Vancouver Canucks Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.4 to 85.7%
55 points   26 17-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
San Jose 6 Anaheim 3 -0.6
-0.0
Calgary 0 Minnesota 1 +0.5
+0.1
Philadelphia 5 Winnipeg 2 +0.4
Ottawa 3 Dallas 6 -0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Vancouver vs Buffalo+1.5+1.5+1.1-2.3-2.3-6.4
+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.2
+0.0+0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.5
Colorado vs Nashville-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.0+0.0+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vancouver finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
127360-0In99.9%10000164,301
124-126InYes10038*
123331-2In94.0955149*
122332-1In95.69640595*
121322-2In93.194601,999*
120312-3In88.8909106,197*
119313-2In83.08513117,196*
118303-3In74.679192043,865*
117304-2In64.8712540105,508*
116294-3In52.8623260235,520*
115295-2In39.85140800497,229*
114285-3In27.341471110988,809*
113275-4In16.5305315201,865,864*
112276-3In8.62157184003,338,119*
111266-4In3.81458218005,702,087*
110267-3In1.38562213009,283,752*
109257-4In0.4452222100014,480,566*
108258-3In0.1247203100021,611,259*
107248-4In0.0140174210030,962,207*
106249-3In0.00331353100042,606,149*
105239-4In0.0026962210056,410,252*
1042310-3InNo020570320071,883,077*
1032210-4100.0%No0143744500088,289,249*
1022211-3100.0No01017549100104,546,885*
1012111-4100.0No06172416100119,488,192*
1002112-3100.0No040664242000131,840,911*
992012-499.9No0205733241000140,644,391*
982013-399.8No104724073000144,914,575*
971913-499.2No103614597100144,484,262*
961914-397.8No002614711132000139,298,530*
951814-494.5No001704512215000129,948,417*
941815-388.2No0011039112811100117,343,235*
931715-478.2No00603283219300102,587,542*
921716-364.6No030245322871086,801,122*
911616-448.8No0201632836142071,156,880*
901617-333.3No01010121402340056,476,695*
891517-420.4No0006113383291043,390,642*
881518-311.1No003073239162032,272,944*
871418-45.4No02042341264023,262,438*
861419-32.3No01021539359016,215,024*
851319-40.9No00019334215010,939,422*
841320-30.3No00004254624007,145,499*
831220-40.1No0000217463504,510,263*
821221-30.0No00111424602,755,668*
811121-40.0No00063657101,625,767*
801122-30.0No0003296620925,771*
791022-40.0No001217430509,472*
781023-3OutNo01157960270,996*
77923-40.0No000108190137,948*
76924-3OutNo0068113068,616*
75824-4OutNo047818032,287*
74825-3OutNo027225114,540*
73725-4OutNo1663316,442*
72726-3OutNo1554222,644*
71626-4OutNo0485031,103*
70627-3OutNo041527427*
69628-2OutNo26677155*
68528-3OutNo2370744*
67529-2OutNo17612218*
66429-3OutNo2550254
65430-2OutNo1001
55036-0OutNo0496164,301
Total:85.7%0.1%062372245108421001,982,278,060

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Vancouver finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNashvilleSt. LouisAnaheimChicagoWinnipegSan JoseCalgaryLos AngelesDallasMinnesotaColoradoArizonaEdmonton
127360-03.3%00012018171712680
126350-1NoYes
125351-0No11225611
124341-1No4181411321111
123331-22.011124181616995
122332-14.9013181916181268
121322-23.4101221918171066
120312-33.20102211818161176
119313-23.00102221818171066
118303-33.20102241717171066
117304-23.2010325171716955
116294-33.10103271717158550
115295-23.10204291717158540
114285-33.002053017161474400
113275-43.00306311716136430
112276-32.803073117161353300
111266-42.8151103117161253200
110267-32.7161122916151142200
109257-42.6281162715141032200
108258-32.5311120251412932100
107248-42.4414125231211721100
106249-32.341712920109621100
105239-42.25191331897511100
1042310-32.16221361576411100
1032210-42.07241381365311000
1022211-31.98261401254210000
1012111-41.910282401043210000
1002112-31.81130240932100000
992012-41.81431438832100000
982013-31.71632635621100000
971913-41.71932832521100000
961914-31.622311128411000000
951814-41.525291224311000000
941815-31.427261219210000000
931715-41.227221115110000000
921716-31.02517911100000000
911616-40.7211378100000000
901617-30.515945000000000
891517-40.39523000000000
881518-30.25312000000000
871418-40.1311100000000
861419-30.0110000000000
851319-40.000000000000
841320-30.000000000000
831220-40.0000000000
821221-30.0000000
811222-20.0000000
801122-30.00000
791022-4No0
781124-1No
77923-4No0
55-76No
Total:1.5%15.023.45.526.67.23.12.41.60.50.30.20.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Calgary 0 Minnesota 1 -0.2
San Jose 6 Anaheim 3 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Vancouver vs Buffalo-0.3-0.3-0.2+0.4+0.4+1.1
Anaheim vs Chicago+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
127360-0100000
124-126100
123331-29415
122332-196040
121322-293160
120312-3891910
119313-28321301
118303-375419020
117304-265625040
116294-3539320600
115295-240124008000
114285-3271346111010
113275-41614502140200
112276-39135151714000
111266-441048101928000
110267-3174115184130000
109257-40431211572100000
108258-3022126101029200000
107248-401132861137510000
106249-30062631041121000000
105239-4003231840231110000
1042310-301190533371120000
1032210-40014032450124100000
1022211-30010011560137200000
1012111-4006018640410610000
1002112-300400362041113210000
992012-4002001560310222210000
982013-3010046028322430000
971913-4010036015402762100
961914-30002601344110852000
951814-40001700143111101051000
941815-30001100390101018102000
931715-400060032088251561000
921716-3003002405528201230000
911616-4002001603226212182000
901617-30100100112018271651000
891517-400006010131228251230000
881518-300030076223021820000
871418-400200431327281651000
861419-30100216193025123000
851319-400001021124302182000
841320-30000014152829175100
831220-400000017203126122000
821221-3000003112532217100
811121-400001517313014300
801122-3000029243524710
791022-4000041532331420
781023-30001825382350
77923-400031637331010
76924-3001930411720
75824-400422432740
74825-30214403680
73725-4183443140
72726-3032647231
71626-411747332
70627-301241434
69628-2532586
68528-3227647
67529-2176122
66429-3255025
65430-2100
55036-013960
Total:00151173001420143744321100000000