SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Being true to yourself,
80’s style

Fredrikstad FK Title Chances 2021-2022 50/50

Tied Aalesund 2-2, average seed up 0.04 to 3.7

49 points 14-7-7

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 10/23	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Eliteserien	100.0*	Average seed
Grorud 1 Fredrikstad 2	+3.5		+12.0		+0.3
Fredrikstad 2 Åsane 3	-2.5		-12.4		-0.3
HamKam 3 Ranheim 0	-2.2		-1.1
Jerv 3 Start 2	-0.4		-5.1		-0.1
KFUM 2 Aalesund 4	-0.2		-6.4		-0.1
Ullensaker/Kisa 0 HamKam 0	+0.2		*-0.1
Aalesund 2 Sandnes Ulf 2	+0.1		+1.0		+0.0
Stjørdals-Blink 2 Jerv 2	+0.1		+2.0		+0.0

Week of 11/1	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Eliteserien	100.0*	Average seed
Sandnes Ulf 2 Fredrikstad 1	-1.1		-9.2		-0.3
HamKam 2 Raufoss 1	-1.0		-0.2
Aalesund 3 Start 2	-0.1		-6.1		-0.1
Jerv 0 Grorud 0	+0.1		+1.5		+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Fredrikstad finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance				Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	wins title		Eliteserien		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	PostNord-ligaen		Count

55		2	-	0	-	0	No		11.0	%		11	78	11													No		425,539,725
53		1	-	1	-	0	No		No				42	58													No		694,114,206
52		1	-	0	-	1	No		No				33	67													No		850,095,898
51		0	-	2	-	0	No		No				13	87													No		283,378,851
50		0	-	1	-	1	No		No					100													No		694,129,273
49		0	-	0	-	2	No		No					96	4												No		425,531,887

Total:							No		1.4	%		1	28	70	1												No		3,372,789,840

Points

Chance Will Win Championship