How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/31100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Alaves 2 Espanyol 1 +1.1
+6.2
-5.1
+1.1
Real Madrid 4 Leganes 1 -0.1
-0.1
-0.2
Barcelona 8 Huesca 2 -0.1
-0.1
*-0.1
Eibar 2 Real Sociedad 1 +0.1
+0.3
Betis 1 Sevilla 0 +0.2
Levante 2 Valencia 2 +0.2
-0.1
Getafe 0 Valladolid 0 +0.2
-0.1
Celta Vigo 2 Atl. Madrid 0 -0.1
Villarreal 0 Girona 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Rayo Vallecano vs Ath Bilbao+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.3-0.1-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Alaves finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedSegunda
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920DivisionCount
87-109YesYes100No72,272*
8626-4-599.9%Yes1000No1,032*
8525-6-499.7Yes1000No1,832*
8425-5-599.7Yes1000No3,286*
8325-4-699.6Yes1000No5,559*
8224-6-599.3Yes991No9,461*
8124-5-698.9Yes991No15,925*
8023-7-598.5Yes9820No26,138*
7923-6-697.7Yes9820No41,987*
7823-5-796.9Yes9730No66,624*
7722-7-695.3Yes9550No102,995*
7622-6-793.2Yes93700No156,425*
7522-5-890.8Yes91900No234,998*
7421-7-787.4Yes871200No345,746*
7321-6-883.2Yes831610No499,229*
7220-8-777.9Yes7821200No711,172*
7120-7-871.4Yes7126300No992,723*
7020-6-963.8Yes64315000No1,366,828*
6919-8-855.2Yes55378100No1,847,688*
6819-7-945.8100.0%4641121000No2,465,275*
6719-6-1036.2100.03644173000No3,226,391*
6618-8-926.9100.027432461000No4,162,901*
6518-7-1018.4100.0184030102000No5,284,432*
6418-6-1111.5100.0123435164000No6,611,310*
6317-8-106.499.9626362381000No8,128,000*
6217-7-113.099.531733301430000No9,846,850*
6116-9-101.298.319263322820000No11,747,165*
6016-8-110.494.90417302815410000No13,785,937*
5916-7-120.187.00292331231020000No15,929,622*
5815-9-110.072.600313262919720000No18,139,448*
5715-8-120.051.9001617282715510000No20,313,813*
5615-7-130.029.8000282029251241000No22,414,439*
5514-9-120.012.800002102229221030000No24,349,459*
5414-8-13No3.80001312242921920000No26,021,685*
5314-7-14No0.80001413252819820000No27,404,756*
5213-9-13No0.100015142628187200000.0%28,381,756*
5113-8-14No0.000016162727176100000.028,954,166*
5013-7-15No0.000001617272615510000.029,048,935*
4912-9-14No0.000002719282514410000.128,679,294*
4812-8-15No0.000000292129241230000.527,886,611*
4712-7-16NoNo0000031123292292002.226,658,249*
4611-9-15NoNo00014142629186107.225,064,370*
4511-8-16NoNo000016183027143017.423,184,585*
4410-10-15NoNo00002102332238132.621,086,596*
4310-9-16NoNo0001415303216350.418,856,953*
4210-8-17NoNo00018233525767.316,558,898*
419-10-16NoNo000041534341380.614,305,730*
409-9-17NoNo0001928412189.612,135,351*
399-8-18NoNo000521433195.010,106,781*
388-10-17NoNo000214424297.88,266,958*
378-9-18NoNo0019375399.16,637,574*
368-8-19NoNo0005316399.75,221,773*
357-10-18NoNo0003257299.94,037,252*
347-9-19NoNo0011980100.03,054,423*
337-8-20NoNo011485100.02,265,805*
327-7-21NoNo001090100.01,645,073*
316-9-20NoNo00793100.01,168,044*
306-8-21NoNo00495100.0812,399*
296-7-22NoNo0397Yes551,882*
285-9-21NoNo0298Yes366,774*
275-8-22NoNo0199Yes237,363*
265-7-23NoNo199Yes149,922*
254-9-22NoNo00100Yes91,682*
244-8-23NoNo0100Yes55,573*
234-7-24NoNo0100Yes32,012*
223-9-23NoNo0100Yes17,805*
213-8-24NoNo0100Yes9,660*
203-7-25NoNo0100Yes5,255*
4-19NoNo100Yes76,053*
Total:1.9%20.9%2334455555666666666617.6%571,944,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship