SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

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Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWorld Cup QualifyingChance will finish regular season at seed
PGW-OTLTGD%Change%Change12345678Avg.ChangeRPI
Tahiti31-000475.2%-2.392.5%-1.92024181398713.2-0.274Tahiti
New Caledonia10-001048.2+0.175.7+2.1611102217111774.7+0.026New Caledonia
Papua New Guinea10-001048.2+0.275.7+2.1611102217111774.7+0.026Papua New Guinea
Samoa00-010-426.2+2.359.0+6.61799141921205.7+0.266Samoa

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 5/28
Tahiti 4 Samoa 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Qualifying100.0*Average seed
Tahiti+25.5
+19.7
+1.4
New Caledonia-0.1
+0.1
Papua New Guinea-0.1
+0.1
Samoa-25.0
-19.3
-1.3
Papua New Guinea 1 New Caledonia 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Qualifying100.0*Average seed
Tahiti+0.5
-0.5
New Caledonia-1.4
-0.9
-0.2
Papua New Guinea-1.4
-0.9
-0.2
Samoa+0.4
-0.5
Vanuatu 0 New Zealand 5
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Qualifying100.0*Average seed
Tahiti-0.1
+1.1
-0.1
New Caledonia+0.3
+2.5
Papua New Guinea+0.2
+2.4
Samoa+0.4
+3.3
+0.1
New Zealand 3 Fiji 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Qualifying100.0*Average seed
Tahiti-0.1
-0.2
-0.0
New Caledonia-0.1
-0.2
-0.0
Papua New Guinea-0.1
-0.2
-0.0
Samoa-0.1
-0.2
-0.0
Vanuatu 0 Solomon Islands 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Qualifying100.0*Average seed
Tahiti-0.1
-0.2
-0.0
New Caledonia-0.1
-0.2
-0.0
Papua New Guinea-0.1
-0.2
-0.0
Samoa-0.1
-0.1
-0.0
New Caledonia vs SamoaIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Qualifying100.0*Average seed
Tahiti73.876.276.1
95.494.189.0
3.33.13.3
New Caledonia78.940.520.9
Yes82.548.5
3.25.06.0
Papua New Guinea46.449.949.2
75.373.677.0
4.84.74.6
Samoa0.425.652.4
31.849.090.5
7.06.04.3
Papua New Guinea vs TahitiHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Qualifying100.0*Average seed
Tahiti49.677.699.8
81.8YesYes
4.63.21.9
New Caledonia47.049.549.0
71.974.780.0
4.84.64.6
Papua New Guinea78.939.621.2
Yes68.154.6
3.25.36.0
Samoa24.429.126.9
55.660.561.7
5.75.65.7
Solomon Islands vs FijiHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Qualifying100.0*Average seed
Tahiti75.575.374.8
93.792.991.2
3.33.13.2
New Caledonia48.849.147.3
78.276.273.0
4.74.64.7
Papua New Guinea48.849.047.3
78.276.273.0
4.74.64.7
Samoa26.326.1*26.2
61.759.556.1
5.65.75.7
Week of 6/4
Papua New Guinea vs SamoaIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Qualifying100.0*Average seed
Tahiti73.876.376.1
95.494.189.0
3.33.13.3
New Caledonia46.550.049.3
75.373.677.0
4.84.74.6
Papua New Guinea78.940.420.8
Yes82.548.5
3.25.06.0
Samoa0.325.652.4
31.848.990.5
7.06.04.3
Tahiti vs New CaledoniaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Qualifying100.0*Average seed
Tahiti99.877.649.6
YesYes81.8
1.93.24.6
New Caledonia21.239.678.9
54.668.2Yes
6.05.33.2
Papua New Guinea48.949.547.0
79.974.771.9
4.64.64.8
Samoa26.929.124.4
61.760.555.6
5.75.65.7
New Zealand vs Solomon IslandsHomeTieAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Qualifying100.0*Average seed
Tahiti77.475.772.8
93.891.691.6
New Caledonia53.349.642.7
75.875.675.6
4.64.64.8
Papua New Guinea53.249.542.6
75.875.675.6
4.64.64.8
Samoa28.426.523.9
61.157.557.5
5.65.85.7
Fiji vs VanuatuHomeTieAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Qualifying100.0*Average seed
Tahiti72.975.177.6
92.697.290.5
3.33.13.2
New Caledonia43.048.553.4
76.580.073.1
4.74.64.6
Papua New Guinea42.948.553.4
76.580.073.0
4.74.64.6
Samoa24.126.028.5
59.465.555.8
5.75.65.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:22 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)