How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vegas 3 St. Louis 2 (ot)+2.5
+0.3
+1.1
NY Islanders 5 San Jose 3 +0.4
Calgary 2 Minnesota 4 +0.3
Philadelphia 2 Edmonton 1 +0.2
-0.1
NY Rangers 4 Nashville 2 +0.2
Columbus 4 Los Angeles 6 -0.2
-0.1
Dallas 4 Carolina 3 -0.1
Ottawa 6 Toronto 3 +0.1
Arizona 2 Chicago 4 -0.1
Tampa Bay 7 Pittsburgh 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Detroit vs Vancouver+0.3*-0.0*+0.1-0.4-0.3-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vegas finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
126-162In100.0%1002,616*
1255315-7In99.810001,328*
1245316-6In99.6100001,974*
1235216-7In99.4100003,129*
1225116-8In99.0100004,748*
1215117-7In98.499016,752*
1205017-8In97.299019,901*
1195018-7In95.9980114,277*
1184918-8In94.5981120,062*
1174919-7In92.2971226,976*
1164819-8In89.1952336,489*
1154820-7In84.99324048,538*
1144720-8In79.69135062,916*
1134620-9In72.88857080,249*
1124621-8In64.78479099,763*
1114521-9In55.1799120123,992*
1104522-8In45.07212150149,653*
1094422-9In35.166151900179,714*
1084423-8In25.458182310210,547*
1074323-9In16.7492228100243,395*
1064324-8In10.0402533200275,551*
1054224-9In5.2312838300307,020*
1044225-8In2.3232943500337,318*
1034125-9In0.9163047700364,924*
1024126-8100.0%0.310285011100387,002*
1014026-9100.00.16265315100405,986*
1004027-8100.00.03225320300418,345*
993927-9100.00.011851254000424,933*
983928-899.90.011347317100423,315*
973828-999.7No094236102000417,617*
963829-898.9No0636391351000403,329*
953729-996.8No0429401683000384,347*
943730-892.7No022240161361000360,282*
933630-984.8No0116371517114100333,270*
923631-872.9No1103211191682000302,539*
913531-957.7No062581821145100271,410*
903532-841.7No04194142321113000240,024*
893432-927.2No0213292126177100208,680*
883433-816.3No0191517272412300177,955*
873333-98.9No0150311242919710150,750*
863334-84.4No030161830261330124,664*
853234-92.1No0020031226311960102,043*
843235-80.9No01001720322710182,330*
833135-90.4No0000414293317364,968*
823136-80.2No0000028243724550,728*
813036-90.0No00015183632839,205*
803037-80.0No0021233381429,835*
792937-90.0No001828441922,120*
782938-80.0No0000522462616,267*
772838-9OutNo00317463511,638*
762839-8OutNo011245428,370*
752739-9OutNo1841505,782*
742740-8OutNo0536594,019*
732640-9OutNo0432642,742*
722641-8OutNo0226721,859*
712541-9OutNo222761,169*
702542-8OutNo11683814*
692442-9OutNo01585508*
682443-8OutNo1090283*
672343-9OutNo991214*
662344-8OutNo1990127*
652244-9OutNo89273*
642245-8OutNo79343*
632145-9OutNo10024*
622146-8OutNo69417*
12-61OutNo100702*
Total:83.1%8.0%161228175444322108,492,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Vegas finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupLos AngelesChicagoSt. LouisDallasNashvilleMinnesotaColoradoVancouverWinnipegAnaheimCalgarySan JoseEdmontonArizona
162750-08.7%387119111161066552
1396210-3NoYes
1366112-2No333333
1355810-720.02020202020
134569-10No1733171717
1335812-5No136613666131966
1325611-810.031010173337102337
1315612-78.042486814108101646
1305613-616.551197788811541242
1295513-72.6388119976612865
1285413-89.427611812977710652
1275414-77.724991191061089751
1265314-87.948810111177876652
1255315-78.03671198107899851
1245316-69.03871081097978761
1235216-79.53771010998988751
1225116-88.2377999108977752
1215117-78.43779910108977752
1205017-88.537799998988752
1195018-79.137799998988752
1184918-88.4377910998878752
1174919-78.837799998988852
1164819-88.737799998988852
1154820-78.637799998988852
1144720-88.737799998888852
1134620-98.637788999899852
1124621-88.637788889899852
1114521-98.546688889899952
1104522-88.54668888107910952
1094422-98.446677781071010952
1084423-88.3566777711710111051
1074323-98.1666777711611111051
1064324-88.1755666612612121161
1054224-98.0855666613512121161
1044225-87.9944555513413131261
1034125-97.81044544414413131261
1024126-87.61144444415314141361
1014026-97.51233333315315151361
1004027-87.41333333316215151461
993927-97.31433322216215151461
983928-87.11533222216215151461
973828-97.01633222216216151461
963829-86.91733222216115151361
953729-96.51844222215114141361
943730-86.21844222213113121151
933630-95.51854222212111111051
923631-84.81744222110199841
913531-93.7144321117177631
903532-82.7103211115155421
893432-91.772210004033310
883433-81.141100002022210
873333-90.520000001011100
863334-80.310000001011100
853335-70.100000000000000
843235-80.100000000000000
833135-90.00000000000
823136-80.000000000
813238-50.00000000
803037-80.000
792937-9No0
782938-8No0
12-77No
Total:6.2%10.73.63.63.43.23.23.211.42.911.010.99.94.81.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Vegas 3 St. Louis 2 (ot)-0.6
Calgary 2 Minnesota 4 -0.1
Columbus 4 Los Angeles 6 +0.1
NY Islanders 5 San Jose 3 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit vs Vancouver-0.1+0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
127-162100
1265314-81000
1255315-710000
1245316-6100000
1235216-799000
1225116-899100
1215117-798101
1205017-897201
1195018-796201
1184918-895311
1174919-792512
1164819-8896203
1154820-7859240
1144720-88012305000
1134620-97315507000
1124621-86519709000
1114521-955249012000
1104522-8452712015000
1094422-935301411810000
1084423-8253217121101000
1074323-91732193243110000
1064324-810302152652020000
1054224-95262072793030000
1044225-8220191125135050000
1034125-91151614201880710000
1024126-80101217152212191001000
1014026-906818924173113101000
1004027-8034174231961262020000
993927-9012152191911111050400000
983928-801112013161781481611000
973828-90090812235161227320000
963829-80060472521615685401000
953729-900402324112151279713100
943730-8002112008121941294520000
933630-9001001505824213899510000
923631-81001002425111514119520000
913531-9000612230821591411621000
903532-800040118041146131613731000
893432-900020013020928151915941000
883433-8010091051391720171041000
873333-901005003014101822191141000
863334-8003010014111923201151000
853234-900200001511202420114100
843235-801000001513212519103100
833135-9000000026142325188200
823136-800000002716252516610
813036-9000013102027241230
803037-8000141324292071
792937-900027193027132
782938-800013122633205
772838-900272034289
762839-800314333515
752739-9019274121
742740-8015224230
732640-9003164139
722641-801124146
712541-90193655
702542-8052867
692442-9022969
682443-811980
672343-911584
662344-821880
652244-91585
642245-8991
632145-9100
622146-8694
12-61100
Total:8867786744462322222222111111000