San Jose Sharks Playoff Chances

Lost to Minnesota 3-4 (so), playoff odds down 0.4 to 63.2%
14 points   6 4-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton 3 Washington 2 -0.2
+0.1
Anaheim 4 Buffalo 1 -0.2
Pittsburgh 3 Philadelphia 5 +0.1
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
San Jose 4 Columbus 5 -5.2
-0.3
-1.1
Calgary 5 Carolina 0 -0.3
Los Angeles 2 Buffalo 0 -0.2
Nashville 3 Chicago 2 *+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
129-154InYes10043,463*
1285410-6In99.9%1000762*
1275310-7In99.910001,489*
1265311-6In99.910002,797*
1255211-7In99.8100005,153*
1245212-6In99.7100009,512*
1235112-7In99.51000016,301*
1225113-6In99.21000027,936*
1215013-7In98.8990047,178*
1205014-6In98.2991076,497*
1194914-7In97.19911122,969*
1184915-6In95.798110191,923*
1174815-7In93.697210293,565*
1164715-8In90.795320440,491*
1154716-7In86.793430645,564*
1144616-8In81.6906400931,248*
1134617-7In74.98686001,312,105*
1124517-8In66.882118001,810,893*
1114518-7In57.3751410002,457,240*
1104418-8In46.9681814003,265,508*
1094419-7In36.16021181004,263,154*
1084319-8In25.85125222005,456,001*
1074320-7In16.74129273006,856,924*
1064220-8In9.73231334008,458,672*
1054221-7100.0%4.9233238700010,244,680*
1044121-8100.02.116324210100012,200,197*
1034122-7100.00.71029451520014,255,574*
1024022-8100.00.25264620300016,372,988*
1014023-7100.00.032146255000018,472,423*
1003923-8100.00.011643318100020,482,622*
993924-799.90.0012383612200022,329,317*
983824-899.60.0083239164000023,922,772*
973825-798.7No0526412071000025,205,011*
963725-896.5No03193923123000026,107,359*
953726-791.8No01143623187100026,577,893*
943626-883.6No019312023124100026,615,975*
933526-971.4No005241626198200026,217,915*
923527-856.1No031810242514410025,388,125*
913427-940.1No02136202821820024,196,718*
903428-825.8No01831427281541022,674,566*
893328-914.9No0051822312281020,908,919*
883329-87.7No00304163029143018,958,415*
873229-93.6No00102102532227116,918,674*
863230-81.6No00101519322912214,847,127*
853130-90.6No00000312293419412,816,193*
843131-80.2No0000017233626710,890,274*
833031-90.1No000004173533119,104,612*
823032-80.0No000002113139177,482,364*
812932-90.0No0000172642246,051,664*
802933-80.0No0000042043324,820,012*
792833-90.0No000021542413,772,002*
782834-80.0No000011039502,905,946*
772835-7OutNo001734592,202,837*
762735-80.0No0000429661,638,676*
752736-7OutNo00324731,202,041*
742636-8OutNo0011979866,823*
732637-7OutNo0011584613,362*
722537-8OutNo0001188428,679*
712538-7OutNo00891294,178*
702438-8OutNo0694197,824*
692439-7OutNo0595131,446*
682339-8OutNo039785,617*
672340-7OutNo029854,417*
662240-8OutNo019934,653*
652241-7OutNo19921,481*
642141-8OutNo19912,851*
632142-7OutNo01007,736*
622042-8OutNo01004,533*
612043-7OutNo01002,580*
601943-8OutNo1001,529*
591944-7OutNo0100772*
14-58OutNo10043,663*
Total:63.2%2.6%57161888887653515,323,380

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupAnaheimMinnesotaNashvilleLos AngelesVancouverChicagoSt. LouisCalgaryDallasColoradoWinnipegEdmontonArizona
154700-07.0%6688991091010843
137596-5NoYes
136597-4NoYes
135587-5No2020202020
134588-46.3613136619666136
133567-76.3666251361325
132568-69.5125212710127107512
131569-56.0862135127141010554
130559-63.974691211111089552
1295510-56.2889888111098544
1285410-66.0577889101298765
1275310-77.36579910101198664
1265311-66.476799991098764
1255211-77.4767998911107765
1245212-66.6667910991198765
1235112-76.76679109910107764
1225113-67.07679108811108765
1215013-76.776799891197765
1205014-66.9767910891097765
1194914-76.976799891197765
1184915-66.8767910891197765
1174815-76.87671010891197765
1164715-86.87671010891197665
1154716-76.97671010881197665
1144616-86.88671010881197665
1134617-76.78671011881197665
1124517-86.78661111881187664
1114518-76.79561112781186664
1104418-86.610561212771186564
1094419-76.611561313771275554
1084319-86.512551414671275554
1074320-76.413551515661265454
1064220-86.314451616561264454
1054221-76.216441717551353354
1044121-86.117441818451343353
1034122-75.918331918441443253
1024022-85.819331919331432243
1014023-75.720332020331432243
1003923-85.521332020331421143
993924-75.421332020331421143
983824-85.321442020331421143
973825-75.221541919331321143
963725-85.021651818331221143
953726-74.720761716431121133
943626-84.21876151443921032
933627-73.51576121243720022
923527-82.812659933510011
913528-72.09546622410011
903428-81.36324411210010
893429-70.73212211100000
883329-80.42111100100000
873330-70.21001100000000
863230-80.10000000000000
853231-70.00000000000000
843131-80.00000000000000
833132-70.00000000000000
823032-80.00000000000000
813033-70.0000000000000
802933-80.00000000000
792934-7No000000
783036-40.000000
773138-1No
762634-10No0
14-75No
Total:3.5%12.53.73.211.411.22.62.57.91.91.00.92.51.9
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim 4 Buffalo 1 +0.1
Edmonton 3 Washington 2 +0.0
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
San Jose 4 Columbus 5 +1.1
Calgary 5 Carolina 0 +0.1
Los Angeles 2 Buffalo 0 +0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
129-154100
1285410-61000
1275310-710000
1265311-610000
1255211-7100000
1245212-6100000
1235112-7100000
1225113-699000
1215013-799100
1205014-698110
1194914-797111
1184915-6962110
1174815-794320100
1164715-891430200
1154716-7876403000
1144616-88296040000
1134617-775118060000
1124517-8671511080000
1114518-757181401000000
1104418-8472117013000000
1094419-73624211170010000
1084319-826252422111020000
1074320-717242632421030000
1064220-8102226526330400000
1054221-7518257276507000000
1044121-8213221025980100010000
1034122-71917122013120131102000
1024022-8051214141616117210300000
1014023-703714816202194305000000
1003923-801412314215187608010000
993924-700210110198151110011120000
983824-800170614121014151142400000
973825-7005039145151931557010000
963725-80030141421219614911130000
953726-7001002110816111013153710000
943626-8001001804111551516811410000
933526-90000050261621412131693100000
923527-80000301315110718171683100000
913427-900002001110631713191683100000
903428-800010080311371621179410000
893328-900000501082918221810410000
883329-800000030004141019231911410000
873229-9000001002014112024201141000
863230-8000010010015122125201141000
853130-90000000000151322251993000
843131-8000000000026152425177200
833031-90000000002818262514510
823032-80000000013112228221020
812932-90000000151527291750
802933-8000000029213125101
792833-90000014152932163
782834-800000292435246
772835-7000151835329
762735-800000212323915
752736-700017274321
742636-80004214529
732637-7002164437
722537-80001114245
712538-70183853
702438-80053461
692439-70032968
682339-80022474
672340-7012079
662240-8011684
652241-701387
642141-801090
632142-70793
622042-80694
612043-70496
601943-8397
591944-7397
581945-6298
571744-9199
561745-8100
551746-7298
541646-8298
14-53100
Total:334443544455444444433333322210