Edmonton Oilers Playoff Chances

Beating Colorado 2-1 (End 1st), playoff odds down 0.02 to 99.9%
89 points   40 25-9

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
St. Louis 2 Calgary 3 (ot)*-0.0
Nashville 7 San Jose 2 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Edmonton vs Colorado+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.3
+0.1+0.1*+0.0-0.1*-0.0-0.3
Los Angeles vs NY Rangers-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Anaheim vs NY Rangers-0.0*-0.0-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Edmonton finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
10580-0InNo0991325,764
10470-1InNo09540432,555
10371-0InNo0881201,336,553
60-2InNo081181243,622
10261-1InNo6730301,511,107
50-3InNo5837576,321
10162-0InNo4645902,344,083
51-2InNo3649140712,297
40-4InNo275221014,670
10052-1InNo195129102,207,840
41-3InNo14493710181,154
30-5InNo9444521,758
9953-0InNo74148402,280,641
42-2InNo4345650841,643
31-4InNo228637026,634
20-6InNo420697121
9843-1InNo119641521,742,016
32-3InNo11466172166,868
21-5InNo010682022,272
10-7InNo1004
9744-0InNo07602671,350,332
33-2InNo0559288516,188
22-4InNo035930917,758
11-6InNo1533412117
9634-1InNo01423422801,419
23-3InNo140352474,181
12-5InNo0393624966
01-7InNo1001
9535-099.9%No02831410495,668
24-299.9No02631430171,522
13-499.7No026314305,150
02-6InNo24324425
9425-199.2No01322641212,528
14-399.0No132165115,943
03-599.3No1322641142
9326-096.2No0713774110,157
15-295.1No61277529,486
04-494.1No512776494
9216-188.5No25811130,277
05-387.0No1580131,265
9117-076.1No12742413,303
06-272.3No0270282,023
9007-157.2No0156431,850
8908-041.0No041592,182
Total:99.9%No028283185018,300,900

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Edmonton finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupChicagoMinnesotaSan JoseAnaheimSt. LouisNashvilleCalgaryLos Angeles
10580-05.8%01692124300
10470-15.8016101922320
10371-05.7020121720310
60-25.7021151518310
10261-15.5026191214280
50-35.4028221012270
10162-05.30322689250
51-25.200343067230
40-45.20363445210
10052-15.000383434210
41-35.000393723190
30-55.7393912190
9953-04.900403712190
42-24.800414011170
31-44.500414200160
20-68.335501114
9843-14.820414100160
32-34.720414300130
21-54.12042460010
10-7No7525
9744-04.660404100120
33-24.781404200100
22-44.68140430080
11-64.310232489
9634-14.521235360070
23-34.5222353650
12-54.222136365
01-7NoYes
9535-04.43832728040
24-24.34032727030
13-44.3403282720
02-64.04041640
9425-14.2595171620
14-34.460517161
03-54.958619151
9326-04.071610910
15-23.9726991
04-43.6725791
9216-13.5756430
05-33.1746340
9117-02.8685110
06-22.8655110
9007-11.8533000
8908-01.438300
Total:5.0%4.80.433.430.05.36.119.80.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Nashville 7 San Jose 2 -0.3
St. Louis 2 Calgary 3 (ot)+0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Edmonton vs Colorado-0.4-0.4-0.2+0.8+0.8+1.9
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim vs NY Rangers+0.3+0.3+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.4

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
10580-008613000
10470-1073231300
10371-005236210000
60-204635215010
10261-1283922723000
50-32435233250
10162-01234138581000
51-2828141713100
40-4621142819200
10052-1317038132260010
41-3212034142980010
30-51803013361001
9953-0070251630180030
42-2040191535210050
31-4020141339240060
20-64119403016
9843-10107112636201520
32-3000592737201720
21-5047273920192
10-7100
9744-0000251540502570
33-2000141439602880
22-40121437703080
11-61103763412
9634-100152711034211
23-30142411035231
12-504241236222
01-7100
9535-0001141203136500
24-2001121303137600
13-4011213313670
02-681632404
9425-10049224321100
14-3031021412410
03-53112240241
9326-00016133542300
15-20151231474100
04-405122652500
9216-102515667310
05-31512688410
9117-012668101041
06-20236791261
9007-1010565171740
8908-0004141625130
Total:01216120715142084100000