How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/2100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Czech Republic 1 Germany 2 -6.9
-2.4
-0.3
San Marino 0 N Ireland 3 +2.6
+3.2
+0.8
Kazakhstan 0 Montenegro 3 -0.2
-0.0
Denmark 4 Poland 0 -0.2
Serbia 3 Moldova 0 -0.1
Georgia 1 Republic of Ire 1 *+0.1
Bulgaria 3 Sweden 2 +0.1
Finland 1 Iceland 0 +0.1
Greece 0 Estonia 0 +0.1
Cyprus 3 Bosnia-Herzegov 2 +0.1
Portugal 5 Faroe Islands 1 -0.0
Slovakia 1 Slovenia 0 -0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the N Ireland finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inDirectChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffsqualify123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354Count
252-0-07.7%53.8%00142044445165,112,654
231-1-0Out50.046035152,815,445
221-0-1Out50.0029601010128,253,945
210-2-0Out50.0011523061033,826,578
200-1-1Out50.021631301651050,206,451
190-0-2Out47.900414283219411,207,367
Total:2.3%51.1%000110153830742100541,422,440
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs