Los Angeles Kings Playoff Chances

Lost to Detroit 2-5, playoff odds down 11.5 to 61.6%
14 points   6 3-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton 3 Washington 2 -0.2
+0.1
Anaheim 4 Buffalo 1 -0.2
*-0.0
-0.1
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Los Angeles 2 Buffalo 0 +2.6
+0.2
+0.7
San Jose 4 Columbus 5 +0.5
+0.1
Calgary 5 Carolina 0 -0.3
Nashville 3 Chicago 2 +0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Los Angeles finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
124-156InYes10016,590*
1235113-7In99.5%100003,967*
1225114-6In99.2100006,824*
1215014-7In98.8990011,069*
1204914-8In98.0990017,892*
1194915-7In97.0991129,044*
1184815-8In95.6981145,334*
1174816-7In93.59721069,522*
1164716-8In90.295320103,980*
1154717-7In86.493330153,213*
1144617-8In80.991540221,232*
1134618-7In74.3877600310,588*
1124518-8In66.1829800430,926*
1114519-7In56.877121100585,448*
1104419-8In46.370151500781,032*
1094420-7In35.6611919101,023,724*
1084320-8In25.4522224201,318,373*
1074321-7In16.54326293001,662,536*
1064221-8In9.63428344002,063,672*
1054121-9100.0%4.925293970002,513,727*
1044122-8In2.117294310103,009,877*
1034022-9100.00.7112746141003,538,072*
1024023-8100.00.262447203004,093,710*
1013923-9100.00.0320472550004,653,856*
1003924-8100.00.0115443181005,193,012*
993824-999.90.011139361120005,706,542*
983825-899.70.00733401630006,164,690*
973725-999.0No05264120710006,546,263*
963726-897.1No0320402311300006,838,827*
953626-993.2No0114372417610007,026,131*
943627-885.9No0193122231130007,103,488*
933527-974.6No00625182618610007,059,379*
923528-859.8No003191226241230006,905,171*
913428-943.7No0213722281971006,639,471*
903429-828.8No0194162826133006,286,895*
893329-916.9No0052102430207105,855,111*
883330-89.0No0031518302713305,368,643*
873230-94.3No0020211263220614,841,144*
863231-81.8No0010162032271124,293,473*
853131-90.7No000031330331733,747,309*
843132-80.3No00001824352463,222,159*
833032-90.1No000015183532102,722,133*
823033-80.0No000002123238162,263,550*
812933-90.0No0000182742231,853,178*
802934-80.0No000042143311,494,153*
792834-90.0No00021642391,181,047*
782835-80.0No0001114048921,976*
772735-9OutNo00173557706,216*
762736-8OutNo0053065533,156*
752636-9OutNo0032572395,708*
742637-8OutNo0022078289,226*
732537-9OutNo011683207,408*
722538-8OutNo001287146,639*
712438-9OutNo0990101,406*
702439-8OutNo079369,548*
692339-9OutNo059546,595*
682340-8OutNo039730,617*
672240-9OutNo029819,702*
662241-8OutNo029813,027*
652242-7OutNo1997,861*
642142-8OutNo1994,943*
632143-7OutNo1993,000*
622043-8OutNo1991,819*
612044-7OutNo01001,061*
601944-8OutNo0100597*
14-59OutNo10012,198*
Total:61.6%2.3%56161888887653138,488,680

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Los Angeles finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupAnaheimMinnesotaNashvilleVancouverChicagoSt. LouisSan JoseCalgaryDallasColoradoWinnipegEdmontonArizona
156710-06.5%658998910108855
135566-9NoYes
133568-7No2020202020
132558-815.4888823158815
1315610-512.13912153122131236
1305510-62.371199167977775
1295410-74.61088651315765865
1285411-67.85610128611987764
1275311-75.66957610811107696
1265312-68.4677105891297666
1255212-76.1658879111187756
1245213-66.266898891097775
1235113-76.06689881010107775
1225114-66.46681088111197765
1215014-75.96571078101197776
1204914-86.66581088111197765
1194915-76.36581088111197665
1184815-86.46581088111197665
1174816-76.46571088111187765
1164716-86.46571088111197675
1154717-76.46571078111197665
1144617-86.37571188111186665
1134618-76.37571177121286665
1124518-86.27571277121286665
1114519-76.28571277121286665
1104419-86.19561377131375565
1094420-76.110561466131375565
1084320-86.011461566141365465
1074321-75.912451666141464464
1064221-85.913451755151454454
1054121-95.715341845161553354
1044122-85.616341944161643354
1034022-95.518332044171632254
1024023-85.419332033171732254
1013923-95.320332133181722154
1003924-85.120332133181721154
993824-95.021432133181721153
983825-84.921432133171621143
973725-94.821542033161621143
963726-84.621641943151521143
953626-94.421751744141321133
943627-84.019851544121121132
933527-93.41785124410911022
923528-82.7147410337710021
913428-92.011537325510011
903429-81.37424213310010
893430-70.74213112200000
883330-80.42111101100000
873331-70.21101001000000
863231-80.10000000000000
853232-70.00000000000000
843132-80.00000000000000
833133-70.00000000000000
823033-80.00000000000000
813034-70.00000000000
802934-80.0000000000
793036-50.00000
783037-4No0
14-77No
Total:3.1%12.33.82.811.42.62.49.49.01.61.00.92.62.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim 4 Buffalo 1 +0.1
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Los Angeles 2 Buffalo 0 -0.6
San Jose 4 Columbus 5 -0.1
Calgary 5 Carolina 0 +0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
124-156100
1235113-7100000
1225114-699000
1215014-799100
1204914-898100
1194915-797211
1184815-896211
1174816-7933210
1164716-89053200
1154717-7867303000
1144617-88110504000
1134618-774137060000
1124518-866169080000
1114519-75720120110000
1104419-846231501400000
1094420-736261811800100
1084320-8252721122112000
1074321-716272332521030000
1064221-810242452742040000
1054121-9520227287407000000
1044122-821519102511701000100
1034022-911015122115110131001000
1024023-806111314181511721030000
1013923-90361381918219420500000
1003924-80131241619518850701000
993824-9012911218815138010120000
983825-80017081312101613113330000
973725-900404914517172156601000
963726-800302513214186131010120000
953626-9001012110101610101514361000
943627-8001001806111451715810310000
933527-9000005036162161214148200000
923528-800000301315112719161472100000
913428-9000200112073191218158310000
903429-8000100080411571620169310000
893329-9000000502010391822179410000
883330-80000003010514111923181041000
873230-9000020002015122124191041000
863231-80000100100151322241993100
853131-9000000000261423251882000
843132-80000000027162525166100
833032-90000000013919272413410
823033-8000000001412232821920
812933-90000000161628281640
802934-800000031023312491
792834-9000015163031152
782835-800002102535225
772735-9000161935308
762736-8000313333713
752636-900018284220
742637-80015234427
732537-9003174535
722538-8001124343
712438-90183951
702439-80063559
692339-90043066
682340-8022572
672240-9012178
662241-811783
652242-701386
642142-801090
632143-70892
622043-80694
612044-7496
601944-8397
591945-7298
581946-6298
571846-7199
561746-8100
551747-7496
14-54100
Total:233344444455454544444333332211