Atletico Madrid Title ChancesBeat Vallecano 7-0, title odds up 8.1 to 16% 7 points 2-1-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 8/25 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | Segunda Division | 100.0* | Average seed | Vallecano 0 Atletico Madrid 7 | +3.1 | | +8.1 | | -2.3 | | +1.0 | | Celta Vigo 0 Real Madrid 1 | -0.3 | | -0.2 | | -0.1 | | | | Sevilla 1 Girona 2 | -0.2 | | -0.2 | | -0.1 | | | | Villarreal 3 Barcelona 4 | -0.2 | | -0.1 | | | | | | Valencia 1 Osasuna 2 | +0.1 | | | | +0.1 | | | | Las Palmas 0 Real Sociedad 0 | | | +0.2 | | -0.1 | | | | Cadiz 1 Almeria 1 | | | +0.2 | | -0.1 | | | | Granada 3 Mallorca 2 | | | | | +0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/1 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | Segunda Division | 100.0* | Average seed | Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla | +3.9-1.6-4.0 | | +6.7-2.2-7.2 | | -0.8+0.1+1.0 | | +0.8-0.2-0.8 | | Real Madrid vs Getafe | -0.7+0.4+0.7 | | -0.1+0.2+0.0 | | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | | | | Girona vs Las Palmas | -0.5+0.2+0.5 | | -0.2+0.2+0.2 | | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | | | | Mallorca vs Bilbao | +0.2+0.2-0.3 | | +0.2+0.2-0.3 | | | | | | Osasuna vs Barcelona | +0.1+0.3-0.2 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | Alaves vs Valencia | +0.2+0.2-0.2 | | +0.1+0.2-0.2 | | | | | | Betis vs Vallecano | -0.1+0.1*-0.0 | | -0.1+0.2-0.0 | | | | | | Cadiz vs Villarreal | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | Real Sociedad vs Granada | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.1+0.2-0.0 | | | | | | Almeria vs Celta Vigo | | | -0.1+0.1-0.0 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Atletico Madrid finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | Segunda | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | UEFA CL | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Division | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 97 | -112 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 28,892 | * | 96 | | 28 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 99.4 | % | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 161 | * | 92 | -95 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,893 | * | 91 | | 26 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 100.0 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,441 | * | 90 | | 26 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 100.0 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,919 | * | 89 | | 26 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 100.0 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,027 | * | 88 | | 25 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 16,422 | * | 87 | | 25 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 26,691 | * | 86 | | 24 | - | 7 | - | 4 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 42,447 | * | 85 | | 24 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 99.8 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 64,934 | * | 84 | | 24 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 99.8 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 97,457 | * | 83 | | 23 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 99.7 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 146,097 | * | 82 | | 23 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 99.4 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 213,604 | * | 81 | | 23 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 99.2 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 305,582 | * | 80 | | 22 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 98.8 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 430,281 | * | 79 | | 22 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 98.2 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 595,587 | * | 78 | | 21 | - | 8 | - | 6 | 97.3 | | Yes | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 807,429 | * | 77 | | 21 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 96.1 | | Yes | 96 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,075,095 | * | 76 | | 21 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 94.4 | | Yes | 94 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,408,817 | * | 75 | | 20 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 92.1 | | Yes | 92 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,814,196 | * | 74 | | 20 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 89.0 | | Yes | 89 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,299,859 | * | 73 | | 20 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 85.0 | | Yes | 85 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,868,337 | * | 72 | | 19 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 80.0 | | Yes | 80 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,518,814 | * | 71 | | 19 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 73.8 | | Yes | 74 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,244,796 | * | 70 | | 19 | - | 6 | - | 10 | 66.3 | | Yes | 66 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,039,351 | * | 69 | | 18 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 57.7 | | Yes | 58 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,879,351 | * | 68 | | 18 | - | 7 | - | 10 | 48.3 | | Yes | 48 | 40 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,761,738 | * | 67 | | 17 | - | 9 | - | 9 | 38.4 | | 100.0 | % | 38 | 43 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,648,546 | * | 66 | | 17 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 28.7 | | 100.0 | | 29 | 43 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,513,207 | * | 65 | | 17 | - | 7 | - | 11 | 19.9 | | 100.0 | | 20 | 41 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,334,823 | * | 64 | | 16 | - | 9 | - | 10 | 12.5 | | 100.0 | | 13 | 35 | 34 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,064,203 | * | 63 | | 16 | - | 8 | - | 11 | 7.0 | | 99.9 | | 7 | 27 | 36 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,692,787 | * | 62 | | 16 | - | 7 | - | 12 | 3.4 | | 99.5 | | 3 | 18 | 33 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 11,175,669 | * | 61 | | 15 | - | 9 | - | 11 | 1.4 | | 98.4 | | 1 | 10 | 26 | 32 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 11,497,239 | * | 60 | | 15 | - | 8 | - | 12 | 0.4 | | 95.1 | | 0 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 11,642,526 | * | 59 | | 15 | - | 7 | - | 13 | 0.1 | | 87.5 | | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 31 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 11,618,638 | * | 58 | | 14 | - | 9 | - | 12 | 0.0 | | 73.4 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 29 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 11,400,325 | * | 57 | | 14 | - | 8 | - | 13 | 0.0 | | 52.9 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 11,009,211 | * | 56 | | 13 | - | 10 | - | 12 | 0.0 | | 30.6 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 24 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 10,466,678 | * | 55 | | 13 | - | 9 | - | 13 | No | 13.3 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 29 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 9,793,713 | * | 54 | | 13 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | 4.1 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 29 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 9,023,574 | * | 53 | | 12 | - | 10 | - | 13 | No | 0.8 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 8,174,404 | * | 52 | | 12 | - | 9 | - | 14 | No | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 27 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 7,289,863 | * | 51 | | 12 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 6,393,293 | * | 50 | | 11 | - | 10 | - | 14 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 26 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 5,515,163 | * | 49 | | 11 | - | 9 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 28 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 0.1 | | 4,681,211 | * | 48 | | 11 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 29 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | | 3,900,191 | * | 47 | | 10 | - | 10 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | | 3,201,555 | * | 46 | | 10 | - | 9 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 29 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 | | 2,579,104 | * | 45 | | 10 | - | 8 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 27 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 16.3 | | 2,042,602 | * | 44 | | 9 | - | 10 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 32 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 31.0 | | 1,590,665 | * | 43 | | 9 | - | 9 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 30 | 31 | 15 | 3 | 48.7 | | 1,217,413 | * | 42 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 25 | 6 | 65.7 | | 911,055 | * | 41 | | 8 | - | 10 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 34 | 33 | 12 | 79.4 | | 672,386 | * | 40 | | 8 | - | 9 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 28 | 40 | 20 | 88.8 | | 484,509 | * | 39 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 43 | 30 | 94.5 | | 343,217 | * | 38 | | 7 | - | 10 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 42 | 41 | 97.5 | | 238,221 | * | 37 | | 7 | - | 9 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 52 | 99.0 | | 162,749 | * | 36 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 63 | 99.6 | | 108,556 | * | 35 | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 72 | 99.9 | | 70,994 | * | 34 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 19 | 79 | 100.0 | | 44,928 | * | 33 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 85 | 100.0 | | 28,418 | * | 32 | | 5 | - | 10 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 90 | 100.0 | | 17,215 | * | 31 | | 5 | - | 9 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 93 | Yes | 10,106 | * | 30 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 95 | Yes | 5,907 | * | 29 | | 4 | - | 10 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | Yes | 3,370 | * | 28 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 98 | Yes | 1,829 | * | 27 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | Yes | 945 | * | 26 | | 3 | - | 10 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 568 | * | 25 | | 3 | - | 9 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 288 | * | 7 | -24 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 28,998 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 16.0 | % | 63.4 | % | 16 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.8 | % | 231,310,080 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |