Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titlePromotedChance will finish season at seedRelegated
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change12345678910Avg.Change%ChangeRPI
Hearts4714-5-42698.1%+0.198.4%+0.098201.0No1Heart of Midlothian Football Club
Raith Rovers36110-6-6121.5+0.017.0+0.12532812410002.7+0.030.0%2Raith Rovers Football Club
Dundee3329-6-630.4-0.013.7+0.103131181162103.4+0.030.0+0.04Dundee Football Club
Dunfermline3118-7-72No-0.07.8-0.76162423179414.7-0.150.2+0.05Dunfermline Athletic Football Club
Inverness CT3017-9-65No6.0+0.2412202320127205.20.4+0.13Inverness Caledonian Thistle Football Club
Queen of the South3019-3-10-8No5.5+0.1411182123147205.3-0.010.4+0.16Queen of the South Football Club
Ayr Utd2616-8-81No1.1+0.1025101625251717.0-0.064.9+0.57Ayr United Football Club
Morton2516-7-9-8No0.4+0.001251121292837.6-0.079.6+0.18Greenock Morton Football Club
Arbroath256-7-10-9No0.1+0.10012616264638.2+0.4614.7-15.09Arbroath Football Club
Alloa Athletic184-6-13-24NoNo-0.00016939.9-0.2394.7+14.110Alloa Athletic Football Club

In June 2020, eight of the ten clubs voted in favour of shortening the season from the usual 36 games to 27 (playing each other three times), with the season starting on 16 October 2020. This was done to reduce costs in light of the coronavirus pandemic.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 4/3
Dunfermline 0 Hearts 0
3:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Hearts+0.1
Raith Rovers+0.1
+0.0
Dundee+0.1
+0.0
DunfermlineNo
-0.6
-0.1
Inverness CT+0.2
+0.0
Queen of the South+0.2
+0.0
Ayr Utd+0.1
+0.0
Arbroath 2 Alloa Athletic 1
3:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Dunfermline+0.1
Inverness CT+0.2
Queen of the South+0.1
Ayr Utd+0.6
-0.1
Morton+0.2
-0.1
Arbroath+0.1
-15.8
+0.5
Alloa Athletic+14.6
-0.2
Ayr Utd vs DundeeIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Hearts98.498.397.6
98.798.698.0
Raith Rovers17.017.016.9
0.0*0.0No
2.62.72.8
Dundee0.00.10.9
11.613.416.0
0.00.0No
3.83.42.9
Dunfermline8.08.07.5
0.30.20.2
4.74.74.8
Inverness CT6.26.15.7
0.50.40.3
Queen of the South5.75.65.2
0.50.40.3
Ayr Utd2.30.70.3
1.85.07.9
6.47.27.6
Morton10.79.68.6
7.77.67.5
Arbroath16.014.613.5
8.38.18.0
Alloa Athletic95.294.894.2
Morton vs Inverness CTHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Raith Rovers17.117.116.7
0.0NoNo
2.62.72.8
Dundee14.113.913.2
3.33.33.5
Dunfermline8.58.16.9
0.30.20.1
4.74.74.8
Inverness CT3.55.38.9
1.00.20.0
5.95.24.4
Queen of the South6.05.74.8
0.60.30.3
5.25.25.3
Ayr Utd1.31.20.9
6.04.73.9
7.17.07.0
Morton1.00.20.0
4.210.214.7
6.97.88.2
Arbroath16.714.612.8
8.28.18.1
Alloa Athletic96.394.793.2
Week of 4/10
Hearts vs Alloa AthleticIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Hearts99.798.196.5
99.898.497.1
Raith Rovers0.21.62.8
15.917.018.0
Dundee0.00.40.7
13.413.714.0
Ayr Utd4.44.65.6
Morton8.18.911.7
Arbroath12.713.717.4
Alloa Athletic98.896.889.2
10.010.09.8
Queen of the South vs Raith RoversHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Hearts99.399.096.3
99.499.196.9
Raith Rovers0.30.63.3
14.916.519.4
0.0NoNo
3.12.72.3
Dundee13.313.814.0
Dunfermline7.28.08.3
4.84.74.7
Inverness CT5.56.16.4
5.25.15.1
Queen of the South8.34.73.2
0.00.30.8
4.55.45.9
Ayr Utd1.01.21.3
5.04.94.8
7.17.07.0
Morton0.40.50.5
9.89.79.5
7.77.67.6
Arbroath14.914.714.5
Raith Rovers vs ArbroathHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Hearts96.399.099.3
96.999.199.4
Raith Rovers3.30.60.3
19.316.315.1
NoNo0.0
2.32.73.0
Dundee13.613.713.8
3.53.43.3
Dunfermline7.67.88.0
0.10.20.4
Inverness CT5.86.06.1
0.20.30.7
Queen of the South5.35.55.7
0.20.30.7
Ayr Utd3.64.66.4
6.97.07.2
Morton7.79.311.8
7.57.67.8
Arbroath0.00.00.2
20.515.58.4
8.58.37.7
Alloa Athletic92.794.896.7
Dunfermline vs DundeeHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Hearts98.498.397.6
98.798.698.0
Raith Rovers16.817.017.1
2.72.62.7
Dundee0.00.10.9
11.113.616.4
4.03.42.8
Dunfermline11.47.14.7
0.00.20.5
4.04.95.4
Inverness CT5.56.26.3
5.25.15.1
Queen of the South5.15.75.8
5.35.25.2
Ayr Utd1.01.21.2
7.17.07.0
Morton0.40.50.5
9.79.79.6
Arbroath14.814.714.6
Dundee vs MortonHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Hearts97.698.398.4
98.098.698.7
Raith Rovers16.817.017.0
NoNo0.0
2.82.72.6
Dundee0.90.10.0
15.913.311.7
No0.00.0
2.93.43.8
Dunfermline7.47.98.1
0.10.20.3
4.84.74.7
Inverness CT5.56.16.3
0.30.40.6
Queen of the South5.15.65.8
0.20.30.6
Ayr Utd1.01.21.2
3.94.76.1
6.97.07.2
Morton0.10.21.0
14.610.24.3
8.17.87.0
Arbroath12.714.516.9
8.08.18.3
Alloa Athletic93.294.796.3
Queen of the South vs Inverness CTHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Raith Rovers16.917.116.9
Dundee13.714.013.5
3.43.33.4
Dunfermline7.88.47.5
4.74.74.8
Inverness CT2.85.49.6
0.90.30.0
5.95.34.3
Queen of the South8.94.82.5
0.00.30.8
4.45.46.0
Ayr Utd1.11.31.1
Morton0.40.50.4
Arbroath14.714.814.7
Ayr Utd vs DunfermlineHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Raith Rovers17.117.116.7
0.0*0.0No
2.62.72.8
Dundee14.013.913.2
3.33.33.5
Dunfermline4.97.311.1
0.50.10.0
5.44.84.0
Inverness CT6.56.35.2
0.5*0.40.3
5.15.15.2
Queen of the South6.05.84.8
0.50.40.3
5.35.25.3
Ayr Utd2.40.70.2
1.85.08.0
6.37.27.6
Morton0.50.50.3
10.69.68.7
7.77.67.5
Arbroath15.914.713.5
8.28.18.1
Alloa Athletic95.294.894.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.