San Jose Sharks Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.5 to 43.9%
2 points   1 2-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Ottawa 3 Winnipeg 4 (ot)-0.5
Los Angeles 2 Colorado 3 +0.3
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)*+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
St. Louis vs San Jose-4.9-0.3*-0.3+4.3+5.1+5.2
-0.2*-0.0*+0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.4
Anaheim vs Minnesota-0.7-0.6-0.8+0.3+0.2+1.0
Toronto vs Edmonton+0.7*+0.1*+0.1-0.8-0.8-0.8
Vancouver vs Montreal-0.6-0.7-0.6*+0.3*+0.1+0.8
Vegas vs Arizona+0.4-0.3*-0.2-0.5-0.7-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
87-108InYes100504*
86409-4In99.0%99199*
85399-5In97.71000217*
843910-4In97.310000413*
833810-5In93.49911729*
823811-4In91.197111,223*
813711-5In86.897222,011*
803611-6In81.7943303,349*
793612-5In72.7914505,183*
783512-6In62.6876707,997*
773513-5In51.180910012,079*
763413-6In37.57213151017,454*
753414-5In25.26317191024,811*
743314-6In14.55221242034,637*
733315-5100.0%7.541253040046,183*
723215-6100.03.030273670061,784*
713216-5100.00.8192841111079,118*
703116-699.90.2112644172000100,183*
693117-599.80.052245234000122,613*
683017-699.30.021743307010147,439*
673018-598.3No1123736120200173,163*
662918-696.1No0730401814000198,973*
652919-591.7No042139234710223,809*
642819-684.5No02143525913300245,474*
632820-574.0No18282116196100263,145*
622720-660.5No0419152223133000276,553*
612721-545.9No0212824232192000285,028*
602621-631.8No0173211826176100286,845*
592622-520.3No00311612262613310282,303*
582522-611.5No0010106203022920272,367*
572523-56.0No000531327291751257,281*
562423-62.8No000317213125112237,242*
552424-51.2No000103132832194214,527*
542324-60.5No0000172234278189,899*
532325-50.2No0000314323515164,371*
522225-60.0No00019274023139,720*
512226-50.0No00005204233115,463*
502126-60.0No000214404494,271*
492127-50.0No00019365474,843*
482027-60.0No0005316358,191*
472028-5OutNo003257243,961*
461928-6OutNo002197932,906*
451929-5OutNo01158423,998*
441829-6OutNo01118917,083*
431830-5OutNo0089211,747*
421730-6OutNo06948,045*
411731-5OutNo04965,407*
401631-6OutNo03973,478*
391632-5OutNo2982,262*
381532-6OutNo1991,412*
371533-5OutNo199849*
361433-6OutNo199497*
2-35OutNo1001,041*
Total:43.9%1.0%3410137778888884,874,180

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupVegasCalgaryColoradoNashvilleMinnesotaWinnipegDallasArizonaSt. LouisAnaheimLos AngelesVancouverEdmontonChicago
108530-06.2%83114107667756811
91448-1No3367
90427-4No291414141414
89417-56.31966251313613
88407-63.414710310103171077
87419-33.483510310517878310
86409-43.067114111099733685
85399-56.09387101297562579
843910-46.8857911885774758
833810-54.76697910861054659
823811-46.16789101087964656
813711-54.875979997876656
803611-66.075988996865656
793612-55.187989987965656
783512-65.187878988965556
773513-55.498888888765655
763413-65.4109778888875555
753414-55.01110777779776555
743314-64.91212667779676554
733315-54.914135666610676663
723215-64.915155555511586663
713216-54.617184444411487652
703116-64.618193444412397662
693117-54.419213333312397661
683017-64.320213333312298661
673018-54.020213323312298661
662918-64.019213423312297551
2817-83.919203433311297551
652919-53.718194433311287551
3020-33.618194433310287551
642819-63.41618443349276441
2718-83.21517544339276441
632820-52.91415544337265330
2921-32.91415544337265330
622720-62.31111544335243220
612721-51.798533324232110
602621-61.275423212221110
592622-50.743312111111000
582522-60.432211101100000
572523-50.211101000000000
562423-60.110100000000000
552424-50.000000000000000
542324-60.00000000000000
532325-50.0000000000000
522326-40.000000000000
512226-50.00000000
502328-2No000
492026-7No0
482229-2No0
2-47No
Total:1.8%8.28.32.62.12.11.91.84.51.53.42.82.02.00.5
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Los Angeles 2 Colorado 3 -0.1
Ottawa 3 Winnipeg 4 (ot)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
St. Louis vs San Jose+1.1+0.1+0.1-1.0-1.1-1.2
Anaheim vs Minnesota+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Toronto vs Edmonton-0.1+0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Vancouver vs Montreal+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Vegas vs Arizona-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
87-108100
86409-4991
85399-59820
843910-497200
833810-593511
823811-491611
813711-5871022
803611-682123300
793612-5731845000
783512-66324607000
773513-551299010000
763413-63735121141010
753414-52538152172010
743314-615381742041200
733315-57331872271040000
723215-63271611211330600000
713216-511813151619601010100
703116-60118181024911330020000
693117-5054184251241481040000
683017-602215121129121530610100
673018-5111101391572171930200
662918-600707518323104108103100
652919-5004221711811108163062100
642819-60020111201171742172852000
632820-51008054201209779631000
622720-60004211701481441012831000
612721-5000200110852027131511520000
602621-60100703220028151814731000
592622-500003111501381520171041000
582522-6000010010001381521201362000
572523-50000050000271522221572000
562423-6000003000027152223178200
552424-50000100002715232517820
542324-6000000271625261661
532325-500000128192826133
522225-6000014112431227
512226-500001617313214
502126-60000210263823
492127-500015194034
482027-60002133946
472028-500183358
461928-60042768
451929-5022276
441829-6011683
431830-5001188
421730-600892
411731-50595
401631-60496
391632-5298
381532-6199
371533-5199
361433-6199
351434-50100
2-34100
Total:1213132424252525223334444455554