"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Sporting CP 1 Benfica 1 -5.5
-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Porto vs Feirense-7.6+13.5+21.5
-0.1+0.1+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/30100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Benfica vs Estoril+9.7-13.7-28.5
+0.1-0.1-0.3
Chaves vs Porto+20.7+12.4-9.2
+0.2+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well Benfica finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedLiga
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL123456789101112131415161718ProCount
844-0-0YesYes100No3,229,630
823-1-089.8%Yes9010No6,170,314
813-0-171.2Yes7129No2,208,972
802-2-061.9Yes6238No4,425,029
792-1-142.3Yes4258No3,154,148
781-3-030.2Yes3070No1,405,518
2-0-229.8Yes3070No545,533
771-2-117.7Yes1882No1,495,821
761-1-210.3Yes1090No515,329
0-4-010.3Yes1090No167,576
750-3-14.4Yes4888No236,668
1-0-34.3Yes4888No58,006
740-2-22.2Yes2908No122,857
730-1-30.7Yes17326No27,295
720-0-40.2Yes06337No5,528
Total:64.6%Yes65350No23,768,224
Points
Chance Will Win Championship