Vancouver Canucks Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.2 to 75.9%
40 points   19 11-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Winnipeg 3 Philadelphia 4 (ot)+0.3
Detroit 1 Colorado 2 (so)-0.1
Edmonton 5 Dallas 6 (so)*-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Vancouver vs Arizona+2.7+2.7+2.2-1.8-1.8-6.1
+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.2-0.2-0.5
Los Angeles vs Calgary+0.3-0.3-0.4-0.7-0.8-0.1
Anaheim vs San Jose+0.3*-0.1*-0.0-0.5-0.5-0.2
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vancouver finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
124-140In99.8%100935*
123396-5In85.795584*
122397-4In89.6964182*
121387-5In78.1919301*
120388-4In79.19010656*
119378-5In70.485151,248*
118379-4In62.1802002,199*
117369-5In52.7732613,827*
1163610-4In42.26534106,483*
1153510-5In32.957421010,595*
1143511-4In23.047503016,949*
1133411-5In15.3395740025,908*
1123311-6In9.6306451038,502*
1113312-5In5.02269720055,983*
1103212-6In2.41572940078,512*
1093213-5In0.9107310710108,016*
1083113-6In0.36711111100144,664*
1073114-5In0.136611172000187,460*
1063014-6In0.02601124310238,487*
1053015-5In0.01529325200292,648*
1042915-6In0.00437397410351,870*
1032916-5100.0%No03454487100412,422*
1022816-6100.0No0263471013200472,030*
1012817-5100.0No01814610204100528,136*
1002717-699.9No0121428287200573,899*
992718-599.6No0803673510400610,571*
982618-698.7No4029441137100634,234*
972619-596.7No20213431513300641,150*
962519-692.9No10151421519610635,012*
952520-586.3No10913814241220613,696*
942420-677.1No006031122819400579,741*
932421-564.8No0302582927700535,041*
922321-651.4No02018626341310481,956*
912322-537.9No01012321392130424,883*
902222-626.0No00082163929500366,545*
892223-516.5No0051113737910306,703*
882123-69.7No030631431510252,361*
872124-55.2No020324462230202,353*
862024-62.6No010217463050159,341*
852025-51.2No000111423780122,287*
841925-60.5No0007364412191,088*
831926-50.2No004294719166,938*
821826-60.1No002224826248,026*
811827-50.0No00011546334033,576*
801727-60.0No001043406022,857*
791728-5OutNo07374610015,109*
781628-6OutNo0431501509,848*
771629-5OutNo223532206,264*
761529-6OutNo118542703,915*
751530-5OutNo0113523412,405*
741430-6OutNo09434621,318*
731431-5OutNo544483734*
721331-6OutNo0531604492*
711332-5OutNo2286010241*
701333-4OutNo2276110125*
691233-5OutNo1577860*
681234-4OutNo4672924*
671134-5OutNo584212*
661034-6OutNo33676*
651035-5OutNo67333
641036-4OutNo40605*
631037-3OutNo1001
40050-0OutNo100863
Total:75.9%0.3%114219321610118410010,421,780

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Vancouver finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupChicagoNashvilleSt. LouisAnaheimSan JoseLos AngelesWinnipegMinnesotaCalgaryDallasColoradoArizonaEdmonton
140500-03.5%0235121220221373
127425-3No5050
126415-4No5050
125416-37.7441215481223128
124406-44.8255121712211952
123396-52.465817817171157
122397-43.3335121319221573
121387-53.7244131422191354
120388-42.90245121321201562
119378-53.31256121320211252
118379-43.103561314201913520
117369-52.903661114211913420
1163610-42.703661214212011420
1153510-52.814661114212011320
1143511-42.914761113222011320
1133411-52.714761213222010310
1123311-62.71586121321209310
1113312-52.61697111321209310
1103212-62.716107121221198210
1093213-52.427117121220188210
1083113-62.538137111219187210
1073114-52.5310147111118176210
1063014-62.34111671010171662100
1053015-52.351318710916145110
1042915-62.26152079814134100
1032916-52.28172378813123100
1022816-62.09202478711103100
1012817-52.01122257761092100
1002717-61.91323267758821000
992718-51.81524268657620000
982618-61.71825258656510000
972619-51.62125239644410000
962519-61.52324209543310000
952520-51.42522188532210000
942420-61.22519157432200000
932421-51.02416126321100000
922321-60.8201394211100000
912322-50.616963111000000
902222-60.411642110000000
892223-50.27431000000000
882123-60.14221000000000
872124-50.121100000000
862024-60.011000000000
852025-50.0100000000
842026-40.000000000
831926-50.00000000
821826-6No000000
811827-50.00000
801626-80.00
40-79No
Total:1.4%13.716.116.16.05.24.56.25.71.80.50.20.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

SundayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Vancouver vs Arizona-0.5-0.5-0.4+0.3+0.3+1.0
Los Angeles vs Calgary+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1
Anaheim vs San Jose-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
126-140100
125416-3964
124406-4982
123396-586105
122397-49064
121387-578139
120388-4791110
119378-5701415
118379-462182000
117369-553202601
1163610-4422334010
1153510-53324410100
1143511-42324491300
1133411-515235524000
1123311-610205955010
1113312-5517628612000
1103212-62136013814000
1093213-51955188270100
1083113-6054624841101000
1073114-50337307516020000
1063014-60226345623130100
1053015-5011735362934120000
1042915-6001033153275140100
1032916-5052914311363701000
1022816-60223032720541202000
1012817-5011701202646181401000
1002717-6001201133026244612000
992718-50070072916269734000
982618-604003260424178570100
972619-5020120031924781113000
962519-60100140112305111446100
952520-5100901731311159112000
942420-60006032811013151661000
932421-500301230882119124100
922321-6002001805422181893000
912322-50100120322014221782000
902222-6000080201582024155100
892223-5000501010415262312300
882123-6003006292228208200
872124-50200314152728154100
862024-6010202822312310200
852025-50001004142830175100
841925-60000018213225102000
831926-50000313293217510
821826-6000017223326910
811827-500000313303216400
801727-60018233525810
791728-50031632311430
781628-60011027352260
771629-5151834301110
761529-6021230341840
751530-501624362571
741430-604143136142
731431-501928392030
721331-6521382690
711332-51173728161
701333-42132344144
691233-552742233
681133-64438504
671033-7833508
661034-66733
651035-56733
641036-46040
631037-3100
40050-0100
Total:01591181112912345654443211000000