How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/25100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Getafe 1 Alaves 0 -1.3
-5.8
+3.7
-0.9
Celta Vigo 0 Real Madrid 1 -0.1
-0.2
-0.2
Sevilla 1 Girona 2 -0.1
-0.2
-0.2
Villarreal 3 Barcelona 4 -0.1
-0.1
-0.1
Valencia 1 Osasuna 2 +0.1
+0.1
Cadiz 1 Almeria 1 +0.2
-0.1
Las Palmas 0 Real Sociedad 0 +0.2
-0.1
Bilbao 4 Betis 2 +0.1
Granada 3 Mallorca 2 +0.1
Vallecano 0 Atletico Madrid 7 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/1100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Alaves vs Valencia+1.0-0.3-0.8
+6.2-1.3-5.0
-4.8+0.6+4.0
+1.1-0.2-0.9
Real Madrid vs Getafe-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.2-0.0+0.3
Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.3-0.1+0.4
Girona vs Las Palmas-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Mallorca vs Bilbao+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Osasuna vs Barcelona-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Cadiz vs Villarreal-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Betis vs Vallecano-0.1+0.2-0.0
*+0.0-0.1+0.0
Real Sociedad vs Granada-0.1+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Almeria vs Celta Vigo-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Alaves finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedSegunda
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920DivisionCount
85-108YesYes100No30,460*
8425-6-499.9%Yes1000No1,407*
8325-5-599.9Yes1000No2,413*
8225-4-699.5Yes1000No4,261*
8124-6-599.2Yes9910No6,983*
8024-5-698.7Yes991No11,492*
7923-7-598.1Yes9820No18,540*
7823-6-697.3Yes9730No29,200*
7723-5-796.0Yes9640No45,469*
7622-7-694.0Yes9460No68,940*
7522-6-791.8Yes9280No102,880*
7422-5-888.4Yes881100No151,039*
7321-7-784.3Yes8415100No217,859*
7221-6-879.0Yes791910No308,467*
7120-8-772.5Yes7225300No432,435*
7020-7-864.7Yes6531500No591,895*
6920-6-956.0Yes56367100No799,450*
6819-8-846.3100.0%4640121000No1,061,405*
6719-7-936.4100.03643173000No1,387,706*
6619-6-1026.7100.027432461000No1,781,395*
6518-8-918.2100.0183930102000No2,256,718*
6418-7-1011.2100.01133341741000No2,810,068*
6318-6-116.199.8625352482000No3,444,564*
6217-8-102.999.431632301541000No4,155,911*
6117-7-111.197.91924322392000No4,937,776*
6016-9-100.394.0041629291651000No5,772,221*
5916-8-110.185.501821312411300000No6,646,975*
5816-7-120.070.400312253020820000No7,531,684*
5715-9-110.049.500151628281661000No8,406,376*
5615-8-120.027.8000171929251341000No9,234,464*
5515-7-13No11.8000292229231130000No9,997,449*
5414-9-12No3.5000311232921920000No10,639,331*
5314-8-13No0.70001413252819820000No11,163,707*
5214-7-14No0.100015142628187100000.0%11,519,715*
5113-9-13No0.00001616272716610000.011,703,816*
5013-8-14No0.00001718282614510000.011,697,447*
4913-7-15No0.00000282029251341000.011,506,342*
4812-9-14NoNo00003102229231030000.411,140,672*
4712-8-15NoNo000141225292082001.810,618,249*
4612-7-16NoNo000015162828165105.99,948,098*
4511-9-15NoNo000028203026123014.79,175,177*
4411-8-16NoNo0003112531217128.58,314,293*
4310-10-15NoNo0001517313014245.67,411,454*
4210-9-16NoNo000210253523562.66,496,233*
4110-8-17NoNo000151835321176.85,594,358*
409-10-16NoNo00021130391887.04,731,299*
399-9-17NoNo0001623432793.43,935,893*
389-8-18NoNo000316433896.93,212,856*
378-10-17NoNo000111394998.72,574,085*
368-9-18NoNo0016345999.52,026,076*
358-8-19NoNo004286899.81,563,377*
347-10-18NoNo002227699.91,182,143*
337-9-19NoNo0011683100.0876,238*
327-8-20NoNo001288100.0636,370*
316-10-19NoNo00892100.0453,540*
306-9-20NoNo0694Yes316,132*
296-8-21NoNo0496Yes215,126*
286-7-22NoNo0298Yes142,899*
275-9-21NoNo00199100.092,605*
265-8-22NoNo0199Yes59,255*
255-7-23NoNo0199Yes36,458*
244-9-22NoNo0100Yes21,864*
234-8-23NoNo0100Yes12,857*
224-7-24NoNo0100Yes7,251*
213-9-23NoNo0100Yes3,967*
203-8-24NoNo0100Yes2,113*
3-19NoNo100Yes30,882*
Total:2.0%21.3%2334455556666666665516.2%231,310,080

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship