How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Macae 1 Resende 2 +0.2
+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Portuguesa vs Madureira-1.9-1.4+2.8
-0.4-0.2+0.5
Madureira vs Fluminense+2.8-1.4-1.9
+0.5-0.2-0.4
Resende vs Nova Iguacu+1.2-0.1-1.1
Volta Redonda vs Nova Iguacu+1.2-0.1-1.1
Botafogo vs Fluminense-0.7+0.1+0.6
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Bangu vs Botafogo+0.6+0.1-0.7
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Portuguesa vs Botafogo+0.6+0.1-0.7
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Boavista+0.4+0.1-0.5
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Resende vs Boavista+0.4+0.1-0.5
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Volta Redonda vs Flamengo+0.4-0.0-0.4
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama-0.4-0.1+0.4
Bangu vs Macae+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.0-0.2
Fluminense vs Macae+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.0-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Madureira vs Bangu+2.8-1.4-1.9
+0.5-0.2-0.4
Nova Iguacu vs Vasco da Gama-1.1-0.1+1.2
Botafogo vs Resende-0.7+0.1+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Boavista vs Portuguesa-0.5+0.1+0.4
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Fluminense vs Flamengo+0.4-0.0-0.4
Macae vs Volta Redonda-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.0+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Madureira finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs123456Count
103-0-027.4%324442540459,371
82-1-03.232546242866,808
72-0-10.4083645111,374,959
61-2-0Out2205424547,029
51-1-1Out11150391,737,492
41-0-2Out0234641,376,072
0-3-0Out2377114,892
30-2-1Out1981547,288
20-1-2Out1189868,118
10-0-3Out397459,515
Total:1.9%0271632438,351,544
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/23100.0*Lottery seed
Macae 1 Resende 2 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Portuguesa vs Madureira+1.3+0.5-1.6
Madureira vs Fluminense-1.6+0.5+1.3
Volta Redonda vs Flamengo+0.2-0.0-0.1
Volta Redonda vs Nova Iguacu+0.1-0.0-0.1
Resende vs Nova Iguacu+0.1+0.0-0.1
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama-0.1-0.0+0.1
Fluminense vs Macae-0.0-0.1+0.1
Bangu vs Botafogo+0.1-0.0-0.1
Bangu vs Macae-0.0-0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/1100.0*Lottery seed
Madureira vs Bangu-1.7+0.4+1.4
Fluminense vs Flamengo+0.1-0.0-0.1
Macae vs Volta Redonda+0.1-0.1-0.0
Nova Iguacu vs Vasco da Gama-0.1-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112
103-0-007344116200
82-1-0006273922500
72-0-100110303618400
61-2-001623392660
51-1-10042242284
41-0-202175031
0-3-085240
30-2-113564
20-1-21486
10-0-3397
Total:0023468910141925