How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Vancouver vs Buffalo-0.1*-0.0*-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Vegas vs Pittsburgh+0.5+0.5+0.4-0.1*-0.0-0.7
+0.1*+0.0*+0.0*+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Edmonton vs Calgary-0.1-0.1-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Dallas vs Winnipeg-0.1*-0.0*-0.0*-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs Columbus-0.1*-0.1-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
St. Louis vs Ottawa-0.0-0.1*-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Colorado vs Los Angeles-0.0*-0.0*-0.0*-0.0*-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vegas finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
122-126In95.4%100481*
121302-1In60.0905520*
120292-2In61.710060*
119293-1In39.99433163*
118283-2In37.49434462*
117273-3In27.289471,047*
116274-2In19.5826122,251*
115264-3In13.77581704,455*
114265-2In7.665112408,499*
113255-3In4.6551331115,379*
112256-2In2.1441539225,743*
111246-3In1.0331747341,411*
110247-2In0.3231754563,384*
109237-3In0.1151660892,822*
108227-4In0.09146313130,638*
107228-3In0.051264190174,490*
106218-4InNo3962270223,760*
105219-3InNo1658350277,303*
104209-4InNo0452440329,012*
1032010-3InNo0244530377,067*
1021910-4InNo0137620413,501*
1011911-3InNo01297000439,488*
1001811-4InNo00237700449,278*
991812-3InNo00178210444,011*
981712-4InNo00128620421,958*
971713-3100.0%No0889300389,549*
961613-4100.0No0589500345,113*
951614-3100.0No03888000295,494*
941514-499.9No028412100245,950*
931515-399.7No179173000196,267*
921415-499.0No171217100152,735*
911416-397.0No0612312300114,117*
901316-492.3No051221971082,531*
891317-383.4No03919251330057,543*
881217-469.9No02914282181038,877*
871218-352.3No19825291540025,708*
861118-434.5No12418312491016,127*
851119-319.6No7211283116409,844*
841019-48.8No3152133279105,692*
831020-34.0No20212283418403,112*
82920-41.0No0005203528911,761*
81921-30.3No0021230371620934*
80821-40.4No00162539244459*
79822-3OutNo21639359229*
78823-2OutNo4334617102*
77723-3OutNo17384452*
76724-2OutNo1555201020*
75624-3OutNo141443297*
74625-2OutNo60405*
73525-3OutNo50502*
72526-2OutNo1001
60033-0OutNo298474
Total:98.7%0.1%2226634110000005,919,388

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Vegas finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupCalgaryWinnipegSan JoseNashvilleColoradoDallasMinnesotaEdmontonVancouverSt. LouisArizonaAnaheimLos AngelesChicago
126330-04.4%10121515161697710
122301-2No14431429
121302-15.0101053552555
120292-25.0212101723121087
119293-12.541121717151178711
118283-26.50411114111815710801
117273-36.0081111513151398700
116274-25.60121101313131488710
115264-35.110171101212131278610
114265-24.7123191211121277500
113255-34.52030181010121166500
112256-24.44037179810956400
111246-34.3504516769945300
110247-24.0705205658734300
109237-33.8905904446623200
108227-43.61106503335522200
107228-33.51207002224312100
106218-43.41407401213311100
105219-33.21507701112201100
104209-43.21607800102101000
1032010-33.11608000001100000
199-53.01608000001100000
1021910-42.91708000001100000
1011911-32.81708100001100000
1810-52.9170810000110000
1001811-42.81708100001100000
991812-32.9170800000110000
1711-52.8170810000110000
981712-42.8171800000110000
1813-22.8171800000110000
971713-32.817179000011000
1612-52.9182790000110000
961613-42.718378100010000
951614-32.7184751000000000
941514-42.71967220000000000
931515-32.7209672000000000
921415-42.72212613000000000
911416-32.72415543000000000
901316-42.6261745300000000
891317-32.32617363000000000
881217-42.12416273000000000
871218-31.5191318200000
861118-41.01381210000
851119-30.68471000
841019-40.332300
831020-30.22110
82920-4No0000
81921-3No0
80922-2No0
60-79No
Total:2.9%16.82.473.50.60.50.60.51.41.20.30.50.40.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Calgary 6 Detroit 4 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Vegas vs Pittsburgh-0.4-0.3-0.3+0.1+0.1+0.5
Tampa Bay vs San Jose-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
126330-0964
122301-28614
121302-1603055
120292-26238
119293-1405433
118283-2375634
117273-32762470
116274-2206260120
115264-31461701700
114265-28571102310
113255-355112129201
112256-224214136302
111246-3132143407030
110247-202313442111050
109237-301511542171080
108227-40986362430130
107228-305562931501910
106218-433619357125200
105219-311511369230500
104209-401353310334100000
1032010-30022279634190000
1021910-40011207930310000
1011911-3001013511234510000
1001811-400008312155921000
991812-30005111968321000
981712-400219473551100
971713-3010727251012000
961613-4000506651814000
951614-30003056428170000
941514-400020443381111100
931515-30103124611612000
921415-400120150020151000
911416-30120500231112100
901316-40604502211834100
891317-3020370191254841000
881217-401280140274121041000
871218-3019802531418103000
861118-401241811123199200
851119-3720110620261872000
841019-43150312252716620
831020-320201515272615610
82920-400002718282414510
81921-3000291928231441
80821-40012122230191120
79822-306925292182
78823-2141425272351
77723-38122927196
76724-2155452510
75624-314292929
74625-2202060
73525-35050
72526-2100
60033-0298
Total:02115123614382100301000000000000000