161830281330000.38,313,156*
4612-6-14NoNo00021024322381001.28,734,707*
4511-8-13NoNo00014163030153003.79,013,207*
4411-7-14NoNo000182434248108.89,132,472*
4310-9-13NoNo00004153232153017.49,092,239*
4210-8-14NoNo000182536236029.48,896,656*
4110-7-15NoNo000417353111143.68,544,324*
409-9-14NoNo000210303718358.18,058,521*
399-8-15NoNo0016233927571.17,451,808*
389-7-16NoNo0003163835981.56,764,417*
378-9-15NoNo0011033411589.06,018,051*
368-8-16NoNo000627462293.95,253,698*
358-7-17NoNo00320473096.94,493,699*
347-9-16NoNo00114463998.53,762,607*
337-8-17NoNo00110424899.33,092,504*
327-7-18NoNo0006375699.72,482,058*
316-9-17NoNo004326599.91,946,660*
306-8-18NoNo0022672100.01,494,331*
296-7-19NoNo0012178100.01,123,915*
285-9-18NoNo011683100.0822,635*
275-8-19NoNo001288100.0586,689*
265-7-20NoNo00991100.0408,859*
255-6-21NoNo0694Yes277,758*
244-8-20NoNo0496Yes182,511*
234-7-21NoNo0397Yes117,782*
224-6-22NoNo298Yes72,620*
213-8-21NoNo0199Yes43,407*
203-7-22NoNo199Yes25,416*
193-6-23NoNo0100Yes14,229*
182-8-22NoNo0100Yes7,649*
172-7-23NoNo0100Yes4,056*
162-6-24NoNo0100Yes1,965*
4-15NoNo100Yes22,821*
Total:0.1%1.0%00011122334568910121212932.8%169,744,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship