FC PortoFC Porto beat Guimaraes 2-0, odds of winning the cup up 2.2% to 8.6% Record: 14 points, 4 - 2 - 2 5 How are these numbers calculated? (show) Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Each match can have 2 kinds of impact on FC Porto: 1. How many percentage points it changed their chance of winning the title. 2. (If in parenthesis,) how many positions it changed their average regular season finishing position, with the signed flipped so negative is bad. The week’s total impact on FC Porto is shown between the best and worst case outcomes. Future matches show separate impacts for each outcome. Hover your mouse over a match to hightlight it in the standings. How do I know a matches impact? (show) | |
Week of 11/14 | Impact | | | FC Porto | 2 | | Guimaraes | 0 | | | 2.7 | | (0.96) | | | Benfica | 1 | | Estrela Amadora | 0 | | | -0.3 | | | | | Sporting Lisbon | 0 | | Leixoes | 1 | | | -0.2 | | | | | Paços Ferreira | 2 | | Naval 1º de Maio | 1 | | | 0.2 | | (0.02) | | | Trofense | 0 | | Maritimo | 2 | | | -0.2 | | (-0.02) | | | CD Nacional | 0 | | Rio Ave | 0 | | | 0.1 | | | | | Belenenses | 1 | | Académica | 0 | | | | | (0.01) | | | Worst | -3.53 | (-0.96) | 2.21 | | (1.00) | (1.14) | 3.83 | Best | | |
Week of 11/23 | | | Win | | Win | Draw | | Estrela Amadora | -3.0 |
(-0.82)
| FC Porto | 3.6 |
(0.93)
| -1.0 |
(-0.17)
| | 2:00 PM Sun | | | Rio Ave | 0.7 | | Leixoes | -0.8 | | 0.3 | | | 2:00 PM Sun | | | Académica | 0.5 | | Benfica | -0.7 | | 0.3 | | | 3:15 PM Sun | | | CD Nacional | -0.3 |
(-0.04)
| Trofense | 0.3 |
(0.02)
| 0.1 |
(0.02)
| | 11:00 AM Sun | | | Maritimo | -0.2 | | Braga | 0.1 | | 0.1 | | | 2:00 PM Sun | | | Naval 1º de Maio | 0.0 | | Sporting Lisbon | -0.2 | | 0.1 | | | 2:00 PM Sun | | | | -5.16 | (-0.91) | 0.00 | | (0.00) | (1.08) | 5.27 | | |
What IfChances based on how well FC Porto finishs out the season.
Explain (show) | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance team will finish the season at position | | | | W | - | D | - | L | PCT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Demoted | | Count | | | | | | | | | 22 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 1.000 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 1,000 | | 20 | - | 1 | - | 1 | .924 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 3 | | 20 | - | 0 | - | 2 | .909 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 4 | | 19 | - | 2 | - | 1 | .894 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 13 | | 19 | - | 1 | - | 2 | .879 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 18 | | 19 | - | 0 | - | 3 | .864 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 44 | | 18 | - | 2 | - | 2 | .848 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 100 | | 18 | - | 1 | - | 3 | .833 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 182 | | 18 | - | 0 | - | 4 | .818 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 360 | | 17 | - | 2 | - | 3 | .803 | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 761 | | 17 | - | 1 | - | 4 | .788 | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 1,337 | | 17 | - | 0 | - | 5 | .773 | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 2,418 | | 16 | - | 2 | - | 4 | .758 | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 4,215 | | 16 | - | 1 | - | 5 | .742 | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 6,953 | | 16 | - | 0 | - | 6 | .727 | 97 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 11,091 | | 15 | - | 2 | - | 5 | .712 | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 17,571 | | 15 | - | 1 | - | 6 | .697 | 94 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 26,695 | | 15 | - | 0 | - | 7 | .682 | 91 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 39,733 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 6 | .667 | 86 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 56,607 | | 14 | - | 1 | - | 7 | .652 | 81 | 18 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 79,954 | | 14 | - | 0 | - | 8 | .636 | 74 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 108,807 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 7 | .621 | 65 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 145,646 | | 13 | - | 1 | - | 8 | .606 | 54 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 188,165 | | 13 | - | 0 | - | 9 | .591 | 43 | 43 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 237,762 | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 8 | .576 | 31 | 45 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 291,933 | | 12 | - | 1 | - | 9 | .561 | 21 | 43 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | | 352,540 | | 12 | - | 0 | - | 10 | .545 | 12 | 36 | 35 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | | 413,082 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 9 | .530 | 6 | 26 | 38 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | | 472,278 | | 11 | - | 1 | - | 10 | .515 | 2 | 16 | 34 | 32 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | | 527,201 | | 11 | - | 0 | - | 11 | .500 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 35 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | | 573,694 | | 10 | - | 2 | - | 10 | .485 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 32 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | | 610,800 | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 11 | .470 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 28 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | | 631,178 | | 10 | - | 0 | - | 12 | .455 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | | 639,125 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 11 | .439 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 32 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | | 629,450 | | 9 | - | 1 | - | 12 | .424 | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 31 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | | 605,129 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 13 | .409 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 30 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | No | | 567,412 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 12 | .394 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 31 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 516,801 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 13 | .379 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 460,427 | | 8 | - | 0 | - | 14 | .364 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 33 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | | 397,188 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 13 | .348 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 32 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | | 334,565 | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 14 | .333 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 31 | 31 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 3.2 | | 273,150 | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 15 | .318 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 9.4 | | 216,739 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 14 | .303 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 35 | 18 | 3 | 21.6 | | 166,999 | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 15 | .288 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 37 | 30 | 8 | 37.9 | | 125,357 | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 16 | .273 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 32 | 40 | 16 | 55.7 | | 90,201 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 15 | .258 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 44 | 27 | 71.1 | | 63,259 | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 16 | .242 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 44 | 40 | 83.2 | | 42,861 | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 17 | .227 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 38 | 53 | 91.1 | | 27,730 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 16 | .212 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 65 | 95.6 | | 17,500 | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 17 | .197 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 23 | 75 | 98.1 | | 10,363 | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 18 | .182 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 16 | 83 | 99.3 | | 6,139 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 17 | .167 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 10 | 89 | 99.6 | | 3,215 | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 18 | .152 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 94 | 99.9 | | 1,694 | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 19 | .136 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | 99.9 | | 881 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 18 | .121 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | Yes | | 395 | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 19 | .106 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | | 169 | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 20 | .091 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 69 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 19 | .076 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 26 | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 20 | .061 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 8 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 19 | .045 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 2 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 20 | .030 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 1 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 22 | .000 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 1,000 | | | | | | | | | Total: | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3.1% | | 10,000,000 |
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