San Jose Sharks Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.2 to 58.4%
9 points   4 3-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton 3 Washington 2 -0.2
+0.1
Anaheim 4 Buffalo 1 -0.2
Pittsburgh 3 Philadelphia 5 +0.1
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
San Jose 4 Columbus 5 -5.2
-0.3
-1.1
Calgary 5 Carolina 0 -0.3
Los Angeles 2 Buffalo 0 -0.2
Nashville 3 Chicago 2 *+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
125-157InYes1005,258*
1245413-7In99.9%1000721*
1235313-8In99.5100001,279*
1225314-7In99.299002,222*
1215214-8In99.099003,609*
1205215-7In98.199115,736*
1195115-8In97.0981109,194*
1185116-7In95.5971214,533*
1175016-8In93.5962221,934*
1165017-7In90.79423032,910*
1154917-8In86.39244048,600*
1144918-7In81.38956070,103*
1134818-8In74.78478099,399*
1124819-7In66.77991100138,037*
1114719-8In57.373121500189,203*
1104619-9In47.266151810253,305*
1094620-8In36.558182310332,917*
1084520-9In26.3492128200430,999*
1074521-8In17.3402433400545,945*
1064421-9In10.2312538600682,902*
1054422-8In5.3222642910839,365*
1044322-9In2.315254613101,012,800*
1034323-8100.0%0.8102348172001,201,429*
1024223-9100.00.262048233001,404,381*
1014224-8100.00.1316462860001,609,661*
1004124-9100.00.0112423491001,816,773*
994125-899.90.01937381320002,020,028*
984025-999.60.00631411840002,206,559*
974026-899.0No04244222710002,369,111*
963926-997.3No021840261220002,508,465*
953927-893.7No011236271851002,610,773*
943827-987.1No0183025241020002,670,165*
933828-876.9No00524202817510002,696,002*
923728-963.2No03181528241030002,675,068*
913729-847.7No0112925281761002,615,445*
903629-932.7No0185193024113002,515,861*
893630-820.1No0052122729176102,381,176*
883530-911.2No0031721312410202,223,249*
873531-85.6No0010414283017402,040,772*
863431-92.5No01029233224811,841,224*
853432-81.0No000151731301421,638,650*
843332-90.4No000021127342151,435,912*
833333-80.1No00001621352881,237,989*
823233-90.0No000003153434131,051,727*
813234-80.0No000210304019880,017*
803134-90.0No00016244226725,034*
793135-80.0No000004194334587,621*
783035-90.0No0002144143469,554*
773036-80.0No000193852369,170*
762936-9OutNo00063360285,227*
752937-8OutNo0042867216,534*
742837-9OutNo0022474162,588*
732838-8OutNo0011980120,646*
722738-9OutNo01158487,312*
712739-8OutNo0118862,149*
702639-9OutNo089144,009*
692640-8OutNo0069430,536*
682540-9OutNo049620,902*
672541-8OutNo039713,963*
662441-9OutNo02989,343*
652442-8OutNo01996,165*
642342-9OutNo1993,777*
632343-8OutNo1992,365*
622243-9OutNo1991,513*
612244-8OutNo199914*
602144-9OutNo0100511*
9-59OutNo1005,159*
Total:58.4%2.0%4514179998876453,616,400

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupAnaheimNashvilleLos AngelesChicagoMinnesotaCalgaryDallasVancouverSt. LouisArizonaEdmontonColoradoWinnipeg
157740-06.5%768771191096687
1346110-3No5050
133588-8NoYes
1325910-5No25252525
1315911-425.025252525
1305811-510.55552116211655
1295711-612.51339161366661633
1285611-710.37277599145147312
1275612-65.36211651414949648
1265512-75.56776711913106738
1255513-66.04611661081198857
1245413-76.47584810713108865
1235313-86.36710761271387855
1225314-77.056107612911108666
1215214-86.16610771191198765
1205215-75.9669671281188765
1195115-86.1669771181288865
1185116-76.66610671281298765
1175016-86.26610661281188765
1165017-76.46610661281288755
1154917-86.26511661281188755
1144918-76.27511661271288755
1134818-86.37512661371278754
1124819-76.28513661371278754
1114719-86.19513561471178754
1104619-96.19514551461267744
1094620-86.011415551561267744
1084520-95.912417551561267643
1074521-85.913418441651257633
1064421-95.715319441751247632
1054422-85.616320341841246622
1044322-95.517321331841236522
1034323-85.419322331931236521
1024223-95.320323331931226511
1014224-85.120323331931226511
1004124-95.021323331921226511
994125-84.921323331921226511
984025-94.821422441831125511
974026-84.721521441731025410
963926-94.62162055163925410
953927-84.32171966144824310
943827-94.02071666124723300
933828-83.51871466103623200
923728-92.8166115583412200
913729-82.112584462311100
903629-91.49453342211100
893630-80.96232221100000
883530-90.53121111100000
873531-80.22110010000000
863532-70.11000000000000
853432-80.00000000000000
843433-70.00000000000000
833333-80.00000000000000
823233-90.0000000000000
813335-60.000000000000
803134-9No000000
793135-80.0000000
783237-5No00
773036-8No0
9-76No
Total:2.9%12.33.411.83.02.99.32.25.71.42.92.40.60.5
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim 4 Buffalo 1 +0.1
Edmonton 3 Washington 2 +0.0
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
San Jose 4 Columbus 5 +1.1
Calgary 5 Carolina 0 +0.1
Los Angeles 2 Buffalo 0 +0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
125-157100
1245413-71000
1235313-899000
1225314-799000
1215214-899000
1205215-798111
1195115-8971110
1185116-795212
1175016-894322
1165017-7914230
1154917-8865440
1144918-7817506000
1134818-87510708000
1124819-7671390110000
1114719-85716120140000
1104619-947191501800100
1094620-8372117022101000
1084520-92623201261120000
1074521-817222222921040000
1064421-910202233143060000
1054422-851721531740900100
1044322-92131872810701200100
1034323-819149231411016102000
1024223-90510101617141202103000
1014224-80361091817222420600000
1004124-9013941618421850901000
994125-8011711216718128012120000
984025-90015081310121612115240000
974026-800304812618162175701000
963926-900202412215175161011120000
953927-800101210111159121515351000
943827-900101707101371817710300000
933828-8000000503615318141414720000
923728-900030131411481916136200000
913729-800010111109421131713620000
903629-900010080511881619147310000
893630-8000000502012310182116831000
883530-900003010715122022179310000
873531-80000100401513212317931000
863431-9000100200261422241793100
853432-800001000271523241782000
843332-900000000128172524156100
833333-800000000131019262313410
823233-9000000001412232721920
813234-8000000261627271651
803134-900000039223024102
793135-8000000015152831173
783035-90000292334257
773036-800001517333211
762936-9000211303817
752937-800017254225
742837-90004194333
732838-8002144242
722738-9001103851
712739-800163460
702639-90042967
692640-80022473
682540-9011979
672541-8011584
662441-9001288
652442-80991
642342-900792
632343-8694
622243-90496
612244-8496
602144-90198
592145-80100
582146-7199
572147-6199
9-56100
Total:223243434444454543444443333221