How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Hoffenheim vs Shakhtar DonetskOut+3.2+8.6
-0.3+0.1+0.8
Olympique Lyonn vs Manchester CityOut-1.4+2.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Shakhtar Donetsk finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
82-0-082.3%8218157,143,983
61-1-021.822753462,019,009
51-0-1Out48521,015,463,424
40-2-0Out4951337,262,975
2-3Out1003,097,660,705*
Total:4.5%520755,069,550,096

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Lottery seed
Hoffenheim vs Shakhtar Donetsk-2.4+0.5+6.0
Olympique Lyonn vs Manchester City-0.4-0.1+0.2

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
82-0-0222222221010101010101010
61-1-0000000009999999933333333
51-0-16666666666666666
40-2-06666666666666666
30-1-11212131313131213
20-0-21312121212121313
Total:999999993333333311111111