How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
New Jersey 5 Dallas 2 +0.1
Vancouver 4 San Jose 3 (ot)-0.1
+0.0
NY Rangers 4 Los Angeles 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington vs Anaheim+0.3*+0.0*-0.0-0.3-0.4-0.4
Calgary vs Nashville-0.3-0.3-0.2+0.0+0.0+0.3
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Philadelphia vs Dallas+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Minnesota vs Edmonton-0.0-0.1-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.1
Colorado vs Tampa Bay-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0*-0.0+0.1
+0.5+0.1+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3
St. Louis vs Winnipeg+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0
NY Islanders vs Los Angeles+0.1*-0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0
+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vegas finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
129-144In99.8%10010,185*
128416-4In96.810001,238*
127417-3In95.310002,713*
126407-4In93.610005,285*
125397-5In90.3100010,127*
124398-4In87.41000018,500*
123388-5In83.1991032,725*
122389-4In78.4991056,642*
121379-5In72.6981094,041*
1203710-4In66.09720151,318*
1193610-5In59.396310236,520*
1183611-4In51.694510357,307*
1173511-5In43.991720523,938*
1163512-4In36.1871030749,110*
1153412-5In28.68214401,038,563*
1143312-6In21.57619601,400,279*
1133313-5In15.56824801,841,170*
1123213-6In10.4593011002,351,937*
1113214-5In6.5493515002,932,988*
1103114-6In3.7404020003,563,834*
1093115-5In1.9304425104,216,529*
1083015-6In0.8214731204,873,757*
1073016-5In0.3144737305,491,734*
1062916-6In0.1844434006,044,441*
1052917-5In0.0440487006,493,392*
1042817-6100.0%0.023553100006,810,534*
1032818-5100.00.0128551500006,978,363*
1022718-6100.00.002256211006,986,220*
1012719-5100.00.0016552710006,830,737*
1002619-6100.0No0125234200006,529,863*
992620-599.8No084641410006,104,917*
982520-699.3No054047531005,570,972*
972521-597.8No0332516520004,974,689*
962421-694.6No2255378410004,344,215*
952422-588.5No011852611930003,708,139*
942322-679.0No012495131461003,093,438*
932323-566.3No0843312191230002,525,787*
922223-651.8No0535210221961002,016,571*
912224-537.6No0327172226123001,573,814*
902124-625.3No0119041830206101,201,271*
892125-515.8No0113021330281120897,715*
882025-69.3No00801826331940655,645*
872026-55.1No0500419352791466,607*
861926-62.7No03002133234152325,083*
851927-51.3No010182637234221,906*
841827-60.6No010041837328147,334*
831828-50.2No000212343913095,593*
821728-60.1No0017274420061,450*
811729-50.0No004204629037,980*
801629-60.0No002154538023,114*
791630-5OutNo0194149013,833*
781530-6OutNo005365807,763*
771531-5OutNo04306614,465*
761431-6OutNo02247412,495*
751432-5OutNo1207821,310*
741332-6OutNo012862687*
731333-5OutNo18865338*
721334-4OutNo5923164*
711234-5OutNo589681*
701235-4OutNo390839*
691135-5OutNo4831323*
681136-4OutNo89119*
671036-5OutNo80205*
66835-8OutNo1001
65836-7OutNo1001
42051-0OutNo01009,204
Total:93.1%2.4%12223521222211000114,720,648

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Vegas finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNashvilleLos AngelesSt. LouisWinnipegSan JoseChicagoMinnesotaDallasAnaheimCalgaryColoradoVancouverEdmontonArizona
144510-06.2%31710417181864831
136463-2NoYes
135453-3No5050
134443-4No2020202020
133444-39.199181818189
132434-45.6383311786888
131435-33.721897161615631142
130425-46.32188423131855851
129426-36.432611315161785832
128416-45.64169415181975831
127417-36.131611417171675741
126407-46.331610416181675841
125397-56.221610417181675841
124398-46.631610417181675841
123388-56.531610416171675841
122389-46.431610416181675841
121379-56.231610416181675841
1203710-46.2316114161716758410
1193610-56.331611516171675841
1183611-46.131611516171575841
1173511-56.231611516171575841
1163512-46.232611616171575741
1153412-56.1327117161714757410
1143312-66.1327118161614757310
1133313-56.0327119161613757310
1123213-66.0337111115151375631
1113214-55.93371113151412756310
1103114-65.83471115141311755310
1093115-55.83571118131210754310
1083015-65.7366102212119754310
1073016-55.637692511107863310
1062916-65.53958291096863310
1052917-55.42115732975862310
1042817-65.32134636764962410
1032818-55.22143539654972410
1022718-65.111634414431071410
1012719-55.011823443321081410
1002619-64.911922452211181410
992620-54.812022462111180410
982520-64.722121461111180410
972521-54.532121451101080410
962421-64.34212142100970410
952422-54.05203139100860410
942322-63.56183134000750310
932323-52.96153129000540210
922223-62.34122123000430210
912224-51.6381117000320100
902124-61.1261012000210100
892125-50.713008000110000
882025-60.402005000100000
872026-50.2010030000000
861926-60.10100200000000
851927-50.10000100000
841827-60.00000000
831828-50.0000000
821728-60.000000
811729-5No0000
801730-4No0
42-79No
Total:4.8%2.612.73.75.131.76.35.74.48.36.22.03.51.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Rangers 4 Los Angeles 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Islanders vs Los Angeles-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Washington vs Anaheim-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
132-144100
131435-3982
130425-4991
129426-3982
128416-49730
127417-39550
126407-49460
125397-590100
124398-4871200
123388-5831610
122389-4782110
121379-5732610
1203710-46631200
1193610-559373010
1183611-4524250100
1173511-54447702000
1163512-436511003000
1153412-529541404000
1143312-622541806000
1133313-515532308000
1123213-61049281110000
1113214-56433321401000
1103114-6436374181100000
1093115-5228386211301000
1083015-6120379232502000
1073016-50133413244903000
1062916-608281622615040000
1052917-504211918822060100
1042817-602142013930190100000
1032818-501920893621113000000
1022718-60051748395122701000
1012719-500214153810123120100000
1002619-60111033315952002000000
992620-5007012520662813010000
982520-60050116233635341301000
972521-50030010231440642502000
962421-6020520033911437141000
952422-50010216013417249283000
942322-600011101272214851371000
932323-5000700192403671613510000
922223-600501223023715191131000
912224-500307200116112118931000
902124-6001031600046172317830000
892125-50010112000221021241782000
882025-600018001141323241672000
872026-5005000161624241561000
861926-60030000028182623135100
851927-50010001310212722114100
841827-6001000014122327209200
831828-500001615262717610
821728-60002819282513300
811729-50001311243021810
801629-6000161729291530
791630-5002924342370
781530-6015183232120
771531-502122737201
761431-6162341282
751432-5021439414
741332-619335170
731333-516275512
721334-42195920
711234-52175327
701235-43136718
691135-5134839
681136-44456
671036-56040
66835-8100
65836-7100
42051-00100
Total:2913983167521241111221110000000000