Calgary Flames Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.8 to 79.4%
5 points   2 0-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Los Angeles 2 Colorado 3 +0.2
-0.1
Ottawa 3 Winnipeg 4 (ot)-0.2
Florida 5 Chicago 4 (ot)-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim vs Minnesota-0.5-0.5-0.4*+0.1*+0.2+0.7
St. Louis vs San Jose+0.6*+0.0*+0.2-0.5-0.6-0.6
+0.1*-0.0*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Toronto vs Edmonton+0.5*+0.1*-0.0-0.7-0.6-0.6
Vancouver vs Montreal-0.5-0.5*-0.3*+0.1*+0.1+0.6
+0.1*+0.0*+0.0*-0.0*-0.1-0.1
Vegas vs Arizona+0.2-0.2*-0.1-0.4-0.5-0.1
-0.1-0.1*-0.1*+0.1*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Calgary finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
91-111InYes100840*
90408-5In99.5%1000411*
89409-4In99.410000781*
88399-5In99.6100001,333*
873910-4In99.6100002,169*
863810-5In98.9100003,546*
853811-4In97.999105,670*
843711-5In96.799118,749*
833712-4In94.9981113,144*
823612-5In91.8962219,367*
813613-4In87.49433027,044*
803513-5In81.69244037,614*
793413-6In73.58865050,651*
783414-5In63.58398066,633*
773314-6In52.2771211084,990*
763315-5In39.36917140107,913*
753215-6In27.060211910130,824*
743216-5In16.249262410156,918*
733116-6100.0%8.2373030200182,696*
723117-5100.03.3273336400209,263*
713017-6100.01.01734427000233,051*
703018-5100.00.210324711100254,604*
692918-699.90.042749172000270,070*
682919-599.70.022149244000282,201*
672819-699.20.0115453170100287,781*
662820-597.9No0103837121200287,433*
652720-695.3No0530401734000280,482*
642721-590.3No0321392078100268,546*
632621-682.2No113342014134100249,801*
622622-570.9No07271522189200228,599*
612522-656.9No041892620166100204,682*
602523-542.0No02114251823134100180,115*
592423-628.2No01612012252210200154,571*
582424-517.4No0030147212819610130,688*
572324-69.5No0010831428271440107,228*
562325-54.6No0004182332238186,747*
552225-62.0No0020415293016368,115*
542226-50.9No01029233425752,551*
532126-60.3No000041632331439,863*
522127-50.1No000021028392129,422*
512027-60.0No001521423121,417*
502028-50.0No000214404215,115*
491928-6OutNo019375210,409*
481929-5OutNo1631636,978*
471829-6OutNo0324734,723*
461830-5OutNo0220793,034*
451730-6OutNo114841,976*
441731-5OutNo110901,284*
431631-6OutNo01090778*
421632-5OutNo0496407*
411532-6OutNo496262*
401533-5OutNo199150*
38-39OutNo100104*
371435-4OutNo49624*
5-36OutNo100413*
Total:79.4%7.4%151324176654432214,874,180

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Calgary finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupVegasColoradoNashvilleMinnesotaWinnipegDallasArizonaSt. LouisAnaheimSan JoseLos AngelesVancouverEdmontonChicago
111530-08.2%66678911811811116
98466-1No5050
97445-4No5050
96446-3No3317171717
95436-411.16116111162211666
94437-37.1421777111174147
93427-411.787328131371758225
92417-57.2678610139104121428
91418-411.0471110781188510235
90408-59.27589881010888444
89409-47.6667989989910335
88399-59.3577797910889446
873910-49.5577788109998445
863810-510.067789898988435
853811-49.867789888988546
843711-510.256889888889545
833712-49.857789798988545
823612-510.066779898988545
813613-410.067779898888555
803513-510.267788898998555
793413-69.967778898888555
783414-59.767788898988545
773314-69.9667788108998555
763315-59.9767787107998554
753215-69.6867787107998554
743216-59.69676771171098554
733116-69.4105667612610109553
723117-59.3115656613611109653
713017-69.1134555514511119652
703018-59.01444444144121110662
692918-68.71634343153131210661
682919-58.61733333163131211761
672819-68.21823233162131211761
662820-58.01823233162131211761
652720-67.51833233152121110661
642721-57.1174433314211109650
632621-66.41644343112998550
622622-55.4145444392776330
612522-64.3125343362554220
602523-53.195333242333110
592423-62.164232122221110
582424-51.343122111111000
572324-60.822111011000000
562325-50.311010000000000
552326-40.100000000000000
542226-50.100000000000000
532227-40.000000000000
522127-5No00000000000
512229-2No00000
502230-1No00
5-49No
Total:6.9%11.83.83.83.63.93.610.73.28.98.37.44.64.31.4
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Los Angeles 2 Colorado 3 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim vs Minnesota+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
St. Louis vs San Jose-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Toronto vs Edmonton-0.1-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Vancouver vs Montreal+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Vegas vs Arizona-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
91-111100
90408-510000
89409-499000
88399-5100000
873910-4100000
863810-599100
853811-498110
843711-597211
833712-495311
823612-592522
813613-487730300
803513-58210404000
793413-67315605000
783414-56320908000
773314-6522512010000
763315-5393016114100
753215-6273319217101000
743216-51633224203101000
733116-68292372262020000
723117-5323211221113040000
713017-611617171718706100000
703018-509112011241119201000
692918-6046215251441061020000
682919-502319222151010113031000
672819-60111401512187186152001000
662820-50090872332110475102000
652720-600503323119111061130310000
642721-50031119012918317615310000
632621-6010013065241198656420000
622622-500072223015813489621000
612522-600041017095211611128410000
602523-5000200110422302713151162100
592423-60100611200038151815941000
582424-5000030014001381520181251000
572324-60010080001271522201462000
562325-500004000027152223157200
552225-6000200002716242416720
542226-501001281725251551
532126-60000139192825133
522127-5000014122431217
512027-60001617313113
502028-5000210263823
491928-60015194034
481929-5003133747
471829-600183259
461830-50042768
451730-60022276
441731-511584
431631-601485
421632-50694
411532-6595
401533-5199
38-39100
371435-4496
361335-5694
5-35100
Total:7767574736362424112222222111111