How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Average seed
Leganés 0 Barcelona 3 -1.3
+0.2
Atlético Madrid 0 Real Madrid 0 -0.9
-1.1
-0.1
Sevilla 2 Celta de Vigo 1 -0.6
Getafe 4 Alavés 1 -0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Espanyol vs Valencia+0.5+0.2-0.3
+0.7+0.3-0.5
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Athletic Club vs Villarreal+1.2+0.5-1.0
Eibar vs Real Betis+0.6+0.3-0.5
Girona vs Real Sociedad+0.3+0.3-0.4
Las Palmas vs Levante+0.1*+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/25100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Average seed
Levante vs Atlético Madrid-2.2-1.1+1.7
-8.1-3.0+5.6
-0.4-0.2+0.3
Valencia vs Barcelona+0.9+0.7-1.0
-0.7*+0.0+0.5
Real Madrid vs Málaga-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.8+0.8+1.5
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Villarreal vs Sevilla-0.4+0.8*-0.0
Real Sociedad vs Las Palmas-0.5+0.3+0.6
Espanyol vs Getafe+0.5+0.3-0.5
Real Betis vs Girona-0.4+0.3+0.3
Celta de Vigo vs Leganés*+0.0+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Atlético Madrid finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedSegunda
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920DivisionCount
95-102YesYes100No965*
9423-1-297.5%Yes973No119*
9322-3-198.3Yes982No241*
9222-2-297.4Yes973No493*
9121-4-194.7Yes955No911*
9021-3-293.8Yes946No1,652*
8921-2-390.7Yes919No2,857*
8820-4-288.1Yes8812No4,659*
8720-3-383.5Yes84160No7,844*
8619-5-278.4Yes78210No12,198*
8519-4-373.4Yes73260No18,191*
8419-3-467.4Yes673210No27,122*
8318-5-361.1Yes613810No38,556*
8218-4-453.8Yes544420No54,131*
8117-6-346.5Yes465040No73,712*
8017-5-438.7Yes395560No96,697*
7917-4-531.9100.0%3259900No125,613*
7816-6-425.0Yes2561130No156,983*
7716-5-519.2100.019621810No191,317*
7616-4-613.8100.014602420No230,427*
7515-6-59.9100.010573030No268,701*
7415-5-66.599.975137500No305,588*
7314-7-54.099.744542900No341,203*
7214-6-62.499.3237471310No372,326*
7114-5-71.398.4129491920No395,817*
7013-7-60.796.71224925300No412,921*
6913-6-70.393.70154633600No419,954*
6813-5-80.188.8010403910100No418,745*
6712-7-70.081.706334316200No408,852*
6612-6-80.071.7032544235000No389,153*
6511-8-70.059.6021741319100No363,014*
6411-7-80.046.001103536153000No330,899*
6311-6-90.032.40062739226100No296,305*
6210-8-8No20.703183630112000No258,440*
6110-7-9No11.701113035185100No220,796*
6010-6-10No5.5005213526102000No184,316*
599-8-9No2.3002133032175100No150,697*
589-7-10No0.801722332510200No120,672*
579-6-11No0.2003132832185100No94,073*
568-8-10No0.101620322612300No71,834*
558-7-11No0.000311263220710No53,850*
548-6-12NoNo015173128144000No38,712*
537-8-11NoNo002102332239200No27,733*
527-7-12NoNo001415292917510No19,268*
517-6-13NoNo00172132261120No12,986*
506-8-12NoNo00312283119610No8,795*
496-7-13NoNo0151832281230No5,528*
486-6-14NoNo00211253321710No3,494*
475-8-13NoNo0141830301430No2,014*
465-7-14NoNo011026332360No1,216*
455-6-15NoNo0317333213200.1%676*
444-8-14NoNo28263721510.7411*
434-7-15NoNo021932361100.5208*
424-6-16NoNo115324310No94*
414-5-17NoNo213412813215.246*
402-10-14NoNo310383113517.939*
393-6-17NoNo38461515.413*
383-5-18NoNo406060.05*
373-4-19NoNo505050.02*
35-36NoNo100No2*
240-0-26NoNo694Yes874
Total:5.8%71.7%6222519127421100000000000.0%7,044,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship