Edmonton Oilers Playoff Chances

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 57.1%
0 points   0 0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Calgary vs Vancouver+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.1
Los Angeles vs San Jose+0.1-0.3-0.2-0.3-0.3+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton vs Calgary+3.8+3.4+2.9-1.7-1.7-5.8
+0.3+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.4
+0.6+0.6+0.5-0.3-0.3-1.0
Pittsburgh vs Anaheim+0.4*-0.0*+0.0-0.4-0.5-0.4
Nashville vs Ottawa-0.2-0.2-0.2*+0.0+0.1+0.3
Arizona vs Winnipeg-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.2
St. Louis vs NY Rangers-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.3
Minnesota vs Colorado+0.0-0.2-0.1-0.2-0.2+0.1
Dallas vs Chicago+0.0-0.2-0.1-0.2-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Edmonton finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
124-164In100.0%10011,777*
1235716-9In99.910003,090*
1225717-8In99.6100004,965*
1215617-9In99.7100007,889*
1205618-8In99.31000012,211*
1195518-9In99.01000018,844*
1185519-8In98.5990028,330*
1175419-9In97.5991042,122*
1165420-8In96.2991160,484*
1155320-9In94.59811087,038*
1145321-8In91.997210122,431*
1135221-9In88.195320169,599*
1125121-10In83.093430230,042*
1115122-9In76.890640307,743*
1105022-10In68.7868600404,952*
1095023-9In59.38111900524,311*
1084923-10In48.574141200670,047*
1074924-9In37.3671715100838,979*
1064824-10In26.45821192001,037,558*
1054825-9In16.84825243001,264,640*
1044725-10100.0%9.438282940001,513,243*
1034726-9100.04.529303471001,790,064*
1024626-10100.01.7203039101002,081,779*
1014627-9100.00.5132942142002,384,624*
1004527-10100.00.1826431940002,692,637*
994528-9100.00.04224325610002,997,473*
984428-1099.90.021740301020003,286,601*
974429-999.60.0112353414300003,553,269*
964329-1098.9No08303618610003,782,810*
954330-997.0No0523362211300003,971,490*
944230-1093.0No0317342316610004,109,755*
934231-985.5No021229212111310004,189,988*
924131-1073.8No01724172417720004,210,056*
914132-958.6No004181224231341004,180,509*
904032-1042.0No0213720262092004,083,540*
894033-926.9No0184142526166103,935,800*
883933-1015.3No0152820282311303,737,582*
873934-97.8No0031414262818613,504,443*
863834-103.6No0010282130251123,238,605*
853835-91.5No0010141428311842,946,586*
843735-100.6No000002923332582,651,394*
833736-90.2No0000015173233132,345,786*
823636-100.1No000002112938202,050,769*
813637-90.0No00000162341281,767,577*
803537-100.0No0000041741371,497,123*
793538-90.0No000021239471,255,094*
783438-100.0No00001835561,036,410*
773439-90.0No000053065847,100*
763339-10OutNo00032473677,438*
753340-9OutNo0021979537,966*
743240-10OutNo0011584419,647*
733241-9OutNo001188322,366*
723141-10OutNo00892244,836*
713142-9OutNo00694182,837*
703042-10OutNo0496134,933*
693043-9OutNo039798,476*
682943-10OutNo029870,229*
672944-9OutNo019949,798*
662844-10OutNo19934,552*
652845-9OutNo19923,926*
642745-10OutNo010015,919*
632746-9OutNo010010,770*
622646-10OutNo01007,087*
612647-9OutNo01004,612*
602547-10OutNo01002,932*
592548-9OutNo01001,771*
0-58OutNo10010,126*
Total:57.1%3.3%7714147777777788,339,380

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Edmonton finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWinnipegNashvilleArizonaDallasMinnesotaChicagoCalgaryVancouverColoradoSt. LouisSan JoseAnaheimLos Angeles
164820-07.5%8887887888778
136628-12NoYes
1356310-9NoYes
1346412-6No25252525
1336413-512.5131313131338
1326111-106.7137131377713713
1316213-78.38146111461138118
1306113-85.3447583138999165
1296114-75.27969648104611118
1286014-89.6789966711866108
1275914-96.356109789867988
1265915-88.797957611896898
1255916-76.776107679967899
1245816-87.687877681076899
1235716-98.077877791067998
1225717-87.377976710966989
1215617-97.47787778977899
1205618-87.27797779876999
1195518-97.27797779977999
1185519-87.37797769977999
1175419-97.57797779977999
1165420-87.37797779976999
1155320-97.47797779977999
1145321-87.47797779977999
1135221-97.57697779967999
1125121-107.46696669966999
1115122-97.56696669966999
1105022-107.466966610966999
1095023-97.36610666101066101010
1084923-107.46610666101066101010
1074924-97.26610666101066101010
1064824-107.25510555111055101111
1054825-97.15511555111155111111
1044725-107.05511555111155111111
1034726-96.94412444121244121212
1024626-106.84412444121244121212
1014627-96.63313333131333131313
1004527-106.53313333131333131313
994528-96.33313333131333131313
984428-106.23313333131333131313
974429-96.13313333131333131313
964329-105.93313333131333131313
954330-95.73313333131333131313
944230-105.33312333121233121212
934231-94.93310333101033101010
924131-104.23393339933999
914132-93.33373337733777
904032-102.42252225522555
894033-91.51131113311333
883933-100.91121112211222
873934-90.40010001100111
863834-100.20000000000000
853835-90.10000000000000
843836-80.00000000000000
833736-90.00000000000000
823636-100.00000000000000
813637-90.00000000000000
803638-80.0000000000000
793639-7No000000
783539-8No00000
773540-7No0
0-76No
Total:3.5%2.22.27.02.22.22.27.07.02.22.27.07.07.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Calgary vs Vancouver-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0
Los Angeles vs San Jose-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Edmonton vs Calgary-0.8-0.7-0.6+0.4+0.4+1.3
Pittsburgh vs Anaheim-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Arizona vs Winnipeg+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0+0.0-0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
132-164100
1316213-7973
125-130100
1245816-81000
1235716-910000
1225717-8100000
1215617-9100000
1205618-899000
1195518-999100
1185519-898100
1175419-998210
1165420-896211
1155320-9943110
1145321-8925210
1135221-9887302000
1125121-108310403000
1115122-97713604000
1105022-1069178060000
1095023-95921100900000
1084923-1048261301100000
1074924-9372917115101000
1064824-102631202181010000
1054825-917312232121030000
1044725-10929235235204000000
1034726-9424228238306001000
1024626-1021819122013609101000
1014627-91121415151790121002000
1004527-1007917102012115310400000
994528-904516520153167206010000
984428-10023142171571312509120000
974429-901111012121191681113300000
964329-1000807815418112126601000
954330-90050341621713511119130000
944230-10003012140121110716124510000
934231-90020011107715318111094100000
924131-100010070441611671712941000000
914132-9000004012150123211013105200000
904032-1000020111207119613161373100000
894033-900010080401427141816104100000
883933-100001005020803815201912620000
873934-90000003104013816212114720000
863834-10000001002001381622221572000
853835-90000101000138162323167200
843735-1000000000013817242315610
833736-90000000001391926231341
823636-1000000000141222282292
813637-90000000016152729174
803537-100000000292132269
793538-9000001415303416
783438-1000000029253925
773439-9000015194135
763339-100002133846
753340-9000183457
743240-1000052966
733241-90032374
723141-100011881
713142-9011386
703042-1000990
693043-90793
682943-1000595
672944-90397
662844-100298
652845-9199
642745-10199
632746-9199
622646-100100
612647-90100
602547-100100
592548-90100
582448-100100
572449-90100
562450-80100
552350-9100
542250-10199
0-53100
Total:343434343434343522333333333333