San Jose Sharks Playoff Chances

Lost to Boston 1-2 (ot), playoff odds down 0.002 to 99.98%
77 points   35 18-7

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
San Jose 1 Boston 2 (ot)*+0.0
-0.0
MondayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
121220-0In76.7%964195,640
120210-1In53.8861419,759
119211-0In39.57921103,345*
118201-1In26.06832324,004*
117191-2In15.7584201,013,245*
116192-1In8.1465402,436,844*
115182-2In3.7366405,684,295*
114183-1In1.42674011,175,628*
113173-2In0.51881021,129,800*
112174-1In0.112880035,166,014*
111164-2In0.08920056,225,120*
110165-1In0.04951081,114,576*
109155-2In0.029620112,352,421*
108156-1In0.019630142,591,076*
107146-2In0.01946096,502,381
135-4In0.01936077,436,603*
106136-3InNo08910087,529,030
147-1In0.0090100108,669,002*
105137-2InNo0841600116,328,044
126-4InNo083170096,589,921*
104127-3InNo075241097,155,965
138-1InNo0762410117,875,563*
103128-2InNo0663220112,986,504
117-4InNo065332096,125,408*
102118-3InNo053434086,402,008
129-1InNo0544240103,584,191*
101119-2InNo04250800166,330,863*
100109-3InNo030561400136,315,326*
991010-2InNo021572200107,707,407*
98910-3InNo01355320079,705,035*
97911-2100.0%No7494310056,910,232*
96811-3100.0No4405420038,013,150*
95812-2100.0No23063500024,506,076*
94712-3100.0No12168920014,734,269*
93713-299.9No01369134008,565,382*
92714-199.5No07651710004,620,396*
91614-298.3No045719182002,408,633*
90615-195.0No024618295001,156,587*
89515-288.3No013415391110538,106*
88516-176.7No023104321200227,632*
87416-260.6No0145413270093,839*
86417-142.4No0823242142034,428*
85317-227.0No412243255012,210*
84318-112.7No201138351313,802*
83218-26.3No10531392131,204*
82219-11.9No0212433410313*
81119-21.4No1730422071*
80120-1OutNo55271811*
79121-0OutNo50502*
77022-00.0No00224703191,379
Total:100.0%0.1%16526800000002,308,792,740

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupMinnesotaChicagoEdmontonAnaheimSt. LouisNashvilleLos AngelesCalgaryWinnipegVancouverDallasArizonaColorado
121220-05.2%001482729229000
120210-15.70014826302181100
119211-05.20024926292081100
118201-15.100251027292071100
117191-25.100251027291971000
116192-15.000251128291861000
115182-24.900251229281750000
114183-14.900261330281650000
113173-24.800261431271540000
112174-14.800261531271540000
111164-24.800261532261530000
110165-14.700261532261430000
109155-24.700271632251430000
108156-14.700281632241430000
107146-24.6003101531241430000
135-44.6003101531241430000
106136-34.6003131530221320000
147-14.6003131530231320000
105137-24.5004171428211320000
126-44.5004171428211320000
104127-34.5006231325191220000
138-14.5006221325201220000
103128-24.4008281122181120000
117-44.4009291122171020000
102118-34.300113591815910000
129-14.300113591815910000
101119-24.200144171413810000
108-44.200154271413810000
100109-34.100174851011710000
991010-24.0002053479600000
98910-34.0002357248500000
97911-23.9002459138500000
96811-33.8002660117500000
95812-23.800276001640000
94712-33.7202860006400000
93713-23.640305700540000
92714-13.6100305200430000
91614-23.4180294600320000
90615-13.22902537002100
89515-22.93812028001100
88516-12.4431131900100
87416-21.840181200000
86417-11.33204600000
85317-20.82202300
84318-10.311011
83218-20.2500
82219-1No20
81220-01.41
79-80No
77022-0No0
Total:4.4%0.10.29.126.510.921.818.310.71.80.30.20.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
San Jose 1 Boston 2 (ot)+0.1
Anaheim 1 Los Angeles 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona vs Anaheim-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
121220-077194
120210-1543214
119211-0403921
118201-12642320
117191-216424200
116192-183854000
115182-2432640000
114183-1125740000
113173-2018810000
112174-10128800000
111164-20892000000
110165-10495001000
109155-20296001000
108156-10195102100
145-301951031000
107146-2019220420000
106136-308630640000
147-1008730640000
105137-20785088000000
104127-3066801015001000
138-1068801014001000
103128-20551101022002000
117-40531101023002000
102118-303914010320040000
129-104014010310040000
101119-20271608401070000
108-402516084120800000
100109-3015150646401310000
991010-207134468019300000
98910-3031023914024800000
97911-2161282002814101000
96811-3030162302821402000
95812-20208220252612050000
94712-30103181926240910000
93713-2000112131937013220000
92714-100007711470174600000
91614-200043549019414100000
90615-10021143018327221000
89515-20010034151382431000
88516-10002310043258620000
87416-200014504114101383000
86417-100820320281717103100
85317-2412201413221911310
84318-1201101616262311400
83218-21050292228201030
82219-10227203126102
81119-2141428211714
80120-13627279
79121-05050
77022-0000031540402
Total:0158706173052100000000000000000