Calgary Flames Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 1.2 to 42.5%
22 points   11 8-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim 3 Florida 2 -0.5
Detroit 3 Colorado 4 (ot)-0.4
Vegas 4 Los Angeles 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington vs Calgary-4.9-0.3-0.3+4.5+5.0+5.0
-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Minnesota vs New Jersey-0.3-0.4-0.2*+0.2*+0.1+0.5
San Jose vs Anaheim+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.4-0.5+0.2
Nashville vs Winnipeg-0.1*-0.2-0.3*+0.0*-0.0+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Calgary finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
121-148In99.2%100745*
1204611-6In86.197372*
1194511-7In82.89811134*
1184512-6In84.2982259*
1174412-7In79.29631418*
1164413-6In70.79262784*
1154313-7In61.589821,247*
1144314-6In55.3861132,118*
1134214-7In46.98115403,368*
1124114-8In38.67619505,190*
1114115-7In29.16824807,735*
1104015-8In21.9602811011,501*
1094016-7In13.75134151016,778*
1083916-8In8.44138191023,932*
1073917-7In4.53341242033,210*
1063817-8In2.22444293045,513*
1053818-7In0.916433550060,586*
1043718-8In0.310423980078,778*
1033719-7In0.1638441210101,917*
1023619-8100.0%0.03324717200126,936*
1013620-7100.00.01264722300157,139*
1003520-8100.00.002045285100190,422*
993521-799.9No01442348100225,606*
983421-899.5No0103639113000261,412*
973422-798.4No063042146100299,657*
963322-895.5No04234216114100333,953*
953323-789.9No21740161582000368,106*
943223-880.1No111361319145100396,480*
933224-766.4No07309202011300419,953*
923124-850.6No042361724176100435,029*
913125-735.0No0217313252412300443,751*
903025-821.9No011118222920710444,396*
893026-712.6No0171416292712200435,922*
882926-86.7No004021026322050420,174*
872927-73.3No0020161933271010397,679*
862827-81.5No010031330341720368,800*
852828-70.7No01001824372550337,044*
842728-80.3No0000418373380301,950*
832729-70.1No00002123340140265,591*
822629-80.0No0000172744200229,035*
812630-70.0No00042146281194,771*
802530-80.0No00021545372162,360*
792531-70.0No0011041453132,238*
782431-8OutNo00636525106,449*
772432-7OutNo0043058883,953*
762332-8OutNo0224631165,114*
752333-7OutNo119651549,129*
742233-8OutNo0114662036,581*
732234-7OutNo010642626,511*
722134-8OutNo07623119,348*
712135-7OutNo04573913,447*
702035-8OutNo0352469,183*
692036-7OutNo247516,292*
681936-8OutNo142574,096*
671937-7OutNo136642,733*
661837-8OutNo129711,719*
651838-7OutNo025751,113*
641839-6OutNo2179637*
631739-7OutNo1585411*
621639-8OutNo1387207*
611539-9OutNo1585126*
601641-6OutNo69468*
591440-9OutNo69453*
581643-4OutNo69417*
571442-7OutNo11899*
22-56OutNo100663*
Total:42.5%0.2%15111646810111110718,170,548

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Calgary finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupSt. LouisWinnipegVegasLos AngelesNashvilleChicagoSan JoseMinnesotaColoradoAnaheimDallasVancouverEdmontonArizona
148630-02.8%36741215811116971
128496-8NoYes
126509-4NoYes
125499-5NoYes
124478-8No13132513131313
1234911-3No1325251325
122469-8No6666182912612
1214711-51.927791779976117
1204611-64.2476311111311711116
1194511-73.74449720410871371
1184512-64.63887911811971152
1174412-72.64776913810118972
1164413-64.0366511101113107792
1154313-72.9466691291299971
1144314-63.13676101191210108710
1134214-73.43668101191011109610
1124114-82.9467810121010109861
1114115-72.846891010101098871
1104015-83.146910910101099871
1094016-73.1461010109109898610
1083916-82.936111299108897610
1073917-73.036131388118796610
1063817-82.935141588117796610
1053818-72.8351517771176105610
1043718-82.8341718661265104610
1033719-72.7341920651355104710
1023619-82.6242022541344113710
1013620-72.6332223441443112710
1003520-82.6332324331433122710
993521-72.4332425321422122710
983421-82.4432426221422121710
973422-72.3532425221411111710
963322-82.2642424211311101610
953323-72.085222321121190610
943223-81.795192021101170510
933224-71.58516161171160410
923124-81.17412121150040310
913125-70.753891040030200
903025-80.532560020020100
893026-70.321330010010100
882926-80.110220010010000
872927-70.100110000000000
862827-80.000010000000000
852828-70.000000000000000
842728-80.00000000000
832729-70.000000000000
822730-60.0000000000
812529-9No0000
802530-8No00
792834-1No00
22-78No
Total:1.0%3.12.19.810.21.21.05.40.90.84.30.62.70.50.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim 3 Florida 2 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Washington vs Calgary+0.9+0.1+0.1-0.8-0.9-0.9
San Jose vs Anaheim-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
124-148100
1234911-38813
122469-8946
1214711-5937
1204611-686113
1194511-7831511
1184512-684142
1174412-7791731
1164413-6712262
1154313-7622882
1144314-655301103
1134214-74734150400
1124114-839371905000
1114115-729392318000
1104015-8223827210100
1094016-71437313131110
1083916-88333351621100
1073917-7528338184202000
1063817-82223212187403000
1053818-7115271618107050000
1043718-80102220151312080000
1033719-706162211151711011100
1023619-8031022716213132202000
1013620-701621314246144403000
1003520-800317110231014680501000
993521-70113061916119130811000
983421-800903131971120210130000
973422-700602821310235113601000
963322-8004014191824101061014100
953323-70202150520157813282000
943223-8010111021320491451361000
933224-7000070182118109171241000
923124-80004004190561217181031000
913125-70020215032111321181031000
903025-80010111011871722181041000
893026-701007010421019231810410000
882926-800004000214112024191041000
872927-7000200101512212419104100
862827-800100001513222519931000
852828-70010000026152425188200
842728-800000027172625166100
832729-700000013920282412300
822629-800000014122429208100
812630-70001617292815400
802530-80000310243123810
792531-70000151730301430
782431-80021025342260
772432-700015193430101
762332-8003123136162
752333-700182639233
742233-80041939316
732234-700213373810
722134-8019324415
712135-7005264722
702035-8003204829
692036-702154836
681936-801114543
671937-7074152
661837-8043462
651838-7023067
641839-612574
631739-702080
621639-81783
611539-91783
601641-6694
591440-9694
581643-41882
571442-71189
22-56100
Total:0123123522572233455555555443210