"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Edmonton Oilers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.2 to 6%
30 points   14 17-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Winnipeg 4 St. Louis 0 -0.1
Vegas 5 Florida 2 -0.1
Chicago 4 Minnesota 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Edmonton vs San Jose+1.8+1.5+1.3-0.6-0.6-2.0
New Jersey vs Anaheim+0.2*-0.0*+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Colorado vs Pittsburgh-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1
Philadelphia vs Los Angeles+0.1*-0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Edmonton finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
115-128In98.7%10010,469*
114405-4In38.5858813*
113406-3In17.18014635*
112396-4In10.4602513167*
111386-5In6.7474491178*
110387-4In4.74039201358*
109377-5In1.63243223731*
108378-4In1.1224331401,589*
107368-5In0.3154436503,257*
106358-6In0.194141906,344*
105359-5In0.043546131011,949*
104349-6In0.022948202021,588*
1033410-5InNo12248263037,824*
1023310-6100.0%No016463350064,422*
1013311-5100.0No01040409100105,768*
1003211-699.9No06344513200168,630*
993212-599.5No04274817410260,963*
983112-698.3No022048209200393,036*
973113-595.5No113452215400576,935*
963013-689.6No093920219100822,373*
953014-579.9No053216261640001,144,005*
942914-666.3No032511272491001,545,876*
932915-550.2No0118724301640002,037,334*
922815-634.5No0112418322481002,611,238*
912816-521.1No0072123031153003,265,274*
902716-611.6No004172334237103,981,397*
892717-55.7No0020316323013204,738,581*
882617-62.5No01019273521505,494,332*
872517-71.0No010051935291016,221,177*
862518-60.4No0000212303517306,878,559*
852418-70.1No000017243825507,416,873*
842419-60.0No0000031736331007,810,288*
832319-70.0No000021132401608,024,986*
822320-60.0No0001626442408,056,910*
812220-70.0No0000319453307,896,337*
802221-60.0No000213434307,553,057*
792121-70.0No00018385307,064,573*
782122-6OutNo005336206,442,771*
772022-7OutNo003277005,742,246*
762023-6OutNo001217704,996,926*
751923-7OutNo001158314,250,588*
741924-6OutNo00118713,527,367*
731925-5OutNo0089022,860,291*
721825-6OutNo0059132,261,465*
711826-5OutNo0039251,744,555*
701726-6OutNo029171,318,130*
691727-5OutNo018910967,166*
681627-6OutNo018613695,308*
671628-5OutNo08217486,172*
661528-6OutNo07822331,583*
651529-5OutNo07327220,710*
641429-6OutNo06733143,316*
631430-5OutNo0613990,576*
621330-6OutNo0544655,440*
611331-5OutNo0475333,536*
601231-6OutNo0406019,317*
591232-5OutNo346610,986*
581132-6OutNo28726,037*
571133-5OutNo23773,268*
561033-6OutNo017831,680*
551034-5OutNo1288818*
54934-6OutNo1090397*
53935-5OutNo793185*
52835-6OutNo69479*
51735-7OutNo79343*
30-50OutNo10010,486*
Total:6.0%0.0%00021247111622331130,448,768

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Edmonton finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNashvilleLos AngelesVegasSt. LouisWinnipegSan JoseChicagoDallasMinnesotaAnaheimCalgaryColoradoVancouverArizona
128490-01.5%265510121415136652
117413-5NoYes
115404-5No25252525
114405-4No8888312315
113406-3No1169149141114633
112396-4No4131671076912444
111386-5No2131148151412105221
110387-41.13151461011127104421
109377-50.721514781511975331
108378-40.921816681711863321
107368-51.22201858179654421
106358-61.02222157188444310
105359-51.31252345197434311
104349-61.11262635205333311
1033410-51.22282834204223311
1023310-61.12302823213213300
1013311-51.03312922212113301
1003211-61.04313022212113301
993212-50.96313032202113301
983112-60.983029321810033010
973113-50.8112827421610022000
963013-60.8132625431410022000
2912-80.814252443131002200
953014-50.7152222531110022000
2913-70.7152121531010011000
3115-30.7152221531010011000
942914-60.614171742810011000
3015-40.614181742810011000
2813-80.51416164271001100
932915-50.413131342510011000
2814-70.412121232510011000
3016-30.412121232510011000
922815-60.399831310000000
2916-40.3109931410000000
2714-80.398821310000000
912816-50.265521200000000
2917-30.265521200000000
902716-60.133310100000000
892717-50.012100000000000
882617-60.011100000000000
872618-50.000000000000000
862518-60.000000000000000
852519-50.00000000000000
842419-60.00000000000
832420-50.0000000000
822320-60.00000000
812321-5No00000
802322-4No000
792222-5No00
30-78No
Total:0.1%1.21.61.60.40.20.80.10.00.00.10.10.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

SundayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Edmonton vs San Jose-0.6-0.5-0.5+0.1+0.1+0.7

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
128490-0991
115-117100
114405-4384688
113406-31763146
112396-41049241131
111386-5740403811
110387-453537318111
109377-523139519123
108378-4121367252440
107368-5014321225480500
106358-60826152551209000
105359-5041817207190120110
104349-6021217159241170220
1033410-517159929220140300
1023310-6031248304212905000
1013311-50192527620515080100
1003211-6006032191572301212000
993212-5004011411983011624010
983112-6002009114734217480200
973113-5010049253441571414000
963013-600027032971191839200
953014-50001401229610206154100
942914-6000200151039161121102000
932915-5000100991610142418710000
922815-60001005703514212514510000
912816-5000025022101426231241000
902716-6000013010672027211031000
892717-50000020003311232719930000
882617-600010011514242618720000
872517-70000000161626251661000
862518-600000000281927241451000
852418-700000001310212822113100
842419-600000000141324282082000
832319-70000000016162727165100
822320-600000002921292411300
812220-7000001413263019610
802221-600001719312813200
792121-700000312263321500
782122-6000162034291000
772022-700031331361710
762023-60001724402620
751923-7000417403530
741924-6000211364460
731925-500173152100
721825-600042457150
711826-50021759211
701726-60011258282
691727-5000754353
681627-6000449425
671628-500342488
661528-601355212
651529-501285516
641429-60215622
631430-500165528
621330-60115336
611331-5084844
601231-6054352
591232-533760
581132-6023167
571133-512672
561033-611980
551034-501485
54934-611188
53935-5892
52835-6892
51735-7793
30-50100
Total:00000000001101112345567891011111020