"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Getafe 4 Alavés 1 +5.3
-0.3
Sevilla 2 Celta de Vigo 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Eibar vs Real Betis+2.1*+0.0-1.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.0
Las Palmas vs Levante+1.4-0.3-0.7
Athletic Club vs Villarreal+0.6*+0.0-0.4
Málaga vs La Coruña+0.5-0.4-0.2
Espanyol vs Valencia+0.5*+0.1-0.3
Girona vs Real Sociedad+0.1*-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/25100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Alavés vs Eibar+0.0NoNo
-9.5+1.7+8.5
+0.4-0.1-0.4
Real Sociedad vs Las Palmas-1.0*-0.1+1.9
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Real Madrid vs Málaga-0.6*+0.1+1.7
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Levante vs Atlético Madrid+0.5*+0.0-0.3
Espanyol vs Getafe+0.4*+0.0-0.3
La Coruña vs Athletic Club+0.2-0.3*-0.1
Real Betis vs Girona-0.1*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Alavés finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedSegunda
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920DivisionCount
8426-0-077.0%Yes77230No874
6720-1-5No50.0%5050No2*
6619-3-4NoYes2575No4*
6518-5-3No75.01325381313No8*
6418-4-4No40.013273327No15*
6318-3-5No27.6324382833No29*
6217-5-4No19.6218392984No51*
6117-4-5No7.51623382651No93*
6017-3-6No3.13223726921No159*
5916-5-5No2.537323220510No276*
5816-4-6No0.402223325153No502*
5715-6-5No0.2011126332161No823*
5615-5-6No0.10061832281331No1,474*
5515-4-7NoNo0211253221810No2,439*
5414-6-6NoNo0517312914400No3,749*
5314-5-7NoNo0292332231020No5,987*
5214-4-8NoNo01315293017510No9,004*
5113-6-7NoNo01720322610200No13,504*
5013-5-8NoNo00312273120610No19,435*
4913-4-9NoNo001619312812300No27,637*
4812-6-8NoNo00210253322710No39,087*
4712-5-9NoNo015173129143000.0%53,359*
4611-7-8NoNo002924342381000.071,706*
4511-6-9NoNo004153131153000.193,577*
4411-5-10NoNo00182435246000.5120,412*
4310-7-9NoNo00416333213101.5151,781*
4210-6-10NoNo00192738214003.9186,399*
4110-5-11NoNo0041938308108.5223,357*
409-7-10NoNo002113338142016.0263,057*
399-6-11NoNo00162542224026.4303,079*
389-5-12NoNo0031741318139.2340,685*
378-7-11NoNo0110363813152.9375,786*
368-6-12NoNo005284221365.8405,156*
358-5-13NoNo003204329576.9428,023*
347-7-12NoNo001134037985.6438,934*
337-6-13NoNo00834431591.5440,400*
327-5-14NoNo00426472295.5431,677*
316-7-13NoNo00219473197.7411,457*
306-6-14NoNo0113454099.0383,780*
296-5-15NoNo008415099.6347,816*
285-7-14NoNo005356099.8307,933*
275-6-15NoNo0032969100.0264,018*
265-5-16NoNo012277100.0219,903*
254-7-15NoNo011683100.0178,264*
244-6-16NoNo001188100.0140,131*
234-5-17NoNo0892Yes106,696*
223-7-16NoNo0595Yes78,223*
213-6-17NoNo0397Yes55,211*
203-5-18NoNo0298Yes37,692*
192-7-17NoNo199Yes24,877*
182-6-18NoNo0100Yes15,721*
172-5-19NoNo0100Yes9,243*
162-4-20NoNo0100Yes5,146*
151-6-19NoNo0100Yes2,882*
141-5-20NoNo0100Yes1,425*
6-13NoNo100Yes2,002*
Total:0.0%0.0%00000000000112481419232668.8%7,044,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship