How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/21100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Partick Thistle 2 Dundee 1 +1.0
Ross County 2 Hamilton 1 +0.5
Hearts 1 St Johnstone 0 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Rangers vs Kilmarnock-0.0-0.0+0.1
+4.3-0.0-7.8
-0.3-0.0+0.5
Dundee vs Motherwell+1.5-0.1-1.0
-0.1+0.0+0.0
St Johnstone vs Ross County-0.6-0.1+0.8
Hamilton vs Partick Thistle-0.2-0.5+0.6
Hibernian vs Hearts-0.1-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/28100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Celtic vs Kilmarnock-0.0-0.0+0.1
+3.8-0.5-8.2
-0.2+0.0+0.5
Kilmarnock vs Hibernian+0.1-0.0-0.0
-7.3+0.7+5.2
+0.5-0.1-0.3
Aberdeen vs Ross County-0.7+0.1+1.3
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Motherwell vs Hibernian-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Hearts vs Rangers+0.2*-0.0-0.2
Partick Thistle vs St Johnstone+1.6-0.3-1.1
Dundee vs Hamilton+0.2-0.5+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Kilmarnock finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins title123456789101112RelegatedCount
9329-0-0100.0%1000No77,308
79-82Yes100No17*
7823-3-393.9946No33*
7722-5-282.78317No52*
7622-4-381.582181No130*
7522-3-469.169292No288*
7421-5-360.861363No515*
7321-4-457.658384No1,100*
7220-6-348.6494560No2,043*
7120-5-440.14049110No3,751*
7020-4-533.03352150No6,556*
6919-6-425.325532110No11,798*
6819-5-518.619522720No20,095*
6719-4-613.013493540No34,160*
6618-6-58.484341700No55,482*
6518-5-65.1536471110No89,425*
6417-7-52.7328511810No141,249*
6317-6-61.31205125300No216,839*
6217-5-70.61134833600No328,268*
6116-7-60.20841401010No486,338*
6016-6-70.104324517200No704,483*
5916-5-80.002234625400No1,003,450*
5815-7-70.001154333810No1,401,473*
5715-6-80.0009364014100No1,923,419*
5615-5-9No05274322400No2,579,319*
5514-7-8No02184230710No3,395,078*
5414-6-9No0111363813100No4,385,778*
5313-8-8No005274222400No5,565,150*
5213-7-9No00218403181000.0%6,919,219*
5113-6-10No01103438152000.08,448,648*
5012-8-9No0052542244000.010,105,058*
4912-7-10No00216393391000.011,868,679*
4812-6-11No00183240172000.013,676,634*
4711-8-10No0042242276000.215,458,743*
4611-7-11No00113373611100.517,128,162*
4511-6-12No0006294120301.518,613,687*
4410-8-11No003194130703.619,859,863*
4310-7-12No0011136381317.320,748,793*
4210-6-13No006284321313.021,259,994*
419-8-12No002194331520.721,347,866*
409-7-13No0011138391029.921,006,965*
399-6-14No000631461739.920,239,473*
388-8-13No00323492550.019,098,491*
378-7-14No00115483659.617,641,920*
368-6-15No0009444668.215,944,851*
357-8-14No005385775.614,096,945*
347-7-15No003316681.712,193,044*
337-6-16No001247586.710,290,097*
326-8-15No01188290.58,493,546*
316-7-16No00138793.56,833,755*
306-6-17No0099195.65,364,383*
295-8-16No069497.24,104,664*
285-7-17No049698.23,057,197*
275-6-18No029898.92,217,040*
264-8-17No019999.41,560,567*
254-7-18No019999.61,065,675*
244-6-19No010099.8707,474*
233-8-18No010099.9452,678*
223-7-19No0100100.0281,014*
213-6-20No0100100.0167,466*
202-8-19No0100100.096,140*
192-7-20No0100100.052,549*
6-18No100Yes130,515*
Total:0.0%0001358111417202231.5%372,965,392

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship