Queen of the South Football Club Title Chances 2022-2023
Beat FC Edinburgh 4-1, title odds up 0.9 to 1.4%
8 points 2-2-3
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 1/2 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Queen of Sth vs Alloa | +1.0-0.2-0.6 | +2.5-0.4-1.7 | -2.2+0.1+1.7 | +0.5-0.1-0.3 | ||||
| Queen of Sth vs Clyde | +0.7-0.3-0.6 | +1.9-0.6-1.7 | -2.3+0.3+2.4 | +0.4-0.1-0.4 | ||||
| Dunfermline vs Falkirk | -0.2+0.1+0.2 | -0.1+0.1*+0.0 | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | |||||
| FC Edinburgh vs Dunfermline | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Alloa vs Kelty Hearts | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | -0.2+0.1+0.3 | -0.5*+0.0+0.9 | |||||
| Peterhead vs Airdrieonians | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | +0.3+0.1-0.2 | +1.0*-0.0-0.5 | |||||
| Peterhead vs Montrose | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | +0.3+0.2-0.2 | +1.0*-0.0-0.5 | |||||
| Airdrieonians vs FC Edinburgh | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | -0.1+0.1*-0.0 | -0.0*-0.0+0.1 | |||||
| Falkirk vs Montrose | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | *+0.0+0.2-0.1 | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Clyde vs Kelty Hearts | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | -0.3-0.2+0.5 | ||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 1/14 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Montrose vs Queen of Sth | -0.6-0.2+1.0 | -1.6-0.3+2.5 | +1.6*+0.0-2.3 | -0.3-0.0+0.5 | ||||
| Dunfermline vs Peterhead | -0.2+0.1+0.3 | -0.2+0.1+0.3 | -0.4*+0.0+1.1 | |||||
| Kelty Hearts vs Airdrieonians | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | +0.3+0.1-0.2 | +0.8*-0.0-0.5 | |||||
| Alloa vs FC Edinburgh | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | -0.1+0.1*-0.0 | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | |||||
| Falkirk vs Clyde | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | -0.2-0.0+0.2 | ||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Queen of Sth finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 79 | -95 | Yes | Yes | 100 | No | 2,100 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 78 | 22 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 95.2 | % | 95.2 | % | 95 | 5 | No | 21 | * | ||||||||||
| 77 | 22 | - | 3 | - | 4 | Yes | Yes | 100 | No | 45 | * | |||||||||||||
| 76 | 21 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 98.1 | 98.1 | 98 | 2 | No | 106 | * | ||||||||||||
| 75 | 21 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 99.4 | 99.4 | 99 | 1 | No | 167 | * | ||||||||||||
| 74 | 21 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 97.7 | 98.1 | 98 | 2 | No | 258 | * | ||||||||||||
| 73 | 20 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 97.2 | 97.8 | 97 | 3 | No | 504 | * | ||||||||||||
| 72 | 20 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 94.7 | 95.9 | 95 | 5 | No | 807 | * | ||||||||||||
| 71 | 19 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 92.1 | 94.0 | 92 | 8 | 0 | No | 1,297 | * | |||||||||||
| 70 | 19 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 91.3 | 93.5 | 91 | 8 | 0 | No | 2,143 | * | |||||||||||
| 69 | 19 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 84.9 | 88.6 | 85 | 15 | 0 | 0 | No | 3,406 | * | ||||||||||
| 68 | 18 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 81.3 | 86.0 | 81 | 18 | 1 | No | 5,301 | * | |||||||||||
| 67 | 18 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 73.8 | 80.4 | 74 | 25 | 1 | 0 | No | 7,851 | * | ||||||||||
| 66 | 17 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 66.6 | 74.9 | 67 | 31 | 3 | 0 | No | 11,623 | * | ||||||||||
| 65 | 17 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 57.5 | 68.1 | 57 | 37 | 5 | 0 | No | 16,897 | * | ||||||||||
| 64 | 17 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 49.0 | 61.7 | 49 | 43 | 8 | 0 | 0 | No | 24,310 | * | |||||||||
| 63 | 16 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 39.2 | 54.4 | 39 | 47 | 13 | 1 | 0 | No | 33,655 | * | |||||||||
| 62 | 16 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 29.2 | 46.9 | 29 | 50 | 19 | 2 | 0 | No | 45,713 | * | |||||||||
| 61 | 16 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 20.7 | 40.4 | 21 | 48 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 61,626 | * | ||||||||
| 60 | 15 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 13.4 | 34.9 | 13 | 44 | 34 | 8 | 0 | 0 | No | 80,380 | * | ||||||||
| 59 | 15 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 7.8 | 30.5 | 8 | 37 | 41 | 14 | 1 | 0 | No | 103,904 | * | ||||||||
| 58 | 15 | - | 5 | - | 9 | 4.1 | 27.3 | 4 | 28 | 44 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 131,049 | * | |||||||
| 57 | 14 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 1.8 | 24.6 | 2 | 19 | 43 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 161,351 | * | |||||||
| 56 | 14 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 0.7 | 22.1 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 38 | 12 | 1 | 0 | No | 196,290 | * | |||||||
| 55 | 13 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 0.2 | 19.3 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 43 | 21 | 3 | 0 | No | 233,731 | * | |||||||
| 54 | 13 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 0.1 | 15.8 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 42 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 273,824 | * | ||||||
| 53 | 13 | - | 6 | - | 10 | 0.0 | 11.8 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 36 | 39 | 13 | 1 | 0 | No | 312,450 | * | ||||||
| 52 | 12 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 43 | 22 | 3 | 0 | No | 351,021 | * | ||||||
| 51 | 12 | - | 7 | - | 10 | No | 4.8 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 42 | 32 | 7 | 0 | No | 386,864 | * | |||||||
| 50 | 12 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | 2.6 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 36 | 40 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 418,019 | * | |||||
| 49 | 11 | - | 8 | - | 10 | No | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 45 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 442,431 | * | ||||||
| 48 | 11 | - | 7 | - | 11 | No | 0.5 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 44 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 461,717 | * | |||||||
| 47 | 11 | - | 6 | - | 12 | No | 0.2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 39 | 41 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 470,274 | * | ||||||
| 46 | 10 | - | 8 | - | 11 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 47 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0.2 | 470,555 | * | ||||||
| 45 | 10 | - | 7 | - | 12 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 49 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0.5 | 459,950 | * | ||||||
| 44 | 10 | - | 6 | - | 13 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 47 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 1.1 | 442,534 | * | |||||||
| 43 | 9 | - | 8 | - | 12 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 40 | 44 | 8 | 0 | 2.1 | 416,445 | * | |||||||
| 42 | 9 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 50 | 13 | 1 | 3.9 | 383,497 | * | |||||||
| 41 | 8 | - | 9 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 23 | 53 | 21 | 1 | 6.4 | 346,573 | * | ||||||||
| 40 | 8 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 16 | 52 | 29 | 3 | 9.9 | 306,291 | * | ||||||||
| 39 | 8 | - | 7 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 10 | 48 | 37 | 5 | 14.4 | 265,054 | * | ||||||||
| 38 | 7 | - | 9 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 6 | 41 | 45 | 9 | 19.8 | 224,089 | * | |||||||||
| 37 | 7 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 33 | 50 | 14 | 26.2 | 186,141 | * | |||||||||
| 36 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 25 | 53 | 20 | 33.4 | 150,274 | * | |||||||||
| 35 | 6 | - | 9 | - | 14 | No | No | 1 | 18 | 54 | 28 | 41.1 | 118,489 | * | ||||||||||
| 34 | 6 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | No | 0 | 12 | 51 | 36 | 49.0 | 91,628 | * | ||||||||||
| 33 | 6 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | No | 0 | 8 | 47 | 45 | 57.1 | 68,302 | * | ||||||||||
| 32 | 5 | - | 9 | - | 15 | No | No | 0 | 5 | 41 | 55 | 64.8 | 50,901 | * | ||||||||||
| 31 | 5 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 34 | 63 | 71.6 | 36,373 | * | ||||||||||
| 30 | 5 | - | 7 | - | 17 | No | No | 1 | 27 | 71 | 78.1 | 25,303 | * | |||||||||||
| 29 | 5 | - | 6 | - | 18 | No | No | 1 | 21 | 78 | 83.6 | 17,054 | * | |||||||||||
| 28 | 4 | - | 8 | - | 17 | No | No | 0 | 16 | 83 | 87.5 | 11,285 | * | |||||||||||
| 27 | 4 | - | 7 | - | 18 | No | No | 0 | 11 | 89 | 91.4 | 7,206 | * | |||||||||||
| 26 | 4 | - | 6 | - | 19 | No | No | 0 | 8 | 92 | 93.7 | 4,329 | * | |||||||||||
| 25 | 3 | - | 8 | - | 18 | No | No | 4 | 96 | 96.7 | 2,672 | * | ||||||||||||
| 24 | 3 | - | 7 | - | 19 | No | No | 4 | 96 | 96.9 | 1,533 | * | ||||||||||||
| 23 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 20 | No | No | 2 | 98 | 98.6 | 847 | * | ||||||||||||
| 22 | 2 | - | 8 | - | 19 | No | No | 1 | 99 | 99.4 | 466 | * | ||||||||||||
| 21 | 2 | - | 7 | - | 20 | No | No | 0 | 100 | 99.6 | 234 | * | ||||||||||||
| 8 | -20 | No | No | 100 | Yes | 2,260 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 1.4 | % | 5.9 | % | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 20 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 6.2 | % | 8,331,420 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-4 2:40 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
