"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/3100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted
Dunfermline 0 Hearts 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Ayr Utd vs Dundee+0.3+0.2-0.5
+0.3+0.2-0.4
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/10100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted
Hearts vs Alloa Athletic+1.6-0.0-1.6
+1.4-0.0-1.3
Queen of the South vs Raith Rovers+1.2+0.9-1.8
+1.0+0.7-1.5
Raith Rovers vs Arbroath-1.8+0.9+1.2
-1.5+0.7+1.0
Dunfermline vs Dundee+0.3+0.2-0.5
+0.3+0.2-0.4
Dundee vs Morton-0.5+0.2+0.3
-0.4+0.2+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well Hearts finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted12345678910RelegatedCount
52-59YesYes100No2,447,112,869*
511-1-298.8%99.0%991No634,468,391
0-4-099.799.81000No16,905,117
501-0-398.298.5982No309,326,461
0-3-199.299.3991No98,874,383
490-2-294.195.19460No216,917,503
480-1-385.788.186140No211,482,306
470-0-475.279.475240No78,320,010
Total:98.1%98.4%9820No4,013,407,040

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship