Vancouver Canucks Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.9 to 54.5%
6 points   3 2-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton 3 Washington 2 -0.3
+0.1
Anaheim 4 Buffalo 1 -0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
St. Louis vs Vancouver-4.5*-0.2-0.3+4.2+4.8+5.2
-0.2*+0.0*+0.0+0.2+0.2+0.3
-0.5*-0.1-0.1+0.5+0.6+0.6
Calgary vs Carolina-0.4-0.5-0.3*+0.2*+0.2+0.6
Los Angeles vs Buffalo-0.3-0.3-0.3*+0.1*+0.0+0.6
-0.0*-0.0*+0.0*-0.1*+0.1+0.1
San Jose vs Columbus-0.3-0.3-0.3*-0.0*+0.2+0.5
Minnesota vs Arizona+0.2*-0.2-0.3-0.4-0.6*-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vancouver finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
121-160In99.5%100848*
1205316-8In98.3991344*
1195317-7In97.19901547*
1185217-8In97.99811791*
1175117-9In95.498111,314*
1165118-8In93.296221,936*
1155018-9In88.392432,878*
1145019-8In85.492444,207*
1134919-9In77.8878505,945*
1124920-8In71.1839808,153*
1114820-9In62.9781210011,069*
1104821-8In54.07115140014,899*
1094721-9In41.76319171019,716*
1084722-8In31.35422221025,455*
1074622-9In21.84526272032,933*
1064623-8In13.13528324040,978*
1054523-9In7.22630376050,954*
1044524-8In3.318304291061,893*
1034424-9100.0%1.31228441310073,677*
1024425-8In0.472547183086,327*
1014325-9100.00.14214624400100,131*
1004225-10100.00.02174429710113,403*
994226-999.90.0113403411200127,424*
984126-1099.7No09343815300140,781*
974127-999.1No062840196100153,314*
964027-1097.5No0321392310200164,226*
954028-994.2No02153625165100173,071*
943928-1087.9No11032232210200179,686*
933929-978.0No07261926165100183,445*
923829-1064.6No042014272210200185,024*
913830-949.2No021492428176100183,005*
903730-1033.8No019518292411200178,517*
893731-921.1No016212262917510172,580*
883631-1011.7No003172131251020163,295*
873632-96.0No002041429301740152,328*
863532-102.7No0102923332481139,826*
853533-91.1No00015173230132126,600*
843433-100.4No00002112735204112,552*
833434-90.2No000017223627799,495*
823334-100.0No00041535341286,296*
813335-90.0No00021031401773,596*
803235-100.0No0001726432461,828*
793236-90.0No0000420443251,236*
783136-10OutNo00215434041,768*
773137-9OutNo0110404933,662*
763037-10OutNo017355726,713*
753038-9OutNo04316520,783*
742938-10OutNo03267215,604*
732939-9OutNo02217712,143*
722839-10OutNo0117829,070*
712840-9OutNo0113866,582*
702740-10OutNo010904,763*
692741-9OutNo07933,440*
682742-8OutNo05952,381*
672642-9OutNo4961,589*
662643-8OutNo3971,084*
652543-9OutNo298754*
642544-8OutNo298511*
632444-9OutNo199346*
61-62OutNo100305*
602346-8OutNo19988*
6-59OutNo100431*
Total:54.5%1.9%451316889998753,748,540

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Vancouver finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupAnaheimChicagoNashvilleLos AngelesMinnesotaSan JoseDallasSt. LouisCalgaryArizonaWinnipegEdmontonColorado
160770-05.8%686118710977786
1295812-7NoYes
1285712-820.02020202020
1275814-520.010102020101020
1265714-618.218991891818
1255614-7No44413139422999
1245514-85.74241161392111964
1235414-93.717612917710124625
1225314-106.362661311661471076
1215416-76.157512101196912743
1205316-86.445410613891011864
1195317-75.175710512109118664
1185217-85.884711811871210644
1175117-96.06661091189108664
1165118-85.266610711881110674
1155018-95.57671181178129564
1145019-85.57671171278119664
1134919-95.87561271188129564
1124920-85.58551171278129664
1114820-95.79561271278119563
1104821-85.99561371377129563
1094721-95.410551361377129553
1084722-85.711451461466129453
1074622-95.512451551466129453
1064623-85.713451651555129452
1054523-95.315441741655139352
1044524-85.316341741644139342
1034424-95.117331841744139241
1024425-85.018331931733139241
1014325-94.919331931833149241
1004225-104.820331931833149141
994226-94.720332031822149141
984126-104.620431931833138140
974127-94.520541931733138130
964027-104.420651831633128130
954028-94.120751741533117130
943928-103.81976154133396120
933929-93.31776124113385120
923930-82.7157510393363010
913830-92.011647362242010
903831-81.48435241132010
893731-90.95323131121000
883732-80.53112110010000
873632-90.21111010000000
863633-80.11000000000000
853533-90.10000000000000
843433-100.0000000000000
833434-90.0000000000000
823536-60.0000000000
813335-9No0000000
803437-60.0000
793337-70.000
6-78No
Total:2.5%10.83.32.89.42.38.61.91.96.34.10.71.90.4
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim 4 Buffalo 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
St. Louis vs Vancouver+0.9+0.0+0.0-0.8-1.0-1.0
Los Angeles vs Buffalo+0.0+0.1+0.1*+0.0-0.0-0.1
Calgary vs Carolina+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
San Jose vs Columbus+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs Arizona-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
126-160100
1255614-7964
1245514-8982
122-123100
1215416-7991
1205316-89811
1195317-797201
1185217-898111
1175117-995211
1165118-893322
1155018-988443
1145019-885644
1134919-978980500
1124920-8711290800
1114820-9631512010000
1104821-85417150130000
1094721-94221190170010
1084722-83123221211010
1074622-922232422411200
1064623-8132225327324000
1054523-9719255295406000
1044524-83152382786090010
1034424-9111181023129013101000
1024425-807141217151411611300
1014325-9049131117171193204000
1004225-10025125161941964070100
994226-9012102131971710701012000
984126-1001819151012141111323000
974127-900505101371615215460100
964027-1000302514315174158101200
954028-90020121211116911131425100
943928-1001001907111471715693000
933929-90000604616317131313720000
923829-1000042315114819151262000
913830-90002111209321121613621000
903730-100001009051177151814831000
893731-90010060201239172016941000
883631-1000003107141018221810410000
873632-900002004014112023191141000
863532-1000102001512212419114100
853533-900010001513212519103100
843433-10000000026142325188200
833434-900000002716252516610
823334-1000001392027241230
813335-90000141324292071
803235-100000027183027143
793236-9000013112533216
783136-10001719332910
773137-9000313313616
763037-100019264123
753038-900015204233
742938-10003144241
732939-901103950
722839-100173459
712840-9042868
702740-10022374
692741-9011980
682742-811485
672642-901189
662643-80991
652543-9892
642544-8694
632444-9595
622445-8298
612345-9199
602346-8595
6-59100
Total:223333443444443533344444433322