"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/3100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Dunfermline 0 Hearts 0 +0.2
+0.0
Arbroath 2 Alloa Athletic 1 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Morton vs Inverness CT-2.5-0.7+3.0
+0.5-0.2-0.4
-0.7-0.1+0.7
Ayr Utd vs Dundee+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/10100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Queen of the South vs Inverness CT-3.2-0.6+3.6
+0.4-0.1-0.4
-0.8-0.1+0.8
Ayr Utd vs Dunfermline+0.6+0.3-0.8
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Queen of the South vs Raith Rovers-0.5+0.1+0.4
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Dunfermline vs Dundee-0.5+0.2+0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Dundee vs Morton-0.4+0.1+0.4
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Raith Rovers vs Arbroath-0.2+0.0+0.2
-0.2-0.1+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Inverness CT finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted12345678910RelegatedCount
455-0-0No16.7%752400No29,807,845
434-1-0No16.7484750No98,502,199
424-0-1No16.525561810No144,069,900
413-2-0No16.416552720No134,689,457
403-1-1No15.254046900No394,035,129
393-0-2No11.6117532820No288,135,720
2-3-0No13.3124541910No92,112,457
382-2-1No9.0084640500No404,108,906
372-1-2No3.801225323100No590,968,224
1-4-0No5.40231541400No31,496,370
362-0-3No0.805374711000.0%288,129,046
1-3-1No1.60947385000.0184,199,647
351-2-2No0.201235222200.0404,130,942
0-5-0No0.503355011100.04,307,421
341-1-3No0.00537441300.1394,047,818
0-4-1No0.0094637700.031,486,990
331-0-4No0.00014473530.8144,062,960
0-3-2No0.00122492620.592,101,598
320-2-3NoNo063549102.6134,696,431
310-1-4NoNo011457297.398,503,950
300-0-5NoNo024552113.929,814,030
Total:No6.0%412202320127200.4%4,013,407,040
Points
Chance Will Win Championship