Montrose Football Club Title Chances 2022-2023 50/50
Lost to Alloa 1-2, title odds down 3.6 to 10.6%
11 points 3-2-2
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 1/2 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Falkirk vs Montrose | -3.2-1.0+3.9 | -4.4-1.1+5.1 | +2.4+0.2-2.6 | -0.5-0.1+0.6 | ||||
| Peterhead vs Montrose | -2.9-1.0+3.6 | -4.0-1.1+4.8 | +2.8*+0.1-2.9 | -0.5-0.1+0.5 | ||||
| Peterhead vs Airdrieonians | +0.5+0.2-0.6 | +0.5+0.2-0.6 | +0.5-0.1-0.4 | |||||
| Alloa vs Kelty Hearts | -0.6+0.2+0.4 | -0.6+0.2+0.4 | -0.3-0.1+0.4 | |||||
| Dunfermline vs Falkirk | -0.6+0.3+0.4 | -0.4+0.3+0.2 | -0.1*-0.1+0.2 | |||||
| FC Edinburgh vs Dunfermline | +0.3+0.3-0.5 | +0.1+0.4-0.4 | +0.2-0.1-0.1 | |||||
| Queen of Sth vs Alloa | +0.3+0.3-0.5 | +0.2+0.3-0.4 | +0.2*-0.1-0.2 | |||||
| Airdrieonians vs FC Edinburgh | -0.3+0.4+0.1 | -0.3+0.4*+0.0 | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | |||||
| Clyde vs Kelty Hearts | -0.2+0.2*+0.1 | -0.1-0.1+0.2 | ||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 1/14 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Montrose vs Queen of Sth | +3.8-1.0-3.1 | +5.0-1.1-4.3 | -2.7+0.2+2.6 | +0.6-0.1-0.5 | ||||
| Dunfermline vs Peterhead | -0.8+0.2+0.6 | -0.7+0.2+0.6 | -0.4-0.1+0.5 | |||||
| Kelty Hearts vs Airdrieonians | +0.5+0.2-0.6 | +0.4+0.3-0.6 | +0.5-0.1-0.4 | |||||
| Alloa vs FC Edinburgh | -0.4+0.3+0.2 | -0.3+0.4*+0.1 | ||||||
| Falkirk vs Clyde | -0.2+0.2*+0.0 | -0.2+0.3*+0.0 | -0.1*-0.1+0.1 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Montrose finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 75 | -98 | Yes | Yes | 100 | No | 1,981 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 74 | 19 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 99.7 | % | 99.7 | % | 100 | 0 | No | 798 | * | ||||||||||
| 73 | 19 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 99.7 | 99.8 | 100 | 0 | No | 1,339 | * | ||||||||||||
| 72 | 19 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 99.2 | 99.4 | 99 | 1 | No | 1,996 | * | ||||||||||||
| 71 | 18 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 98.7 | 99.0 | 99 | 1 | No | 3,032 | * | ||||||||||||
| 70 | 18 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 98.3 | 98.7 | 98 | 2 | No | 4,327 | * | ||||||||||||
| 69 | 17 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 97.1 | 97.8 | 97 | 3 | 0 | No | 6,345 | * | |||||||||||
| 68 | 17 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 95.7 | 96.8 | 96 | 4 | 0 | No | 8,909 | * | |||||||||||
| 67 | 17 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 93.3 | 95.0 | 93 | 7 | 0 | No | 12,338 | * | |||||||||||
| 66 | 16 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 90.5 | 92.8 | 90 | 9 | 0 | 0 | No | 16,829 | * | ||||||||||
| 65 | 16 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 86.6 | 89.9 | 87 | 13 | 0 | No | 22,388 | * | |||||||||||
| 64 | 16 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 81.1 | 85.8 | 81 | 18 | 1 | 0 | No | 28,843 | * | ||||||||||
| 63 | 15 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 74.2 | 80.7 | 74 | 24 | 2 | 0 | No | 37,529 | * | ||||||||||
| 62 | 15 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 65.8 | 74.4 | 66 | 31 | 3 | 0 | No | 46,790 | * | ||||||||||
| 61 | 14 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 56.0 | 67.0 | 56 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 57,639 | * | |||||||||
| 60 | 14 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 45.9 | 59.4 | 46 | 43 | 10 | 1 | 0 | No | 69,495 | * | |||||||||
| 59 | 14 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 34.7 | 51.0 | 35 | 47 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 82,709 | * | ||||||||
| 58 | 13 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 24.1 | 43.1 | 24 | 48 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 95,420 | * | ||||||||
| 57 | 13 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 15.2 | 36.2 | 15 | 44 | 33 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 108,877 | * | ||||||||
| 56 | 13 | - | 6 | - | 10 | 8.3 | 30.7 | 8 | 36 | 40 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 122,093 | * | |||||||
| 55 | 12 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 3.8 | 26.7 | 4 | 25 | 43 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 134,170 | * | ||||||
| 54 | 12 | - | 7 | - | 10 | 1.3 | 23.3 | 1 | 15 | 39 | 34 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 144,693 | * | ||||||
| 53 | 12 | - | 6 | - | 11 | 0.4 | 19.8 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 40 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 152,384 | * | ||||||
| 52 | 11 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 0.1 | 15.7 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 41 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 76,774 | ||||||
| 12 | - | 5 | - | 12 | 0.1 | 15.0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 40 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 81,628 | * | ||||||
| 51 | 11 | - | 7 | - | 11 | 0.0 | 10.3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 40 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 161,286 | * | |||||
| 50 | 11 | - | 6 | - | 12 | 0.0 | 5.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 41 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 159,746 | * | ||||
| 49 | 10 | - | 8 | - | 11 | No | 2.4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 39 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 157,357 | * | ||||||
| 48 | 10 | - | 7 | - | 12 | No | 0.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 41 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 0.1 | 151,211 | * | ||||||
| 47 | 10 | - | 6 | - | 13 | No | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 34 | 39 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0.4 | 142,062 | * | |||||
| 46 | 9 | - | 8 | - | 12 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 42 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 1.4 | 131,247 | * | ||||||
| 45 | 9 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 37 | 38 | 12 | 1 | 3.8 | 118,695 | * | |||||||
| 44 | 8 | - | 9 | - | 12 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 43 | 22 | 3 | 8.0 | 104,536 | * | |||||||
| 43 | 8 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 17 | 42 | 33 | 6 | 14.4 | 91,001 | * | ||||||||
| 42 | 8 | - | 7 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 42 | 12 | 22.5 | 77,122 | * | ||||||||
| 41 | 7 | - | 9 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 47 | 21 | 32.5 | 63,838 | * | ||||||||
| 40 | 7 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 19 | 49 | 30 | 42.7 | 51,703 | * | |||||||||
| 39 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 12 | 45 | 42 | 53.1 | 41,074 | * | |||||||||
| 38 | 6 | - | 9 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 7 | 40 | 52 | 62.5 | 31,875 | * | |||||||||
| 37 | 6 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | No | 0 | 4 | 33 | 63 | 71.0 | 24,389 | * | ||||||||||
| 36 | 6 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 26 | 72 | 78.2 | 17,801 | * | ||||||||||
| 35 | 5 | - | 9 | - | 15 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 20 | 79 | 84.0 | 13,111 | * | ||||||||||
| 34 | 5 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | No | 1 | 14 | 85 | 88.7 | 9,023 | * | |||||||||||
| 33 | 5 | - | 7 | - | 17 | No | No | 0 | 10 | 90 | 92.5 | 6,281 | * | |||||||||||
| 32 | 5 | - | 6 | - | 18 | No | No | 0 | 7 | 93 | 94.8 | 4,187 | * | |||||||||||
| 31 | 4 | - | 8 | - | 17 | No | No | 0 | 5 | 95 | 96.3 | 2,756 | * | |||||||||||
| 30 | 4 | - | 7 | - | 18 | No | No | 3 | 97 | 97.5 | 1,672 | * | ||||||||||||
| 29 | 4 | - | 6 | - | 19 | No | No | 2 | 98 | 98.3 | 1,050 | * | ||||||||||||
| 28 | 3 | - | 8 | - | 18 | No | No | 1 | 99 | 99.5 | 567 | * | ||||||||||||
| 11 | -27 | No | No | 100 | Yes | 1,424 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 10.6 | % | 19.4 | % | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 6.9 | % | 2,884,340 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-4 2:40 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
