How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/17100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Girona 0 Valladolid 0 +0.1
+0.2
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Valencia vs Atl. Madrid-1.6-0.6+2.0
-4.6-1.4+5.5
+3.9+0.7-4.4
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Real Madrid vs Getafe-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Barcelona vs Alaves-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Villarreal vs Real Sociedad-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Celta Vigo vs Espanyol-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Eibar vs Huesca-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ath Bilbao vs Leganes-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Atl. Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano+2.0-0.6-1.6
+5.5-1.4-4.6
-4.4+0.7+3.9
+1.1-0.2-0.9
Levante vs Celta Vigo-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Ath Bilbao vs Huesca-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Leganes vs Real Sociedad-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Valladolid vs Barcelona*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Alaves vs Betis-0.0+0.1*+0.0
-0.1+0.1*-0.0
*-0.0-0.1+0.1
Espanyol vs Valencia-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Girona vs Real Madrid-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Getafe vs Eibar-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sevilla vs Villarreal-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Atl. Madrid finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedSegunda
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920DivisionCount
86-114YesYes100No15,568*
8526-7-599.9%Yes1000No1,814*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No3,076*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No5,076*
8225-7-699.9Yes1000No7,728*
8125-6-799.7Yes1000No12,105*
8024-8-699.5Yes991No18,285*
7924-7-799.3Yes9910No27,627*
7824-6-899.0Yes991No40,603*
7723-8-798.4Yes9820No59,217*
7623-7-897.5Yes9730No84,415*
7523-6-996.3Yes9640No118,654*
7422-8-894.5Yes94500No163,953*
7322-7-991.9Yes92800No224,608*
7222-6-1088.5Yes891100No300,397*
7121-8-983.9Yes841510No396,767*
7021-7-1078.0100.0%7820200No520,572*
6920-9-970.6100.071263000No665,555*
6820-8-1061.9100.062326000No841,270*
6720-7-1151.899.952389100No1,049,121*
6619-9-1041.199.84141152000No1,285,774*
6519-8-1130.499.43043215100No1,558,134*
6419-7-1220.598.221402892000No1,859,799*
6318-9-1112.395.41234331641000No2,187,354*
6218-8-126.589.4625352492000No2,533,902*
6118-7-132.878.6315313016510000No2,899,921*
6017-9-121.062.2182231241130000No3,261,549*
5917-8-130.342.10313263019720000No3,621,690*
5816-10-120.022.901517282715510000No3,962,253*
5716-9-130.09.300281929251341000No4,272,222*
5616-8-140.02.6000292129231131000No4,545,995*
5515-10-130.00.500003102228221030000No4,762,311*
5415-9-14No0.10013112328211030000No4,924,597*
5315-8-15No0.00001412232821920000No5,015,311*
5214-10-14No0.000014122428209200000.0%5,033,060*
5114-9-15NoNo00014122428208200000.04,971,263*
5014-8-16NoNo0001413252819820000.04,848,973*
4913-10-15NoNo0001514252818710000.24,654,055*
4813-9-16NoNo000151527281761001.14,399,769*
4713-8-17NoNo00017182827144104.64,100,485*
4612-10-16NoNo000029213024112013.13,759,599*
4512-9-17NoNo00013122631206127.53,396,071*
4412-8-18NoNo0001517313014245.73,022,946*
4311-10-17NoNo00029253523663.92,648,943*
4211-9-18NoNo000141734331278.52,285,326*
4111-8-19NoNo00021029402088.61,936,878*
4010-10-18NoNo0001521433094.51,616,598*
3910-9-19NoNo000214424297.61,328,264*
3810-8-20NoNo0019375399.01,073,093*
379-10-19NoNo005316399.6852,013*
369-9-20NoNo003257399.9663,982*
359-8-21NoNo0011980100.0509,107*
348-10-20NoNo011486100.0383,018*
338-9-21NoNo001090100.0282,482*
328-8-22NoNo00793100.0205,718*
317-10-21NoNo0496Yes145,758*
307-9-22NoNo0397Yes101,324*
297-8-23NoNo0298Yes69,709*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes46,545*
276-9-23NoNo199Yes30,609*
266-8-24NoNo0100Yes19,721*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes12,369*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes7,578*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes4,500*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes2,661*
0-21NoNo100Yes16,040*
Total:5.0%20.1%5555555555555555555514.9%103,675,680

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship