How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Sao Bento 0 Linense 1 -0.3
-0.1
Novorizontino 2 Ferroviaria 0 +0.1
Week of 3/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Ituano 5 Linense 1 +2.2
+0.2
Sao Paulo 1 Ituano 1 -1.9
No
-0.1
Corinthians 1 Red Bull 1 +1.4
+0.0
Botafogo 1 Sao Paulo 1 -0.4
-0.1
Ferroviaria 1 Corinthians 0 -0.2
Sao Bernardo 0 Ferroviaria 0 +0.1
Santo Andre 3 Ponte Preta 3 *No
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 3/26100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Sao Bernardo vs Sao Paulo-4.5-0.6In
-0.3-0.1+0.2
Ituano vs Red BullIn+1.0-4.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Red Bull vs Botafogo-3.5+1.2In
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Sao Paulo vs CorinthiansIn+0.3-2.6
+0.2-0.0-0.2
Linense vs Sao Bernardo-2.5+1.4+1.7
-0.2+0.1+0.1
Corinthians vs Linense+0.8+0.4-2.6
+0.1+0.1-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Sao Paulo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seedSerie
TPW-L-Eplayoffs1234A2Count
222-0-0In100No160,877,927
201-0-1In928No184,688,934
191-1-0In928No263,623,600
180-0-297.2%68293No51,814,616
170-1-193.543517No143,594,457
160-2-086.0355114No95,789,890
Total:97.3%78193No900,389,424
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/10100.0*Lottery seed
Mirassol 1 Ituano 1 -0.1
Sao Bento 0 Linense 1 +0.1
Sao Bernardo 1 Santos 4 +0.1
Ponte Preta 1 Corinthians 1 -0.0
Week of 3/18100.0*Lottery seed
Sao Paulo 1 Ituano 1 +0.6
Botafogo 1 Sao Paulo 1 +0.2
Mirassol 2 Santo Andre 3 -0.2
Sao Bento 0 Santos 2 +0.1
Novorizontino 2 Audax 2 -0.1
Santo Andre 3 Ponte Preta 3 -0.1
Ponte Preta 1 Novorizontino 2 -0.1
Palmeiras 2 Mirassol 0 -0.1
Santos 1 Palmeiras 2 -0.1
Ituano 5 Linense 1 -0.1
Corinthians 1 Red Bull 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 3/26100.0*Lottery seed
Sao Bernardo vs Sao Paulo+1.8+0.6-1.3
Sao Paulo vs Corinthians-1.5+0.2+1.3
Ponte Preta vs Palmeiras+0.3+0.1-0.1
Sao Bento vs Ponte Preta-0.2-0.1+0.2
Santo Andre vs Santos-0.2-0.1+0.2
Mirassol vs Sao Bento+0.2-0.2-0.2
Corinthians vs Linense-0.0-0.2+0.2
Novorizontino vs Mirassol+0.0-0.2+0.1
Linense vs Sao Bernardo+0.2-0.2-0.1
Santos vs Novorizontino+0.1-0.2+0.0
Ferroviaria vs Ituano-0.2-0.1+0.1
Botafogo vs Ferroviaria+0.1-0.1-0.2
Red Bull vs Botafogo-0.1-0.1+0.1
Ituano vs Red Bull+0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-E12345678910111213141516
222-0-03252150
201-0-125541920
191-1-07373716300
180-0-209293620500
170-1-1051934281120
160-2-0002102836204000
Total:61725171098620000