Holy capitalism Batman, we’re in the Wall Street Journal |
How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 8/25 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Hibernian vs Aberdeen | -3.0-0.7+3.9 | +1.9+0.2-2.2 | -0.5-0.1+0.6 | |||
| Motherwell vs Rangers | +0.3+0.2-0.4 | +0.3-0.1-0.2 | ||||
| Kilmarnock vs Hearts | *+0.0+0.3-0.2 | |||||
| Celtic vs Hamilton | -0.1+0.2+0.0 | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | ||||
| St Mirren vs Livingston | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | ||||
| St Johnstone vs Dundee | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | *-0.0-0.1+0.1 | ||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well Aberdeen finishes out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Relegated | Count | ||||
| 87 | -112 | Yes | 100 | No | 62,170 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 86 | 25 | - | 7 | - | 4 | 100.0 | % | 100 | 0 | No | 4,877 | * | ||||||||||||
| 85 | 25 | - | 6 | - | 5 | Yes | 100 | No | 7,986 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 84 | 25 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 100.0 | 100 | 0 | No | 12,977 | * | |||||||||||||
| 83 | 24 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 100.0 | 100 | 0 | No | 21,133 | * | |||||||||||||
| 82 | 24 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 99.9 | 100 | 0 | No | 33,382 | * | |||||||||||||
| 81 | 24 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 99.9 | 100 | 0 | No | 51,084 | * | |||||||||||||
| 80 | 23 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 99.8 | 100 | 0 | No | 78,030 | * | |||||||||||||
| 79 | 23 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 99.6 | 100 | 0 | No | 116,492 | * | |||||||||||||
| 78 | 22 | - | 8 | - | 6 | 99.4 | 99 | 1 | No | 171,706 | * | |||||||||||||
| 77 | 22 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 99.1 | 99 | 1 | No | 247,343 | * | |||||||||||||
| 76 | 22 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 98.6 | 99 | 1 | 0 | No | 351,755 | * | ||||||||||||
| 75 | 21 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 97.8 | 98 | 2 | 0 | No | 491,585 | * | ||||||||||||
| 74 | 21 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 96.8 | 97 | 3 | 0 | No | 673,104 | * | ||||||||||||
| 73 | 21 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 95.4 | 95 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 908,198 | * | |||||||||||
| 72 | 20 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 93.2 | 93 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,206,459 | * | |||||||||||
| 71 | 20 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 90.4 | 90 | 9 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,575,496 | * | |||||||||||
| 70 | 19 | - | 9 | - | 8 | 86.6 | 87 | 13 | 0 | 0 | No | 2,029,388 | * | |||||||||||
| 69 | 19 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 81.8 | 82 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 2,568,263 | * | ||||||||||
| 68 | 19 | - | 7 | - | 10 | 75.7 | 76 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 3,201,078 | * | ||||||||||
| 67 | 18 | - | 9 | - | 9 | 68.3 | 68 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 3,922,961 | * | ||||||||||
| 66 | 18 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 59.7 | 60 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 4,736,258 | * | |||||||||
| 65 | 18 | - | 7 | - | 11 | 50.1 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 5,627,578 | * | |||||||||
| 64 | 17 | - | 9 | - | 10 | 39.9 | 40 | 45 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 6,582,074 | * | |||||||||
| 63 | 17 | - | 8 | - | 11 | 29.8 | 30 | 47 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 7,592,852 | * | ||||||||
| 62 | 16 | - | 10 | - | 10 | 20.6 | 21 | 45 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 8,611,799 | * | |||||||
| 61 | 16 | - | 9 | - | 11 | 12.8 | 13 | 40 | 35 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 9,625,350 | * | |||||||
| 60 | 16 | - | 8 | - | 12 | 7.0 | 7 | 31 | 40 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 10,592,166 | * | |||||||
| 59 | 15 | - | 10 | - | 11 | 3.3 | 3 | 21 | 40 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 11,464,570 | * | ||||||
| 58 | 15 | - | 9 | - | 12 | 1.2 | 1 | 12 | 34 | 35 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 12,229,803 | * | ||||||
| 57 | 15 | - | 8 | - | 13 | 0.4 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 38 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 12,855,696 | * | |||||
| 56 | 14 | - | 10 | - | 12 | 0.1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 35 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 13,287,556 | * | |||||
| 55 | 14 | - | 9 | - | 13 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 38 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 13,522,922 | * | |||
| 54 | 14 | - | 8 | - | 14 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 34 | 33 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 13,556,955 | * | ||||
| 53 | 13 | - | 10 | - | 13 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 38 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 13,377,224 | * | ||||
| 52 | 13 | - | 9 | - | 14 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 33 | 35 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 12,999,236 | * | |||||
| 51 | 13 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 37 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 12,420,430 | * | ||||
| 50 | 12 | - | 10 | - | 14 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 31 | 36 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 11,684,916 | * | ||||
| 49 | 12 | - | 9 | - | 15 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 38 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0.4 | 10,816,772 | * | |||||
| 48 | 12 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 31 | 36 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 1.4 | 9,846,329 | * | |||||
| 47 | 11 | - | 10 | - | 15 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 38 | 27 | 7 | 0 | 4.0 | 8,820,810 | * | ||||||
| 46 | 11 | - | 9 | - | 16 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 34 | 36 | 14 | 2 | 8.6 | 7,772,020 | * | ||||||
| 45 | 11 | - | 8 | - | 17 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 41 | 24 | 4 | 15.8 | 6,735,954 | * | ||||||
| 44 | 10 | - | 10 | - | 16 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 39 | 34 | 8 | 24.9 | 5,735,082 | * | |||||||
| 43 | 10 | - | 9 | - | 17 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 42 | 14 | 35.3 | 4,801,328 | * | ||||||||
| 42 | 9 | - | 11 | - | 16 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 46 | 23 | 45.9 | 3,949,561 | * | ||||||||
| 41 | 9 | - | 10 | - | 17 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 47 | 33 | 56.1 | 3,190,824 | * | ||||||||
| 40 | 9 | - | 9 | - | 18 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 44 | 43 | 65.1 | 2,535,012 | * | |||||||||
| 39 | 8 | - | 11 | - | 17 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 39 | 53 | 72.9 | 1,973,267 | * | |||||||||
| 38 | 8 | - | 10 | - | 18 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 33 | 63 | 79.3 | 1,510,904 | * | |||||||||
| 37 | 8 | - | 9 | - | 19 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 71 | 84.5 | 1,135,490 | * | ||||||||||
| 36 | 7 | - | 11 | - | 18 | No | 0 | 1 | 20 | 79 | 88.7 | 833,431 | * | |||||||||||
| 35 | 7 | - | 10 | - | 19 | No | 0 | 1 | 15 | 84 | 91.9 | 600,077 | * | |||||||||||
| 34 | 7 | - | 9 | - | 20 | No | 0 | 0 | 11 | 89 | 94.2 | 424,219 | * | |||||||||||
| 33 | 7 | - | 8 | - | 21 | No | 0 | 0 | 8 | 92 | 96.0 | 294,457 | * | |||||||||||
| 32 | 6 | - | 10 | - | 20 | No | 0 | 5 | 95 | 97.3 | 199,168 | * | ||||||||||||
| 31 | 6 | - | 9 | - | 21 | No | 0 | 4 | 96 | 98.2 | 131,575 | * | ||||||||||||
| 30 | 6 | - | 8 | - | 22 | No | 0 | 2 | 98 | 98.8 | 84,794 | * | ||||||||||||
| 29 | 5 | - | 10 | - | 21 | No | 0 | 1 | 99 | 99.3 | 54,310 | * | ||||||||||||
| 28 | 5 | - | 9 | - | 22 | No | 0 | 1 | 99 | 99.5 | 33,232 | * | ||||||||||||
| 27 | 5 | - | 8 | - | 23 | No | 0 | 100 | 99.8 | 19,824 | * | |||||||||||||
| 26 | 4 | - | 10 | - | 22 | No | 0 | 100 | 99.8 | 11,838 | * | |||||||||||||
| 25 | 4 | - | 9 | - | 23 | No | 0 | 100 | 99.8 | 6,718 | * | |||||||||||||
| 24 | 4 | - | 8 | - | 24 | No | 0 | 100 | 99.9 | 3,821 | * | |||||||||||||
| 23 | 3 | - | 10 | - | 23 | No | 0 | 100 | 99.9 | 1,997 | * | |||||||||||||
| 4 | -22 | No | 100 | Yes | 57,950 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 10.9 | % | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 6.2 | % | 270,083,616 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2018-8-14 12:39 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
