Edmonton Oilers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.8 to 20.3%
4 points   2 5-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Detroit 1 Vancouver 4 -0.4
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs
NY Rangers vs San Jose+0.4*+0.1*+0.0-0.3-0.3-0.4
Toronto vs Los Angeles+0.2*-0.1*+0.0*-0.1-0.2-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Edmonton finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
119-154In99.8%100665*
1185314-8In92.6934427*
1175315-7In81.4952359*
1165215-8In86.99316107*
1155216-7In82.49613210*
1145116-8In79.49036374*
1135016-9In71.48749549*
1125017-8In66.6855100872*
1114917-9In55.07691411,400*
1104918-8In45.27191812,190*
1094818-9In35.764122223,242*
1084819-8In26.6561625204,820*
1074719-9In17.0461932406,786*
1064720-8In10.33721366010,142*
1054620-9In5.02822428014,275*
1044621-8In2.4202344121019,560*
1034521-9In0.9132247162026,698*
1024522-8100.0%0.3820482130035,766*
1014422-9100.00.0417472750046,538*
1004322-10100.00.02144332810059,887*
994323-999.90.011038371220076,712*
984223-1099.6No07324016400095,383*
974224-998.8No0426412171000117,008*
964124-1096.9No03194024113000141,494*
954125-992.9No011436251761000167,663*
944025-1085.3No019312322113100196,082*
934026-973.5No062518251872000225,283*
923926-1058.2No0318122423134100255,275*
913927-941.3No021372027209200283,851*
903827-1026.4No0184142526166100311,248*
893828-914.9No0052820282311300336,191*
883728-107.7No0031414262818610357,609*
873729-93.5No0010282130251120374,352*
863629-101.4No010141427301850385,049*
853630-90.5No00002822322591391,329*
843530-100.2No000014153132152389,772*
833531-90.1No000002102636224383,615*
823431-100.0No0000152037307371,685*
813432-90.0No0000314353811353,935*
803332-100.0No000019304316332,111*
793333-90.0No00015244723305,533*
783233-100.0No0003194830278,908*
773234-9OutNo002134738249,616*
763134-10OutNo00194446221,364*
753135-9OutNo0064054191,626*
743035-10OutNo0043561164,437*
733036-9OutNo023067137,967*
722936-10OutNo012573114,112*
712937-9OutNo01217893,797*
702837-10OutNo00178375,242*
692838-9OutNo0138759,496*
682738-10OutNo0118946,480*
672739-9OutNo089235,534*
662639-10OutNo069426,804*
652640-9OutNo059519,932*
642641-8OutNo39714,433*
632541-9OutNo29810,479*
622441-10OutNo2987,539*
612442-9OutNo1995,062*
602443-8OutNo1993,552*
592343-9OutNo01002,335*
582243-10OutNo01001,516*
572244-9OutNo01001,029*
562245-8OutNo0100658*
4-55OutNo1001,671*
Total:20.3%0.1%014745679111417167,848,936

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Edmonton finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupLos AngelesVegasChicagoSt. LouisDallasVancouverNashvilleMinnesotaColoradoWinnipegAnaheimCalgarySan JoseArizona
154750-04.5%58777998798881
1235511-9No5050
1225512-8No5050
1215412-9No5050
1205514-6No8151588888158
1195515-511.1622116176611116
1185314-83.711157471572274
1175315-78.52353101510735141282
1165215-84.77838414788612771
1155216-73.8811546144106710790
1145116-82.9610467127679510101
1135016-94.261155612677491192
1125017-84.19117579576791082
1114917-94.181255712565710891
1104918-83.110124561066669981
1094818-93.110145561265659981
1084819-83.311155551265559981
1074719-93.513174451255459981
1064720-83.314183441344449981
1054620-93.415203341344439981
1044621-83.017213341343339981
1034521-93.118223331433339981
1024522-83.019233331423229981
1014422-92.920233321422229981
1004322-102.821243321322229981
994323-92.721243321322229881
984223-102.821234421322229871
974224-92.621225431222228871
964124-102.521215531122227761
954125-92.421206631022227661
944126-82.22018663822225550
4025-102.22018663822226550
933925-111.81815653722214440
4026-91.91815653722214440
923926-101.51512542522213330
913927-91.1119431311112220
903928-80.676221211101110
893828-90.443110100001110
883829-80.222110100000000
873729-90.111000000000000
863730-80.000000000000000
853630-90.000000000000000
843631-80.000000000000000
833531-90.0000000000000
823532-80.000000000000
813331-11No000000
803332-10No000
793636-3No000
783334-8No0
4-77No
Total:0.5%4.74.41.31.20.62.10.50.50.50.41.41.31.20.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

SundayNone
MondayNone

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
120-154100
1195515-5946
1185314-89344
1175315-7811423
1165215-887716
1155216-7821313
1145116-8791136
1135016-9711649
1125017-8671840100
1114917-95521901401
1104918-845269018101
1094818-9362812021102
1084819-827291512320200
1074719-917291622831400
1064720-810271842951600
1054620-9523166318308000
1044621-8218158281240110010
1034521-911212102217801510200
1024522-8089121621111182103000
1014422-904512922142205205000
1004322-10023114191542184080100
994323-901192151481713601112000
984223-100160101111121710114240000
974224-900405713618142165701000
964124-10003024132161651591013000
954125-9001012111121410111314361000
944025-10001018071014616166104100
934026-90000503616315131215831000
923926-100003013141118171615831000
913927-9000200111073171319158310000
903827-100001008041137162016941000
893828-9000050208391721181141000
883728-100000310414101822191251000
873729-900001002014101823201352000
863629-10001010014101923211351000
853630-900000001411192421135100
843530-1000000001411202521114100
833531-90000000015132226209300
823431-100000002615252617710
813432-900001391928251330
803332-1000000141224302181
793333-9000017183028142
783233-1000003112633215
773234-9000162034299
763134-10000314323615
753135-900019274022
743035-100015224230
733036-9003164239
722936-1001113948
712937-90173557
702837-100053065
692838-90032572
682738-10022178
672739-9011782
662639-10011287
652640-9001090
642641-80793
632541-90595
622441-100496
612442-90397
602443-8298
592343-9199
582243-10199
572244-9199
562245-80100
552246-70100
4-54100
Total:0001011212231223233444556677887