Montrose Football Club Title Chances 2022-2023
Lost to Alloa 1-2, title odds down 8.7 to 10.4%
11 points 3-2-2
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 1/2 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Falkirk vs Montrose | -3.1-1.1+3.3 | -4.4-1.2+4.5 | +0.4+0.0-0.4 | -0.4-0.1+0.4 | ||||
| Peterhead vs Montrose | -3.3-1.6+2.5 | -4.6-2.0+3.4 | +0.7+0.1-0.4 | -0.4-0.2+0.3 | ||||
| Dunfermline vs Falkirk | -1.0+0.6+1.1 | -0.7+0.5+0.6 | ||||||
| FC Edinburgh vs Dunfermline | +1.0+0.5-1.0 | +0.5+0.5-0.6 | ||||||
| Alloa vs Kelty Hearts | -0.6+0.4+0.7 | -0.6+0.4+0.8 | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | |||||
| Peterhead vs Airdrieonians | +0.7+0.3-0.5 | +0.8+0.4-0.6 | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | ||||
| Queen of Sth vs Alloa | +0.6+0.3-0.6 | +0.4+0.3-0.5 | ||||||
| Airdrieonians vs FC Edinburgh | -0.5+0.3+0.4 | -0.3+0.4+0.1 | ||||||
| Clyde vs Kelty Hearts | -0.2*+0.1+0.2 | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | ||||||
| Queen of Sth vs Clyde | -0.1+0.2*+0.0 | |||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 1/14 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Montrose vs Queen of Sth | +3.0-1.3-3.2 | +4.1-1.5-4.5 | -0.4+0.0+0.5 | +0.4-0.1-0.4 | ||||
| Dunfermline vs Peterhead | -0.9+0.7+1.5 | -0.8+0.6+1.3 | -0.1*+0.0+0.2 | |||||
| Kelty Hearts vs Airdrieonians | +0.6+0.3-0.6 | +0.7+0.4-0.6 | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Alloa vs FC Edinburgh | -0.5+0.4+0.4 | -0.4+0.4+0.1 | ||||||
| Falkirk vs Clyde | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | -0.3+0.2+0.2 | ||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Montrose finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 82 | -98 | Yes | Yes | 100 | No | 2,458 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 81 | 22 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 99.7 | % | 99.7 | % | 100 | 0 | No | 345 | * | ||||||||||
| 80 | 22 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 99.7 | 99.7 | 100 | 0 | No | 627 | * | ||||||||||||
| 79 | 21 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 99.5 | 99.6 | 100 | 0 | No | 1,060 | * | ||||||||||||
| 78 | 21 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 99.6 | 99.6 | 100 | 0 | No | 1,699 | * | ||||||||||||
| 77 | 20 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 99.4 | 99.5 | 99 | 1 | No | 2,878 | * | ||||||||||||
| 76 | 20 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 98.7 | 99.0 | 99 | 1 | No | 4,425 | * | ||||||||||||
| 75 | 20 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 98.1 | 98.6 | 98 | 2 | No | 6,901 | * | ||||||||||||
| 74 | 19 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 97.4 | 98.0 | 97 | 3 | 0 | No | 10,252 | * | |||||||||||
| 73 | 19 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 95.7 | 96.8 | 96 | 4 | 0 | No | 15,067 | * | |||||||||||
| 72 | 18 | - | 7 | - | 4 | 94.0 | 95.5 | 94 | 6 | 0 | No | 21,642 | * | |||||||||||
| 71 | 18 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 91.1 | 93.3 | 91 | 9 | 0 | No | 31,038 | * | |||||||||||
| 70 | 18 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 87.5 | 90.6 | 87 | 12 | 0 | 0 | No | 42,153 | * | ||||||||||
| 69 | 17 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 83.1 | 87.3 | 83 | 16 | 0 | 0 | No | 57,965 | * | ||||||||||
| 68 | 17 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 77.7 | 83.3 | 78 | 21 | 1 | 0 | No | 76,249 | * | ||||||||||
| 67 | 17 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 70.8 | 78.1 | 71 | 27 | 2 | 0 | No | 98,839 | * | ||||||||||
| 66 | 16 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 63.3 | 72.5 | 63 | 33 | 3 | 0 | No | 124,452 | * | ||||||||||
| 65 | 16 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 54.5 | 65.8 | 54 | 40 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 156,347 | * | |||||||||
| 64 | 16 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 45.3 | 59.0 | 45 | 45 | 9 | 0 | 0 | No | 189,596 | * | |||||||||
| 63 | 15 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 35.9 | 51.9 | 36 | 49 | 14 | 1 | 0 | No | 227,158 | * | |||||||||
| 62 | 15 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 26.9 | 45.2 | 27 | 50 | 21 | 2 | 0 | No | 266,217 | * | |||||||||
| 61 | 14 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 18.9 | 39.2 | 19 | 49 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 304,079 | * | ||||||||
| 60 | 14 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 12.2 | 34.1 | 12 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 0 | 0 | No | 342,747 | * | ||||||||
| 59 | 14 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 7.1 | 30.1 | 7 | 37 | 42 | 13 | 1 | 0 | No | 379,968 | * | ||||||||
