Vancouver Canucks Playoff Chances

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 57.1%
0 points   0 0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Calgary vs Vancouver-4.6-0.5-0.4+4.0+4.6+5.0
-0.3-0.0*-0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3
-0.8-0.1-0.1+0.8+0.8+0.9
Los Angeles vs San Jose+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh vs Anaheim+0.4*+0.0*+0.0-0.4-0.4-0.4
Arizona vs Winnipeg-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.1-0.2+0.3
Nashville vs Ottawa-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.3
St. Louis vs NY Rangers-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1*+0.1+0.3
Edmonton vs Calgary+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.2-0.3+0.1
Dallas vs Chicago+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1
Minnesota vs Colorado+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vancouver finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
125-164In100.0%1009,989*
1245816-8In99.7100001,817*
1235716-9In99.7100003,116*
1225717-8In99.7100004,926*
1215617-9In99.7100007,911*
1205618-8In99.41000012,506*
1195518-9In98.91000018,947*
1185519-8In98.4990028,055*
1175419-9In97.5991042,162*
1165420-8In96.4991161,228*
1155320-9In94.49811086,708*
1145321-8In91.897210121,932*
1135221-9In88.195320169,597*
1125121-10In83.193430229,784*
1115122-9In76.790640307,240*
1105022-10In68.6868600405,132*
1095023-9In59.38111900523,765*
1084923-10In48.574141200669,350*
1074924-9In37.2671715100839,078*
1064824-10In26.35821201001,039,764*
1054825-9100.0%16.848252430001,262,375*
1044725-10100.09.438282940001,517,034*
1034726-9100.04.529303471001,790,668*
1024626-10100.01.8203039101002,079,817*
1014627-9100.00.51329421420002,387,008*
1004527-10100.00.1826431940002,695,454*
994528-9100.00.0422432561002,998,376*
984428-1099.90.02174030102003,287,256*
974429-999.60.0112353414300003,547,442*
964329-1098.8No08303618610003,784,316*
954330-997.0No0523362211300003,972,556*
944230-1093.0No03173423166100004,108,635*
934231-985.5No021229212111310004,190,982*
924131-1073.8No01724172417720004,214,550*
914132-958.6No04181224231341004,178,853*
904032-1042.0No0213720262092004,082,468*
894033-926.9No0184142526166103,937,626*
883933-1015.3No0152820282311303,738,332*
873934-97.8No0031414262818613,504,675*
863834-103.6No0010282130251123,238,292*
853835-91.5No0010141428311842,949,336*
843735-100.6No000002923332582,648,071*
833736-90.2No0000015163233132,344,768*
823636-100.1No000002112938202,048,672*
813637-90.0No00000162341281,765,785*
803537-100.0No0000041741371,498,565*
793538-90.0No000021239471,254,455*
783438-100.0No0001835561,036,614*
773439-90.0No000053065843,969*
763339-100.0No000032473678,539*
753340-9OutNo0021979536,858*
743240-10OutNo0011584418,147*
733241-9OutNo0001188323,932*
723141-10OutNo00892244,596*
713142-9OutNo00694183,022*
703042-10OutNo0496134,899*
693043-9OutNo039797,941*
682943-10OutNo029870,264*
672944-9OutNo19949,784*
662844-10OutNo019934,571*
652845-9OutNo19923,866*
642745-10OutNo010016,005*
632746-9OutNo010010,793*
622646-10OutNo01007,041*
612647-9OutNo01004,579*
602547-10OutNo01002,856*
0-59OutNo10011,730*
Total:57.1%3.3%7714147777777788,339,380

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Vancouver finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWinnipegNashvilleArizonaDallasMinnesotaChicagoCalgaryColoradoSt. LouisSan JoseEdmontonAnaheimLos Angeles
164820-08.2%8878887788888
1376510-7YesYes
1356411-7NoYes
1346412-6No204040
1336312-7No71472129714
1326111-1013.37771320777720
1316112-917.21737333243101473
1306113-85.69411749677117413
1296013-94.0101068668965989
