"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Qualifying100.0*Average seed
New Zealand 3 Fiji 1 -25.0
-18.6
-1.3
Vanuatu 0 New Zealand 5 -0.7
+3.2
+0.0
Papua New Guinea 1 New Caledonia 1 -0.5
-0.4
-0.1
Tahiti 4 Samoa 0 -0.1
-0.4
Vanuatu 0 Solomon Islands 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Solomon Islands vs Fiji-14.0+13.9+61.3
-4.2+3.6+19.4
-0.5+0.4+2.0
New Caledonia vs Samoa-1.6+4.0+1.3
+2.0+0.7-6.1
-0.1+0.2-0.0
Papua New Guinea vs Tahiti-1.5-0.9+1.6
-0.8-0.2+0.7
-0.1-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 6/4100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Qualifying100.0*Average seed
Fiji vs Vanuatu+5.8-7.5-13.3
+21.8-9.9-67.2
+0.6-0.5-1.6
New Zealand vs Solomon Islands+2.6-3.1-4.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.1
Papua New Guinea vs Samoa-1.0+4.0+1.0
+0.9-0.6-8.1
-0.0+0.1-0.1
Tahiti vs New Caledonia+0.6-0.7-1.2
+1.4-0.4-3.5
+0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Fiji finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inWorld CupChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTLTplayoffsQualifying12345678Count
62-00098.7%Yes118631714,793,400
41-00146.9Yes0113639148,290,345
31-0101.597.0%0232643029,160,674
20-0020.291.2088391,918,515
10-011Out43.704440169,630,212
00-020OutNo29717,923,862
Total:14.7%76.7%01672141121261,717,008
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs