Calgary Flames Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.6 to 40.7%
37 points   17 15-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Average seed
Winnipeg 3 Philadelphia 4 (ot)+0.3
Edmonton 5 Dallas 6 (so)-0.3
Detroit 1 Colorado 2 (so)-0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Average seed
Los Angeles vs Calgary-5.6-0.7-0.5+5.5+6.2+7.1
-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3-0.0-0.0+0.3+0.4+0.4
Vancouver vs Arizona-0.5-0.5-0.4+0.3+0.4+1.2
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Anaheim vs San Jose+0.4-0.2-0.3-0.5-0.5-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Calgary finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
131470-0In99.7%1000863
120-121InYes1002*
119394-4In55.66722119*
118384-5In66.7831724*
117385-4In37.3673351*
116386-3In41.06832105*
115376-4In28.549492270*
114377-3In23.444542458*
113367-4In12.73363300944*
112357-5In8.02469611,787*
111358-4In4.318737203,245*
110348-5In2.0127594005,805*
109349-4In0.88741071009,526*
108339-5In0.3570111210015,872*
1073310-4In0.1365111820024,979*
1063210-5In0.01581025410037,501*
1053211-4InNo149932621055,340*
1043111-5100.0%No0407399510079,102*
1033112-4100.0No030443109200110,485*
1023012-5100.0No0223441115410148,250*
1013013-499.9No01514211238100195,014*
1002913-599.7No913693011300249,193*
992813-698.9No502973615710307,001*
982814-597.2No30214381812300372,302*
972714-693.6No10152371919610436,840*
962715-587.3No10913318251120499,095*
952615-677.8No00502715301840555,897*
942616-565.7No003020113127700602,461*
932516-651.9No01014729341310638,619*
922517-538.1No0109424392120659,579*
912417-625.9No00062184030400662,289*
902418-516.2No00031123738800648,777*
892318-69.4No0020732451310621,356*
882319-55.0No010425492020579,344*
872219-62.4No000217502730527,021*
862220-51.1No000112463560466,735*
852120-60.5No00007414290404,673*
842121-50.2No000434471410342,978*
832021-60.1No00022749211281,819*
822022-50.0No000120502820227,317*
811922-60.0No00014473530177,746*
801923-50.0No009434260136,374*
791823-60.0No006364990101,995*
781824-5OutNo03305313073,871*
771724-6OutNo02235619053,127*
761725-5OutNo01175625136,523*
751625-6OutNo00125432125,090*
741626-5OutNo085039216,731*
731627-4OutNo054447410,422*
721527-5OutNo03395266,615*
711528-4OutNo023157104,028*
701428-5OutNo12560142,412*
691429-4OutNo12062181,320*
681329-5OutNo0145926826*
671330-4OutNo0105634439*
661230-5OutNo75737242*
651231-4OutNo35146113*
641131-5OutNo3475066*
631031-6OutNo3267131*
37-62OutNo100881*
Total:40.7%0.0%030711261218211451010,421,780

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Calgary finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupChicagoNashvilleSt. LouisAnaheimSan JoseLos AngelesVancouverWinnipegMinnesotaDallasColoradoArizonaEdmonton
131470-03.1%0236131812191943
121414-2NoYes
120404-3NoYes
119405-2No221111222211
118384-54.244813429334
117385-43.926816121225164
116386-31.0446151417171931
115376-42.21467101616191931
114377-32.20367151415211531
113367-42.21379141214211821
112357-52.614981111132120210
111358-43.115991213131818210
110348-52.7161181212121917110
109349-42.726119131212191511
108339-52.7281291211111815200
1073310-42.73101491110111615100
1063210-52.5411168119101514100
1053211-42.551318910891412100
1043111-52.36162089781311100
1033112-42.38172388771110100
1023012-52.2920248767109100
1013013-42.1122125875687100
1002913-52.0142325865576000
992813-62.0172323965565000
982814-51.8192422106454400
2713-71.82023211064544000
972714-61.72322191064433000
2815-41.722232010644330000
962715-51.5252116953422000
2816-31.6242117953422000
952615-61.32518138433110000
2716-41.4251914843321000
942616-51.12415117322110000
2717-31.12415117322110000
932516-60.9211285211110000
922517-50.617963111000000
912417-60.412642101000000
902418-50.38421000000000
892419-40.15211000000000
882319-50.13110000000000
872320-40.0110000000000
862220-50.0100000000
852221-40.0000000000
842121-50.0000000000
832122-40.00000000
822022-50.0000000
811922-6No000
801923-5No00
791924-4No0
37-78No
Total:0.8%11.09.17.83.82.31.61.81.71.50.10.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

SundayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Los Angeles vs Calgary+0.7+0.1+0.1-0.7-0.8-0.9
Vancouver vs Arizona+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Anaheim vs San Jose-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
131470-01000
120-121100
119394-456112211
118384-5671717
117385-4372933
116386-3412732
115376-429214812
114377-323215222
113367-413215943000
112357-5816654601
111358-44146596120
110348-5210611381400
109349-417551982701000
108339-5054525841201000
1073310-4023530751702000
1063210-50124345624140100
1053211-41163436293512010
1043111-509301532772501000
1033112-4042604311373902000
1023012-50220022519651514010
1013013-4011401182446212711000
1002913-509011025272551023000
992813-605005241626101147010
982814-5030219042216117121300
972714-60101140215228111726100
962715-5010090192451319611200
952615-600005005232121812175100
942616-500030219110131822102000
932516-600101140782123186100
922517-5001009043201924134100
912417-60000602116132522103000
902418-5000030101172127197100
892318-600020073142627154100
882319-500100418213023102000
872219-60000203132730185100
862220-50001017203126112000
852120-60000003122732196100
842121-5000001620322711200
832021-6000000312283319510
822022-5000001620342710200
811922-60000313303317400
801923-500017233525810
791823-60000315323214300
781824-5019263622610
771724-600418352910100
761725-50021130351730
751625-6016243725610
741626-50031635321220
731627-4011030371940
721527-51623372670
711528-403163534111
701428-50193038192
691429-40162338275
681329-50415403110
671330-4019393713
661230-517334020
651231-411254826
641131-56154830
631031-6103258
621032-52080
61932-64060
601135-15050
37-58100
Total:001200250148245778898754210000