How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Macae 1 Resende 2 -3.9
-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Fluminense vs Macae+22.2-6.4-18.1
+0.8-0.2-0.7
Botafogo vs Fluminense-18.1-6.5+22.2
-0.7-0.2+0.8
Madureira vs Fluminense-18.1-6.5+22.1
-0.7-0.2+0.8
Vasco da Gama vs Boavista-5.8+2.0+4.5
-0.2+0.1+0.2
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama+4.5+2.1-5.8
+0.1+0.1-0.2
Resende vs Nova Iguacu-5.6+2.2+4.2
-0.2+0.1+0.1
Resende vs Boavista-5.5+2.1+4.2
-0.2+0.1+0.2
Portuguesa vs Madureira-5.4+2.0+4.1
-0.2+0.1+0.2
Portuguesa vs Botafogo-5.4+2.1+4.1
-0.2+0.1+0.2
Volta Redonda vs Nova Iguacu-4.5+1.6+3.5
-0.2+0.0+0.2
Volta Redonda vs Flamengo-4.5+1.6+3.5
-0.2+0.0+0.1
Bangu vs Macae-1.9+1.0+1.3
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Bangu vs Botafogo-1.9+0.9+1.3
-0.1+0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Fluminense vs Flamengo+22.1-6.4-18.1
+0.8-0.2-0.7
Nova Iguacu vs Vasco da Gama+4.5+2.0-5.8
+0.1+0.1-0.2
Botafogo vs Resende+4.2+2.2-5.5
+0.1+0.1-0.2
Boavista vs Portuguesa+4.1+2.0-5.4
+0.2+0.1-0.2
Macae vs Volta Redonda+3.5+1.6-4.5
+0.2+0.0-0.2
Madureira vs Bangu+1.3+0.9-1.9
+0.1+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Fluminense finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs123456Count
154-0-0In100175,905
133-1-099.7%901000440,213
123-0-198.68117100697,080
112-2-093.66132600416,229
102-1-175.93442194001,319,992
92-0-258.319393010201,044,897
1-3-051.91536321320175,746
81-2-128.9623362681831,945
71-1-28.61825372561,320,323
0-4-04.504183632927,572
61-0-32.50214343812694,658
0-3-11.50110304216175,672
50-2-20.2003174435415,284
40-1-30.00043362440,343
30-0-4Out02376175,685
Total:45.1%252017151498,351,544
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/23100.0*Lottery seed
Macae 1 Resende 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Botafogo vs Fluminense+1.6+0.4-1.8
Fluminense vs Macae-1.8+0.3+1.6
Madureira vs Fluminense+1.6+0.3-1.8
Portuguesa vs Madureira+0.1-0.1-0.0
Portuguesa vs Botafogo+0.1-0.1+0.0
Bangu vs Macae+0.0-0.1+0.0
Resende vs Boavista+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Boavista+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bangu vs Botafogo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Resende vs Nova Iguacu+0.1-0.1-0.0
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama-0.1-0.1+0.1
Volta Redonda vs Flamengo+0.1-0.0-0.1
Volta Redonda vs Nova Iguacu+0.1-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/1100.0*Lottery seed
Fluminense vs Flamengo-1.8+0.4+1.5
Macae vs Volta Redonda-0.0-0.1+0.1
Botafogo vs Resende+0.0-0.1+0.1
Madureira vs Bangu+0.0-0.1+0.0
Boavista vs Portuguesa+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nova Iguacu vs Vasco da Gama-0.0-0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112
154-0-09280
133-1-05240800
123-0-1194729500
112-2-0533431720
102-1-1042441246100
92-0-2005233826710
1-3-005244025600
81-2-100317363212200
71-1-2016223626810
0-4-001622372770
61-0-301520372880
0-3-100420403060
50-2-20021338389
40-1-3001114544
30-0-402376
Total:791011119899764