"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats" (thank you Mr. Dater) |
Hibernian Football Club Title Chances 2021-2022 50/50
Did not play, title odds down 0.5 to 4.4%
15 points 4-3-4
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 10/30 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Motherwell 1 Rangers 6 | -0.5 | -0.1 | ||||
| Aberdeen 2 Hearts 1 | +0.2 | +0.3 | ||||
| Dundee Utd 0 St Johnstone 1 | +0.2 | +0.3 | ||||
| Celtic 0 Livingston 0 | +0.1 | -0.1 | ||||
| St Mirren 0 Dundee FC 1 | +0.1 | +0.3 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 11/6 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Livingston vs Hibernian | -1.5-0.6+1.9 | +2.9+0.2-3.0 | -0.6-0.1+0.7 | |||
| Rangers vs Ross County | -0.6+0.1+0.5 | -0.5-0.1+0.6 | ||||
| Dundee FC vs Celtic | +0.3+0.1-0.4 | +0.5-0.1-0.4 | ||||
| Hearts vs Dundee Utd | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | |||||
| Aberdeen vs Motherwell | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | +0.0-0.1*-0.0 | ||||
| St Johnstone vs St Mirren | +0.1-0.1-0.0 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well Hibernian finishes out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Relegated | Count | ||||
| 82 | -96 | Yes | 100 | No | 112,420 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 81 | 21 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 99.9 | % | 100 | 0 | No | 3,676 | * | ||||||||||||
| 80 | 20 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 99.9 | 100 | 0 | No | 6,939 | * | |||||||||||||
| 79 | 20 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 99.8 | 100 | 0 | No | 13,001 | * | |||||||||||||
| 78 | 20 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 99.6 | 100 | 0 | No | 23,536 | * | |||||||||||||
| 77 | 19 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 99.3 | 99 | 1 | No | 40,989 | * | |||||||||||||
| 76 | 19 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 99.0 | 99 | 1 | 0 | No | 70,310 | * | ||||||||||||
| 75 | 18 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 98.3 | 98 | 2 | 0 | No | 117,131 | * | ||||||||||||
| 74 | 18 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 97.4 | 97 | 3 | 0 | No | 190,009 | * | ||||||||||||
| 73 | 18 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 95.9 | 96 | 4 | 0 | No | 301,012 | * | ||||||||||||
| 72 | 17 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 93.9 | 94 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 465,339 | * | |||||||||||
| 71 | 17 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 91.1 | 91 | 9 | 0 | 0 | No | 701,567 | * | |||||||||||
| 70 | 17 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 87.4 | 87 | 12 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,038,177 | * | |||||||||||
| 69 | 16 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 82.4 | 82 | 17 | 1 | 0 | No | 1,497,248 | * | |||||||||||
| 68 | 16 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 76.2 | 76 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 2,112,057 | * | ||||||||||
| 67 | 15 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 68.7 | 69 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 2,916,624 | * | ||||||||||
| 66 | 15 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 59.7 | 60 | 36 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 3,941,535 | * | |||||||||
| 65 | 15 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 49.8 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 0 | 0 | No | 5,216,959 | * | ||||||||||
| 64 | 14 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 39.4 | 39 | 47 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 6,759,920 | * | |||||||||
| 63 | 14 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 29.1 | 29 | 49 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 8,573,706 | * | ||||||||
| 62 | 14 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 19.8 | 20 | 48 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 10,658,859 | * | ||||||||
| 61 | 13 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 12.1 | 12 | 42 | 36 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 12,974,004 | * | ||||||||
| 60 | 13 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 6.4 | 6 | 33 | 41 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 15,479,038 | * | |||||||
| 59 | 13 | - | 5 | - | 9 | 2.9 | 3 | 23 | 42 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 18,087,793 | * | |||||||
| 58 | 12 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 1.1 | 1 | 13 | 38 | 35 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 20,715,950 | * | |||||||
| 57 | 12 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 0.3 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 40 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 23,244,895 | * | ||||||
| 56 | 11 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 0.1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 38 | 32 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 25,541,475 | * | |||||
| 55 | 11 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 38 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 27,529,304 | * | |||||
| 54 | 11 | - | 6 | - | 10 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 37 | 31 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 29,070,785 | * | |||
| 53 | 10 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 38 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 30,059,782 | * | ||||
| 52 | 10 | - | 7 | - | 10 | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 37 | 31 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 30,450,701 | * | |||||
| 51 | 10 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 38 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 30,197,888 | * | |||||
| 50 | 9 | - | 8 | - | 10 | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 36 | 33 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 29,356,742 | * | |||||
| 49 | 9 | - | 7 | - | 11 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 38 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 27,931,114 | * | |||||
| 48 | 9 | - | 6 | - | 12 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 35 | 34 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | 26,011,810 | * | |||||
| 47 | 8 | - | 8 | - | 11 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 39 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 2.5 | 23,709,871 | * | ||||||
| 46 | 8 | - | 7 | - | 12 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 37 | 34 | 11 | 1 | 6.2 | 21,124,399 | * | ||||||
| 45 | 8 | - | 6 | - | 13 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 40 | 20 | 3 | 12.4 | 18,417,797 | * | |||||||
| 44 | 7 | - | 8 | - | 12 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 41 | 30 | 6 | 21.2 | 15,701,194 | * | |||||||
| 43 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 36 | 40 | 12 | 31.7 | 13,075,185 | * | ||||||||
| 42 | 7 | - | 6 | - | 14 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 46 | 20 | 42.9 | 10,636,697 | * | ||||||||
| 41 | 6 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 48 | 30 | 53.9 | 8,445,629 | * | |||||||||
| 40 | 6 | - | 7 | - | 14 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 46 | 41 | 63.8 | 6,547,177 | * | |||||||||
| 39 | 6 | - | 6 | - | 15 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 40 | 52 | 72.2 | 4,941,831 | * | |||||||||
| 38 | 5 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 33 | 63 | 79.3 | 3,634,169 | * | ||||||||||
| 37 | 5 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 72 | 84.8 | 2,601,719 | * | ||||||||||
| 36 | 5 | - | 6 | - | 16 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 79 | 89.2 | 1,808,795 | * | ||||||||||
| 35 | 4 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | 0 | 0 | 14 | 85 | 92.4 | 1,225,984 | * | |||||||||||
| 34 | 4 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | 0 | 0 | 10 | 90 | 94.9 | 802,548 | * | |||||||||||
| 33 | 4 | - | 6 | - | 17 | No | 0 | 7 | 93 | 96.6 | 512,110 | * | ||||||||||||
| 32 | 3 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | 0 | 4 | 96 | 97.8 | 314,590 | * | ||||||||||||
| 31 | 3 | - | 7 | - | 17 | No | 0 | 3 | 97 | 98.6 | 186,809 | * | ||||||||||||
| 30 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 18 | No | 0 | 2 | 98 | 99.2 | 107,191 | * | ||||||||||||
| 29 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 19 | No | 1 | 99 | 99.5 | 58,939 | * | |||||||||||||
| 28 | 2 | - | 7 | - | 18 | No | 1 | 99 | 99.7 | 30,968 | * | |||||||||||||
| 27 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 19 | No | 0 | 100 | 99.8 | 15,681 | * | |||||||||||||
| 26 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 20 | No | 0 | 100 | 99.9 | 7,510 | * | |||||||||||||
| 25 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 19 | No | 0 | 100 | 99.9 | 3,479 | * | |||||||||||||
| 24 | 1 | - | 6 | - | 20 | No | 0 | 100 | 99.9 | 1,522 | * | |||||||||||||
| 15 | -23 | No | 100 | Yes | 109,919 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 4.4 | % | 4 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 7.4 | % | 525,434,008 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-4 2:40 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
