Cova da Piedade Title Chances 2016-2017

Beat FC Porto B 1-0, title odds up 0.3 to 1.3%

25 points 7-4-3

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/23	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Primeira Liga	100.0*	Campeonato de Portugal	100.0*	Average seed
Fafe vs Cova da Piedade	-0.5-0.3+0.6		-3.0-1.3+3.1		+0.3+0.0-0.2		-0.7-0.2+0.7
Portimonense vs Braga B	-0.3+0.1+0.4		-0.2+0.1+0.2
Sp. Covilhã vs Desp. Aves	+0.1+0.1-0.1		+1.3+0.5-1.0
Santa Clara vs Freamunde			-0.4+0.2+0.5				-0.1+0.0+0.1
Famalicão vs Benfica B			+0.4+0.2-0.4
Penafiel vs Ac. Viseu			-0.2+0.1+0.2
Académica vs Leixões			-0.1+0.1+0.1
Olhanense vs Vizela			+0.1+0.1-0.1				+0.1+0.0-0.0
U. Madeira vs Sporting B			+0.1+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Cova da Piedade finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance		Primeira		Chance will finish season at seed																						Campeonato
TP		W	-	D	-	L	wins title		Liga		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	de Portugal		Count

109		28	-	0	-	0	100.0	%	Yes		100	0																					No		649,717
101	-107						Yes		Yes		100																						No		125	*
100		24	-	3	-	1	99.6		Yes		100	0																					No		241	*
99		24	-	2	-	2	99.3		Yes		99	1																					No		543	*
98		23	-	4	-	1	99.4		Yes		99	1																					No		1,297	*
97		23	-	3	-	2	98.7		Yes		99	1																					No		2,984	*
96		22	-	5	-	1	97.8		Yes		98	2																					No		6,458	*
95		22	-	4	-	2	96.5		Yes		97	3																					No		13,167	*
94		22	-	3	-	3	95.3		100.0	%	95	5	0																				No		27,227	*
93		21	-	5	-	2	93.1		100.0		93	7	0																				No		53,250	*
92		21	-	4	-	3	91.0		100.0		91	9	0																				No		100,306	*
91		20	-	6	-	2	88.2		100.0		88	12	0																				No		185,056	*
90		20	-	5	-	3	84.5		100.0		84	15	0																				No		332,249	*
89		20	-	4	-	4	80.3		99.9		80	20	0																				No		578,502	*
88		19	-	6	-	3	75.7		99.8		76	24	0																				No		982,103	*
87		19	-	5	-	4	70.2		99.6		70	29	0	0																			No		1,622,034	*
86		18	-	7	-	3	64.3		99.3		64	35	1	0																			No		2,612,771	*
85		18	-	6	-	4	57.9		98.8		58	41	1	0																			No		4,106,358	*
84		18	-	5	-	5	51.1		98.0		51	47	2	0																			No		6,308,307	*
83		17	-	7	-	4	44.2		96.7		44	53	3	0																			No		9,448,240	*
82		17	-	6	-	5	37.3		94.7		37	57	5	0	0																		No		13,842,167	*
81		17	-	5	-	6	30.7		92.0		31	61	8	0	0																		No		19,800,433	*
80		16	-	7	-	5	24.4		88.2		24	64	11	0	0																		No		27,736,756	*
79		16	-	6	-	6	18.8		83.3		19	64	16	1	0	0																	No		37,954,310	*
78		15	-	8	-	5	13.9		77.1		14	63	22	1	0	0																	No		50,841,116	*
77		15	-	7	-	6	9.8		69.6		10	60	28	3	0	0	0																No		66,635,724	*
76		15	-	6	-	7	6.6		61.0		7	54	34	5	0	0	0																No		85,520,988	*
75		14	-	8	-	6	4.2		51.7		4	47	40	8	0	0	0																No		107,389,255	*
74		14	-	7	-	7	2.5		41.9		2	39	45	12	1	0	0	0															No		132,110,433	*
73		14	-	6	-	8	1.4		32.4		1	31	47	18	2	0	0	0															No		159,140,759	*
72		13	-	8	-	7	0.7		23.5		1	23	47	24	5	0	0	0	0														No		187,755,807	*
71		13	-	7	-	8	0.3		16.0		0	16	44	31	8	1	0	0	0														No		216,968,935	*
70		12	-	9	-	7	0.1		10.0		0	10	37	36	14	2	0	0	0	0													No		245,579,602	*
69		12	-	8	-	8	0.0		5.7		0	6	29	39	21	5	1	0	0	0													No		272,248,398	*
68		12	-	7	-	9	0.0		2.9		0	3	20	38	28	10	2	0	0	0	0												No		295,669,418	*
67		11	-	9	-	8	0.0		1.3		0	1	13	32	33	16	4	0	0	0	0												No		314,486,294	*
66		11	-	8	-	9	0.0		0.5		0	0	7	24	35	24	8	1	0	0	0	0											No		327,603,396	*
65		11	-	7	-	10	0.0		0.2		0	0	3	16	31	30	15	4	1	0	0	0	0										No		334,264,876	*
64		10	-	9	-	9	0.0		0.0		0	0	1	9	24	32	23	9	2	0	0	0	0										No		333,984,706	*
63		10	-	8	-	10	0.0		0.0		0	0	0	4	15	29	29	16	5	1	0	0	0										No		326,695,598	*
62		10	-	7	-	11	No		0.0			0	0	1	8	21	31	24	11	3	0	0	0	0									No		312,842,498	*
61		9	-	9	-	10	No		0.0			0	0	0	3	13	26	30	19	7	1	0	0	0	0								No		293,204,576	*
60		9	-	8	-	11	No		0.0			0	0	0	1	6	17	29	27	15	5	1	0	0	0								No		268,909,940	*
59		9	-	7	-	12	No		0.0			0	0	0	0	2	9	21	30	24	11	3	0	0	0	0							No		241,273,755	*
58		8	-	9	-	11	No		No				0	0	0	0	3	12	24	29	20	8	2	0	0	0	0						No		211,706,095	*
57		8	-	8	-	12	No		No					0	0	0	1	5	15	27	28	17	6	1	0	0	0	0					No		181,606,084	*
56		7	-	10	-	11	No		No						0	0	0	1	7	18	28	26	14	5	1	0	0	0					No		152,230,222	*
55		7	-	9	-	12	No		No						0	0	0	0	2	9	21	29	24	12	3	0	0	0	0				0.0	%	124,673,634	*
54		7	-	8	-	13	No		No							0	0	0	0	3	11	23	29	21	9	2	0	0	0	0			0.0		99,707,314	*
53		6	-	10	-	12	No		No								0	0	0	1	4	14	26	29	19	7	1	0	0	0			0.0		77,814,870	*
52		6	-	9	-	13	No		No								0	0	0	0	1	6	17	28	27	15	5	1	0	0	0		0.1		59,227,869	*
51		6	-	8	-	14	No		No									0	0	0	0	2	8	20	29	25	12	3	0	0	0		0.4		43,944,257	*
50		5	-	10	-	13	No		No										0	0	0	0	3	11	24	30	22	9	2	0	0	0	1.9		31,753,906	*
49		5	-	9	-	14	No		No											0	0	0	1	4	15	28	29	17	5	1	0	0	6.0		22,327,298	*
48		5	-	8	-	15	No		No											0	0	0	0	1	7	20	31	26	12	2	0	0	14.5		15,281,624	*
47		5	-	7	-	16	No		No												0	0	0	0	3	11	26	32	21	6	1	0	28.1		10,152,612	*
46		4	-	9	-	15	No		No													0	0	0	1	5	17	32	30	13	2	0	45.2		6,545,610	*
45		4	-	8	-	16	No		No														0	0	0	2	10	26	35	22	5	0	62.5		4,088,351	*
44		4	-	7	-	17	No		No															0	0	1	4	18	35	31	11	1	77.3		2,471,489	*
43		3	-	9	-	16	No		No																0	0	2	10	29	38	18	2	87.7		1,446,152	*
42		3	-	8	-	17	No		No																0	0	1	5	22	41	27	4	94.1		815,093	*
41		3	-	7	-	18	No		No																	0	0	2	15	39	37	7	97.5		442,394	*
40		2	-	9	-	17	No		No																	0	0	1	9	33	45	12	99.0		230,702	*
39		2	-	8	-	18	No		No																		0	0	5	26	50	19	99.7		114,656	*
38		2	-	7	-	19	No		No																			0	2	19	52	26	99.9		54,896	*
37		2	-	6	-	20	No		No																			0	1	13	51	35	100.0		24,631	*
36		1	-	8	-	19	No		No																			0	0	9	47	44	100.0		10,662	*
35		1	-	7	-	20	No		No																				0	5	42	53	Yes		4,291	*
34		1	-	6	-	21	No		No																					3	38	59	Yes		1,659	*
33		1	-	5	-	22	No		No																					1	27	72	Yes		536	*
32		0	-	7	-	21	No		No																					1	20	78	Yes		181	*
31		0	-	6	-	22	No		No																						11	89	Yes		57	*
30		0	-	5	-	23	No		No																						14	86	Yes		7	*
28	-29						No		No																							100	Yes		4	*
25		0	-	0	-	28	No		No																					0	1	99	Yes		649,717

Total:							1.3	%	9.5	%	1	8	13	13	12	11	9	7	6	5	4	3	2	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0.3	%	5,746,817,548

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Win Championship