Naval 1º de MaioNaval 1º de Maio lost to Paços Ferreira 1-2, odds of winning the cup down 2.7% to 3.6% Record: 11 points, 3 - 2 - 3 1 How are these numbers calculated? (show) Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Each match can have 2 kinds of impact on Naval 1º de Maio: 1. How many percentage points it changed their chance of winning the title. 2. (If in parenthesis,) how many positions it changed their average regular season finishing position, with the signed flipped so negative is bad. The week’s total impact on Naval 1º de Maio is shown between the best and worst case outcomes. Future matches show separate impacts for each outcome. Hover your mouse over a match to hightlight it in the standings. How do I know a matches impact? (show) | |
Week of 11/14 | Impact | | | Paços Ferreira | 2 | | Naval 1º de Maio | 1 | | | -2.0 | | (-0.82) | | | Sporting Lisbon | 0 | | Leixoes | 1 | | | -0.3 | | | | | Benfica | 1 | | Estrela Amadora | 0 | | | -0.2 | | | | | Trofense | 0 | | Maritimo | 2 | | | | | (-0.02) | | | CD Nacional | 0 | | Rio Ave | 0 | | | 0.1 | | (0.03) | | | Belenenses | 1 | | Académica | 0 | | | | | (0.00) | | | Worst | -3.02 | (-0.92) | -2.71 | | (-0.84) | (1.09) | 3.31 | Best | | |
Week of 11/23 | | | Win | | Win | Draw | | Naval 1º de Maio | 1.8 |
(0.98)
| Sporting Lisbon | -1.5 |
(-0.86)
| -0.5 |
(-0.20)
| | 2:00 PM Sun | | | Rio Ave | 0.3 | | Leixoes | -0.4 | | 0.1 | | | 2:00 PM Sun | | | Académica | 0.2 | | Benfica | -0.3 | | 0.1 | | | 3:15 PM Sun | | | Guimaraes | |
(-0.02)
| Paços Ferreira | |
(-0.00)
| |
(0.03)
| | 1:00 PM Sun | | | | -2.31 | (-0.91) | 0.00 | | (0.00) | (1.07) | 2.36 | | |
What IfChances based on how well Naval 1º de Maio finishs out the season.
Explain (show) | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance team will finish the season at position | | | | W | - | D | - | L | PCT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Demoted | | Count | | | | | | | | | 22 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 1.000 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 1,000 | | 20 | - | 2 | - | 0 | .939 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 1 | | 19 | - | 2 | - | 1 | .894 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 3 | | 19 | - | 1 | - | 2 | .879 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 19 | | 19 | - | 0 | - | 3 | .864 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 36 | | 18 | - | 2 | - | 2 | .848 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 82 | | 18 | - | 1 | - | 3 | .833 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 169 | | 18 | - | 0 | - | 4 | .818 | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 385 | | 17 | - | 2 | - | 3 | .803 | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 749 | | 17 | - | 1 | - | 4 | .788 | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 1,394 | | 17 | - | 0 | - | 5 | .773 | 97 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 2,328 | | 16 | - | 2 | - | 4 | .758 | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 4,128 | | 16 | - | 1 | - | 5 | .742 | 94 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 6,930 | | 16 | - | 0 | - | 6 | .727 | 91 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 11,260 | | 15 | - | 2 | - | 5 | .712 | 88 | 12 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 17,561 | | 15 | - | 1 | - | 6 | .697 | 82 | 17 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 26,726 | | 15 | - | 0 | - | 7 | .682 | 75 | 23 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 39,795 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 6 | .667 | 65 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 56,698 | | 14 | - | 1 | - | 7 | .652 | 55 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 79,980 | | 14 | - | 0 | - | 8 | .636 | 43 | 42 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 108,875 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 7 | .621 | 32 | 44 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 144,846 | | 13 | - | 1 | - | 8 | .606 | 21 | 43 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | | 187,719 | | 13 | - | 0 | - | 9 | .591 | 12 | 36 | 35 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | | 236,960 | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 8 | .576 | 6 | 26 | 38 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | | 293,334 | | 12 | - | 1 | - | 9 | .561 | 2 | 15 | 33 | 32 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | | 352,392 | | 12 | - | 0 | - | 10 | .545 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 35 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | | 412,920 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 9 | .530 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 29 | 32 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | | 471,986 | | 11 | - | 1 | - | 10 | .515 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | | 526,581 | | 11 | - | 0 | - | 11 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 33 | 25 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | | 575,499 | | 10 | - | 2 | - | 10 | .485 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 33 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | | 608,739 | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 11 | .470 | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 31 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | | 632,627 | | 10 | - | 0 | - | 12 | .455 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 30 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | No | | 638,954 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 11 | .439 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 31 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 630,948 | | 9 | - | 1 | - | 12 | .424 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 605,402 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 13 | .409 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 33 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | | 567,819 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 12 | .394 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 28 | 32 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | | 516,009 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 13 | .379 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 30 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2.9 | | 460,226 | | 8 | - | 0 | - | 14 | .364 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 35 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 8.9 | | 397,513 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 13 | .348 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 35 | 17 | 3 | 20.1 | | 334,505 | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 14 | .333 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 38 | 28 | 7 | 35.6 | | 273,056 | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 15 | .318 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 33 | 39 | 15 | 53.3 | | 216,755 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 14 | .303 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 44 | 25 | 69.3 | | 166,528 | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 15 | .288 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 44 | 37 | 81.5 | | 124,784 | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 16 | .273 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 40 | 50 | 89.6 | | 90,759 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 15 | .258 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 33 | 62 | 94.9 | | 63,330 | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 16 | .242 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 25 | 73 | 97.7 | | 42,490 | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 17 | .227 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 18 | 81 | 99.0 | | 27,928 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 16 | .212 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 12 | 88 | 99.6 | | 17,332 | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 17 | .197 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 92 | 99.9 | | 10,377 | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 18 | .182 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 95 | 100.0 | | 6,070 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 17 | .167 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | Yes | | 3,322 | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 18 | .152 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | Yes | | 1,709 | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 19 | .136 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | | 831 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 18 | .121 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 352 | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 19 | .106 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 171 | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 20 | .091 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 84 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 19 | .076 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 14 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 18 | .061 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 8 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 19 | .045 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 1 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 20 | .030 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 1 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 22 | .000 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 1,000 | | | | | | | | | Total: | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 8.0% | | 10,000,000 |
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