| 58 | 13 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 3.7 | 27.2 | 4 | 28 | 45 | 21 | 2 | 0 | No | 411,826 | * | ||||||||
| 57 | 13 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 1.7 | 24.9 | 2 | 19 | 44 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 436,838 | * | |||||||
| 56 | 13 | - | 6 | - | 10 | 0.7 | 22.8 | 1 | 12 | 39 | 38 | 10 | 1 | 0 | No | 453,813 | * | |||||||
| 55 | 12 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 0.2 | 20.3 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 44 | 18 | 2 | 0 | No | 464,662 | * | |||||||
| 54 | 12 | - | 7 | - | 10 | 0.1 | 17.2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 45 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 466,224 | * | ||||||
| 53 | 12 | - | 6 | - | 11 | 0.0 | 13.5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 40 | 36 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 458,918 | * | ||||||
| 52 | 11 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 0.0 | 9.7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 43 | 17 | 2 | 0 | No | 441,895 | * | ||||||
| 51 | 11 | - | 7 | - | 11 | No | 6.2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 44 | 26 | 4 | 0 | No | 418,359 | * | |||||||
| 50 | 10 | - | 9 | - | 10 | No | 3.5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 40 | 36 | 9 | 0 | 0 | No | 386,224 | * | ||||||
| 49 | 10 | - | 8 | - | 11 | No | 1.7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 43 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 350,794 | * | |||||
| 48 | 10 | - | 7 | - | 12 | No | 0.8 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 45 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 313,180 | * | |||||||
| 47 | 9 | - | 9 | - | 11 | No | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 42 | 36 | 8 | 0 | 0.0 | 272,816 | * | ||||||
| 46 | 9 | - | 8 | - | 12 | No | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 34 | 43 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0.2 | 233,720 | * | ||||||
| 45 | 9 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 47 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0.5 | 195,804 | * | |||||||
| 44 | 8 | - | 9 | - | 12 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 46 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 1.1 | 160,377 | * | |||||||
| 43 | 8 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 40 | 42 | 8 | 0 | 2.2 | 128,588 | * | |||||||
| 42 | 8 | - | 7 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 5 | 32 | 48 | 14 | 1 | 4.1 | 100,618 | * | ||||||||
| 41 | 7 | - | 9 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 23 | 51 | 22 | 2 | 6.9 | 77,508 | * | ||||||||
| 40 | 7 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 15 | 50 | 30 | 3 | 10.7 | 57,956 | * | ||||||||
| 39 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 9 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 16.0 | 43,021 | * | ||||||||
| 38 | 6 | - | 9 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 5 | 38 | 46 | 10 | 21.9 | 30,697 | * | |||||||||
| 37 | 6 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 30 | 52 | 16 | 28.8 | 21,299 | * | |||||||||
| 36 | 6 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 22 | 53 | 23 | 36.8 | 14,562 | * | |||||||||
| 35 | 5 | - | 9 | - | 15 | No | No | 0 | 16 | 52 | 32 | 44.7 | 9,689 | * | ||||||||||
| 34 | 5 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | No | 0 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 52.9 | 6,190 | * | ||||||||||
| 33 | 5 | - | 7 | - | 17 | No | No | 0 | 7 | 42 | 51 | 61.1 | 3,948 | * | ||||||||||
| 32 | 4 | - | 9 | - | 16 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 37 | 60 | 69.0 | 2,422 | * | ||||||||||
| 31 | 4 | - | 8 | - | 17 | No | No | 2 | 31 | 67 | 74.8 | 1,435 | * | |||||||||||
| 30 | 4 | - | 7 | - | 18 | No | No | 1 | 23 | 76 | 82.0 | 863 | * | |||||||||||
| 29 | 3 | - | 9 | - | 17 | No | No | 0 | 17 | 83 | 87.1 | 449 | * | |||||||||||
| 28 | 3 | - | 8 | - | 18 | No | No | 11 | 89 | 91.5 | 235 | * | ||||||||||||
| 27 | 3 | - | 7 | - | 19 | No | No | 8 | 92 | 93.7 | 142 | * | ||||||||||||
| 26 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 20 | No | No | 10 | 90 | 91.4 | 58 | * | ||||||||||||
| 25 | 2 | - | 8 | - | 19 | No | No | 3 | 97 | 97.2 | 36 | * | ||||||||||||
| 11 | -24 | No | No | 100 | Yes | 2,092 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 10.4 | % | 22.4 | % | 10 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0.8 | % | 8,331,420 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-4 2:40 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
