How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 Week of 3/23 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Average seed Macae 1 Resende 2 +17.6 +1.0 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Resende vs Nova Iguacu +32.8-0.8-15.2 +1.0+0.0-0.5 Resende vs Boavista +19.1-14.9-25.4 +0.7-0.5-1.0 Vasco da Gama vs Boavista -5.3+5.8+8.9 -0.1+0.2+0.3 Madureira vs Fluminense +6.6+2.9-6.1 +0.2+0.1-0.2 Fluminense vs Macae -6.0+3.1+6.7 -0.2+0.1+0.2 Portuguesa vs Botafogo -10.0-1.5+2.7 -0.3-0.1+0.1 Botafogo vs Fluminense +3.4-0.6-9.0 +0.1-0.0-0.3 Portuguesa vs Madureira -7.0+1.9+5.4 -0.2+0.0+0.2 Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama +2.9-0.6-8.3 +0.1-0.0-0.2 Volta Redonda vs Flamengo -8.1-0.7+1.8 -0.3-0.0+0.1 Volta Redonda vs Nova Iguacu -6.9+0.2+2.4 -0.3-0.0+0.1 Bangu vs Botafogo -2.3-0.1+0.3 -0.2-0.0+0.0 Bangu vs Macae -1.2+0.3+0.4 -0.1+0.0+0.1 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 4/1 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Average seed Botafogo vs Resende -13.0+1.4+34.2 -0.4+0.1+1.1 Boavista vs Portuguesa +5.3+1.8-7.1 +0.2+0.0-0.2 Nova Iguacu vs Vasco da Gama +4.4+0.6-7.9 +0.1+0.0-0.2 Fluminense vs Flamengo -9.5-1.3+2.7 -0.3-0.0+0.1 Macae vs Volta Redonda +3.1+1.6-4.1 +0.2+0.1-0.2 Madureira vs Bangu +0.4+0.3-1.3 +0.0+0.0-0.1

## What If

Chances based on how well the Resende finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance in Chance will finish regular season at seed TP W - D - L playoffs 1 2 3 4 5 6 Count 13 3 - 0 - 0 99.9 % 95 5 0 0 645,254 11 2 - 1 - 0 97.3 72 25 3 0 0 1,682,580 10 2 - 0 - 1 90.0 52 38 9 1 0 0 3,412,916 9 1 - 2 - 0 69.2 26 43 25 6 0 0 1,386,783 8 1 - 1 - 1 49.5 12 37 36 13 2 0 5,425,431 7 1 - 0 - 2 23.1 3 20 38 30 8 0 5,179,512 0 - 3 - 0 13.4 1 12 34 38 14 1 344,624 6 0 - 2 - 1 4.7 0 4 21 42 29 3 1,899,965 5 0 - 1 - 2 1.3 0 1 11 37 42 9 3,305,662 4 0 - 0 - 3 0.1 0 2 19 53 26 1,771,905 Total: 41.4 % 19 22 22 19 14 3 25,054,632
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

## Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

## Big Games

 Week of 3/23 100.0* Lottery seed Macae 1 Resende 2 -1.8 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Resende vs Boavista -1.4+0.8+2.1 Resende vs Nova Iguacu -2.0-0.1+1.0 Volta Redonda vs Flamengo +0.3+0.0-0.1 Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama -0.1+0.0+0.2 Volta Redonda vs Nova Iguacu +0.2-0.0-0.1 Portuguesa vs Botafogo +0.2+0.0-0.0 Bangu vs Macae -0.0-0.1+0.1 Botafogo vs Fluminense -0.0-0.0+0.1 Portuguesa vs Madureira +0.1-0.1+0.0 Vasco da Gama vs Boavista +0.1-0.1-0.0 Fluminense vs Macae +0.0-0.1+0.0 Madureira vs Fluminense +0.0-0.1+0.0 Bangu vs Botafogo +0.1-0.0+0.0 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 4/1 100.0* Lottery seed Botafogo vs Resende +0.9-0.2-2.1 Fluminense vs Flamengo +0.2+0.0-0.1 Madureira vs Bangu +0.1-0.1-0.0 Nova Iguacu vs Vasco da Gama -0.1-0.0+0.1 Macae vs Volta Redonda +0.0-0.1+0.1 Boavista vs Portuguesa -0.0-0.1+0.1

## What If

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance will finish season at seed TP W - D - L 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 3 - 0 - 0 13 68 17 2 0 11 2 - 1 - 0 0 19 46 32 3 0 0 10 2 - 0 - 1 0 1 16 48 29 6 0 0 9 1 - 2 - 0 0 3 26 42 24 4 0 0 8 1 - 1 - 1 0 0 5 25 41 24 5 0 0 0 7 1 - 0 - 2 0 3 18 36 30 11 2 0 0 0 - 3 - 0 0 1 9 30 38 19 3 0 6 0 - 2 - 1 0 1 10 34 39 14 1 0 5 0 - 1 - 2 0 0 1 9 35 41 13 1 4 0 - 0 - 3 0 0 8 37 46 9 Total: 0 3 6 11 12 15 14 12 11 9 5 1