Alaves Title Chances 50/50Lost to Getafe 0-1, title odds down 1.7 to 3.4% 3 points 1-0-2 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 8/25 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | Segunda Division | 100.0* | Average seed | Getafe 1 Alaves 0 | -1.6 | | -6.0 | | +3.8 | | -1.0 | | Celta Vigo 0 Real Madrid 1 | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | Sevilla 1 Girona 2 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | -0.1 | | | | Cadiz 1 Almeria 1 | +0.1 | | +0.2 | | -0.1 | | | | Villarreal 3 Barcelona 4 | | | -0.1 | | | | | | Valencia 1 Osasuna 2 | | | | | +0.1 | | | | Las Palmas 0 Real Sociedad 0 | | | +0.2 | | -0.1 | | | | Vallecano 0 Atletico Madrid 7 | | | -0.1 | | | | | | Granada 3 Mallorca 2 | | | | | +0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/1 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | Segunda Division | 100.0* | Average seed | Alaves vs Valencia | +1.5-0.4-1.2 | | +6.6-1.6-5.5 | | -4.9+0.8+4.3 | | +1.1-0.2-1.0 | | Real Madrid vs Getafe | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.1+0.2*-0.0 | | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | | | | Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | -0.2+0.2+0.1 | | -0.2-0.1+0.3 | | | | Girona vs Las Palmas | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | -0.1+0.2+0.0 | | -0.1-0.1+0.2 | | | | Mallorca vs Bilbao | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1+0.2-0.2 | | +0.2-0.1-0.1 | | | | Osasuna vs Barcelona | *-0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | Cadiz vs Villarreal | | | -0.1+0.2*-0.0 | | *-0.0-0.1+0.1 | | | | Betis vs Vallecano | | | -0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.0-0.1*+0.0 | | | | Real Sociedad vs Granada | | | *-0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*-0.0 | | | | Almeria vs Celta Vigo | | | -0.1+0.1-0.0 | | +0.1-0.1+0.0 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Alaves finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | Segunda | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | UEFA CL | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Division | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 87 | -108 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,826 | * | 86 | | 26 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 99.5 | % | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 197 | * | 85 | | 26 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 99.7 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 334 | * | 84 | | 25 | - | 6 | - | 4 | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 630 | * | 83 | | 25 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,171 | * | 82 | | 25 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 99.8 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,966 | * | 81 | | 24 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 99.7 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,091 | * | 80 | | 24 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 99.6 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,184 | * | 79 | | 23 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 99.4 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,166 | * | 78 | | 23 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 99.1 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,707 | * | 77 | | 23 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 98.5 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 19,642 | * | 76 | | 22 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 97.5 | | Yes | 97 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 29,446 | * | 75 | | 22 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 96.2 | | Yes | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 43,543 | * | 74 | | 22 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 94.5 | | Yes | 95 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 63,546 | * | 73 | | 21 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 92.1 | | Yes | 92 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 90,560 | * | 72 | | 21 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 88.7 | | Yes | 89 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 126,747 | * | 71 | | 20 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 84.1 | | Yes | 84 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 175,292 | * | 70 | | 20 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 78.2 | | Yes | 78 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 238,230 | * | 69 | | 20 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 71.0 | | Yes | 71 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 317,900 | * | 68 | | 19 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 62.2 | | Yes | 62 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 419,447 | * | 67 | | 19 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 52.2 | | Yes | 52 | 37 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 541,864 | * | 66 | | 19 | - | 6 | - | 10 | 41.5 | | 100.0 | % | 42 | 41 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 690,603 | * | 65 | | 18 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 30.8 | | 100.0 | | 31 | 43 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 863,908 | * | 64 | | 18 | - | 7 | - | 10 | 20.8 | | 100.0 | | 21 | 40 | 28 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,064,260 | * | 63 | | 18 | - | 6 | - | 11 | 12.7 | | 100.0 | | 13 | 34 | 33 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,293,142 | * | 62 | | 17 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 6.7 | | 99.8 | | 7 | 25 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,545,600 | * | 61 | | 17 | - | 7 | - | 11 | 2.9 | | 99.2 | | 3 | 16 | 31 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,814,238 | * | 60 | | 16 | - | 9 | - | 10 | 1.0 | | 97.1 | | 1 | 8 | 23 | 32 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,100,942 | * | 59 | | 16 | - | 8 | - | 11 | 0.3 | | 91.4 | | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,396,804 | * | 58 | | 16 | - | 7 | - | 12 | 0.1 | | 79.2 | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 2,692,788 | * | 57 | | 15 | - | 9 | - | 11 | 0.0 | | 59.0 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 2,968,093 | * | 56 | | 15 | - | 8 | - | 12 | 0.0 | | 34.9 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 29 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 3,233,593 | * | 55 | | 15 | - | 7 | - | 13 | 0.0 | | 15.0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 28 | 21 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 3,461,845 | * | 54 | | 14 | - | 9 | - | 12 | No | 4.3 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 28 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 3,653,054 | * | 53 | | 14 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | 0.8 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 24 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 3,792,214 | * | 52 | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 14 | No | 0.1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 28 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 3,870,953 | * | 51 | | 13 | - | 9 | - | 13 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 3,897,420 | * | 50 | | 13 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 26 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 3,856,196 | * | 49 | | 13 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 27 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | | 3,757,717 | * | 48 | | 12 | - | 9 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.9 | | 3,604,598 | * | 47 | | 12 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 29 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3.9 | | 3,401,854 | * | 46 | | 11 | - | 10 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 30 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 11.5 | | 3,157,622 | * | 45 | | 11 | - | 9 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 27 | 31 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 24.9 | | 2,877,913 | * | 44 | | 11 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 28 | 12 | 2 | 42.6 | | 2,589,620 | * | 43 | | 10 | - | 10 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 34 | 22 | 5 | 60.8 | | 2,285,965 | * | 42 | | 10 | - | 9 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 35 | 31 | 10 | 76.2 | | 1,983,828 | * | 41 | | 10 | - | 8 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 30 | 39 | 18 | 87.0 | | 1,691,322 | * | 40 | | 9 | - | 10 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 43 | 28 | 93.6 | | 1,418,439 | * | 39 | | 9 | - | 9 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 42 | 39 | 97.1 | | 1,168,836 | * | 38 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 38 | 50 | 98.8 | | 944,450 | * | 37 | | 8 | - | 10 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 61 | 99.6 | | 749,973 | * | 36 | | 8 | - | 9 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 70 | 99.8 | | 584,021 | * | 35 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 78 | 99.9 | | 447,431 | * | 34 | | 7 | - | 10 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 15 | 84 | 100.0 | | 334,557 | * | 33 | | 7 | - | 9 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 89 | 100.0 | | 245,655 | * | 32 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 93 | 100.0 | | 176,765 | * | 31 | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 95 | Yes | 124,545 | * | 30 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | Yes | 86,070 | * | 29 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | Yes | 57,754 | * | 28 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 37,920 | * | 27 | | 5 | - | 9 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 24,449 | * | 26 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 15,339 | * | 25 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 9,375 | * | 24 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 5,470 | * | 23 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 3,231 | * | 22 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,916 | * | 21 | | 3 | - | 9 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 940 | * | 20 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 516 | * | 19 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 278 | * | 3 | -18 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 9,849 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 3.4 | % | 25.0 | % | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 16.9 | % | 77,103,360 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |