San Jose Sharks Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.001 to 99.9%
63 points   28 14-7

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Calgary 6 Detroit 4 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Tampa Bay vs San Jose-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1*+0.0*+0.0*+0.1+0.2+0.1
-0.4-0.2-0.2+0.3+0.4+0.6
Edmonton vs Calgary+0.1*+0.1*-0.0*-0.1*-0.0-0.1
+0.1*+0.0*+0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
123-129In92.1%100723*
122293-1In69.9991468*
121283-2In60.199011,105*
120273-3In52.898112,379*
119274-2In42.895144,939*
118264-3In33.591269,653*
117265-2In25.28749017,088*
116255-3In18.18061328,759*
115256-2In11.973919046,941*
114246-3In7.1631225071,847*
113247-2In4.15314320104,927*
112237-3In2.04317410145,061*
111238-2In0.93318480193,640*
110228-3In0.32319571245,664*
109229-2In0.116186420300,254*
108219-3In0.010167030351,429*
107209-4In0.06147560396,747*
1062010-3InNo3117790196,127
199-5In0.03117790234,639*
1051910-4InNo1877130450,679*
1041911-3InNo1675190205,297
1810-5InNo1575190249,182*
1031811-4InNo0471260441,610*
1021812-3InNo0265330184,382
1711-5InNo0264340228,143*
1011712-4InNo0157410373,488*
1001713-3InNo01504900325,291*
991613-4InNo00415810274,661*
981614-3InNo0346510224,531*
971514-4InNo0267130175,875*
961515-3InNo0207550134,398*
951415-4100.0%No0147780099,031*
941416-399.9No010771210070,027*
931316-499.7No06731730047,966*
921317-399.0No3672271031,872*
911217-496.7No258241330020,514*
901218-391.7No147232171012,409*
891118-483.7No0372027133007,679*
881119-368.3No0251429238104,446*
871019-450.5No0159263015412,396*
861020-333.9No952033229101,321*
85920-418.9No621129321541666*
84921-310.4No217193822101327*
83922-24.7No1492735195171*
82822-31.0No1325432054101*
81823-2OutNo3635441234*
80723-3OutNo514572421*
79724-2OutNo80205*
78725-1OutNo1001
63033-0OutNo298474
Total:99.9%0.7%8857261000000005,919,388

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupCalgaryWinnipegNashvilleVegasColoradoDallasMinnesotaEdmontonVancouverSt. LouisArizonaAnaheimLos AngelesChicago
129330-010.1%01212131714121111710
128320-1NoYes
127321-033.3333333
126311-116.71733171717
125301-210.51121215161116
124302-11.9215131121192413
123292-26.611411131713121071
122293-112.001110181316131011601
121283-29.70211161614131010610
120273-38.80021214151415910810
119274-29.70151214151413911610
118264-39.10017111414151299710
117265-29.100110111414131389610
116255-38.900114101313141289610
115256-28.800119101212131278610
114246-38.50012591111121167500
113247-28.4001318109111067500
112237-38.210139798111056400
111238-28.01014668710945400
110228-37.7101545669835300
109229-27.5200614548724300
108219-37.3200673437623200
107209-47.0300732326513200
1062010-36.9400772225412100
1051910-46.7500801114412100
1041911-36.6500831114301100
1810-56.4500831114301100
1031811-46.4600840103301100
1021812-36.3600850003301100
1011712-46.2600860003301100
1001713-36.160086000330110
991613-46.160086000320100
981614-35.971086000320100
971514-45.871085000320100
961515-35.782183000220100
951415-45.794181000220100
941416-35.71161770002201000
931316-45.9139271000210100
921317-35.5171336400011000
911217-45.420163560001100
901218-35.323184450001000
891118-44.72519336000000
881119-33.624163250000
871120-23.02013215000
861020-32.31410190
85920-41.77616
84921-30.64313
83821-4No221
82923-1No1
63-81No
Total:6.7%4.70.60.373.52.02.42.15.04.31.12.31.40.10.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Calgary 6 Detroit 4 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay vs San Jose+0.4-0.0-0.0-0.4-0.5-0.5
Vegas vs Pittsburgh+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Edmonton vs Calgary-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Nashville vs Florida+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
129330-0982
126-128100
125301-28911
124302-17723
123292-28020
122293-170291
121283-2603801
120273-3534511
119274-2435214
118264-33358260
117265-2256140900
116255-3186260130
115256-21261901800
114246-375611024100
113247-244913130200
112237-324115236400
111238-21321634080000
110228-302314443131010
109229-2016126431920200
108219-3010973928403000
107209-40668323660600
1062010-303472344918100
1051910-4126144813211200
1041911-311584715514500
1031811-400334215101610000
1021812-3002134131616170000
1011712-400102692213281000
1001713-300101762693810000
991613-400001132754821000
981614-3006126355341100
971514-403122157481200
961515-3010180554161400
951415-40101304932517000
941416-300090402351111100
931316-400062914211712000
921317-3031914702116100
911217-42110470241122100
901218-301504202311934100
891118-4033420026384100
881119-301241402931411310
871019-400159026315171131
861020-3952011223199200
85920-4621116222618720
84921-3217415232216811
83922-214517233212611
82822-31191635181092
81823-21215412463
80824-114431414510
79623-420202040
78725-1100
63033-0397
Total:18431525797151301000000000000000