Edmonton Oilers Playoff Chances

Beat Columbus 4-1, playoff odds up 0.5 to 0.8%
73 points   33 34-7

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Edmonton 4 Columbus 1 +0.3
Florida 4 Arizona 2 +0.1
Chicago 1 Philadelphia 3 +0.1
Dallas 1 Colorado 3 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Washington vs Minnesota+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Edmonton finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
8980-074.9%No01856232020,171
8870-143.5No053943121053,651
8771-024.1No1234626400165,994
60-217.6No117443260062,646
8661-16.0No0631431720389,747
50-33.5No032645223040,000
8562-01.7No0217423281603,118
51-20.8No01123937111373,691
40-40.4No09374013115,261
8452-10.1No0426442341,159,989
41-30.0No022144285189,811
30-50.0No0118443063,481
8353-00.0No011239371101,198,379
42-20.0No0093641130885,260
31-40.0No007334316055,681
20-6OutNo08284617504
8243-10.0No00323462701,828,700
32-3OutNo022047310342,969
21-5OutNo0216463509,243
10-7OutNo313543139
8144-0OutNo0112434501,417,829
33-2OutNo009414901,065,204
22-4OutNo083952071,311
11-6OutNo0635580837
8034-1OutNo004306511,650,634
23-3OutNo00327691294,711
12-5OutNo02247227,641
01-7OutNo101370730
7935-0OutNo01187831,024,134
24-2OutNo0116794687,252
13-4OutNo11379738,759
02-6OutNo0127710346
7825-1OutNo088111850,809
14-3OutNo068014121,812
03-5OutNo0475201,912
7726-0OutNo0376210440,045
15-2OutNo0273250226,205
04-4OutNo01643507,768
7616-1OutNo0158420233,281
05-3OutNo05248019,146
7517-0OutNo042580103,199
06-2OutNo03664029,479
7407-1OutNo01980126,018
7308-0OutNo1088311,423
Total:0.8%No001381727404015,728,120

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Edmonton finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupCalgaryWinnipegSan JoseNashvilleVegasSt. Louis
8980-00.0%4918610
8870-10.03354000
8771-00.02023000
60-20.015120
8661-10.0501000
50-30.0300
8562-00.0100
51-20.0100
40-4No000
8452-1No000
41-3No000
30-5No0
8353-0No000
42-2No00
31-4No0
20-6No
8243-1No0
32-3No
21-5No
10-7No
73-81No
Total:0.0%0.70.10.10.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Edmonton 4 Columbus 1 -0.5
Chicago 1 Philadelphia 3 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Washington vs Minnesota-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
8980-00180561139200
8870-1050390172612200
8771-012301130258100
60-21170930291220
8661-106032035268100
50-303021634311220
8562-002018263621500
51-20106223726710
40-4004193730910
8452-10019283819400
41-3001625392450
30-5000522392760
8353-000021435341310
42-200011134371520
31-40001931391820
20-6192743192
8243-10003204030700
32-300217393380
21-50213393790
10-7315442810
8144-0001831421710
33-200729441910
22-400527462010
11-6042549211
8034-100215443550
23-300114443650
12-50111453760
01-77104043
7935-00063348130
24-20053249141
13-40043149151
02-633150142
7825-1011751283
14-3011650294
03-511449315
7726-0007424290
15-20074043100
04-4053643150
7616-1022449240
05-3022249280
7517-00011454210
06-209424720
7407-1032665600
7308-00113711500
Total:0001002481420241972000