San Jose Sharks Playoff Chances

Lost to Nashville 2-6, playoff odds down 2.4 to 93.4%
58 points   27 20-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Nashville 6 San Jose 2 -1.8
-0.1
Vancouver 1 Calgary 4 +0.4
Colorado 2 Winnipeg 4 +0.2
St. Louis 4 Minnesota 1 +0.1
*+0.0
Montreal 5 Edmonton 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
NY Islanders vs Edmonton+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
120310-0In46.3%1000037,517
118-119In31.110090*
117291-1In22.1955281*
116281-2In12.093701,112*
115282-1In9.0881203,639*
114272-2In5.78218010,628*
113273-1In3.17425128,271*
112263-2In1.66335269,036*
111253-3In0.8524530153,465*
110254-2In0.3405460320,715*
109244-3In0.1296380622,930*
108245-2In0.019681201,143,719*
107235-3In0.012711701,969,945*
106236-2In0.07712303,233,614*
105226-3In0.03673005,012,403*
104227-2In0.02613707,425,498*
103217-3In0.0154451010,459,704*
102218-2InNo046531014,104,402*
101208-3InNo037602018,177,551*
100198-4InNo030674022,481,008*
99199-3InNo0227260026,625,054*
98189-4InNo0167490030,343,455*
971810-3100.0%No011751400033,171,768*
961710-4100.0No077319000034,928,097*
951711-3100.0No56926000035,343,618*
941611-4100.0No362341000034,490,757*
931612-399.9No1544221000032,381,495*
921512-499.4No1454932100029,321,877*
911513-397.9No0355534200025,586,938*
901413-494.1No0265747510021,538,372*
891414-386.4No0185531010300017,474,484*
881314-473.7No01150211169100013,687,748*
871315-357.0No0640192117400010,314,644*
861215-439.1No0329162227112007,513,734*
851216-323.6No0119031733205005,264,746*
841116-412.5No0110111323112203,562,015*
831117-35.7No05005253722502,320,169*
821017-42.3No020021535331211,459,079*
811018-30.8No0100182739213878,298*
80918-40.2No000031839327511,539*
79919-30.1No000110334214285,996*
78920-20.0No0004254724153,331*
77820-30.0No00216473578,942*
76821-2OutNo019434739,082*
75721-3OutNo05365918,353*
74722-2OutNo0228698,346*
73622-3OutNo120793,599*
72623-2OutNo016841,507*
71523-3OutNo1990560*
70524-2OutNo595202*
69424-3OutNo19977*
58-68OutNo10037,550*
Total:93.4%0.0%013512612221100452,600,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupChicagoDallasLos AngelesSt. LouisAnaheimNashvilleMinnesotaColoradoArizonaVancouverCalgaryWinnipegEdmonton
120310-04.8%0007225252442551
119300-1No1414291429
118301-06.01052824192246
117291-16.04224272272660
116281-25.809322252353631
115282-15.10007323252453451
114272-24.80009324242353441
113273-14.60009324232343441
112263-24.600010424232343441
111253-34.600010524232343431
110254-24.600011624222243430
109244-34.500012923222143320
108245-24.4000121123212033320
107235-34.4000121522201943320
106236-24.4000121920181843320
105226-34.3001112419171643410
104227-24.3001103017151443410
103217-34.200193615131254411
102218-24.200274212111054511
101208-34.1002647109865511
100198-44.100355287665611
99199-34.000435765575601
98189-44.000536044476601
971810-33.900626333286601
179-53.900626333286701
961710-43.900616422287701
1811-23.900616422287701
951711-33.800716611187701
1610-53.800716511197701
941611-43.800706511198701
1712-23.800706611197701
931612-33.700806500098701
1511-53.710806500098701
921512-43.611906300098701
911513-33.531906100088701
901413-43.443905600087601
891414-33.063804900076501
881314-42.664704100065401
871315-31.953503200044301
861215-41.342302300033200
851216-30.82120140002210
841217-20.41010800011100
831117-30.2000040000000
821118-20.1000020000
811018-30.000010000
801019-20.000000000
79919-30.0000000
78920-2No0000
77921-1No0
58-76No
Total:3.6%1.10.75.82.154.03.63.23.07.16.05.80.30.8
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Nashville 6 San Jose 2 +0.6
Vancouver 1 Calgary 4 -0.1
SundayNone

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
120310-0465400
119300-11486
118301-03367
117291-122735
116281-2128170
115282-19791200
114272-26761710
113273-137024210
112263-2261314200
111253-31513873000
110254-204043125000
109244-302944187010
108245-2019422690200
107235-301237341115000
106236-207294112290000
105226-3032146113150000
104227-202144795231000
103217-301845663120000
102218-204414638510000
101208-3023525421120000
100198-40129144121211000
99199-300220335333120000
98189-400160126472340000
971810-30011011757246100000
961710-4007009631594000000
951711-3050046406119000000
941611-4030026105111800000000
931612-30101540493001100000
921512-410045026410211000000
911513-300035013510313110000
901413-40002600155041622100000
891414-3001800550301024421000
881314-40011004902011258731000
871315-3006004001091410131041000
861215-4030029106028161812410000
851216-30100190030131121221341000
841116-400110100151525241341000
831117-305000000171827241241000
821017-4020000028212924113000
811018-3010000003102330229200
80918-4000001313273119610
79919-30000151731291430
78920-20001823342581
77820-300003143134163
76821-200162237276
75721-300213343813
74722-2017274421
73622-303194533
72623-21124146
71523-3063955
70524-243363
69424-32377
68425-22179
65-67100
58031-00100
Total:0021211133712518010201111110000000