1286014-88.278567211691010107
1276015-76.38610674778111088
1265915-86.2761086687699108
1255815-98.17786789978779
1245816-87.667877687799810
1235716-97.477966796610989
1225717-87.36797668679999
1215617-97.47787679779999
1205618-87.97687779779999
1195518-97.37796779779999
1185519-87.37797769779999
1175419-97.47797779779999
1165420-87.67797779779999
1155320-97.47797779779999
1145321-87.47797769769999
1135221-97.47697669779999
1125121-107.46696669669999
1115122-97.46696669669999
1105022-107.466106669669999
1095023-97.46610666106610101010
1084923-107.36610666106610101010
1074924-97.26610666106610101010
1064824-107.15510555115510101110
1054825-97.15511555115511111111
1044725-107.05511555115511111111
1034726-96.94412444124412121212
1024626-106.84412444124412121212
1014627-96.63313333133313131313
1004527-106.53313333133313131313
994528-96.33313333133313131313
984428-106.23313333143313131313
974429-96.03313333133313131313
964329-105.93313333133313131313
954330-95.73313333133313131313
944230-105.43312333123312121212
934231-94.93310333103310101010
924131-104.23393339339999
914132-93.33373337337777
904032-102.42252225225555
894033-91.51131113113333
883933-100.91121112112222
873934-90.40010001001111
863834-100.20000000000000
853835-90.10000000000000
843836-80.00000000000000
833736-90.00000000000000
823636-100.00000000000000
813637-90.00000000000000
803638-80.00000000000
793538-90.00000000
783539-8No0000
773540-7No00
763440-8No0
0-75No
Total:3.5%2.22.27.02.22.22.27.02.22.27.07.07.07.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Calgary vs Vancouver+1.0+0.1+0.1-0.9-1.0-1.1
Los Angeles vs San Jose-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh vs Anaheim-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Arizona vs Winnipeg+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1
Edmonton vs Calgary-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
127-164100
1265915-81000
1255815-9100
1245816-8100000
1235716-9100000
1225717-8100000
1215617-9100000
1205618-899000
1195518-999100
1185519-898100
1175419-997110
1165420-896211
1155320-9943110
1145321-8925210
1135221-9887302000
1125121-108310403000
1115122-97713604000
1105022-1069178060000
1095023-9592110090000
1084923-1049261401100000
1074924-9372917115101000
1064824-1026312021810010000
1054825-9173122321210300000
1044725-10929235235204000000
1034726-9524228238306001000
1024626-1021819122013609101000
1014627-911214151517901210020000
1004527-1007917102012115310400000
994528-90451652015316720601000
984428-1002314217157131250912000
974429-901111012121191681113300000
964329-1000807815518112126601000
954330-90050341621713511119130000
944230-10003012140121110716124510000
934231-90020011107815318111094100000
924131-10001007044161167171294100000
914132-900004012150123211013105200000
904032-1000002011120711961316137310000
894033-90001008040142714181610410000
883933-100001005020803815201912620000
873934-9000030104013816212114720000
863834-10000010002001381622221572000
853835-900001001000138162323167200
843735-10000000000013817242315610
833736-90000000001391926231341
823636-1000000000141222282292
813637-90000000016152729174
803537-100000000292132269
793538-9000001415303416
783438-100000029253925
773439-9000015194135
763339-1000002133846
753340-9000183456
743240-1000052966
733241-90032374
723141-100011881
713142-90011386
703042-1000990
693043-900793
682943-100595
672944-90397
662844-100298
652845-9199
642745-10199
632746-9199
622646-100100
612647-90100
602547-100100
592548-9100
582448-100100
572449-90100
55-56100
542351-8199
532251-9100
522151-10298
0-51100
Total:343434343434343522333333333333