Falkirk Football Club Title Chances 2022-2023
Tied Dunfermline 1-1, title odds down 0.2 to 3%
11 points 3-2-2
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 1/2 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Dunfermline vs Falkirk | -1.3-0.2+2.2 | -2.4-0.3+3.9 | +0.8-0.1-1.2 | -0.3-0.0+0.5 | ||||
| Falkirk vs Montrose | +1.6-0.3-1.2 | +3.5-0.5-2.6 | -1.2+0.0+1.0 | +0.5-0.1-0.4 | ||||
| FC Edinburgh vs Dunfermline | +0.3+0.2-0.4 | *+0.0+0.2-0.2 | ||||||
| Alloa vs Kelty Hearts | -0.2+0.1+0.3 | -0.4+0.2+0.5 | -0.2*-0.0+0.5 | |||||
| Peterhead vs Airdrieonians | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | +0.5+0.2-0.4 | +0.5*-0.0-0.2 | |||||
| Queen of Sth vs Alloa | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | +0.2+0.2-0.3 | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Airdrieonians vs FC Edinburgh | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | -0.1+0.2*+0.0 | ||||||
| Peterhead vs Montrose | +0.2+0.1-0.1 | +0.5+0.2-0.3 | +0.5*-0.0-0.2 | |||||
| Queen of Sth vs Clyde | -0.1+0.1*+0.0 | *-0.0-0.0+0.1 | ||||||
| Clyde vs Kelty Hearts | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | -0.1-0.1+0.3 | ||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 1/14 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Falkirk vs Clyde | +1.3-0.5-1.2 | +2.7-1.0-2.6 | -1.2+0.2+1.4 | +0.4-0.1-0.4 | ||||
| Dunfermline vs Peterhead | -0.3+0.2+0.5 | -0.3+0.2+0.6 | -0.2*+0.0+0.5 | |||||
| Kelty Hearts vs Airdrieonians | +0.3+0.1-0.2 | +0.4+0.2-0.4 | +0.5*-0.0-0.3 | |||||
| Alloa vs FC Edinburgh | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | -0.1+0.2*+0.0 | ||||||
| Montrose vs Queen of Sth | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | -0.2+0.2+0.2 | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well Falkirk finishes out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 80 | -95 | Yes | Yes | 100 | No | 2,123 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 79 | 22 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 96.2 | % | 96.2 | % | 96 | 4 | No | 52 | * | ||||||||||
| 78 | 21 | - | 4 | - | 3 | Yes | Yes | 100 | No | 110 | * | |||||||||||||
| 77 | 21 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 99.5 | 99.5 | 99 | 1 | No | 194 | * | ||||||||||||
| 76 | 20 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 99.7 | 99.7 | 100 | 0 | No | 338 | * | ||||||||||||
| 75 | 20 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 98.8 | 99.0 | 99 | 1 | No | 584 | * | ||||||||||||
| 74 | 20 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 97.4 | 98.1 | 97 | 3 | No | 1,087 | * | ||||||||||||
| 73 | 19 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 96.6 | 97.5 | 97 | 3 | 0 | No | 1,774 | * | |||||||||||
| 72 | 19 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 94.4 | 95.8 | 94 | 6 | 0 | No | 2,760 | * | |||||||||||
| 71 | 18 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 92.9 | 94.7 | 93 | 7 | 0 | No | 4,561 | * | |||||||||||
| 70 | 18 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 88.4 | 91.3 | 88 | 11 | 0 | No | 6,980 | * | |||||||||||
| 69 | 18 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 84.5 | 88.4 | 85 | 15 | 0 | No | 10,635 | * | |||||||||||
| 68 | 17 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 79.2 | 84.4 | 79 | 20 | 1 | 0 | No | 15,352 | * | ||||||||||
| 67 | 17 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 71.8 | 78.8 | 72 | 27 | 2 | 0 | No | 22,100 | * | ||||||||||
| 66 | 16 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 64.5 | 73.3 | 64 | 32 | 3 | 0 | No | 31,133 | * | ||||||||||
| 65 | 16 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 55.1 | 66.3 | 55 | 39 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 42,981 | * | |||||||||
| 64 | 16 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 46.1 | 59.6 | 46 | 44 | 9 | 0 | 0 | No | 58,885 | * | |||||||||
| 63 | 15 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 36.2 | 52.1 | 36 | 48 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 77,723 | * | ||||||||
| 62 | 15 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 26.9 | 45.1 | 27 | 50 | 21 | 2 | 0 | No | 99,536 | * | |||||||||
| 61 | 15 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 18.6 | 38.9 | 19 | 48 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 127,046 | * | ||||||||
| 60 | 14 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 11.9 | 33.8 | 12 | 43 | 36 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 158,783 | * | ||||||||
| 59 | 14 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 7.0 | 29.9 | 7 | 35 | 42 | 15 | 1 | 0 | No | 193,435 | * | ||||||||
| 58 | 14 | - | 5 | - | 9 | 3.6 | 26.8 | 4 | 26 | 44 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 231,862 | * | |||||||
| 57 | 13 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 1.6 | 24.3 | 2 | 17 | 43 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 273,202 | * | |||||||
| 56 | 13 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 0.6 | 22.0 | 1 | 10 | 36 | 39 | 13 | 1 | 0 | No | 313,942 | * | |||||||
| 55 | 12 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 0.2 | 19.2 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 44 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 353,771 | * | ||||||
| 54 | 12 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 0.0 | 15.8 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 43 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 389,603 | * | ||||||
| 53 | 12 | - | 6 | - | 10 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 37 | 39 | 12 | 1 | 0 | No | 422,345 | * | ||||||
| 52 | 11 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 0.0 | 8.3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 44 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 447,790 | * | |||||
| 51 | 11 | - | 7 | - | 10 | No | 5.1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 44 | 30 | 5 | 0 | No | 466,968 | * | |||||||
| 50 | 11 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | 2.8 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 38 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 476,631 | * | |||||
| 49 | 10 | - | 8 | - | 10 | No | 1.3 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 45 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 476,457 | * | |||||||
| 48 | 10 | - | 7 | - | 11 | No | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 46 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 465,088 | * | ||||||
| 47 | 10 | - | 6 | - | 12 | No | 0.2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 41 | 38 | 8 | 0 | 0.0 | 446,562 | * | |||||||
| 46 | 9 | - | 8 | - | 11 | No | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 45 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0.2 | 420,893 | * | ||||||
| 45 | 9 | - | 7 | - | 12 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 48 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0.4 | 387,544 | * | |||||||
| 44 | 9 | - | 6 | - | 13 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 46 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 1.0 | 348,804 | * | |||||||
| 43 | 8 | - | 8 | - | 12 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 41 | 42 | 8 | 0 | 2.1 | 306,230 | * | |||||||
| 42 | 8 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 33 | 49 | 13 | 1 | 3.8 | 265,497 | * | |||||||
| 41 | 8 | - | 6 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 24 | 52 | 20 | 1 | 6.4 | 222,885 | * | ||||||||
| 40 | 7 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 16 | 51 | 29 | 3 | 10.1 | 183,927 | * | ||||||||
| 39 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 10 | 47 | 37 | 5 | 14.8 | 147,713 | * | ||||||||
| 38 | 7 | - | 6 | - | 15 | No | No | 0 | 6 | 40 | 45 | 9 | 20.5 | 116,360 | * | |||||||||
| 37 | 6 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 32 | 50 | 15 | 27.2 | 89,016 | * | |||||||||
| 36 | 6 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 25 | 53 | 21 | 34.2 | 67,425 | * | |||||||||
| 35 | 6 | - | 6 | - | 16 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 17 | 53 | 29 | 42.3 | 48,631 | * | |||||||||
| 34 | 5 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | No | 0 | 11 | 50 | 38 | 50.6 | 35,224 | * | ||||||||||
| 33 | 5 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | No | 0 | 7 | 45 | 47 | 58.7 | 23,960 | * | ||||||||||
| 32 | 5 | - | 6 | - | 17 | No | No | 0 | 4 | 39 | 57 | 66.3 | 16,182 | * | ||||||||||
| 31 | 4 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 32 | 66 | 73.4 | 10,593 | * | ||||||||||
| 30 | 4 | - | 7 | - | 17 | No | No | 1 | 25 | 74 | 79.9 | 6,658 | * | |||||||||||
| 29 | 4 | - | 6 | - | 18 | No | No | 1 | 20 | 79 | 84.3 | 3,992 | * | |||||||||||
| 28 | 3 | - | 8 | - | 17 | No | No | 1 | 14 | 85 | 88.8 | 2,464 | * | |||||||||||
| 27 | 3 | - | 7 | - | 18 | No | No | 0 | 9 | 91 | 92.8 | 1,413 | * | |||||||||||
| 26 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 19 | No | No | 7 | 93 | 94.5 | 767 | * | ||||||||||||
| 25 | 2 | - | 8 | - | 18 | No | No | 6 | 94 | 95.0 | 422 | * | ||||||||||||
| 24 | 2 | - | 7 | - | 19 | No | No | 2 | 98 | 98.1 | 209 | * | ||||||||||||
| 23 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 20 | No | No | 1 | 99 | 98.8 | 84 | * | ||||||||||||
| 22 | 1 | - | 8 | - | 19 | No | No | 3 | 97 | 97.1 | 34 | * | ||||||||||||
| 11 | -21 | No | No | 100 | Yes | 2,100 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 3.0 | % | 10.2 | % | 3 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 2.8 | % | 8,331,420 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-4 2:40 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
