Los Angeles Kings Playoff Chances

Lost to Dallas 4-5, playoff odds down 6.2 to 78.8%
26 points   11 6-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton 0 New Jersey 2 +0.1
Pittsburgh 4 NY Islanders 5 (so)+0.1
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Dallas 5 Los Angeles 4 -3.6
-0.3
-1.0
Tampa Bay 2 Minnesota 1 +0.3
Ottawa 2 St. Louis 3 -0.2
Calgary 5 New Jersey 4 (so)*-0.1
*-0.1
Edmonton 1 Chicago 7 -0.1
-0.1
Colorado 4 Carolina 3 -0.1
Nashville 3 Florida 2 (so)*-0.1
-0.1
NY Islanders 4 Pittsburgh 1 +0.2
Toronto 4 Detroit 1 +0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Los Angeles finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
124-148In99.4%1001,443*
1234610-5In97.41000509*
1224510-6In96.81000918*
1214511-5In95.599101,583*
1204411-6In93.699102,624*
1194412-5In89.898204,365*
1184312-6In86.297306,882*
1174313-5In81.8954110,705*
1164213-6In75.6936116,098*
1154113-7In67.89082023,371*
1144114-6In59.186122033,882*
1134014-7In49.180164047,688*
1124015-6In39.174205065,373*
1113915-7In29.166268087,671*
1103916-6In20.157321100114,860*
1093816-7In12.548371410147,478*
1083817-6In7.038421910185,057*
1073717-7In3.529462320227,499*
1063718-6In1.4204729300273,977*
1053618-7In0.5134634500322,687*
1043619-6In0.184439810373,509*
1033519-7In0.0439441210422,106*
1023520-6100.0%0.02324617200467,566*
1013420-7100.00.01264623400509,876*
1003421-6100.0No01945296100543,649*
993321-799.9No01441359100568,507*
983322-699.7No09354012300584,158*
973222-799.0No062942167100585,715*
963223-697.2No0322431811300579,314*
953123-793.7No02164019176100561,869*
943124-687.4No011136172311200533,082*
933024-777.8No07301427174000495,974*
923025-665.2No04231028259100456,478*
912925-750.8No02176253115300407,457*
902926-636.5No01124203422610360,989*
892826-724.2No00821433301120311,019*
882827-614.6No00519293518400264,272*
872727-78.2No0305223725710219,913*
862728-64.1No01031634321220180,314*
852628-71.9No01011030361930144,889*
842629-60.8No0000623382660114,133*
832529-70.4No00317363211188,350*
822530-60.1No00111323816266,808*
812430-70.0No0017264123349,736*
802431-60.0No0004194230536,284*
792331-70.0No002143838826,095*
782332-6OutNo01934441218,270*
772232-7OutNo00629481812,648*
762233-6OutNo032249258,592*
752133-7OutNo021652315,661*
742134-6OutNo11248403,637*
732034-7OutNo01744482,339*
722035-6OutNo0641531,552*
711935-7OutNo033562924*
701936-6OutNo32573546*
691836-7OutNo12277345*
681837-6OutNo1981200*
671737-7OutNo1585105*
661738-6OutNo118962*
651739-5OutNo69436*
641639-6OutNo148621*
26-63OutNo100890*
Total:78.8%2.0%61422217886421010,582,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Los Angeles finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNashvilleChicagoSt. LouisAnaheimCalgaryMinnesotaVancouverSan JoseWinnipegDallasArizonaColoradoEdmonton
148610-07.1%6579813109179350
132516-4YesYes
131517-3No5050
130496-6No1717173317
129508-3No25252525
128487-65.9618182418126
127499-316.110336166236310103
126489-49.51971111591116855
125479-510.646589111014141443
124469-67.7654105111014178650
1234610-57.358679141112135630
1224510-69.256879111211148540
1214511-56.9467710121012137740
1204411-68.5567711131110137540
1194412-58.8577810121112137530
1184312-68.2477810121111137540
1174313-58.1568810121112137530
1164213-67.9577810121111137530
1154113-78.2578810121111137530
1144114-68.1568810121111137530
1134014-78.0578910121211136530
1124015-67.6578911121211126430
1113915-77.85781011121210125430
1103916-67.75781012121310115430
1093816-77.65781113121310105420
1083817-67.5578121412141094320
1073717-77.457813151115994320
1063718-67.256715161016983320
1053618-77.046716171017973310
1043619-67.04561819918962310
1033519-76.84551920720952310
1023520-66.73452122621941310
1013420-76.634422235221031310
1003421-66.433323244221031300
993321-76.333324253231021300
983322-66.133324253231010300
973222-75.944324243221010300
963223-65.75442423221910200
953123-75.47552222219810200
943124-64.98652019317700200
933024-74.49751716214500200
923025-63.69751313211400100
912925-72.8865101028300100
902926-62.06447715200000
892826-71.34324413100000
882827-60.83223212100000
872727-70.51112101000000
862728-60.21101101000000
852628-70.100000000000
842629-60.000000000000
832529-70.0000000000
822530-60.0000000000
812531-5No0000000
802532-4No0000
792331-7No0
26-78No
Total:5.0%4.74.44.216.216.44.215.37.02.61.02.10.60.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

FridayNone
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas 5 Los Angeles 4 +0.8
Calgary 5 New Jersey 4 (so)+0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
126-148100
125479-5973
124469-6991
1234610-59720
1224510-69730
1214511-596410
1204411-694510
1194412-590820
1184312-6861130
1174313-58213401
1164213-67618601
1154113-7682280200
1144114-659271202000
1134014-749311514000
1124015-639351915000
1113915-729372427000
1103916-62037284910000
1093816-71236307121101000
1083817-67313111143201000
1073717-73252917155302000
1063718-611925221586030000
1053618-711320271311100500000
1043619-60814301014141711100
1033519-7049307151939210100
1023520-602528315226113302000
1013420-70122311222111166030000
1003421-6011808191699100511000
993321-70013051521612161721000
983322-6009031023312213943000
973222-7006015221112379761100
963223-60030319082212810922000
953123-7002011505181751312551000
943124-60010010021321314121193100
933024-700070182111310171372000
923025-6000404190106221412620000
912925-7000202150632212171262000
902926-6001011104119817191251000
892826-7000070201441321201251000
882827-60000510927172420114100
872727-7003005031121251993100
862728-60010030151424251772000
852628-7010010027172624155100
842629-6000001310212723113000
832529-7000015132428197200
822530-600002718282614410
812430-7000013112330229200
802431-600001516292915400
792331-70000210233223810
782332-60151731301430
772232-70021026342150
762233-60016193329101
752133-703133135163
742134-600172637245
732034-7041839327
722035-60215363411
711935-717304615
701936-615234525
691836-703204630
681837-61145036
671737-71103553
661738-6263458
651739-563658
641538-853362
631640-51388
26-62100
Total:245934783486343533332221110000