San Jose Sharks Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.2 to 94.4%
31 points   15 9-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vancouver 3 Toronto 2 (so)-0.1
Edmonton 3 Anaheim 2 (ot)-0.1
St. Louis 2 Winnipeg 3 (ot)*-0.1
Nashville 4 New Jersey 5 (ot)*+0.0
Arizona 2 Columbus 3 (so)-0.2
NY Rangers 4 Carolina 2 -0.2
Philadelphia 3 Chicago 1 +0.1
Pittsburgh 5 Detroit 3 *-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Los Angeles vs Montreal-0.1-0.2-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.2
+0.3*+0.1*+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Chicago vs Winnipeg+0.1*-0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.2-0.1
-0.1*-0.0*-0.1*+0.1*+0.0+0.1
Nashville vs Philadelphia-0.1*-0.1-0.1*+0.1*+0.0+0.2
Calgary vs Anaheim*-0.0-0.1-0.1*-0.0*-0.1+0.1
+0.1*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Edmonton vs Minnesota*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1*-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
123-145In99.5%1002,943*
122439-5In98.510001,755*
121429-6In96.710002,973*
1204210-5In95.3100004,861*
1194211-4In93.7100008,061*
1184111-5In90.3991012,431*
1174011-6In86.4991018,881*
1164012-5In81.4991028,127*
1153912-6In74.6982040,217*
1143913-5In67.0973156,018*
1133813-6In58.7954177,207*
1123814-5In48.993610102,041*
1113714-6In39.089920133,321*
1103715-5In29.5841240169,809*
1093615-6In20.47916500211,445*
1083616-5In13.27221800256,072*
1073516-6In7.663261100303,789*
1063517-5In3.954321410353,304*
1053417-6In1.743371910400,878*
1043418-5In0.633412420444,679*
1033318-6In0.2244330300482,474*
1023319-5In0.0164335600513,171*
1013219-6In0.0104140900535,438*
1003220-5In0.0536441310545,133*
993120-6100.0%No3314718200544,953*
983020-7100.0No1244724300530,855*
973021-6100.0No0184530500511,178*
962921-7100.0No01341368100479,533*
952922-699.8No09364112200439,296*
942822-799.4No052944165100396,795*
932823-698.3No032245199200349,475*
922723-795.7No0216432015400303,483*
912724-690.5No1113819228100257,365*
902624-781.9No07321627153000213,464*
892625-669.7No04251229227100174,532*
882525-754.8No02187272913300139,869*
872526-639.3No011342233216100109,721*
862426-726.1No00821632281120083,853*
852427-615.4No0511027331851063,566*
842327-78.0No0305213426102046,657*
832328-63.8No0102143032164033,880*
822228-71.7No010182434237123,711*
812229-60.6No000418323113216,788*
802230-50.3No00211293520411,357*
792130-60.1No001622372687,624*
782030-7OutNo03163633124,980*
772031-60.0No001103240173,214*
762032-5OutNo0052742251,992*
751932-6OutNo041844341,252*
741933-5OutNo02153647757*
731833-6OutNo193555420*
721834-5OutNo43166239*
711734-6OutNo42571143*
701735-5OutNo3217671*
691635-6OutNo2207841*
681434-9OutNo118918*
31-67OutNo100810*
Total:94.4%4.9%21212617543210009,456,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupChicagoMinnesotaEdmontonAnaheimNashvilleSt. LouisLos AngelesWinnipegDallasCalgaryArizonaVancouverColorado
145570-09.8%66117118111185645
131496-2No502525
130486-310.020202010101010
129465-68.041284202841244
128466-55.4381416243585383
127467-414.1313581513101413493
126457-57.259631311151558523
125458-47.04579119161468453
124448-59.337971310111197554
123449-49.45799810111186745
122439-59.0579899111297654
121429-68.84788108121397653
1204210-59.34698109121197653
1194211-49.14688910111297654
1184111-58.74688109121297654
1174011-69.056881010121187654
1164012-58.356881010111197654
1153912-68.856881010121197654
1143913-58.456881010121187654
1133813-68.656881010121187654
1123814-58.656981010121187654
1113714-68.556891010121187654
1103715-58.256991010121087553
1093615-68.4579101010131076553
1083616-58.25710101010131076543
1073516-68.1571111101014976543
1063517-57.9571212101014865443
1053417-67.8561313101015755442
1043418-57.75615159916755432
1033318-67.55616169917644332
1023319-57.34518188818534331
1013219-67.34520207719434331
1003220-57.04421226620324331
993120-66.93423245521324321
983020-76.73324254422224331
973021-66.63326264423214230
962921-76.53326273323114230
952922-66.43327273323114230
942822-76.24427273322104230
932823-66.15426273321003220
922723-75.87525253320003220
912724-65.58723224417003220
902624-74.99720194414002110
892625-64.19716164411001110
882626-53.2861212338001110
872526-62.36588225001010
862527-51.64455223000000
852427-60.93233112000000
842428-50.5112211100000
832328-60.2111100000000
822329-50.10000000000
812229-60.000000000
802230-50.00000000
792231-40.00000
782333-1No
771930-80.00
31-76No
Total:6.7%4.64.918.518.96.16.117.54.02.94.02.92.81.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Edmonton 3 Anaheim 2 (ot)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Edmonton vs Minnesota+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Los Angeles vs Montreal+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Calgary vs Anaheim-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
126-145100
125458-4991
124448-5991
123449-4991
122439-59810
121429-69730
1204210-595500
1194211-494600
1184111-590910
1174011-68613100
1164012-581171000
1153912-675232000
1143913-567303010
1133813-659364010
1123814-54944601000
1113714-63950812000
1103715-530551113000
1093615-62058133410000
1083616-51358165610000
1073516-685518883000000
1063517-5450191395101000
1053417-6242181899101000
1043418-513216249132020000
1033318-60241330718403100000
1023319-5016103352271420000
1013219-60106343241035300000
1003220-5054331241375610100
993120-6322902113125102020000
983020-7112401612194155121000
973021-600180119252188232000
962921-7001306629120105451000
952922-60090332901911113921000
942822-70052126015111931332100
932823-600311210108271174610000
922723-702001606532119312211000
912724-610011323301922033210000
902624-70007113001612635531000
892625-6000410240120292588520000
882525-702001870271491211620000
872526-6010013402202613171372000
862426-7000082016013917201572000
852427-60511000141221221562000
842327-7030500026162423146100
832328-60102002918262313510
822228-7010100131120272111300
812229-6000001513242819820
802230-50000271628271551
792130-60000310222924102
782030-7015152930174
772031-6000292235257
762032-501414343314
751932-60210273922
741933-516203934
731833-613134043
721834-5193654
711734-6182765
701735-5132076
691635-622276
681434-91189
31-67100
Total:51661539592636141300111110000000