How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington 4 Edmonton 2 +0.4
Boston 2 Dallas 1 (ot)*-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Arizona vs Philadelphia-0.2-0.3*-0.2+0.3*+0.2+0.4
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto vs Vegas-3.3*-0.1*+0.1+3.7+4.1+4.2
-0.1*+0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Tampa Bay vs Edmonton+0.4*+0.2*-0.1*-0.2-0.5-0.5
Detroit vs Vancouver+0.4*-0.0*-0.1*-0.2-0.4-0.3
Los Angeles vs Anaheim+0.3*+0.1*+0.1-0.3-0.4-0.2
Columbus vs Dallas+0.3*+0.1*+0.1*-0.2*-0.2-0.3
San Jose vs Minnesota*-0.1-0.2*-0.2*-0.1-0.3+0.2
St. Louis vs Carolina-0.2*-0.2*-0.2+0.3*-0.0+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vegas finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
119-149InYes100365*
1185013-5In89.3%93728*
1174812-8In86.7891145*
1164813-7In89.493794*
1154814-6In86.5928156*
1144714-7In76.988121216*
1134614-8In70.282162416*
1124615-7In61.974224691*
1114515-8In56.77223501,022*
1104516-7In42.16230801,519*
1094416-8In30.853361102,485*
1084417-7In21.945401413,750*
1074317-8In14.1354419105,293*
1064318-7In8.4274724207,851*
1054218-8In4.019482940011,127*
1044219-7In1.712473460015,064*
1034119-8In0.68433991020,503*
1024120-7100.0%0.1437431420027,374*
1014020-8100.00.0231441930035,755*
1003920-9100.00.0123442561045,662*
993921-899.80.00174031920057,278*
983821-999.3No01235351341070,497*
973822-898.1No07283717820085,534*
963722-994.9No04213719134100101,802*
953723-888.4No021533191992000119,108*
943623-977.8No110281623156100137,022*
933624-863.4No162212242211300154,571*
923524-946.5No031572127187100171,102*
913525-830.3No01104152725134100186,375*
903425-917.5No016292329218200199,694*
893426-88.7No0031517282715400209,128*
883326-94.0No0020210243122810217,211*
873327-81.6No0010151730291430220,139*
863227-90.6No0000021125332271220,426*
853228-80.2No000016193329121217,287*
843128-90.1No000003122934183209,039*
833129-80.0No000172337265198,940*
823029-90.0No00041736339186,082*
813030-80.0No000211324014171,491*
802930-9OutNo0017274421154,040*
792931-8OutNo004214628136,732*
782831-9OutNo002164537119,750*
772832-80.0No0001114345102,491*
762732-9OutNo017385486,127*
752733-8OutNo005346171,816*
742633-9OutNo003296858,406*
732634-8OutNo02237546,703*
722534-9OutNo01198036,756*
712535-8OutNo01158528,544*
702435-9OutNo0118921,677*
692436-8OutNo099116,247*
682336-9OutNo079311,734*
672337-8OutNo04968,606*
662237-9OutNo3976,101*
652238-8OutNo2984,274*
642239-7OutNo2982,973*
632139-8OutNo1991,970*
622039-9OutNo1991,322*
612040-8OutNo199837*
601940-9OutNo100533*
591941-8OutNo0100348*
581841-9OutNo0100208*
13-57OutNo100619*
Total:23.6%0.2%0258357810121314124,230,956

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Vegas finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNashvilleColoradoArizonaMinnesotaCalgaryDallasSan JoseEdmontonWinnipegVancouverAnaheimSt. LouisChicagoLos Angeles
149680-02.4%2868911911768861
1225110-7No3367
1215010-833.317171750
1205011-7No111111111111111111
1195012-6No113311221111
1185013-5No7771118714411411
1174812-82.27777711111174994
1164813-73.23410631361011131074
1154814-63.2271141288101071074
1144714-73.719799119105124761
1134614-83.43698911127787651
1124615-74.6261081198111095541
1114515-83.2281089881010107451
1104516-73.4388810810910107541
1094416-83.8371071091110997541
1084417-73.6361171181110896541
1074317-83.3361171281211896431
1064318-73.3361371271211896431
1054218-83.2361371271212796431
1044219-73.53614614612126106331
1034119-83.32515614613135106321
1024120-73.12416415513134106321
1014020-83.03417416414134116221
1003920-93.03317316315153116211
993921-82.93318317314153116111
983821-92.85319316215152116111
973822-82.76318316214142116111
963722-92.58318316213132105001
3823-72.58318316213132106101
953723-82.41131631421212285001
3622-102.31031631421212295001
943623-92.01241331221010174001
3724-71.91231431121010174001
933624-81.61231139287153000
3523-101.61231139287153000
923524-91.2103726155142000
913525-80.772524133121000
903526-70.441312022011000
893426-80.221101011010000
883427-70.110101000000000
873327-80.000000000000000
863227-90.000000000000000
853228-80.00000000000000
843229-70.0000000000000
833129-8No000000
823029-9No000
813030-8No00
78-80No
772832-8No0
13-76No
Total:0.6%2.81.04.00.93.50.73.13.00.62.21.20.20.20.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Washington 4 Edmonton 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto vs Vegas+0.8-0.0-0.0-0.8-0.9-1.0
Tampa Bay vs Edmonton-0.0*-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1
Los Angeles vs Anaheim-0.0-0.0*-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.0
San Jose vs Minnesota+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
119-149100
1185013-58947
1174812-887211
1164813-78937
1154713-88758
1144714-77711121
1134614-87012162
1124615-762122204
1114515-8571623050
1104516-74220290800
1094416-8312235110010
1084417-7222338312111
1074317-81421404161210
1064318-781840718332000
1054218-841538101946030000
1044219-721133141879050000
1034119-8172717151014080110
1024120-7041819111219112112000
1014020-8021219612232143303000
1003920-901617311255145606010
993921-80031418239128110912000
983821-901100518138101611224010
973822-800702111541120214480200
963722-900401614292151361214100
953723-800203120618991016292000
943623-901019031213511176156100
933624-81005017142101410201241000
923524-90003003121781320191031000
913525-8001019043121522191031000
903425-9001006021981823181041000
893426-8000003010531019231911510000
883326-900002000214101923201252000
873327-80001001014111923211352000
863227-9000000001410192421136100
853228-8000000014101924211351000
843128-900000001411202521124100
833129-800000151322262010300
823029-900002615242618720
813030-80000281827251440
802930-9000141123292281
792931-800016172929153
782831-90003102433236
772832-800001618333111
762732-9000312293718
752733-8000017244126
742633-9004184136
732634-8002134045
722534-900193654
712535-80053164
702435-90032572
692436-80022078
682336-9011683
672337-811188
662237-90891
652238-80694
642239-70595
632139-80496
622039-9298
612040-8298
601940-9199
591941-80100
581841-90100
56-57100
551844-6397
13-54100
Total:0011012211332233444455556666665