San Jose Sharks Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.7 to 67.9%
9 points   4 2-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton 3 Washington 2 -0.2
+0.1
Anaheim 4 Buffalo 1 -0.2
Pittsburgh 3 Philadelphia 5 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
San Jose vs Columbus+3.2+3.3+2.7-1.0-1.1-5.2
+0.2+0.2+0.1*-0.0*-0.1-0.4
+0.7+0.7+0.6-0.4-0.4-1.1
Calgary vs Carolina-0.4-0.4-0.3*+0.2*+0.3+0.6
Los Angeles vs Buffalo-0.2-0.3*-0.2*+0.2*+0.2+0.5
-0.1*-0.0*-0.0*+0.1*+0.0+0.1
St. Louis vs Vancouver+0.2-0.3*-0.2-0.4-0.5*-0.0
Minnesota vs Arizona+0.2-0.3*-0.1*-0.3*-0.3*-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
125-159InYes100501*
1245414-7In99.4%991178*
1235415-6In99.29900254*
1225315-7In98.81000424*
1215215-8In98.59910689*
1205216-7In98.39910998*
1195116-8In98.199111,526*
1185117-7In96.498112,352*
1175017-8In94.597213,363*
1165018-7In92.295324,877*
1154918-8In89.1933306,858*
1144919-7In83.9915409,536*
1134819-8In78.58776013,072*
1124719-9In71.78397017,497*
1114720-8In62.2771210022,979*
1104620-9In52.3711613029,858*
1094621-8In41.96320171037,901*
1084521-9In31.05423221047,128*
1074522-8In21.54527262058,087*
1064422-9In12.93629324070,142*
1054423-8In7.027313760082,504*
1044323-9In3.219314181096,962*
1034324-8In1.31330441210111,375*
1024224-9100.0%0.48274716200125,855*
1014225-8100.00.14234722400139,501*
1004125-9100.00.02184627610152,675*
994126-899.90.0114423391000164,253*
984026-999.8No0103737133000173,926*
974027-899.2No063140175100180,714*
963927-997.8No042440219200185,113*
953928-895.0No02183823144100187,912*
943828-989.2No01123422209200186,115*
933829-879.9No18281924155100182,134*
923729-966.7No052214262192000175,758*
913730-851.2No031692327165100166,446*
903630-935.9No0111518282310200155,920*
893631-822.8No017313262917510143,647*
883531-912.9No004172130241020130,082*
873532-86.6No002041529291640115,495*
863432-93.0No0102924322381102,248*
853433-81.4No0101517313013287,714*
843333-90.5No0000211273420475,741*
833334-80.2No00017223627762,891*
823234-90.1No00041635341252,093*
813235-80.0No00021131391742,678*
803135-90.0No0001726422433,894*
793136-80.0No000420443326,859*
783036-9OutNo00215434020,825*
773037-8OutNo0111404915,870*
762937-9OutNo006355812,109*
752938-8OutNo0531649,088*
742838-9OutNo0226716,699*
732839-8OutNo0120784,790*
722739-9OutNo0117823,260*
712740-8OutNo114862,307*
702640-9OutNo09911,531*
692641-8OutNo07931,039*
682642-7OutNo0594736*
672441-10OutNo0495463*
662442-9OutNo496256*
652342-10OutNo100200*
642343-9OutNo397144*
632243-10OutNo19969*
9-62OutNo100429*
Total:67.9%3.9%781918888765423,748,540

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupAnaheimChicagoNashvilleLos AngelesMinnesotaDallasSt. LouisCalgaryVancouverArizonaWinnipegEdmontonColorado
159750-06.5%5758711888111156
1356110-4NoYes
133589-8No5050
131558-12NoYes
1305711-7No333333
1295712-6No8881515158158
1285612-78.3842178178
1275613-65.9661818126126666
1265513-73.8106612410612612415
1255413-86.6941210310891081071
1245414-79.086781071010117675
1235415-66.39641179812912545
1225315-75.055661189111210665
1215215-86.55661198911810863
1205216-75.6565881010111010753
1195116-85.26581188810108755
1185117-76.9667989910119764
1175017-87.1677989911128664
1165018-77.06661078811109764
1154918-87.26671078911109754
1144919-77.37561088911109664
1134819-86.675710788111110654
1124719-97.07671188811119654
1114720-87.08561278812119654
1104620-97.28561277812119554
1094621-87.09561377712119553
1084521-96.810551467712129553
1074522-86.811551566612129553
1064422-96.813451656613129452
1054423-86.714441755513139352
1044323-96.515441845513139342
1034324-86.417341944414149342
1024224-96.3183320444141410241
1014225-86.2193321333151410241
1004125-95.9193321333141410241
994126-85.9203321333151510141
984026-95.621332132314149141
974027-85.621442132314149140
963927-95.321542033313139140
953928-85.120651843312128130
943828-94.720751643310107130
933829-84.2187614433995120
923729-93.5157511322774020
913730-82.612648322553010
903630-91.89436211332010
893631-81.26324111221000
883531-90.73212100111000
873532-80.32111000110000
863533-70.11001000000000
853433-80.10000000000000
843333-90.0000000000000
833334-80.000000000000
823335-7No0000000000
813336-6No00000
803236-7No00
793338-4No0
9-78No
Total:4.0%12.93.73.312.62.82.52.58.78.65.81.22.60.7
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim 4 Buffalo 1 +0.1
Edmonton 3 Washington 2 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
San Jose vs Columbus-0.7-0.7-0.6+0.2+0.3+1.1
Los Angeles vs Buffalo+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Calgary vs Carolina+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
St. Louis vs Vancouver-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Minnesota vs Arizona-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
125-159100
1245414-7991
1235415-69900
1225315-79910
1215215-899110
1205216-798110
1195116-898011
1185117-796111
1175017-894221
1165018-792332
1154918-8894330
1144919-78475040
1134819-878970600
1124719-9721290700
1114720-8621512010000
1104620-9521816013000
1094621-84221190160010
1084521-931232212010100
1074522-821242522411200
1064422-9132326327324000
1054423-87202652854050000
1044323-93162382686080010
1034324-8111191122121001100100
1024224-9071413171514114112000
1014225-8049141017182173203000
1004125-902513517204186406010
994126-8013112142071610708110000
984026-9019091611121411111230000
974027-800605111561615213450100
963927-90040361531517513881200
953928-800201314112161010121224100
943828-90010111071215616146820000
933829-80100704718316121212620000
923729-900005023171137181411520000
913730-8000311140932012161262100
903630-900010010051187151814831000
893631-80100703012391620169410000
883531-900000410714101821181041000
873532-800002004014111923191141000
863432-9000102001512202419114100
853433-801010001513212419103100
843333-9000000026142325188200
833334-80000002716252516610
823234-9000001392027241230
813235-800000141224292081
803135-90000027182928143
793136-800013112532226
783036-9001619333010
773037-8000313313716
762937-90018264124
752938-8015204233
742838-9002144142
732839-801103752
722739-90063360
712740-8052967
702640-9022374
692641-8011880
682642-711585
672441-1011089
662442-91189
652342-10397
642343-9694
632243-10991
622244-9100
612144-10397
9-60100
Total:435454554455443433333333222211