Edmonton Oilers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.006 to 98.5%
60 points   26 15-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Chicago 4 Vancouver 2 +0.1
Minnesota 2 Nashville 4 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Toronto vs Calgary+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
NY Rangers vs Los Angeles+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Winnipeg vs Anaheim-0.0-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Edmonton finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
126330-0In94.7%1000310,514
125320-1In75.897333
124321-0In75.1964217*
123311-1In73.1955936*
122301-2In60.89373,692*
121302-1In49.18911012,636*
120292-2In37.48416038,347*
119293-1In26.479210105,123*
118283-2In17.272280264,905*
117273-3In10.165350614,645*
116274-2In5.4574301,335,932*
115264-3In2.64851102,698,452*
114265-2In1.14059105,154,982*
113255-3In0.43266309,261,737*
112256-2In0.124724015,801,947*
111246-3In0.017767025,565,790*
110247-2In0.0127711039,451,698*
109237-3In0.0877150057,964,828*
108227-4In0.0574211081,584,917*
107228-3In0.02682810109,755,590*
106218-4In0.01613620141,726,417*
105219-3InNo1524350175,488,814*
104209-4InNo04250800208,996,647*
1032010-3InNo033541200239,190,794*
1021910-4InNo025561900263,680,286*
1011911-3InNo017562600279,783,070*
1001811-4100.0%No0115235100286,370,647*
991812-3100.0No074644200282,420,923*
981712-4100.0No043953400268,912,280*
971713-3100.0No0230607000246,972,258*
961613-4100.0No01226412100219,117,175*
951614-3100.0No01565182000187,561,609*
941514-499.8No01062244000155,240,768*
931515-399.3No0656308100123,977,077*
921415-498.0No03473315200095,719,021*
911416-394.9No01373323500071,318,001*
901316-488.8No012829311010051,369,419*
891317-378.8No001923371830035,703,665*
881217-465.1No001216372681023,975,322*
871218-349.2No07933341430015,526,843*
861118-433.5No0452537236009,722,725*
851119-320.3No02216353112105,857,911*
841019-410.9No0119293719303,409,416*
831020-35.2No0005213829701,910,268*
82920-42.2No0021335371301,030,203*
81921-30.8No00172843210534,479*
80821-40.2No00042045310266,541*
79822-30.1No0021342420128,160*
78823-20.0No0183853158,750*
77723-3OutNo043064126,104*
76724-2OutNo022472210,878*
75624-3OutNo01167944,303*
74625-2OutNo0138061,615*
73525-3OutNo07849622*
72526-2OutNo379170235*
71426-3OutNo4682876*
70427-2OutNo752516*
69327-3OutNo50506*
67-68OutNo1002*
60033-0OutNo43957310,513
Total:98.5%0.0%1213433731000003,746,250,780

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Edmonton finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupMinnesotaChicagoSan JoseAnaheimNashvilleLos AngelesSt. LouisCalgaryVancouverWinnipegDallasArizonaColorado
126330-04.8%0151120172071270
125320-115.23156212161296
124321-06.5026131521178107
123311-13.8015112316199115
122301-24.7015112216198117
121302-14.5015112118208106
120292-24.60151122172081060
119293-14.700151122172081060
118283-24.60161123172089500
117273-34.500161123172089500
116274-24.500271024171988500
115264-34.401271025171978400
114265-24.401281026171977400
113255-34.4012101026161877400
112256-24.3012111027161866300
111246-34.2013131027151766300
110247-24.201316927151665300
109237-34.101419926141554200
108227-44.101523825131454200
107228-34.000628724121353200
106218-43.900832622101243200
105219-33.800103752091042100
104209-43.70013424187932100
1032010-33.60015473166732100
1021910-43.50018513144621100
1011911-33.50020542133521000
1001811-43.40022561122421000
991812-33.30023571111410000
981712-43.20025580111410000
971713-33.21027580100310000
961613-43.2102956090310000
951614-33.1203154080210000
941514-43.1513451070210000
931515-33.0913547050210000
921415-42.91513541040110000
911416-32.82223334030100000
901316-42.52922926020000000
891317-32.23332319010000000
881217-41.83331613010000000
871218-31.3292108000000000
861118-40.922264000000000
851119-30.514132000000000
841019-40.38111000000000
831020-30.140100000000
821021-20.1200000000
81921-30.0100000000
80922-20.000000
79822-30.000000
78823-2No00
60-77No
Total:3.4%2.70.420.746.52.212.93.75.62.11.10.60.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

SundayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Winnipeg vs Anaheim-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Colorado vs San Jose-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1
NY Rangers vs Los Angeles-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
126330-09550
125320-176213
124321-075214
123311-173225
122301-261327
121302-14940110
120292-2374716000
119293-1265221000
118283-2175528000
117273-3105535000
116274-2551421000
115264-33465010000
114265-213956301000
113255-3031615120000
112256-2024638140000
111246-30176312060000
110247-20126017091000
109237-3085423013200000
108227-40546280174000000
107228-30236320217001000
106218-4012734024110020000
105219-311834025171040000
104209-4011310242330800000
1032010-30627021285012000000
1021910-4032101730901810000
1011911-301160132914025100000
1001811-401110925180323001000
991812-3007520220386102000
981712-400431323042102040000
971713-30021821042144070000
961613-400104180391880121000
951614-3000213032191301810000
941514-4000190241720024310000
931515-3000051613260304410000
921415-4000031092903359200000
911416-3000155280335183100000
901316-400012223029427542000000
891317-300001118023235675210000
881217-4000001201613649117310000
871218-30007090322814149310000
861118-4000450251412181710410000
851119-3000220160271522191141000
841019-40011090029182420114100
831020-30005001310202521113100
82920-400200014122227209200
81921-30010001514252819710
80821-4000000161728281530
79822-3000002922322690
78823-200014132936170
77723-300162241290
76724-20031538421
75624-301832572
74625-20427635
73525-30220718
72526-2197317
71426-3116624
70427-27525
69327-35050
67-68100
60033-043957
Total:01813010141102265071200000000000000