"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/21100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualified100.0*Average seed
Malta vs Spain-9.0+1.5+18.7
-9.0+1.5+18.7
-3.8+0.7+7.8
Spain vs Norway+10.2-6.6-15.7
+10.2-6.6-15.7
+4.5-2.9-7.1
Romania vs Faroe Islands-0.3+1.3-0.7
-0.3+1.3-0.7
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Norway vs Sweden-0.3+1.3-0.7
-0.3+1.3-0.7
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Malta vs Faroe Islands-0.3+1.3-0.7
-0.3+1.3-0.7
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Sweden vs Romania-0.3+1.3-0.7
-0.3+1.3-0.7
-0.1+0.3-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Spain finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-LplayoffsQualified12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940414243444546474849505152535455Count
3010-0-0InYes10006,128
289-1-0InYes982016,750
279-0-1InYes92800029,074
268-2-0InYes821710058,105
258-1-1InYes732330000198,955
248-0-2InYes6131710000285,193*
237-2-1InYes3439206100010592,254
227-1-2100.0%100.0%143029166100004000986,036
6-4-0InYes153230166100010153,063
216-3-1100.0100.031325261782000410001,013,472
7-0-399.999.931223251782000910000538,249
206-2-299.999.91412202116831010410000002,616,830*
196-1-398.598.5002714181583014124100010002,668,971
5-4-199.799.701391721179309731000001,092,051
185-3-297.097.00001381517113612126200000300003,505,493
6-0-492.892.8000126111393715148310006100001,138,882*
175-2-385.885.80000261210141014138310010410000005,548,378
4-5-194.594.5000131019151491211631004100000767,927
165-1-457.857.8000027000261113115181410410000400004,327,538
4-4-275.475.4000141400137131512516962100010003,064,925*
154-3-339.339.30003000013610115281312841000820000006,286,540
5-0-522.222.20001000013674281314105200017510001001,324,966
3-6-161.161.100190001510151462710952100031000353,019
144-2-49.19.100000000134014913127300151572000400007,210,555
3-5-221.421.40100013890151115137300109310001001,654,667*
134-1-50.80.80000100012464131016147200001861001004,427,994*
3-4-32.52.5000002000014810723111613620001030000004,187,262
123-3-40.10.1000000134002611128410141792000050006,287,875
4-0-60.00.00000001200148973101620124100101001,058,382
2-6-20.50.500000267013813149410111251000200551,182*
113-2-50.00.00000100012564131117158200001751005,555,422
2-5-30.00.00000020001479623121714720001130001,663,304*
102-4-4OutNo0000000133202714159310018155103,032,639
3-1-6OutNo0000000112102612139410021197102,771,213*
92-3-5OutNo0000001100149117200122520713,504,183
3-0-7OutNo0000000001379520012272391539,930
1-6-3OutNo000001100151113830012231761354,832*
82-2-6OutNo00000000135520418302472,489,103*
1-5-4OutNo00000000014763041829216766,783
71-4-5OutNo00000002331172437211,089,881
2-1-7OutNo0000001221172438241,015,761*
61-3-6OutNo0000111021238451,014,606
2-0-8OutNo000001102123846246,859*
51-2-7OutNo000000042767726,802*
41-1-8OutNo0000011584199,424
0-4-6OutNo00000011683152,832
30-3-7OutNo0000793147,639*
20-2-8OutNo029858,777
10-1-9OutNo019917,085
00-0-10OutNo01006,049
Total:33.3%33.3%111222222212222222212222221111332222111033322110004433387,303,840

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs