San Jose Sharks Playoff Chances

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 57.1%
0 points   0 0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Los Angeles vs San Jose-4.6-0.4-0.4+4.1+4.5+4.9
-0.3-0.0-0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3
-0.8-0.1-0.1+0.7+0.8+0.9
Calgary vs Vancouver+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh vs Anaheim+0.4*+0.0*-0.0-0.4-0.5-0.4
Nashville vs Ottawa-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1*+0.1+0.3
Arizona vs Winnipeg-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.1-0.2+0.3
St. Louis vs NY Rangers-0.2-0.2-0.2*+0.1+0.1+0.3
Edmonton vs Calgary+0.1-0.3-0.2-0.2-0.3+0.1
Minnesota vs Colorado+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.1+0.1
Dallas vs Chicago+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.1-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
128-164InYes1007,783*
1275914-9In99.7%1000362*
124-126In99.91003,788*
1235716-9In99.810002,909*
1225717-8In99.9100005,028*
1215617-9In99.7100007,931*
1205618-8In99.21000012,254*
1195518-9In99.11000018,717*
1185519-8In98.5990028,409*
1175419-9In97.69910041,981*
1165420-8In96.3981160,885*
1155320-9In94.49811086,819*
1145321-8In91.696210122,375*
1135221-9In88.195320169,036*
1125121-10In83.093430229,716*
1115122-9In76.790640307,990*
1105022-10In68.8868600405,745*
1095023-9In59.18011900524,853*
1084923-10In48.474141200667,858*
1074924-9In37.266181510839,957*
1064824-10In26.45821191001,040,078*
1054825-9In16.84825243001,262,853*
1044725-10In9.43828294001,514,659*
1034726-9100.0%4.529303471001,789,547*
1024626-10100.01.8203039101002,080,447*
1014627-9100.00.5132942142002,387,515*
1004527-10100.00.1826431940002,695,138*
994528-9100.00.0422432461002,998,581*
984428-1099.90.021740301020003,287,508*
974429-999.60.011236341430003,551,475*
964329-1098.9No08303618610003,782,349*
954330-997.0No0523362211300003,969,488*
944230-1092.9No0317342316610004,107,063*
934231-985.5No021229212111310004,194,735*
924131-1073.8No01724172417720004,214,463*
914132-958.5No004181224231341004,182,047*
904032-1042.0No0213720262092004,085,848*
894033-926.8No0184142526166103,933,783*
883933-1015.3No0152820282311303,740,602*
873934-97.8No0031414262818613,500,243*
863834-103.6No0010282130251123,237,770*
853835-91.5No0010141428311842,950,020*
843735-100.6No000002923332582,651,391*
833736-90.2No000015173233132,344,279*
823636-100.1No0000002112938202,048,247*
813637-90.0No00000172341281,765,561*
803537-100.0No00000041741371,495,804*
793538-90.0No000021239471,255,654*
783438-100.0No0001835561,036,170*
773439-90.0No000053065842,225*
763339-10OutNo00032473678,675*
753340-9OutNo0021979535,822*
743240-10OutNo011584419,341*
733241-9OutNo001188322,427*
723141-10OutNo00892243,728*
713142-9OutNo00694183,189*
703042-10OutNo00496135,561*
693043-9OutNo039798,516*
682943-10OutNo029870,615*
672944-9OutNo019950,076*
662844-10OutNo19934,635*
652845-9OutNo019923,648*
642745-10OutNo010016,261*
632746-9OutNo010010,603*
622646-10OutNo01006,817*
612647-9OutNo01004,556*
602547-10OutNo01002,983*
592548-9OutNo01001,835*
52-58OutNo1002,771*
512253-7OutNo49623*
0-50OutNo1007,359*
Total:57.1%3.3%7714147777777788,339,380

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWinnipegNashvilleArizonaDallasMinnesotaChicagoCalgaryVancouverColoradoSt. LouisEdmontonAnaheimLos Angeles
164820-07.5%8878888788877
1356310-9NoYes
1346412-6No333333
1336413-5No141414291414
1326111-1015.423888815823
1316213-712.59966939936999
1306113-89.78533138668185511
1296013-94.24710889127568610
1286014-810.85812786118649711
1275914-99.97511777610771098
1265915-87.867987810857899
1255815-97.387986788579108
1245816-87.277877788681099
1235716-96.6769676810769109
1225717-87.97687779977998
1215617-97.57797778977998
1205618-87.27797779977989
1195518-97.27697779967999
1185519-87.47797779977999
1175419-97.47797779977999
1165420-87.67797779977999
1155320-97.47797779977999
1145321-87.57797779977999
1135221-97.57797769977999
1125121-107.47797669966999
1115122-97.56696669966999
1105022-107.46696669966999
1095023-97.36610666101066101010
1084923-107.36610666101066101010
1074924-97.36610666101066101010
1064824-107.25510555101055101010
1054825-97.15511555111155111111
1044725-107.05511555111155111111
1034726-96.94412444121244121212
1024626-106.84412444121244121212
1014627-96.63313333131333131313
1004527-106.53313333131333131313
994528-96.33313333131333131313
984428-106.23313333131333131313
974429-96.03313333131333131313
964329-105.93313333131333131313
954330-95.73313333131333131313
944230-105.33312333121233121212
934231-94.93310333101033101010
924131-104.23393339933999
914132-93.33373337733777
904032-102.42252225522555
894033-91.51131113311333
883933-100.91121112211222
873934-90.40010001100111
863834-100.20000000000000
853835-90.10000000000000
843735-100.00000000000000
833736-90.00000000000000
823737-80.00000000000000
813637-90.00000000000000
803537-100.000000000000
793538-90.00000000
783438-100.000000
773439-9No0
0-76No
Total:3.5%2.22.27.02.22.22.27.07.02.22.27.07.07.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Los Angeles vs San Jose+1.0+0.1+0.1-0.9-1.0-1.1
Calgary vs Vancouver-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh vs Anaheim-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Arizona vs Winnipeg+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1
Edmonton vs Calgary-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
128-164100
1275914-91000
1265915-8100
1255815-91000
1245816-81000
1235716-910000
1225717-8100000
1215617-9100000
1205618-899000
1195518-999100
1185519-898100
1175419-9981100
1165420-896211
1155320-9943110
1145321-89252100
1135221-988730200
1125121-108310403000
1115122-97713604000
1105022-1069178060000
1095023-9592111090000
1084923-104826140110000
1074924-9372917114101000
1064824-1026312021810010000
1054825-917312232121030000
1044725-1092923523520400000
1034726-9424228238306001000
1024626-102181912201360910010000
1014627-911214151517901210020000
1004527-1007917102012115310400000
994528-90451752015315720601000
984428-10023152171571312509120000
974429-901111012121191681113300000
964329-1000807815518112126601000
954330-90050341611713511119130000
944230-100030121401211107161245100000
934231-900200111077153181110941000000
924131-1000100704416116717129410000
914132-90000004012150123211013105200000
904032-1000020111207119613161373100000
894033-90001008040142714181610410000
883933-100001005020803815201912620000
873934-900000030104013816212114720000
863834-1000001002001381622221572000
853835-900001001000138162323167200
843735-10000000000013817242315610
833736-9000000001391926231341
823636-10000000000141222282292
813637-90000000016152729174
803537-1000000000292132269
793538-9000001415303416
783438-100000029253925
773439-9000015194135
763339-100002133846
753340-9000183457
743240-1000052966
733241-90032374
723141-100011881
713142-90011386
703042-1000990
693043-900793
682943-100495
672944-90397
662844-100298
652845-90199
642745-10199
632746-9199
622646-100100
612647-90100
602547-100100
592548-90100
582448-100100
52-57100
512253-7496
0-50100
Total:343434343434343522333333333333