Barcelona Title Chances 50/50Beat Villarreal 4-3, title odds up 2.2 to 8.6% 7 points 2-1-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 8/25 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | Segunda Division | 100.0* | Average seed | Villarreal 3 Barcelona 4 | +2.4 | | +7.5 | | -3.6 | | +1.1 | | Celta Vigo 0 Real Madrid 1 | -0.2 | | -0.2 | | -0.1 | | | | Sevilla 1 Girona 2 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | -0.1 | | | | Cadiz 1 Almeria 1 | +0.1 | | +0.2 | | -0.1 | | | | Las Palmas 0 Real Sociedad 0 | +0.1 | | +0.2 | | -0.1 | | | | Valencia 1 Osasuna 2 | | | | | +0.1 | | | | Vallecano 0 Atletico Madrid 7 | | | -0.1 | | | | | | Getafe 1 Alaves 0 | | | | | +0.1 | | | | Granada 3 Mallorca 2 | | | | | +0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/1 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | Segunda Division | 100.0* | Average seed | Osasuna vs Barcelona | -2.6-0.8+3.1 | | -6.9-1.7+8.0 | | +2.4+0.3-2.6 | | -0.9-0.2+1.1 | | Real Madrid vs Getafe | -0.2+0.2+0.1 | | -0.1+0.2*+0.0 | | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | | | | Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | | -0.2+0.2+0.1 | | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | | | | Girona vs Las Palmas | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | | -0.2+0.2+0.1 | | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | | | | Mallorca vs Bilbao | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | +0.1+0.2-0.2 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | Alaves vs Valencia | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | *-0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | | | | Betis vs Vallecano | -0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | Cadiz vs Villarreal | -0.0+0.1*-0.0 | | -0.1+0.2-0.0 | | | | | | Real Sociedad vs Granada | *+0.0+0.1-0.1 | | *-0.0+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | Almeria vs Celta Vigo | | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well Barcelona finishes out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | Segunda | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | UEFA CL | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Division | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 91 | -112 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,803 | * | 90 | | 26 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 99.5 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 209 | * | 86 | -89 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,988 | * | 85 | | 24 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 100.0 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,155 | * | 84 | | 24 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,196 | * | 83 | | 23 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 99.8 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,145 | * | 82 | | 23 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 99.8 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,729 | * | 81 | | 23 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 99.7 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 19,414 | * | 80 | | 22 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 99.6 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 29,688 | * | 79 | | 22 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 99.2 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 43,559 | * | 78 | | 22 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 98.9 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 63,658 | * | 77 | | 21 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 98.4 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 90,449 | * | 76 | | 21 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 97.5 | | Yes | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 127,369 | * | 75 | | 20 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 96.2 | | Yes | 96 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 175,097 | * | 74 | | 20 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 94.5 | | Yes | 94 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 238,751 | * | 73 | | 20 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 91.9 | | Yes | 92 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 318,792 | * | 72 | | 19 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 88.5 | | Yes | 89 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 418,238 | * | 71 | | 19 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 84.0 | | Yes | 84 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 542,322 | * | 70 | | 19 | - | 6 | - | 10 | 78.1 | | Yes | 78 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 690,290 | * | 69 | | 18 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 70.8 | | Yes | 71 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 861,686 | * | 68 | | 18 | - | 7 | - | 10 | 62.2 | | Yes | 62 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,064,660 | * | 67 | | 18 | - | 6 | - | 11 | 52.1 | | 100.0 | % | 52 | 38 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,290,319 | * | 66 | | 17 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 41.6 | | 100.0 | | 42 | 41 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,542,529 | * | 65 | | 17 | - | 7 | - | 11 | 30.7 | | 100.0 | | 31 | 43 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,816,175 | * | 64 | | 16 | - | 9 | - | 10 | 20.9 | | 100.0 | | 21 | 40 | 28 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,103,755 | * | 63 | | 16 | - | 8 | - | 11 | 12.7 | | 100.0 | | 13 | 34 | 33 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,396,271 | * | 62 | | 16 | - | 7 | - | 12 | 6.7 | | 99.8 | | 7 | 25 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,689,247 | * | 61 | | 15 | - | 9 | - | 11 | 3.0 | | 99.2 | | 3 | 16 | 31 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,974,973 | * | 60 | | 15 | - | 8 | - | 12 | 1.1 | | 97.2 | | 1 | 8 | 23 | 32 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 3,235,136 | * | 59 | | 15 | - | 7 | - | 13 | 0.3 | | 91.6 | | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 30 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 3,466,170 | * | 58 | | 14 | - | 9 | - | 12 | 0.1 | | 79.5 | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 3,649,079 | * | 57 | | 14 | - | 8 | - | 13 | 0.0 | | 59.4 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 3,791,578 | * | 56 | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 14 | 0.0 | | 35.2 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 29 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 3,872,493 | * | 55 | | 13 | - | 9 | - | 13 | No | 15.2 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 28 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 3,895,464 | * | 54 | | 13 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | 4.4 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 28 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 3,860,308 | * | 53 | | 13 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | 0.8 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 24 | 28 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 3,759,230 | * | 52 | | 12 | - | 9 | - | 14 | No | 0.1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 28 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 3,603,031 | * | 51 | | 12 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 3,402,924 | * | 50 | | 11 | - | 10 | - | 14 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 3,157,798 | * | 49 | | 11 | - | 9 | - | 15 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 28 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | | 2,882,219 | * | 48 | | 11 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 27 | 27 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.9 | | 2,587,870 | * | 47 | | 10 | - | 10 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 29 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4.0 | | 2,284,721 | * | 46 | | 10 | - | 9 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 30 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 11.9 | | 1,982,557 | * | 45 | | 10 | - | 8 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 31 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 25.8 | | 1,690,436 | * | 44 | | 9 | - | 10 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 31 | 29 | 13 | 2 | 43.8 | | 1,416,585 | * | 43 | | 9 | - | 9 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 34 | 22 | 5 | 62.1 | | 1,166,796 | * | 42 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 34 | 32 | 11 | 77.3 | | 943,314 | * | 41 | | 8 | - | 10 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 39 | 19 | 87.8 | | 748,954 | * | 40 | | 8 | - | 9 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 43 | 29 | 94.1 | | 583,508 | * | 39 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 42 | 41 | 97.4 | | 445,934 | * | 38 | | 7 | - | 10 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 38 | 52 | 99.0 | | 334,455 | * | 37 | | 7 | - | 9 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 63 | 99.6 | | 245,807 | * | 36 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 72 | 99.9 | | 176,717 | * | 35 | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 19 | 80 | 100.0 | | 125,036 | * | 34 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 86 | 100.0 | | 86,026 | * | 33 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 90 | 100.0 | | 57,887 | * | 32 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 94 | 100.0 | | 38,540 | * | 31 | | 5 | - | 9 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | Yes | 24,715 | * | 30 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | Yes | 15,444 | * | 29 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | Yes | 9,629 | * | 28 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 5,693 | * | 27 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 3,242 | * | 26 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,878 | * | 25 | | 3 | - | 9 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,018 | * | 24 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 547 | * | 23 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 282 | * | 7 | -22 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 9,872 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 8.6 | % | 43.0 | % | 9 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7.3 | % | 77,103,360 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |