Penafiel Title Chances 2016-2017Lost to Braga B 1-2, title odds down 1 to 0.4% 22 points 6-4-4 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 11/23 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Primeira Liga | 100.0* | Campeonato de Portugal | 100.0* | Average seed | Penafiel vs Ac. Viseu | +0.2-0.1-0.2 | | +1.6-0.6-1.4 | | -0.7+0.1+0.8 | | +0.8-0.2-0.9 | | Portimonense vs Braga B | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | Sp. Covilhã vs Desp. Aves | | | +0.6+0.2-0.5 | | +0.1*+0.0-0.0 | | | | Santa Clara vs Freamunde | | | -0.2+0.1+0.2 | | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | | | | Famalicão vs Benfica B | | | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | | | | Fafe vs Cova da Piedade | | | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | Olhanense vs Vizela | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Académica vs Leixões | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | | | | V. Guimarães B vs Gil Vicente | | | | | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Penafiel finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | Primeira | Chance will finish season at seed | Campeonato | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Liga | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | de Portugal | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 106 | | 28 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 649,717 | | 99 | -102 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 25 | * | 98 | | 24 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 98.0 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 51 | * | 97 | | 24 | - | 3 | - | 1 | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 150 | * | 96 | | 24 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 97.2 | | Yes | 97 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 393 | * | 95 | | 23 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 95.8 | | Yes | 96 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 952 | * | 94 | | 23 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 94.6 | | Yes | 95 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,038 | * | 93 | | 22 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 93.4 | | Yes | 93 | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,422 | * | 92 | | 22 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 90.9 | | Yes | 91 | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,585 | * | 91 | | 22 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 87.7 | | 100.0 | % | 88 | 12 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 19,280 | * | 90 | | 21 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 84.1 | | 100.0 | | 84 | 16 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 38,296 | * | 89 | | 21 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 80.2 | | 99.9 | | 80 | 20 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 73,813 | * | 88 | | 20 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 75.5 | | 99.8 | | 76 | 24 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 137,855 | * | 87 | | 20 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 70.1 | | 99.7 | | 70 | 30 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 249,466 | * | 86 | | 20 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 64.0 | | 99.4 | | 64 | 35 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 440,265 | * | 85 | | 19 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 57.5 | | 98.9 | | 58 | 41 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 754,632 | * | 84 | | 19 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 50.8 | | 98.1 | | 51 | 47 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,262,386 | * | 83 | | 18 | - | 7 | - | 3 | 43.9 | | 96.9 | | 44 | 53 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,057,963 | * | 82 | | 18 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 37.1 | | 95.0 | | 37 | 58 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,269,900 | * | 81 | | 18 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 30.5 | | 92.4 | | 30 | 62 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,076,274 | * | 80 | | 17 | - | 7 | - | 4 | 24.3 | | 88.7 | | 24 | 64 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,688,905 | * | 79 | | 17 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 18.7 | | 83.8 | | 19 | 65 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 11,383,884 | * | 78 | | 17 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 13.8 | | 77.6 | | 14 | 64 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 16,481,053 | * | 77 | | 16 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 9.7 | | 70.1 | | 10 | 60 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 23,328,999 | * | 76 | | 16 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 6.5 | | 61.4 | | 6 | 55 | 34 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 32,286,015 | * | 75 | | 15 | - | 8 | - | 5 | 4.1 | | 51.8 | | 4 | 48 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 43,729,629 | * | 74 | | 15 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 2.4 | | 41.9 | | 2 | 39 | 44 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 57,962,086 | * | 73 | | 15 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 1.3 | | 32.1 | | 1 | 31 | 47 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 75,205,333 | * | 72 | | 14 | - | 8 | - | 6 | 0.6 | | 23.2 | | 1 | 23 | 46 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 95,512,682 | * | 71 | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 0.3 | | 15.6 | | 0 | 15 | 42 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 118,807,428 | * | 70 | | 14 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 0.1 | | 9.6 | | 0 | 10 | 36 | 36 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 144,694,899 | * | 69 | | 13 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 0.0 | | 5.4 | | 0 | 5 | 27 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 172,601,204 | * | 68 | | 13 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 0.0 | | 2.7 | | 0 | 3 | 19 | 36 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 201,673,656 | * | 67 | | 12 | - | 9 | - | 7 | 0.0 | | 1.2 | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 31 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 230,849,472 | * | 66 | | 12 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 0.0 | | 0.4 | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 258,776,139 | * | 65 | | 12 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 0.0 | | 0.1 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 31 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 284,165,487 | * | 64 | | 11 | - | 9 | - | 8 | 0.0 | | 0.0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 32 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 305,678,672 | * | 63 | | 11 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 0.0 | | 0.0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 28 | 30 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 321,967,933 | * | 62 | | 11 | - | 7 | - | 10 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 332,156,757 | * | 61 | | 10 | - | 9 | - | 9 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 30 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 335,592,664 | * | 60 | | 10 | - | 8 | - | 10 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 28 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 331,950,034 | * | 59 | | 10 | - | 7 | - | 11 | No | No | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 321,442,876 | * | 58 | | 9 | - | 9 | - | 10 | No | No | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 30 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 304,612,358 | * | 57 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 11 | No | No | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 28 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 282,550,296 | * | 56 | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 29 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 256,350,040 | * | 55 | | 8 | - | 9 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 29 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | | 227,423,469 | * | 54 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 25 | 29 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 197,255,175 | * | 53 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 28 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 167,232,082 | * | 52 | | 7 | - | 9 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 29 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.1 | | 138,496,173 | * | 51 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 29 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.3 | | 111,999,139 | * | 50 | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 29 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | | 88,379,142 | * | 49 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5.0 | | 68,026,922 | * | 48 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12.7 | | 51,047,332 | * | 47 | | 5 | - | 10 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 31 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 25.6 | | 37,299,944 | * | 46 | | 5 | - | 9 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 32 | 28 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 42.7 | | 26,534,001 | * | 45 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 34 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 60.6 | | 18,346,107 | * | 44 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 34 | 30 | 11 | 1 | 76.1 | | 12,337,990 | * | 43 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 37 | 19 | 2 | 87.3 | | 8,048,532 | * | 42 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 40 | 28 | 5 | 94.0 | | 5,080,091 | * | 41 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 37 | 38 | 9 | 97.6 | | 3,113,269 | * | 40 | | 3 | - | 9 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 45 | 15 | 99.1 | | 1,838,436 | * | 39 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 50 | 23 | 99.7 | | 1,049,444 | * | 38 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 50 | 31 | 99.9 | | 574,513 | * | 37 | | 2 | - | 9 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 48 | 41 | 100.0 | | 303,520 | * | 36 | | 2 | - | 8 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 43 | 51 | 100.0 | | 153,843 | * | 35 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 36 | 60 | Yes | 74,135 | * | 34 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 29 | 69 | Yes | 34,064 | * | 33 | | 1 | - | 8 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 22 | 77 | Yes | 14,876 | * | 32 | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 18 | 82 | Yes | 6,133 | * | 31 | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 12 | 88 | Yes | 2,331 | * | 30 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | 92 | Yes | 833 | * | 29 | | 0 | - | 7 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | Yes | 270 | * | 28 | | 0 | - | 6 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 96 | Yes | 81 | * | 27 | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | 92 | Yes | 13 | | 25 | -26 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 7 | * | 22 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 28 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 649,717 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.4 | % | 3.9 | % | 0 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.3 | % | 5,746,817,548 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |