How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Ottawa 3 Winnipeg 4 (ot)-0.3
Los Angeles 2 Colorado 3 +0.2
-0.1
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vegas vs Arizona+2.9+2.5+1.9-1.6-1.6-4.9
+0.4+0.3*+0.2*-0.1-0.3-0.6
+1.7+1.6+1.3-1.0-1.1-2.9
Anaheim vs Minnesota-0.4-0.5-0.4*-0.0+0.3+0.6
St. Louis vs San Jose+0.5*+0.1*+0.0-0.6-0.4-0.5
+0.1*-0.0*+0.0*-0.0*-0.1-0.1
Toronto vs Edmonton+0.4*+0.0*-0.0-0.4-0.5-0.5
-0.1*-0.1*-0.0*+0.1*+0.1+0.1
Vancouver vs Montreal-0.4-0.4-0.4*+0.1*+0.1+0.5
+0.2*-0.0+0.2-0.2-0.3-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vegas finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
90-112In99.8%1001,933*
89399-5In99.610001,274*
883910-4In99.71002,153*
873810-5In99.3100003,531*
863811-4In98.8100005,791*
853711-5In97.999008,865*
843712-4In96.7990113,113*
833612-5In95.0991119,581*
823613-4In92.39811027,277*
813513-5In88.29721037,891*
803514-4In82.59432051,425*
793414-5In74.69253066,967*
783314-6In64.88875086,138*
773315-5In53.3821070107,607*
763215-6In40.87614100131,730*
753216-5In28.067191400158,162*
743116-6In17.156241810182,993*
733117-5100.0%8.7452924200209,550*
723017-6100.03.8333429300234,407*
713018-5100.01.2223635600253,792*
702918-6100.00.314354110100271,315*
692919-599.90.073244152000283,403*
682819-699.70.032645224000287,962*
672820-599.20.0119432970100287,088*
662720-698.0No0133735121200280,263*
652721-595.3No0730381734000267,910*
642621-690.2No0421382078100250,067*
632622-581.8No0213331915134100228,065*
622522-670.1No172614231892000204,550*
612523-555.7No031782720177100179,068*
602423-640.5No01103251723155100154,055*
592424-526.6No01512011242311300129,270*
582324-616.0No0020136202920820106,610*
572325-58.6No001083132828154085,571*
562225-64.1No0004172131249167,661*
552226-51.8No00020314293117452,330*
542126-60.8No01018223426839,170*
532127-50.3No000041533341429,057*
522027-60.1No000002928402221,222*
512028-50.1No001521433114,821*
501928-6OutNo00315414110,289*
491929-5OutNo001937537,175*
481829-6OutNo01632614,658*
471830-5OutNo00326703,169*
461730-6OutNo0222761,918*
451731-5OutNo116831,227*
441631-6OutNo11288727*
431632-5OutNo1090434*
421532-6OutNo892237*
411533-5OutNo397150*
401433-6OutNo29885*
38-39OutNo10062*
371234-7OutNo79314*
6-36OutNo100397*
Total:82.9%9.8%211522155543332114,874,180

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Vegas finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupCalgaryColoradoNashvilleMinnesotaWinnipegDallasArizonaSt. LouisAnaheimSan JoseLos AngelesVancouverEdmontonChicago
112530-010.0%374768967851399
99455-3No5050
97435-525.0255025
96436-47.1714211421714
95437-312.08124412841688124
94427-49.228595831114611588
93428-311.7104112541196981176
92418-411.0361071051439107754
91408-510.458987888785776
90409-410.5667109777896496
89399-511.948788797787876
883910-411.058688887876876
873810-511.657788798887776
863811-411.257688798877776
853711-511.058788887877785
843712-410.657787788877775
833612-510.457788788887775
823613-410.657788788877775
813513-511.067788887877775
803514-410.967788887877775
793414-510.867788797887765
783314-610.767788797887675
773315-510.867788797887665
763215-610.677778797887665
753216-510.6777787107987664
743116-610.4867777107988664
733117-510.3967677116998664
723017-610.111666661261098653
713018-510.0135556612510108663
702918-69.7144555513511109662
692919-59.61644444144121110662
682819-69.31734344153121110661
672820-59.01833333153121210661
662720-68.61933333152121210661
652721-58.21933333142121110661
642621-67.6184433313211109551
632622-56.81654433112998440
622522-65.9146443392776330
612523-54.5106343262554220
602423-63.276242242333110
592424-52.144232132221000
582324-61.323121111111000
572325-50.712011011000000
562326-40.301010000000000
552226-50.10000000000000
542227-40.1000000000000
532127-50.00000000000
522128-40.00000000000
511927-70.0000000
6-50No
Total:7.9%11.84.54.24.44.24.010.43.88.68.27.34.94.71.8
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Los Angeles 2 Colorado 3 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Vegas vs Arizona-0.8-0.7-0.5+0.4+0.4+1.3
Anaheim vs Minnesota+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.1
St. Louis vs San Jose-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Vancouver vs Montreal+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1
Toronto vs Edmonton-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
92-112100
91408-51000
90409-41000
89399-510000
883910-41000
873810-599100
863811-499100
853711-598200
843712-497201
833612-595411
823613-4926110
813513-5888210
803514-4831230200
793414-5751750300
783314-66523705000
773315-553291007000
763215-6413513110000
753216-5283917213100000
743116-61739204152101000
733117-59362281751020000
723017-6430211317930300000
713018-51211719151550510000
702918-6013122310209182001000
692919-5077255231341051020000
682819-60332322014991030300000
672820-5011180141216716615201000
662720-600120872231910375102000
652721-5007033231171196113031000
642621-60041119011917416615310000
632622-5002001306523118956741000
622522-610072222014913499621000
612523-50003111608621271212831000
602423-600100100332303814151162000
592424-50100511190139161815831000
582324-6000020013001391620181151000
572325-50001007000138162221136200
562225-600000400138162322157200
552226-5000020012816242416610
542126-601001381825251551
532127-50000139202824122
522027-60000014122531206
512028-50001718322912
501928-600311283820
491929-50015214132
481829-6003143944
471830-50193357
461730-60143164
451731-522374
441631-611782
431632-501386
421532-61189
411533-5496
401433-6496
38-39100
371234-7793
6-36100
Total:101169574635352423111222111111110