"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/23100.0*Average seed
Estoril 3 Vitória Setúbal 0 +0.1
Marítimo 3 Belenenses 0 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Moreirense vs Chaves-0.7-0.2+0.5
Porto vs Feirense+0.0-0.0-0.3
Vitória Guimarães vs Boavista+0.1+0.0-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/30100.0*Average seed
Chaves vs Porto+0.8+0.2-0.2
Vitória Setúbal vs Vitória Guimarães-0.2-0.0+0.1
Feirense vs Marítimo-0.2+0.0+0.1
Boavista vs Tondela-0.1+0.1+0.1
Nacional vs Rio Ave+0.1+0.0-0.0
Benfica vs Estoril+0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Chaves finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedLiga
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL123456789101112131415161718ProCount
515-0-0NoNo1783No32,358
494-1-0NoNo49060No195,360
484-0-1NoNo180190No331,901
473-2-0NoNo0594100No466,100
463-1-1NoNo455320No1,503,512
453-0-2NoNo2370700No1,173,424
2-3-0NoNo2173600No503,848
442-2-1NoNo97516100No2,316,805
432-1-2NoNo36628300No3,428,313
1-4-0NoNo2682830No255,026
422-0-3NoNo1454410100No1,621,724
1-3-1NoNo047431010No1,486,489
411-2-2NoNo264921300No3,151,404
0-5-0NoNo284920300No48,525
401-1-3NoNo11413612100No2,861,433
0-4-1NoNo1242351110No341,129
391-0-4NoNo2214029710No940,959
0-3-2NoNo3234227500No924,744
380-2-3NoNo08304019300No1,216,390
370-1-4NoNo011132381620No773,831
360-0-5NoNo011237371210No194,949
Total:NoNo09382715731000No23,768,224
Points
Chance Will Win Championship