Vancouver Canucks Playoff Chances

Beat Chicago 4-1, playoff odds up 7.4 to 84.1%
29 points   14 6-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton 0 New Jersey 2 +0.2
Pittsburgh 4 NY Islanders 5 (so)+0.0
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Tampa Bay 2 Minnesota 1 +0.3
*-0.0
Calgary 5 New Jersey 4 (so)-0.3
Ottawa 2 St. Louis 3 -0.3
Nashville 3 Florida 2 (so)*-0.2
*-0.0
Dallas 5 Los Angeles 4 +0.2
San Jose 3 Arizona 4 (so)*+0.2
Edmonton 1 Chicago 7 -0.1
Colorado 4 Carolina 3 *-0.1
NY Islanders 4 Pittsburgh 1 +0.1
Toronto 4 Detroit 1 +0.0
Boston 0 Montreal 2 -0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vancouver finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
130-151InYes1005,063*
129489-4In98.8%991169*
128479-5In99.71000286*
126-127In99.91001,704*
1254510-6In99.1100002,116*
1244511-5In98.8100003,618*
1234411-6In98.2100006,423*
1224412-5In97.0991010,734*
1214312-6In95.8991017,686*
1204212-7In93.9981028,443*
1194213-6In91.0982044,118*
1184113-7In87.2963167,438*
1174114-6In82.59551101,168*
1164014-7In76.392610147,398*
1154015-6In69.289920209,610*
1143915-7In60.6851230291,780*
1133916-6In50.7791650397,812*
1123816-7In40.4732170528,180*
1113817-6In30.26526900688,581*
1103717-7In20.956311300877,574*
1093718-6In13.3463617101,093,057*
1083618-7In7.6374022101,337,608*
1073619-6In3.82743273001,604,134*
1063519-7In1.61944324001,877,585*
1053520-6In0.61343387002,162,920*
1043420-7100.0%0.283942101002,436,967*
1033421-6100.00.043445151002,688,277*
1023321-7100.00.022847202002,911,463*
1013322-6100.00.0122462640003,086,935*
1003222-7100.00.0016443271003,212,305*
993122-899.9No0113938102003,279,487*
983123-799.7No0733421430003,285,663*
973023-899.1No0526441871003,228,002*
963024-797.7No032043211220003,113,217*
952924-894.6No011440211851002,940,850*
942925-789.0No01935202491002,729,058*
932825-880.3No062916291630002,484,689*
922826-768.5No032312302371002,219,038*
912726-854.8No021782830132001,947,231*
902727-740.5No0111524342050001,673,489*
892627-827.6No007217352791001,413,926*
882628-717.3No0041123233153001,169,238*
872528-89.9No00307263722500951,838*
862529-75.2No01041936291010759,601*
852429-82.5No01021232351620593,901*
842430-71.1No0001726382250454,770*
832431-60.4No0000420382980344,684*
822331-70.2No0002133436131254,901*
812332-60.1No00192940202183,486*
802232-70.0No00052341274131,441*
792233-60.0No003174034691,443*
782133-7OutNo011136411062,572*
772134-6OutNo01731471441,989*
762034-7OutNo00526502027,738*
752035-6OutNo0319522618,098*
741935-7OutNo0114513411,182*
731936-6OutNo011049406,924*
721836-7OutNo0745484,339*
711837-6OutNo0539562,513*
701737-7OutNo0336611,488*
691738-6OutNo012871837*
681638-7OutNo12375469*
671639-6OutNo12079281*
661539-7OutNo1288128*
651540-6OutNo118971*
641541-5OutNo10031*
631441-6OutNo89226*
621341-7OutNo10010*
611544-2OutNo33673*
601242-7OutNo25754*
29061-0OutNo1004,912
Total:84.1%3.1%81523228875311059,274,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Vancouver finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNashvilleSt. LouisAnaheimChicagoCalgaryLos AngelesMinnesotaSan JoseWinnipegDallasArizonaColoradoEdmonton
151610-05.3%45799121312118361
134517-3No20204020
133507-4No1020102010101010
132508-313.371320771313137
131498-46.13153915121269123
130488-53.422588131420145352
129489-44.147681210111899421
128479-53.8247108131511138371
127469-66.05410812101215107340
1264610-55.5358810121413126441
1254510-65.3558811121212117450
1244511-54.9457810121213117451
1234411-65.7558810131113126451
1224412-55.4458810121213127450
1214312-65.4457810121213117451
1204212-75.2458810121213116451
1194213-65.2458810121213117451
1184113-75.4458810121213117451
1174114-65.1458810121213117440
1164014-75.1458811121213116440
1154015-65.1458911121213116440
1143915-75.1459911131213106440
1133916-65.1459912131212106440
1123816-75.1459912131212106440
1113817-65.0451091314121295330
1103717-74.9451191314121185330
1093718-64.8451281415111184330
1083618-74.8451381616111074320
1073619-64.7451581717101063220
1063519-74.645167181891053220
1053520-64.54518719199952220
1043420-74.43419621208942210
1033421-64.33421522216932210
1023321-74.23322423225931210
1013322-64.133244242341021210
1003222-74.033243252441021200
993122-83.933253252431011200
983123-73.843253252431010200
973023-83.75425325232910200
963024-73.66525323223800200
952924-83.47623422203700100
942925-73.29821419173600100
932926-62.810818516153500100
922826-72.410815413113400100
912827-61.9971241082200000
902727-71.47683762200000
892728-60.95462441100000
882628-70.63331321100000
872629-60.32221210000000
862529-70.21110110000000
852530-60.10000000000000
842430-70.00000000000000
832431-60.000000000000
822331-70.00000000000
812332-60.000000000
802232-70.00000000
792031-10No0
29-78No
Total:3.4%4.74.617.84.317.817.04.67.52.21.21.50.70.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

FridayNone
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas 5 Los Angeles 4 -0.1
Calgary 5 New Jersey 4 (so)+0.1
San Jose 3 Arizona 4 (so)*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
130-151100
129489-49911
128479-51000
127469-6100
1264610-51000
1254510-699100
1244511-599100
1234411-698200
1224412-597210
1214312-696310
1204212-794510
1194213-691720
1184113-7879301
1174114-682125010
1164014-77616601000
1154015-66920902000
1143915-761241203000
1133916-651291605000
1123816-740322017000
1113817-6303424290000
1103717-7213528312100000
1093718-61333306151101000
1083618-78293110173201000
1073619-642329141954030000
1063519-721825191877040000
1053520-611220231611100600000
1043420-7071425121415191101000
1033421-604926815203122201000
1023321-702524415226133302000
1013322-601220212221013660400000
1003222-7001151919151110110611000
993122-80011051419813161922000
983123-70070392141421311430000
973023-800401520212237117611000
963024-7003002171921129111022000
952924-80010011306171861513551000
942925-70010090311213161311820000
932825-8000601721115111812620000
922826-70003013190127241411520000
912726-8000201150832512151151000
902727-7001011105123816171251000
892627-80000070201741220191141000
882628-70000401011271723201131000
872528-8000030007031020251993000
862529-7001004015142425177200
852429-800100200271826241451000
842430-70001001310212822113000
832431-6000000015142528187100
822331-700000027182826144000
812332-6000013112430218200
802232-700001617292815400
792233-6000310243222810
782133-700151731291330
772134-60021126342150
762034-70016203428101
752035-60003133134162
741935-70192737224
731936-60052038297
721836-70214373611
711837-6110324017
701737-706274324
691738-603184534
681638-702134540
671639-62103850
661539-763757
651540-662372
641541-51090
631441-64492
621341-72080
611544-2333333
601242-72575
29061-0100
Total:356944784476343532222211100000