San Jose Sharks Playoff Chances

Beat Edmonton 4-3, playoff odds up 1.9 to 79.5%
40 points   18 11-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
San Jose 4 Edmonton 3 +2.2
+0.1
+0.1
+0.2
Los Angeles 6 St. Louis 4 -0.5
-0.1
Montreal 1 Anaheim 2 -0.2
-0.1
Pittsburgh 1 Colorado 0 (ot)-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Calgary vs Dallas-0.4-0.5-0.4*+0.1*+0.1+0.8
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Winnipeg vs Boston-0.5-0.4-0.5+0.2*+0.1+0.9
Ottawa vs Anaheim+0.1*+0.1*-0.0*-0.1*-0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
126-138InYes100886*
125415-3In96.0%96425*
124405-4InYes10048*
123395-5In96.2973105*
122396-4In93.1973188*
121397-3In90.9955416*
120387-4In82.19190787*
119377-5In77.9901001,626*
118378-4In69.8841512,815*
117368-5In59.97821204,943*
116369-4In49.17127208,332*
115359-5In38.062344013,704*
1143510-4In28.1534150021,767*
1133410-5In19.0434881032,809*
1123411-4In11.7345591049,028*
1113311-5In6.62660123069,794*
1103312-4In3.318621450097,624*
1093212-5In1.41263168100132,260*
1083213-4In0.57611713100174,563*
1073113-5In0.14571720200224,469*
1063013-6In0.025115283100279,192*
1053014-5In0.014412365200339,661*
1042914-6100.0%No03694473000403,147*
1032915-5100.0No02864987100466,253*
1022815-6100.0No0214521012200524,579*
1012816-5100.0No01525110194100576,135*
1002716-699.9No0101469276100616,651*
992717-599.6No060407349300643,990*
982617-698.7No04032540117100657,521*
972618-596.7No20243431312300653,652*
962518-693.0No10171431417610636,028*
952519-586.7No001113913231220602,892*
942419-677.6No07033112619400559,709*
932420-565.8No00402682727700506,004*
922320-652.7No02020525341310449,439*
912321-539.4No01014321392020387,520*
902221-627.5No0109216402930325,305*
892222-517.7No061113837600269,667*
882122-610.6No030733451110216,865*
872123-56.0No020426501610170,597*
862023-63.0No010219522320131,491*
852024-51.4No01011350314098,759*
841924-60.6No0000845387072,346*
831925-50.3No005384412152,073*
821825-60.1No0033148172036,380*
811826-50.0No0012448243024,727*
801726-60.0No011747305016,700*
791727-5OutNo01143378010,738*
781627-6OutNo0837431307,004*
771628-5OutNo532451804,375*
761528-6OutNo224472612,580*
751529-5OutNo217473311,558*
741429-6OutNo11246401934*
731430-5OutNo1945433468*
721431-4OutNo538516259*
711331-5OutNo2305711141*
701332-4OutNo419651278*
691333-3OutNo330501840*
681233-4OutNo5752020*
671234-3OutNo1167229*
661033-6OutNo71297*
65933-7OutNo1001
40049-0OutNo100876
Total:79.5%0.4%11332332169107200010,582,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupChicagoNashvilleSt. LouisAnaheimLos AngelesVancouverMinnesotaWinnipegCalgaryDallasColoradoArizonaEdmonton
138490-05.5%0352141221241342
130432-4NoYes
128423-4NoYes
126425-2No1313253813
125415-316.0484412436244
124405-48.34421982517174
123395-55.7422191716122314
122396-48.012621210212813311
121397-34.80254131419231541
120387-46.515531414192015410
119377-55.813531414202113310
118378-46.614631213202215310
117368-55.214631314212114310
116369-46.115631312212213310
115359-55.815631312212113310
1143510-45.615731213212112210
1133410-55.516831313212112210
1123411-45.527831212212012210
1113311-55.327941212202011200
1103312-45.2281041212201910100
1093212-55.23911412121918101000
1083213-45.0411134111118189100
1073113-54.9512144111117169100
1063013-64.7614164101016158100
1053014-54.67151859915147100
1042914-64.58182058814136100
1032915-54.491922577131250000
1022815-64.211212357611114000
1012816-54.11223245661094000
1002716-63.91424256559830000
992717-53.81625257457730000
982617-63.61925258446620000
972618-53.52124249445520000
962518-63.323232210334420000
952519-53.024211910333310000
942419-62.624181710222210000
932420-52.22215148222110000
922320-61.71912116111100000
912321-51.315985111100000
902221-60.911663000000000
892222-50.67432000000000
882122-60.34221000000000
872123-50.2311100000000
862023-60.11110000000
852024-50.0100000000
842025-40.0000000000
831925-50.00000000
821825-60.0000000
811826-50.0000
801827-4No0
40-79No
Total:3.2%13.816.717.16.14.44.46.96.63.00.30.10.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
San Jose 4 Edmonton 3 -0.4
Montreal 1 Anaheim 2 +0.1
Los Angeles 6 St. Louis 4 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Calgary vs Dallas+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Ottawa vs Anaheim-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
126-138100
125415-3964
124405-4100
123395-59613
122396-49343
121397-39155
120387-482990
119377-57812100
118378-47014151
117368-5601821020
116369-4492227020
115359-53824331400
1143510-428254025000
1133410-519244537010
1123411-412224969010
1113311-57195010111300
1103312-431547151325000
1093212-51114221133801000
1083213-40734271351301000
1073113-50425321061912000
1063013-602173478262301000
1053014-5011034483244120000
1042914-605312735961300000
1032915-5032616331663701000
1022815-601200428235411020000
1012816-5001402213046171301000
1002716-6001001133326234511000
992717-50060083316269623000
982617-600404290425157560100
972618-502022303212267102300
962518-6101170115274101346100
952519-500011011029210149112000
942419-6007005281101215156100
932420-5000403240882019123100
922320-6002011905421181882000
912321-50010013032191523166100
902221-60100902116102223134100
892222-50061011518272292000
882122-60030072112528175100
872123-50020041619302511200
862023-6010203112631196100
852024-5010101619322712300
841924-6000000211273220610
831925-500001519322812300
821825-600002122632206100
811826-50001620322712300
801726-600212273219610
791727-501619332612200
781627-6021326322061
771628-50172133261120
761528-600314283118500
751529-518233324101
741429-6014163331142
731430-5011027352060
721431-41418392810
711331-51123039153
701332-46194727
691333-382030385
681233-45503015
671234-3226711
661033-6145729
65933-7100
40049-0100
Total:014912913121011234554432110000000