Alaves Title ChancesLost to Getafe 0-1, title odds down 1.9 to 2% 3 points 1-0-2 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 8/25 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | Segunda Division | 100.0* | Average seed | Getafe 1 Alaves 0 | -1.3 | | -5.8 | | +3.7 | | -0.9 | | Celta Vigo 0 Real Madrid 1 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | -0.2 | | | | Sevilla 1 Girona 2 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | -0.2 | | | | Villarreal 3 Barcelona 4 | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | Valencia 1 Osasuna 2 | +0.1 | | | | +0.1 | | | | Cadiz 1 Almeria 1 | | | +0.2 | | -0.1 | | | | Las Palmas 0 Real Sociedad 0 | | | +0.2 | | -0.1 | | | | Bilbao 4 Betis 2 | | | | | +0.1 | | | | Granada 3 Mallorca 2 | | | | | +0.1 | | | | Vallecano 0 Atletico Madrid 7 | | | -0.1 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/1 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | Segunda Division | 100.0* | Average seed | Alaves vs Valencia | +1.0-0.3-0.8 | | +6.2-1.3-5.0 | | -4.8+0.6+4.0 | | +1.1-0.2-0.9 | | Real Madrid vs Getafe | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | -0.2-0.0+0.3 | | | | Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | -0.2+0.2+0.2 | | -0.3-0.1+0.4 | | | | Girona vs Las Palmas | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | -0.2+0.2+0.1 | | -0.2-0.1+0.3 | | | | Mallorca vs Bilbao | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1+0.2-0.2 | | +0.3-0.1-0.2 | | | | Osasuna vs Barcelona | | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | | | | Cadiz vs Villarreal | | | -0.1+0.2-0.0 | | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | | | | Betis vs Vallecano | | | -0.1+0.2-0.0 | | *+0.0-0.1+0.0 | | | | Real Sociedad vs Granada | | | -0.1+0.1-0.0 | | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | | | | Almeria vs Celta Vigo | | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | +0.0-0.2+0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Alaves finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | Segunda | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | UEFA CL | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Division | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 85 | -108 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 30,460 | * | 84 | | 25 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 99.9 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,407 | * | 83 | | 25 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,413 | * | 82 | | 25 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 99.5 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,261 | * | 81 | | 24 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 99.2 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,983 | * | 80 | | 24 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 98.7 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 11,492 | * | 79 | | 23 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 98.1 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 18,540 | * | 78 | | 23 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 97.3 | | Yes | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 29,200 | * | 77 | | 23 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 96.0 | | Yes | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 45,469 | * | 76 | | 22 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 94.0 | | Yes | 94 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 68,940 | * | 75 | | 22 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 91.8 | | Yes | 92 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 102,880 | * | 74 | | 22 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 88.4 | | Yes | 88 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 151,039 | * | 73 | | 21 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 84.3 | | Yes | 84 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 217,859 | * | 72 | | 21 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 79.0 | | Yes | 79 | 19 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 308,467 | * | 71 | | 20 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 72.5 | | Yes | 72 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 432,435 | * | 70 | | 20 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 64.7 | | Yes | 65 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 591,895 | * | 69 | | 20 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 56.0 | | Yes | 56 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 799,450 | * | 68 | | 19 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 46.3 | | 100.0 | % | 46 | 40 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,061,405 | * | 67 | | 19 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 36.4 | | 100.0 | | 36 | 43 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,387,706 | * | 66 | | 19 | - | 6 | - | 10 | 26.7 | | 100.0 | | 27 | 43 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,781,395 | * | 65 | | 18 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 18.2 | | 100.0 | | 18 | 39 | 30 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,256,718 | * | 64 | | 18 | - | 7 | - | 10 | 11.2 | | 100.0 | | 11 | 33 | 34 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,810,068 | * | 63 | | 18 | - | 6 | - | 11 | 6.1 | | 99.8 | | 6 | 25 | 35 | 24 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,444,564 | * | 62 | | 17 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 2.9 | | 99.4 | | 3 | 16 | 32 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,155,911 | * | 61 | | 17 | - | 7 | - | 11 | 1.1 | | 97.9 | | 1 | 9 | 24 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,937,776 | * | 60 | | 16 | - | 9 | - | 10 | 0.3 | | 94.0 | | 0 | 4 | 16 | 29 | 29 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,772,221 | * | 59 | | 16 | - | 8 | - | 11 | 0.1 | | 85.5 | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 6,646,975 | * | 58 | | 16 | - | 7 | - | 12 | 0.0 | | 70.4 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 30 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 7,531,684 | * | 57 | | 15 | - | 9 | - | 11 | 0.0 | | 49.5 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 28 | 28 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 8,406,376 | * | 56 | | 15 | - | 8 | - | 12 | 0.0 | | 27.8 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 29 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 9,234,464 | * | 55 | | 15 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | 11.8 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 29 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 9,997,449 | * | 54 | | 14 | - | 9 | - | 12 | No | 3.5 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 29 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 10,639,331 | * | 53 | | 14 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | 0.7 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 28 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 11,163,707 | * | 52 | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 14 | No | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 26 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 11,519,715 | * | 51 | | 13 | - | 9 | - | 13 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 11,703,816 | * | 50 | | 13 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 26 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 11,697,447 | * | 49 | | 13 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 11,506,342 | * | 48 | | 12 | - | 9 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 29 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | | 11,140,672 | * | 47 | | 12 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 25 | 29 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | | 10,618,249 | * | 46 | | 12 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 28 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5.9 | | 9,948,098 | * | 45 | | 11 | - | 9 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 14.7 | | 9,175,177 | * | 44 | | 11 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 31 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 28.5 | | 8,314,293 | * | 43 | | 10 | - | 10 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 30 | 14 | 2 | 45.6 | | 7,411,454 | * | 42 | | 10 | - | 9 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 35 | 23 | 5 | 62.6 | | 6,496,233 | * | 41 | | 10 | - | 8 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 35 | 32 | 11 | 76.8 | | 5,594,358 | * | 40 | | 9 | - | 10 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 30 | 39 | 18 | 87.0 | | 4,731,299 | * | 39 | | 9 | - | 9 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 43 | 27 | 93.4 | | 3,935,893 | * | 38 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 43 | 38 | 96.9 | | 3,212,856 | * | 37 | | 8 | - | 10 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 39 | 49 | 98.7 | | 2,574,085 | * | 36 | | 8 | - | 9 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 34 | 59 | 99.5 | | 2,026,076 | * | 35 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 68 | 99.8 | | 1,563,377 | * | 34 | | 7 | - | 10 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 76 | 99.9 | | 1,182,143 | * | 33 | | 7 | - | 9 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 83 | 100.0 | | 876,238 | * | 32 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 12 | 88 | 100.0 | | 636,370 | * | 31 | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 92 | 100.0 | | 453,540 | * | 30 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 94 | Yes | 316,132 | * | 29 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | Yes | 215,126 | * | 28 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | Yes | 142,899 | * | 27 | | 5 | - | 9 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 99 | 100.0 | | 92,605 | * | 26 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | Yes | 59,255 | * | 25 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | Yes | 36,458 | * | 24 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 21,864 | * | 23 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 12,857 | * | 22 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 7,251 | * | 21 | | 3 | - | 9 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 3,967 | * | 20 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 2,113 | * | 3 | -19 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 30,882 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 2.0 | % | 21.3 | % | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 16.2 | % | 231,310,080 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |