Chance of winning the title: 3.6%Change:-2.7UEFA Qualification
being demoted:8.0%2.30
Average finish:8.38-0.84

Record:   11 points, 3 - 2 - 3    1

How are these numbers calculated? (show)

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.

Each match can have 2 kinds of impact on Naval 1º de Maio:

1. How many percentage points it changed their chance of winning the title.

2. (If in parenthesis,) how many positions it changed their average regular season finishing position, with the signed flipped so negative is bad.

The week’s total impact on Naval 1º de Maio is shown between the best and worst case outcomes. Future matches show separate impacts for each outcome. Hover your mouse over a match to hightlight it in the standings.

How do I know a matches impact? (show)

Week of 11/14Impact
Paços Ferreira2Naval 1º de Maio1-2.0(-0.82)
Sporting Lisbon0Leixoes1-0.3
Benfica1Estrela Amadora0-0.2
Trofense0Maritimo2(-0.02)
CD Nacional0Rio Ave00.1(0.03)
Belenenses1Académica0(0.00)
Worst-3.02(-0.92)-2.71 (-0.84)(1.09)3.31Best
Week of 11/23
WinWinDraw
Naval 1º de Maio1.8 (0.98) Sporting Lisbon-1.5 (-0.86) -0.5 (-0.20) 2:00 PM Sun
Rio Ave0.3Leixoes-0.40.12:00 PM Sun
Académica0.2Benfica-0.30.13:15 PM Sun
Guimaraes (-0.02) Paços Ferreira (-0.00) (0.03) 1:00 PM Sun
-2.31(-0.91)0.00 (0.00)(1.07)2.36
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)

Flash Chart

Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)

Flash Chart

What If

Chances based on how well Naval 1º de Maio finishs out the season.   Explain (show)

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance team will finish the season at position
W-D-LPCT12345678910111213141516DemotedCount
22-0-01.000100No1,000
20-2-0.939100No1
19-2-1.894100No3
19-1-2.879100No19
19-0-3.864100No36
18-2-2.848100No82
18-1-3.833100No169
18-0-4.818991No385
17-2-3.803991No749
17-1-4.788982No1,394
17-0-5.773973No2,328
16-2-4.7589730No4,128
16-1-5.7429460No6,930
16-0-6.7279180No11,260
15-2-5.71288120No17,561
15-1-6.697821710No26,726
15-0-7.682752320No39,795
14-2-6.6676531400No56,698
14-1-7.6525537710No79,980
14-0-8.636434213100No108,875
13-2-7.621324420400No144,846
13-1-8.6062143288100No187,719
13-0-9.59112363514300No236,960
12-2-8.57662638237100No293,334
12-1-9.561215333214300No352,392
12-0-10.5451724352481000No412,920
11-2-9.53002132932185100No471,986
11-1-10.515005183229133000No526,581
11-0-11.50000182233259200No575,499
10-2-10.485002102633217100No608,739
10-1-11.470003132831185100No632,627
10-0-12.4550004163030154000No638,954
9-2-11.43900151831281330000.0630,948
9-1-12.4240017213226102000.0605,402
9-0-13.409002924332381000.1567,819
8-2-12.3940003122832195100.6516,009
8-1-13.379001417323014302.9460,226
8-0-14.3640017233525818.9397,513
7-2-13.34800212303517320.1334,505
7-1-14.3330015213828735.6273,056
7-0-15.3180021233391553.3216,755
6-2-14.30301625442569.3166,528
6-1-15.28800216443781.5124,784
6-0-16.2730110405089.690,759
5-2-15.258005336294.963,330
5-1-16.24202257397.742,490
5-0-17.22701188199.027,928
4-2-16.2120128899.617,332
4-1-17.197089299.910,377
4-0-18.1820595100.06,070
3-2-17.167397Yes3,322
3-1-18.152298Yes1,709
3-0-19.1360100Yes831
2-2-18.121100Yes352
2-1-19.106100Yes171
2-0-20.091100Yes84
1-2-19.076100Yes14
0-4-18.061100Yes8
0-3-19.045100Yes1
0-2-20.030100Yes1
0-0-22.000100Yes1,000
Total:45677788877766538.0%10,000,000