Chance of winning the title: 21.7%Change:4.8UEFA Qualification
being demoted:0.7%-0.81
Average finish:4.410.82

Record:   18 points, 5 - 3 - 0    6

How are these numbers calculated? (show)

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.

Each match can have 2 kinds of impact on Benfica:

1. How many percentage points it changed their chance of winning the title.

2. (If in parenthesis,) how many positions it changed their average regular season finishing position, with the signed flipped so negative is bad.

The week’s total impact on Benfica is shown between the best and worst case outcomes. Future matches show separate impacts for each outcome. Hover your mouse over a match to hightlight it in the standings.

How do I know a matches impact? (show)

Week of 11/14Impact
Benfica1Estrela Amadora05.4(0.83)
Sporting Lisbon0Leixoes1-0.5
Trofense0Maritimo2-0.4(-0.02)
Paços Ferreira2Naval 1º de Maio10.3(0.02)
CD Nacional0Rio Ave00.3(0.04)
FC Porto2Guimaraes0-0.2
Belenenses1Académica00.2
Worst-6.76(-0.89)4.81 (0.82)(0.99)7.41Best
Week of 11/23
WinWinDraw
Académica-5.5 (-0.66) Benfica6.5 (0.74) -1.7 (-0.12) 3:15 PM Sun
Rio Ave1.4 (0.03) Leixoes-1.6 (-0.03) 0.6 (0.03) 2:00 PM Sun
CD Nacional-0.6 (-0.04) Trofense0.5 (0.03) 0.4 (0.03) 11:00 AM Sun
Estrela Amadora0.3FC Porto-0.40.42:00 PM Sun
Maritimo-0.3Braga0.20.42:00 PM Sun
Naval 1º de Maio0.2Sporting Lisbon-0.30.42:00 PM Sun
Guimaraes-0.1 (-0.02) Paços Ferreira0.1 (0.01) 0.2 (0.03) 1:00 PM Sun
-8.78(-0.78)0.00 (0.00)(0.93)9.73
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)

Flash Chart

Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)

Flash Chart

What If

Chances based on how well Benfica finishs out the season.   Explain (show)

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance team will finish the season at position
W-D-LPCT12345678910111213141516DemotedCount
22-0-01.000100No1,000
20-2-0.939100No1
19-3-0.909100No2
19-2-1.894100No6
19-1-2.879100No27
19-0-3.864100No41
18-2-2.848100No105
18-1-3.833100No176
18-0-4.818100No369
17-2-3.803100No781
17-1-4.788100No1,374
17-0-5.7731000No2,468
16-2-4.7581000No4,106
16-1-5.7421000No6,841
16-0-6.7271000No11,247
15-2-5.71210000No17,707
15-1-6.697991No26,520
15-0-7.6829910No39,434
14-2-6.6679820No56,728
14-1-7.6529640No79,407
14-0-8.6369460No109,166
13-2-7.62192800No144,445
13-1-8.606881200No187,670
13-0-9.591821710No237,021
12-2-8.5767623200No293,659
12-1-9.5616730300No351,607
12-0-10.5455637700No411,655
11-2-9.530454212100No471,576
11-1-10.515334519300No526,817
11-0-11.5002243277100No573,972
10-2-10.48513373514200No610,466
10-1-11.47062738236100No630,087
10-0-12.4552163431143000No638,786
9-2-11.4391724352481000No629,859
9-1-12.42402122932185100No606,690
9-0-13.409004173229143000No568,143
8-2-12.3940017213226112000No518,813
8-1-13.37900292433238200No459,614
8-0-14.364002112632217100No398,461
7-2-13.348003122732196100No333,445
7-1-14.33300041429311751000.0273,839
7-0-15.31800151630301430000.0218,025
6-2-14.3030016193228122000.2167,416
6-1-15.28800182334248101.3124,867
6-0-16.27300212283419505.090,513
5-2-15.25801417333112213.963,369
5-1-16.2420018253724528.542,752
5-0-17.2270031536351146.527,760
4-2-16.21201727432164.317,351
4-1-17.1970319453478.310,526
4-0-18.1820110414889.05,947
3-2-17.167005356094.73,280
3-1-18.1522287097.61,557
3-0-19.13601188198.5851
2-2-18.1211189Yes399
2-1-19.106793Yes161
2-0-20.091100Yes65
1-2-19.076100Yes24
0-4-18.061100Yes3
0-3-19.045100Yes2
0-2-20.030100Yes1
0-0-22.000100Yes1,000
Total:221613108765432211100.7%10,000,000