Vancouver Canucks Playoff Chances

Tied with Toronto 0-0 (7:00 pm ET), playoff odds up 1.8 to 33.8%
56 points   22 20-12

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Minnesota 2 Boston 4 +1.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Vancouver vs Toronto+4.6+4.6+4.4-2.2-2.0-8.2
Florida vs Nashville+1.0*-0.1*-0.1-1.3-1.4-1.3
Chicago vs Anaheim+0.9-0.2-0.3-1.2-1.2-1.1
San Jose vs Arizona+0.5-0.4-0.2-0.8-0.9-0.4
Edmonton vs Winnipeg+0.2*+0.1*+0.0-0.3*-0.2-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Buffalo vs Colorado+1.2*+0.2*-0.0-1.0-0.9-1.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vancouver finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
112280-0In0.2%61363422
108251-2InNo33673
107241-3InNo67339*
106242-2InNo13711631*
105232-3InNo3593864*
104233-2InNo158401217*
103223-3InNo1475110584*
102224-2InNo386021,282*
101214-3InNo02867502,705*
100215-2InNo20701005,417*
99205-3InNo0137016110,050*
98206-2InNo866251018,028*
97196-3InNo558343030,018*
96186-4InNo249426048,348*
95187-3100.0%No13849101073,457*
94177-499.8No0275315300105,910*
93178-399.0No01953198100145,949*
92168-496.8No011492115300193,032*
91169-391.5No064220238100244,053*
90159-481.4No0333162915300295,671*
891510-366.2No01241130258100342,535*
881410-447.2No1166253316300158,188
1511-248.2No1166263316300222,222*
871411-330.4No0103183526810177,467
1310-529.1No092173527810227,117*
861311-415.3No051930351630263,142*
1412-216.6No05110313515300152,125*
851312-37.3No0304213826710178,406
1211-56.9No0204213727810229,168*
841212-42.6No01021232361520159,754
1313-22.7No01021233361520224,898*
831213-30.8No0000523392660348,655*
821113-40.2No0002143536121126,501
1214-20.2No0002143635121177,825*
811114-30.1No00172741222253,668*
801014-40.0No00031741336202,633*
791015-30.0No00110354312156,478*
78915-4OutNo005264920115,659*
77916-3OutNo0217503181,551*
76816-4OutNo0110464455,359*
75817-3OutNo005395636,000*
74717-4OutNo03316722,187*
73718-3OutNo01227712,971*
72719-2OutNo015857,431*
71619-3OutNo09913,950*
70620-2OutNo06942,016*
69520-3OutNo397962*
68521-2OutNo199449*
67421-3OutNo199197*
56-66OutNo100556*
Total:33.8%0.0%0041451014151412835,115,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Vancouver finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupDallasChicagoLos AngelesSt. LouisSan JoseAnaheimColoradoNashvilleMinnesotaArizonaCalgaryWinnipegEdmonton
112280-00.5%051216191817831
108251-2No6733
107241-3No1133113311
106242-2No623266231033
105232-33.122234231317332
104233-21.444262712126531
103223-30.202338241395330
102224-20.300334227774420
101214-30.7005246276534200
100215-20.700615026532320
99205-30.5007153263313200
98206-20.6009154262213200
97196-30.60010055261113200
96186-40.61012055251003200
95187-30.51115054230003200
176-50.61115054230003200
94177-40.53219051210002200
188-20.53118051220002200
166-60.53218051210002200
93178-30.56321047180002200
167-50.57321047170002100
189-10.56321047190002200
92168-40.411522041140002100
179-20.510522041150002100
157-60.51152304014000210
91169-30.41572203411000110
158-50.415722033100001100
1710-10.41572103511000110
90159-40.31891812770001100
1610-20.418819127800110
148-60.418919126701100
891510-30.3198141195000100
149-50.3189141194000100
1611-10.3198141195001000
881410-40.2157901330000000
1511-20.2167901330000
139-60.21578012200000
871411-30.11155081000000
1310-50.11055071000000
1512-10.11155081000000
861311-40.1622041000000
1412-20.163304100000
851312-30.03110200000000
841212-40.01000100000
831213-30.0000000000
821113-40.0000000
811114-3No00000
801014-4No00000
79813-7No0
56-78No
Total:0.2%6.43.06.70.212.64.10.00.00.00.50.30.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota 2 Boston 4 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Vancouver vs Toronto-0.7-0.7-0.7+0.3+0.3+1.3
Chicago vs Anaheim-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
Florida vs Nashville-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
San Jose vs Arizona-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0
Carolina vs NY Islanders+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Buffalo vs Colorado-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
112280-00613423
108251-2333333
107241-356112211
106242-2132942133
105232-33164413223
104233-211840682401
103223-31113771031310
102224-253337438100
101214-302261742173110
100215-2119053728533000
99205-30013032642465010
98206-20811649310102100
97196-30508502121462100
96186-42034611215153300
95187-31013709132747100
94177-4000270693831221000
93178-30001903545218441000
92168-40011224512141121000
91169-30061141020320431000
90159-400300330161284752000
891510-3010024011030391272000
881410-410016602528161682000
1511-210016602628161682000
871411-300930180414231882000
1310-500093017041423188200
861311-4005101001820261972000
851312-303040031225281861000
1211-50204003122428187100
841212-401020141527281651000
1313-201020014152728165100
831213-300000016182927143000
821113-4000002821312510200
811114-3000002102532217100
801014-400000414293117410
791015-3000162033271120
78915-40021027342161
77916-3004163231142
76816-400182536246
75817-300316353412
74717-40018284221
73718-3004194334
72719-201114048
71619-3063262
70620-222572
69520-311980
68521-21387
67421-31991
66422-2397
65423-1595
56-64100
Total:00000004011120511012478888754211