How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/2100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Serbia 3 Moldova 0 +7.1
+8.4
+1.5
Georgia 1 Republic of Ire 1 +5.6
+3.4
+0.4
Wales 1 Austria 0 -1.5
-1.1
-0.2
Denmark 4 Poland 0 -0.8
Kazakhstan 0 Montenegro 3 -0.7
-0.0
Bulgaria 3 Sweden 2 +0.4
+0.1
Finland 1 Iceland 0 +0.3
+0.1
Slovakia 1 Slovenia 0 -0.2
Greece 0 Estonia 0 *+0.2
+0.0
Lithuania 0 Scotland 3 -0.1
San Marino 0 N Ireland 3 -0.1
Cyprus 3 Bosnia-Herzegov 2 +0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Serbia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inDirectChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffsqualify123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354Count
242-0-0InYes004354911162,741,826
221-1-0InYes0011439369150,675,910
211-0-1InYes03205027126,669,584
200-2-078.5%89.2%00225510037731033,824,936
190-1-159.877.50357000161414552,329,351
180-0-229.748.500300017303315,180,833
Total:92.8%95.7%001111919241800011221541,422,440
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs