Falkirk Football Club Title Chances 2022-2023 50/50
Tied Dunfermline 1-1, title odds down 0.9 to 7.4%
11 points 3-2-2
Add your own league!
How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 1/2 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Dunfermline vs Falkirk | -2.8-0.7+3.3 | -4.0-1.0+4.7 | +2.8+0.4-3.1 | -0.5-0.1+0.6 | ||||
| Falkirk vs Montrose | +3.1-0.8-2.6 | +4.5-1.0-3.8 | -3.2+0.4+2.9 | +0.6-0.1-0.5 | ||||
| Peterhead vs Airdrieonians | +0.4+0.2-0.5 | +0.4+0.2-0.5 | +0.7-0.2-0.6 | |||||
| Alloa vs Kelty Hearts | -0.4+0.1+0.3 | -0.5+0.2+0.3 | -0.4-0.2+0.5 | |||||
| FC Edinburgh vs Dunfermline | +0.2+0.2-0.3 | *+0.1+0.3-0.3 | +0.1*-0.1-0.1 | |||||
| Queen of Sth vs Alloa | +0.2+0.2-0.3 | +0.1+0.2-0.3 | +0.3*-0.1-0.2 | |||||
| Peterhead vs Montrose | +0.2+0.1-0.3 | +0.3+0.2-0.4 | +0.6-0.2-0.4 | |||||
| Airdrieonians vs FC Edinburgh | -0.3+0.2+0.1 | -0.2+0.3*+0.0 | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | |||||
| Queen of Sth vs Clyde | -0.1+0.1*+0.0 | -0.1+0.2*-0.0 | ||||||
| Clyde vs Kelty Hearts | -0.1-0.1+0.2 | |||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 1/14 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Falkirk vs Clyde | +2.9-0.8-2.4 | +4.4-1.1-3.6 | -3.4+0.3+3.2 | +0.6-0.1-0.5 | ||||
| Dunfermline vs Peterhead | -0.6+0.2+0.5 | -0.6+0.2+0.4 | -0.5-0.2+0.6 | |||||
| Kelty Hearts vs Airdrieonians | +0.4+0.2-0.5 | +0.4+0.2-0.5 | +0.5-0.1-0.4 | |||||
| Alloa vs FC Edinburgh | -0.3+0.2+0.1 | -0.3+0.3*+0.1 | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | |||||
| Montrose vs Queen of Sth | -0.2+0.2*+0.1 | -0.2+0.3*+0.0 | -0.1-0.1+0.2 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well Falkirk finishes out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 75 | -95 | Yes | Yes | 100 | No | 1,158 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 74 | 19 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 99.7 | % | 99.7 | % | 100 | 0 | No | 359 | * | ||||||||||
| 73 | 19 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 99.5 | 99.5 | 99 | 1 | No | 552 | * | ||||||||||||
| 72 | 19 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 99.1 | 99.3 | 99 | 1 | No | 909 | * | ||||||||||||
| 71 | 18 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 98.6 | 98.9 | 99 | 1 | No | 1,549 | * | ||||||||||||
| 70 | 18 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 97.7 | 98.3 | 98 | 2 | No | 2,233 | * | ||||||||||||
| 69 | 18 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 97.3 | 98.0 | 97 | 3 | No | 3,365 | * | ||||||||||||
| 68 | 17 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 95.3 | 96.5 | 95 | 5 | 0 | No | 4,962 | * | |||||||||||
| 67 | 17 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 93.3 | 95.0 | 93 | 7 | 0 | No | 7,229 | * | |||||||||||
| 66 | 16 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 89.9 | 92.4 | 90 | 10 | 0 | No | 10,122 | * | |||||||||||
| 65 | 16 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 85.8 | 89.4 | 86 | 14 | 0 | No | 14,082 | * | |||||||||||
| 64 | 16 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 80.3 | 85.3 | 80 | 19 | 1 | 0 | No | 19,048 | * | ||||||||||
| 63 | 15 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 73.6 | 80.2 | 74 | 24 | 2 | 0 | No | 25,081 | * | ||||||||||
| 62 | 15 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 65.6 | 74.2 | 66 | 31 | 3 | 0 | No | 33,102 | * | ||||||||||
| 61 | 15 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 55.7 | 66.8 | 56 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 41,985 | * | |||||||||
| 60 | 14 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 45.3 | 59.0 | 45 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 0 | No | 52,188 | * | |||||||||
| 59 | 14 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 34.6 | 50.9 | 35 | 47 | 16 | 2 | 0 | No | 64,099 | * | |||||||||
| 58 | 14 | - | 5 | - | 9 | 23.9 | 42.9 | 24 | 47 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 77,134 | * | ||||||||
| 57 | 13 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 15.1 | 36.1 | 15 | 44 | 33 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 89,835 | * | ||||||||
| 56 | 13 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 8.2 | 30.6 | 8 | 36 | 40 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 104,473 | * | |||||||
| 55 | 12 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 3.7 | 26.6 | 4 | 25 | 43 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 118,410 | * | |||||||
| 54 | 12 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 1.3 | 23.3 | 1 | 15 | 39 | 34 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 131,101 | * | ||||||
| 53 | 12 | - | 6 | - | 10 | 0.4 | 19.7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 41 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 141,844 | * | ||||||
| 52 | 11 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 0.1 | 15.2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 40 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 151,848 | * | |||||
| 51 | 11 | - | 7 | - | 10 | 0.0 | 10.2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 40 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 159,405 | * | |||||
| 50 | 11 | - | 6 | - | 11 | 0.0 | 5.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 41 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 163,904 | * | ||||
| 49 | 10 | - | 8 | - | 10 | No | 2.4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 39 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 164,235 | * | ||||||
| 48 | 10 | - | 7 | - | 11 | No | 0.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 42 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 161,517 | * | |||||
| 47 | 10 | - | 6 | - | 12 | No | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 34 | 39 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0.4 | 156,442 | * | |||||
| 46 | 9 | - | 8 | - | 11 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 42 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 1.4 | 147,466 | * | ||||||
| 45 | 9 | - | 7 | - | 12 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 37 | 37 | 11 | 1 | 3.6 | 136,585 | * | ||||||
| 44 | 9 | - | 6 | - | 13 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 43 | 21 | 3 | 7.9 | 124,508 | * | |||||||
| 43 | 8 | - | 8 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 17 | 42 | 32 | 6 | 14.0 | 110,070 | * | ||||||||
| 42 | 8 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 42 | 12 | 22.4 | 96,033 | * | |||||||
| 41 | 8 | - | 6 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 47 | 20 | 32.3 | 81,494 | * | ||||||||
| 40 | 7 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 19 | 49 | 30 | 42.4 | 67,844 | * | |||||||||
| 39 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 12 | 46 | 41 | 52.8 | 54,843 | * | |||||||||
| 38 | 7 | - | 6 | - | 15 | No | No | 0 | 7 | 41 | 52 | 62.3 | 43,515 | * | ||||||||||
| 37 | 6 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 4 | 34 | 62 | 70.8 | 34,032 | * | ||||||||||
| 36 | 6 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 27 | 71 | 77.9 | 25,673 | * | ||||||||||
| 35 | 6 | - | 6 | - | 16 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 20 | 79 | 83.7 | 18,775 | * | ||||||||||
| 34 | 5 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 15 | 85 | 88.3 | 13,597 | * | ||||||||||
| 33 | 5 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | No | 0 | 10 | 90 | 92.1 | 9,484 | * | |||||||||||
| 32 | 5 | - | 6 | - | 17 | No | No | 0 | 7 | 93 | 94.7 | 6,527 | * | |||||||||||
| 31 | 4 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | No | 0 | 5 | 95 | 96.4 | 4,196 | * | |||||||||||
| 30 | 4 | - | 7 | - | 17 | No | No | 3 | 97 | 97.6 | 2,754 | * | ||||||||||||
| 29 | 4 | - | 6 | - | 18 | No | No | 2 | 98 | 98.5 | 1,697 | * | ||||||||||||
| 28 | 3 | - | 8 | - | 17 | No | No | 1 | 99 | 99.3 | 1,033 | * | ||||||||||||
| 27 | 3 | - | 7 | - | 18 | No | No | 1 | 99 | 99.4 | 637 | * | ||||||||||||
| 26 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 19 | No | No | 0 | 100 | 99.7 | 318 | * | ||||||||||||
| 11 | -25 | No | No | 100 | Yes | 1,088 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 7.4 | % | 15.2 | % | 7 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 9.1 | % | 2,884,340 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-4 2:40 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
