"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Calgary Flames Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.1 to 50%
51 points   24 21-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton vs Nashville+1.0-0.3*-0.1-1.1-1.4-0.8
Vancouver vs Florida-0.8-0.8-0.7+0.4*+0.2+1.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Calgary vs Edmonton+5.7+5.5+4.6-1.6-1.8-7.7
+0.0+0.0+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
+0.0NoNoNoNoNo
NY Islanders vs Los Angeles+1.3*+0.0*+0.1-1.3-1.2-1.3
Winnipeg vs St. Louis+0.8-0.6-0.4-0.9-1.1-0.5
Dallas vs Washington-0.8-0.7-0.6*-0.0*+0.0+0.5
Minnesota vs Anaheim+0.1*-0.0*-0.1*-0.1*-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Calgary finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
119340-0In47.0%8218477
112281-5InNo75254*
111282-4InNo89119*
110283-3InNo17691429*
109273-4InNo6811380*
108274-3InNo27820184*
107275-2InNo273241433*
106265-3InNo163333866*
105255-4InNo15340601,938*
104256-3InNo042461113,582*
103246-4InNo033491616,620*
102247-3InNo02449243011,588*
101237-4InNo01646326019,402*
100238-3InNo10404010030,947*
99228-4100.0%No053245160047,626*
98229-3100.0No32447251070,356*
97219-4100.0No11646343099,735*
962110-399.9No110414360135,347*
952010-499.7No0534491100177,937*
942011-398.9No0325531810224,133*
931911-497.3No01185127300273,176*
921912-393.8No01114636600320,324*
911812-487.7No00737441110363,452*
901712-578.4No004274719200398,195*
891713-466.2No02184628500419,594*
881613-551.9No011140371010429,448*
871614-437.4No00631421830423,135*
861514-524.5No0322432660403,146*
851515-414.6No01133934111370,754*
841415-57.8No00732401820329,708*
831416-43.7No00423422650283,519*
821316-51.5No00215393490235,580*
811317-40.6No00193341150188,568*
801318-30.2No0052645230146,701*
791218-40.1No021946330109,676*
781219-30.0No01124343079,542*
771119-4OutNo073754055,257*
761120-3OutNo043164137,552*
751020-40.0No00224731024,239*
741021-3OutNo0118793014,858*
73921-4OutNo0128349,121*
72922-3OutNo0885705,271*
71822-4OutNo0587902,972*
70823-3OutNo2831501,519*
69723-4OutNo278191776*
68724-3OutNo169282438*
67624-4OutNo159374192*
66625-3OutNo5539680*
65525-4OutNo34053330*
64627-1OutNo505018*
63628-0OutNo5025254*
62528-1OutNo25754*
61428-2OutNo1001
51034-0OutNo793477
Total:50.0%0.0%002818222015105005,758,620

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Calgary finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupMinnesotaChicagoSan JoseAnaheimEdmontonLos AngelesNashvilleSt. LouisVancouverWinnipegDallasArizonaColorado
119340-01.5%0411152712131044
112281-5No25252525
111293-2No1144221111
110283-3No101731171077
109273-41.315263611354
108274-31.11429351153311
107275-20.5153035113320
106265-31.012231321012100
105255-41.80213330922100
104256-30.90213530922100
103246-40.900243430711100
102247-31.000253429711100
101237-41.010273429611100
100238-30.910283528611100
99228-40.9103034275001000
98229-30.9203234265000000
97219-40.9403433244000000
962110-30.981353122400000
952010-40.812135282030000
2111-20.91313528203000000
942011-30.91713525182000000
1910-50.82013425172000000
931911-40.82713221141000000
1810-60.828231211410000000
2012-20.82613222151000000
921912-30.83422818121000000
1811-50.83622717111000000
1710-70.736227171110000
911812-40.74122313810000000
1711-60.7432211280000000
1913-20.740224149100000
901813-30.6442179600000000
1712-50.644217960000000
891713-40.5432126400000000
1612-60.54221063000000
881714-30.43828420000000
1613-50.4371732000000
871614-40.32914210000000
861615-30.2201211000000
851515-40.1120100000000
841516-30.170100000000
831416-40.03000000000
821417-30.01000000
811317-40.01000000
801217-50.00000
791218-4No0000
781118-5No00
76-77No
751121-2No0
51-74No
Total:0.4%21.21.012.48.75.90.70.00.00.10.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Vancouver vs Florida+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1
Edmonton vs Nashville-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Calgary vs Edmonton-0.7-0.7-0.6+0.2+0.2+1.0
NY Islanders vs Los Angeles-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Dallas vs Washington+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0*-0.0-0.0
Winnipeg vs St. Louis-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
119340-0473518
112281-57525
111282-4672211
110283-3175514373
109273-465130111
108274-325226164
107275-224231018601
106265-3135280249013
105255-4122310261301500
104256-30132902618111010
103246-4082523233115011
102247-30420192551230120
101237-402141424803110240
100238-319102010038202700
99228-40056151204230314000
98229-303391104251322100
97219-401151003771231300
962110-30102703083241510
952010-4001422841488300
942011-300021466152127100
931911-4000174605114132000
921912-30000426046132351000
911812-40001140371034831000
901712-5000103027641107310000
891713-400020183441012831000
881613-500011114071415931000
871614-4000060313111817931000
861514-500302216152118931000
851515-400101302919241993100
841415-50070141122251893000
831416-40040015142425188200
821316-50020001616252616610
811317-40010002818272514410
801318-3000003102229231020
791218-4000141327311950
781219-300017193329110
771119-4002112937200
761120-300152141320
751020-400021339451
741021-301833562
73921-40425683
72922-301187560
71822-401118080
70823-30679140
69723-4477191
68724-3368282
67624-4159374
66625-356386
65525-4340533
64627-15050
63628-0502525
62528-12575
61428-2100
51034-0793
Total:00000011041201741934566654432100