How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Hoffenheim vs Shakhtar DonetskOut-2.2+12.4
-0.5-0.1+0.6
Olympique Lyonn vs Manchester CityOut+2.9+8.9
-0.1+0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Shakhtar Donetsk finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
82-0-062.9%6337220,281,152
61-1-011.7127712306,134,877
51-0-1Out3169440,328,949
40-2-0Out3169106,431,079
2-3Out100526,411,575*
Total:10.9%1130591,599,587,632

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Lottery seed
Hoffenheim vs Shakhtar Donetsk-4.2-0.6+4.6
Olympique Lyonn vs Manchester City-1.0+0.1+0.9

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
82-0-05555555588888888
61-1-011111111101010101010101011111111
51-0-19999999944444444
40-2-09999999944444444
30-1-11312121313121212
20-0-21313121213121213
Total:777777774444444411111111