Calgary Flames Playoff Chances

Lost to Minnesota 0-1, playoff odds down 10 to 66.9%
55 points   26 20-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Average seed
Calgary 0 Minnesota 1 -7.3
-0.2
-0.5
San Jose 6 Anaheim 3 -0.9
-0.1
Philadelphia 5 Winnipeg 2 +0.6
Ottawa 3 Dallas 6 -0.5
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Average seed
Vancouver vs Buffalo-0.3-0.3-0.2+0.5+0.5+1.2
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Colorado vs Nashville-0.5-0.5-0.5+0.0+0.0+0.5

What If

Chances based on how well the Calgary finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
121330-0In95.4%9640123,165
120320-1In88.989119
119321-0In79.48512334*
118311-1In74.581172192*
117301-2In65.7712720794*
116302-1In54.66432402,688*
115292-2In42.75440608,738*
114282-3In29.543479124,514*
113283-2In17.83254122063,405*
112273-3In9.422591530150,967*
111274-2In4.2156118700336,528*
110264-3In1.49592012000697,275*
109265-2In0.455520201001,370,595*
108255-3In0.124918291002,527,117*
107256-2In0.014215402004,434,951*
106246-3In0.0034115031007,369,369*
105247-2In0.0027859430011,680,161*
104237-3In0.0020564650017,632,053*
103227-4100.0%No01426671010025,485,840*
102228-3100.0No0916571720035,233,296*
101218-4100.0No06059625300046,748,344*
100219-3100.0No03051534510059,472,121*
99209-499.9No20424428300072,801,067*
982010-399.6No103224712600085,625,421*
971910-498.7No0023148151110097,027,411*
961911-396.5No001514616193000105,829,323*
951811-492.1No00904016277100111,329,455*
941812-384.4No005033133314200112,889,660*
931712-473.1No03025103623400110,524,213*
921713-358.8No0101763432910104,378,732*
911613-443.2No01011328391620095,200,301*
901614-328.8No0007220412550083,850,345*
891514-417.1No00041133834101071,355,258*
881515-39.1No0002073140172058,606,060*
871415-44.3No01032342265046,549,568*
861416-31.8No00011439369035,678,216*
851316-40.7No00008324316026,430,656*
841317-30.2No000042446250018,904,867*
831217-40.1No000021746350013,058,922*
821218-30.0No0001104247008,706,640*
811118-40.0No000063658105,606,450*
801119-30.0No00032867103,477,106*
791019-40.0No0012175202,083,173*
781020-3OutNo011581401,199,556*
77920-4OutNo00108460666,657*
76921-3OutNo0068590355,390*
75821-4OutNo0383140183,337*
74822-3OutNo027919090,308*
73823-2OutNo017325142,797*
72723-3OutNo16632219,435*
71724-2OutNo0564038,490*
70624-3OutNo0504553,494*
69625-2OutNo385291,367*
68525-3OutNo0315316526*
67526-2OutNo245621169*
66426-3OutNo7603360*
65427-2OutNo9593222*
64428-1OutNo67336*
63429-0OutNo1003*
55033-0OutNo0298123,163
Total:66.9%0.0%02016124716151062001,485,969,780

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Calgary finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNashvilleSt. LouisAnaheimChicagoVancouverWinnipegSan JoseLos AngelesDallasMinnesotaColoradoArizonaEdmonton
121330-04.5%0111142323207640
120320-111.122115611
119321-02.936122418151266
118311-15.211117241920764
117301-23.021114272216664
116302-14.8021216272118653
115292-24.2021315302016543
114282-34.0031416312015543
113283-24.10315173119144320
112273-34.0141617311913432
111274-23.915181730181232200
110264-33.71711117291711321
109265-23.629114162715922100
108255-33.5312218152413821100
107256-23.4415222142211721100
106246-33.2518226131910611100
105247-23.162022911168411000
104237-32.972323210146311000
103227-42.88253349125310000
102228-32.710273367104210000
101218-42.61129336683200000
100219-32.61330535573100000
99209-42.51631733462100000
982010-32.41831931452100000
199-52.418311030442100000
971910-42.321301327331100000
2011-22.421301227331100000
961911-32.324281423331000000
1810-52.324281523331000000
951811-42.127251619221000000
1912-22.127251519221000000
941812-32.029221516211000000
1711-51.929221515211000000
931712-41.728181312110000000
1813-21.728181312110000000
921713-31.32514108110000000
911613-41.0191076100000000
901614-30.614744000000000
891514-40.48422000000000
881515-30.25211000000000
871415-40.1211100000000
861416-30.01000000000000
851316-40.0000000000000
841317-30.000000000000
831217-40.00000000000
821218-30.000000000
811118-40.0000000
801220-1No00000
791120-2No000
55-78No
Total:1.6%17.018.38.016.32.42.91.20.50.10.10.10.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Calgary 0 Minnesota 1 +0.9
San Jose 6 Anaheim 3 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Vancouver vs Buffalo+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.2

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
121330-095140
120320-18911
119321-0796123
118311-1747172
117301-26662720
116302-155932040
115292-24311400600
114282-32914461901
113283-2181452212020
112273-391354514130
111274-241051101627000
110264-31743161641200000
109265-20433221361900000
108255-30223271092811000
107256-2011329510354200000
106246-3007272939112110000
105247-2003241737213130000
104237-3001190430343350000
103227-40013022145249110000
102228-30090112521613410000
101218-400600653161510210000
100219-300300349051519321000
99209-40201410413294530000
982010-3010032029384851000
971910-400002301543312931000
961911-3000015012432141273000
951811-4000900139115131471000
941812-30005003201312221330000
931712-40030024098281971000
921713-3001001706530231440000
911613-4010011032262223920000
901614-3000070212018291861000
891514-400004010131228271330000
881515-30000200076213022920000
871415-40100321327291761000
861416-30000116193026134100
851316-400000021023302292000
841317-300000141427301861000
831217-40000001719302713300
821218-30000002102432227100
811118-40000001416303115300
801119-300000018233525710
791019-4000031432341420
781020-30017253824500
77920-40003163734900
76921-3001931411710
75821-400422452630
74822-300214423660
73823-200183645110
72723-30042849171
71724-2021951272
70624-3011448343
69625-20741438
68525-35364514
67526-22275219
66426-3105733
65427-2185527
64428-16733
63429-0100
55033-0015940
Total:000200214013201651188643211000000