Edmonton Oilers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.7 to 18%
3 points   1 4-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Boston 5 San Jose 3 +0.3
Winnipeg 3 Carolina 1 -0.1
Chicago 4 Philadelphia 0 -0.1
Nashville 4 Arizona 3 (so)*-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton vs Washington+2.7+2.7+2.3-0.6-0.7-3.3
+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Anaheim vs Buffalo-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1*+0.1+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Edmonton finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
122-155InYes1006,421*
1215614-6In97.1%97335*
119-120In99.6100225*
1185314-9In98.81000251*
1175214-10In95.29712454*
1165215-9In93.39721839*
1155216-8In89.295221,343*
1145116-9In87.394432,342*
1135117-8In80.3896403,861*
1125017-9In73.7868506,264*
1115018-8In64.58011809,708*
1104918-9In54.9741511015,275*
1094919-8In44.56718141023,043*
1084819-9In33.65922181034,700*
1074820-8In23.55025232051,034*
1064720-9In14.840282830073,794*
1054620-10In8.2303133500104,651*
1044621-9100.0%3.92231388100145,539*
1034521-10100.01.515304212100201,623*
1024522-9100.00.59274417200272,597*
1014422-10100.00.152345224000360,353*
1004423-9100.00.031943287100470,319*
994323-1099.90.01143933112000605,885*
984324-999.60.00103436164000765,947*
974224-1098.8No062738207100950,727*
964225-997.1No042137241230001,162,489*
954125-1093.2No0215342517610001,398,557*
944126-986.3No01102924231130001,656,974*
934026-1075.6No00623192717610001,930,316*
924027-961.1No03171427241130002,217,575*
913927-1045.1No0211923281871002,503,149*
903928-929.9No0175172925123002,784,357*
893828-1017.8No0042112530207103,049,064*
883829-99.4No0021619302613303,283,789*
873729-104.4No0010312263120613,484,382*
863730-91.9No0010172032271113,642,952*
853630-100.7No0000041429331733,750,553*
843631-90.2No00002924362463,797,246*
833531-100.1No000015183532103,793,871*
823532-90.0No000002123238153,728,129*
813432-100.0No0000182742223,613,828*
803433-90.0No000052244293,449,002*
793333-100.0No000031644383,232,449*
783334-90.0No000011141462,991,222*
773234-10OutNo001837552,725,389*
763235-9OutNo000532622,442,921*
753135-100.0No0000327692,158,018*
743136-9OutNo00223761,878,451*
733036-10OutNo00118811,611,862*
723037-9OutNo0114851,361,108*
712937-10OutNo00011891,132,003*
702938-9OutNo00892925,344*
692838-10OutNo00694745,771*
682839-9OutNo0595591,325*
672739-10OutNo0397463,397*
662740-9OutNo0298356,421*
652640-10OutNo0298269,154*
642641-9OutNo0199200,834*
632541-10OutNo199146,909*
622542-9OutNo199106,216*
612442-10OutNo010075,241*
602443-9OutNo010052,682*
592343-10OutNo010036,063*
582344-9OutNo010024,577*
572244-10OutNo010016,452*
562245-9OutNo010010,699*
552145-10OutNo01006,944*
542146-9OutNo1004,436*
532147-8OutNo01002,775*
522047-9OutNo01001,617*
3-51OutNo1008,757*
Total:18.0%0.1%013535681114182576,932,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Edmonton finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupChicagoAnaheimNashvilleLos AngelesMinnesotaSan JoseDallasSt. LouisCalgaryVancouverArizonaWinnipegColorado
155760-03.2%58610710881010863
1306110-5NoYes
1276012-4NoYes
1265912-5No5050
1255711-8No7525
1245712-714.31414142929
1235612-8No1414142929
1225613-7No44888442117138
1215614-65.73391436119911176
1205413-94.885613713111210662
1195414-84.279698884915645
1185314-92.8412710109107712761
1175214-103.551069514771211653
1165215-92.65959712861310753
1155216-84.359510611771191054
1145116-93.659511611771111953
1135117-83.159511612771111953
1125017-92.9510611711671111953
1115018-83.0510612612671111853
1104918-93.0411512612761111843
1094919-83.0411513612661111843
1084819-93.2412512612661111842
1074820-83.1413413513551111842
1064720-93.2414414513551111832
1054620-103.1415415414551112832
1044621-92.9315415414441212832
1034521-102.9317316415441212821
1024522-92.8317317315331212821
1014422-102.8318317316331212821
1004423-92.6319317316331212811
994323-102.6319317316331212811
984324-92.6419417315331212811
974224-102.5519417315331111710
964225-92.4618516414331010710
954125-102.27185154133399610
944126-92.07166134113388510
934026-101.87146114103367410
924027-91.471259373355300
913927-101.05946352233200
903928-90.74634231122100
893828-100.42322121111100
883829-90.21211110011000
873729-100.11101000000000
863730-90.00000000000000
853731-80.00000000000000
843631-90.00000000000000
833632-80.00000000000000
823532-90.00000000000000
813533-80.000000000000
803534-70.0000000000
793434-8No000000
783334-90.000000
76-77No
753236-8No0
3-74No
Total:0.4%1.53.41.22.70.82.40.70.61.71.71.10.20.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

TuesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Edmonton vs Washington-0.7-0.6-0.5+0.1+0.2+0.8

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
122-155100
1215614-6973
1205413-9991
1195414-8100
1185314-99910
1175214-1095212
1165215-993321
1155216-889622
1145116-987643
1135117-880960400
1125017-97413805000
1115018-865161108000
1104918-9551915011000
1094919-84422180140010
1084819-93425211181010
1074820-8232623221112000
1064720-915252532422030000
1054620-108222552653050000
1044621-9418238258508001000
1034521-10213191122128011001000
1024522-9091413171512015112000
1014422-100591411171511831040000
1004423-90251351717319630701000
994323-100131121417617106010120000
984324-90019191410121410014240000
974224-100060591271613116470100
964225-90040351331515415811130000
954125-1000201211111148121315361000
944126-900100190710127171771031000
934026-10000006046143171413157200000
924027-900003012131138191613620000
913927-10000020111008320131814721000
903928-9000100070511671619158310000
893828-100000004020113917211710410000
883829-900000020106141018221911410000
873729-10000001003014111923201251000
863730-9000010010014112024201251000
853630-100000000001512212520114100
843631-900000000151322251910300
833531-10000000002615242618720
823532-9000000001281827251441
813432-1000000000141123292291
803433-900000016162829163
793333-100000003102333247
783334-9000001517323212
773234-100000311293819
763235-900017234128
753135-1000004184137
743136-90002123946
733036-10000183556
723037-900053064
712937-100032572
702938-90022078
692838-100011683
682839-90011287
672739-1000991
662740-900793
652640-100595
642641-90397
632541-100298
622542-90298
612442-100199
602443-90199
592343-100199
582344-90100
572244-100100
562245-90100
552145-100100
542146-90100
532147-80100
522047-90100
48-51100
471850-8199
3-46100
Total:00010111111212232233445567891113