How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 Week of 1/16 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Average seed Boavista 3 Fluminense 1 -7.4 -1.0 Nova Iguacu 1 Cabofriense 1 +0.6 +0.1 Madureira 2 Macae 2 +0.6 +0.1 Botafogo 2 Portuguesa 2 +0.6 +0.1 Volta Redonda 0 Flamengo 2 -0.2 -0.0 Vasco da Gama 0 Bangu 2 -0.1 -0.0 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Fluminense vs Botafogo +7.0-2.5-5.4 +1.2-0.3-1.0 Boavista vs Macae -0.5+0.5+0.2 -0.0+0.1-0.0 Bangu vs Volta Redonda -0.5+0.5+0.2 -0.0+0.1-0.0 Flamengo vs Cabofriense -0.4+0.5+0.1 -0.0+0.1-0.0 Vasco da Gama vs Nova Iguacu -0.0+0.4-0.2 -0.0+0.1-0.0 Portuguesa vs Madureira -0.1+0.4-0.1 -0.0+0.1-0.0 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 1/23 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Average seed Fluminense vs Portuguesa +7.0-2.5-5.4 +1.2-0.3-1.0 Madureira vs Fluminense -5.4-2.5+7.0 -1.0-0.3+1.2 Madureira vs Boavista +0.2+0.5-0.5 -0.0+0.1-0.0 Botafogo vs Boavista +0.2+0.5-0.5 -0.0+0.1-0.0 Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama -0.5+0.5+0.2 -0.0+0.1-0.0 Bangu vs Nova Iguacu -0.4+0.5+0.1 -0.0+0.1-0.0 Flamengo vs Bangu -0.2+0.6-0.2 Cabofriense vs Vasco da Gama -0.2+0.4-0.0 -0.0+0.1-0.0 Volta Redonda vs Cabofriense -0.0+0.4-0.2 -0.0+0.1-0.0 Nova Iguacu vs Volta Redonda -0.2+0.4-0.0 -0.0+0.1-0.0 Macae vs Botafogo -0.1+0.4-0.1 -0.0+0.1-0.0 Macae vs Portuguesa -0.1+0.4-0.1 -0.0+0.1-0.0

## What If

Chances based on how well the Fluminense finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance in Chance will finish regular season at seed TP W - D - L playoffs 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Count 30 10 - 0 - 0 In 100 0 106,458 28 9 - 1 - 0 In 99 1 157,158 27 9 - 0 - 1 100.0 % 98 2 0 248,190 26 8 - 2 - 0 100.0 97 3 0 442,500 25 8 - 1 - 1 99.9 93 7 0 0 1,405,696 24 8 - 0 - 2 99.6 87 13 0 0 1,860,282 * 23 7 - 2 - 1 98.5 76 22 1 0 0 3,555,284 22 7 - 1 - 2 94.5 60 35 5 0 0 5,624,581 6 - 4 - 0 94.8 60 35 5 0 0 826,496 21 6 - 3 - 1 86.1 42 44 13 1 0 0 5,232,714 7 - 0 - 3 86.2 42 44 13 1 0 0 2,971,840 20 6 - 2 - 2 67.8 23 45 26 5 0 0 0 13,062,634 * 19 6 - 1 - 3 41.9 9 33 38 17 3 0 0 0 13,136,871 5 - 4 - 1 40.3 8 32 39 18 3 0 0 0 4,956,478 18 5 - 3 - 2 17.2 2 15 36 33 12 2 0 0 0 15,707,766 6 - 0 - 4 17.7 2 16 37 32 11 2 0 0 5,531,066 * 17 5 - 2 - 3 3.6 0 3 18 36 30 11 2 0 0 0 24,875,060 4 - 5 - 1 2.7 0 3 15 35 32 13 2 0 0 3,129,888 16 5 - 1 - 4 0.3 0 0 4 19 36 29 10 1 0 0 19,821,010 * 4 - 4 - 2 0.2 0 0 3 17 35 31 12 2 0 0 0 12,394,837 15 4 - 3 - 3 0.0 0 0 0 3 17 35 31 12 2 0 0 26,167,743 5 - 0 - 5 0.0 0 0 4 19 37 30 10 1 0 0 6,244,309 3 - 6 - 1 0.0 0 0 2 13 32 35 15 3 0 0 1,316,488 14 4 - 2 - 4 0.0 0 0 0 3 16 35 32 12 2 0 0 31,089,498 3 - 5 - 2 Out 0 0 2 12 31 35 16 3 0 0 6,285,715 * 13 4 - 1 - 5 Out 0 0 0 3 16 35 33 12 2 0 19,708,798 3 - 4 - 3 Out 0 0 0 2 13 33 34 15 2 0 16,877,311 * 12 3 - 3 - 4 Out 0 0 0 3 16 35 33 12 1 26,166,298 4 - 0 - 6 Out 0 0 3 17 37 32 10 1 5,203,323 2 - 6 - 2 Out 0 0 2 11 32 37 16 2 1,976,727 * 11 3 - 2 - 5 Out 0 0 0 4 20 40 30 7 24,873,961 2 - 5 - 3 Out 0 0 0 3 16 38 34 9 6,313,218 * 10 3 - 1 - 6 Out 0 0 0 6 29 45 20 13,131,568 2 - 4 - 4 Out 0 0 0 5 26 46 23 12,740,452 * 9 2 - 3 - 5 Out 0 0 1 13 44 42 15,710,181 3 - 0 - 7 Out 0 0 1 14 46 39 2,973,001 1 - 6 - 3 Out 0 1 9 42 48 1,320,586 * 8 2 - 2 - 6 Out 0 0 4 33 62 12,438,818 1 - 5 - 4 Out 0 0 3 30 67 3,155,453 * 7 2 - 1 - 7 Out 0 1 20 79 5,628,502 1 - 4 - 5 Out 0 1 18 81 5,072,010 * 6 1 - 3 - 6 Out 0 0 9 91 5,240,085 2 - 0 - 8 Out 0 0 10 90 1,444,326 * 5 1 - 2 - 7 Out 0 4 96 4,180,074 * 4 1 - 1 - 8 Out 0 1 99 1,406,136 0 - 4 - 6 Out 0 1 99 825,756 3 0 - 3 - 7 Out 0 100 996,152 * 2 0 - 2 - 8 Out 0 100 444,624 1 0 - 1 - 9 Out 0 100 156,813 0 0 - 0 - 10 Out 100 106,617 Total: 10.6 % 5 6 7 7 8 8 8 9 9 10 11 12 394,241,352

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs