"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/23100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Estoril 3 Vitória Setúbal 0 -0.7
+0.7
Tondela 2 Nacional 0 -0.1
Rio Ave 3 Arouca 0 +0.1
Marítimo 3 Belenenses 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Paços de Ferreira vs Sporting Braga-0.3-0.0+0.1
Vitória Guimarães vs Boavista+0.1-0.0-0.1
Porto vs Feirense+0.0-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/30100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Boavista vs Tondela-0.1+0.0+0.1
Arouca vs Moreirense-0.1+0.0+0.1
Benfica vs Estoril-0.3+0.2+1.4
Belenenses vs Paços de Ferreira-0.1+0.1-0.0
Feirense vs Marítimo-0.1-0.0+0.0
Vitória Setúbal vs Vitória Guimarães-0.1-0.0+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Estoril finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedLiga
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL123456789101112131415161718ProCount
434-0-0NoNo16033610No64,699
413-1-0NoNo1739321110No402,845
403-0-1NoNo52438257000No739,198
392-2-0NoNo18293921200No792,217
382-1-1NoNo011235381210No2,674,083
372-0-2NoNo00318432970No2,160,827
1-3-0NoNo003194428600No618,665
361-2-1NoNo00531422020No2,957,578
351-1-2NoNo111374190No4,580,212
0-4-0NoNo1103544100No167,148
341-0-3NoNo03215223000.0%2,299,159
0-3-1NoNo02205324000.01,027,022
330-2-2NoNo00647452000.02,288,364
320-1-3NoNo0026676000.12,212,480
310-0-4NoNo127314000.4783,727
Total:NoNo01249172127181000.0%23,768,224
Points
Chance Will Win Championship