"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 1/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Queen of Sth vs Clyde-0.3-0.1+0.4
-1.1-0.3+1.5
+3.0+0.2-3.6
-0.3-0.1+0.4
Clyde vs Kelty Hearts+0.3-0.2-0.3
+1.1-0.5-1.1
-3.8+0.6+4.7
+0.4-0.1-0.4
Dunfermline vs Falkirk-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
FC Edinburgh vs Dunfermline+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.1*-0.0
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Alloa vs Kelty Hearts-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.7*+0.0+1.4
Peterhead vs Airdrieonians+0.1+0.0-0.0
+0.2+0.1-0.1
+1.6*-0.1-0.8
Queen of Sth vs Alloa+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.3*-0.0-0.2
Peterhead vs Montrose+0.2+0.1-0.2
+1.6*-0.1-0.8
Airdrieonians vs FC Edinburgh-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Falkirk vs Montrose*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 1/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Falkirk vs Clyde-0.3-0.1+0.4
-1.1-0.3+1.5
+2.7+0.2-3.5
-0.3-0.0+0.4
Dunfermline vs Peterhead-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.7+0.1+1.8
Kelty Hearts vs Airdrieonians+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.1
+1.4*-0.0-0.8
Alloa vs FC Edinburgh-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Montrose vs Queen of Sth-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2*+0.0+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Clyde finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted12345678910RelegatedCount
77-94YesYes100No2,087*
7622-3-495.0%95.0%955No20*
7521-5-397.197.1973No35*
7421-4-496.896.8973No62*
7321-3-599.299.2991No118*
7220-5-495.796.6964No207*
7120-4-592.694.3937No352*
7019-6-490.292.59010No603*
6919-5-588.191.088111No1,002*
6819-4-685.188.885140No1,614*
6718-6-578.784.0792010No2,582*
6618-5-670.377.7702820No4,205*
6517-7-561.371.0613540No6,198*
6417-6-653.064.8534070No9,423*
6317-5-741.656.242471110No13,583*
6216-7-632.049.032491820No19,511*
6116-6-722.942.123492540No27,765*
6016-5-815.236.3154532700No38,067*
5915-7-78.731.2939391210No51,585*
5815-6-84.727.9529432030No68,316*
5715-5-92.125.02204329600No89,166*
5614-7-80.822.511238371110No114,289*
5514-6-90.219.606294220300No142,913*
5413-8-80.116.003194229600No174,348*
5313-7-90.012.1011136381210No210,739*
5213-6-100.08.100527432130No249,996*
5112-8-9No4.802174232700No287,490*
5012-7-10No2.5019354014100.0%328,752*
4912-6-11No1.1004264423300.0367,218*
4811-8-10No0.402164333600.0401,626*
4711-7-11No0.1019374212000.1431,925*
4611-6-12No0.0004284720100.2454,076*
4510-8-11No0.0002184730200.6468,112*
4410-7-12No0.001114340501.2474,071*
4310-6-13No0.00063649902.4470,274*
429-8-12NoNo00327551514.2455,869*
419-7-13NoNo0119562216.8433,923*
409-6-14NoNo01125430310.2405,676*
398-8-13NoNo0074938514.5370,110*
388-7-14NoNo044245819.8331,041*
378-6-15NoNo0234511325.8290,006*
367-8-14NoNo0126541932.6247,750*
357-7-15NoNo019542639.9206,768*
347-6-16NoNo013523447.5169,191*
336-8-15NoNo09484355.2135,018*
326-7-16NoNo06435262.5105,539*
316-6-17NoNo03366169.679,875*
305-8-16NoNo02296976.358,865*
295-7-17NoNo1237681.843,078*
285-6-18NoNo0188286.329,645*
274-8-17NoNo0138790.120,185*
264-7-18NoNo099193.513,353*
254-6-19NoNo069495.38,595*
243-8-18NoNo049697.05,412*
233-7-19NoNo29898.63,178*
223-6-20NoNo19999.01,853*
212-8-19NoNo19999.1997*
202-7-20NoNo010099.6569*
7-19NoNo100Yes2,594*
Total:0.7%3.3%1236914192416710.9%8,331,420

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship