Calgary Flames Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 1.1 to 67.2%
70 points   33 25-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Winnipeg 5 Los Angeles 2 +0.6
+0.1
Vancouver 6 St. Louis 5 (so)-0.3
*-0.0
Dallas 1 Anaheim 3 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
San Jose vs Montreal-1.3-1.3-1.1+0.3+0.3+1.4
Chicago vs Carolina-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Calgary finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
110200-0In2.4%2359180337,123
109190-1In0.4116029045,085
108191-0In0.0555391237,308*
107181-1In0.0247501742,168*
106171-2In0.013760302,311,946*
105172-1InNo02767605,518,546*
104162-2InNo01871110012,781,583*
103163-1InNo01172170024,851,828*
102153-2100.0%No06682600046,465,151*
101154-1100.0No03613600076,197,418*
100144-2100.0No0151461000119,921,220*
99145-1100.0No140562000169,588,185*
98135-299.8No030643200130,820,501
124-499.8No03065420099,265,598*
97136-199.3No021695410162,317,341*
125-399.2No0206954100122,246,976
96126-297.5No0137068300189,546,010
115-497.2No0136969300148,465,020*
95127-193.6No08667136000167,985,332
116-392.3No0765614700201,189,470*
94117-285.0No045851814100215,054,371
106-484.1No045751815100172,473,747*
93118-173.4No024842024200166,760,724
107-370.4No024632027300209,337,645*
92108-256.4No013621837700193,684,422
97-455.0No013521837700157,338,395*
9198-338.2No0024113461510134,884,938
109-139.5No0025114451510168,829,549*
9099-224.8No001608472530139,465,734
88-423.8No001508472630113,500,537*
8989-313.5No0904423770195,401,705*
88810-26.7No05023246141145,383,736*
87811-13.0No02012148253100,164,368*
86711-21.2No0100124336866,508,775*
85712-10.5No00006344515040,745,853*
84612-20.2No0002234826024,074,476*
83613-10.0No001134640013,039,794*
82513-20.0No0007395406,813,556*
81514-10.0No003306703,233,130*
80414-20.0No001217801,484,691*
79415-10.0No00013870605,234*
78315-2OutNo007930239,975*
77316-1OutNo00496082,887*
76216-2OutNo298027,961*
75217-1OutNo19907,700*
74117-2OutNo09912,154*
73118-1OutNo982451*
72119-0OutNo1972103*
71019-1OutNo92813
70020-0OutNo09280327,467
Total:67.2%0.0%00124339191031003,950,307,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Calgary finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNashvilleAnaheimSt. LouisChicagoVancouverMinnesotaWinnipegLos AngelesSan JoseColoradoDallasArizona
110200-04.7%002519282615500
109190-14.6011528252214400
108191-04.5011536221913300
107181-14.3021445181512300
106171-24.3031353141111200
105172-14.205126110811200
104162-24.10602677511200
103163-14.00701714311200
102153-23.90801742211200
101154-13.90900761111200
143-33.80900761111200
100144-23.801000771011200
155-03.801000761011200
99145-13.701000760010200
134-33.711000760011200
98135-23.611100750010200
124-43.621200740010200
146-03.711100750010200
97136-13.63131072009200
125-33.64131071009200
96126-23.46131067008100
115-43.47132066008100
137-03.46141067008100
95127-13.2101320600061000
116-33.210132059006100
105-53.111132057006100
94117-22.9131230510051000
106-42.8141130490041000
128-02.913123051005100
93118-12.415103042003100
107-32.41593040003100
96-52.214930380030
92108-21.81373031002000
97-41.7136302900200
119-01.913730310020
91109-11.310520220010
98-31.29420210010
9099-20.863101400000
89910-10.43110800000
88810-20.2110040000
87811-10.1000020000
86711-20.0000010000
85712-10.000000000
84612-20.000000000
83613-10.00000000
82513-20.00000
81514-10.0000
80414-20.000
79415-1No00
70-78No
Total:2.4%7.18.31.60.244.20.20.14.80.90.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Winnipeg 5 Los Angeles 2 -0.2
Vancouver 6 St. Louis 5 (so)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
San Jose vs Montreal+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
110200-022137221332000
109190-1010243613106000
108191-00514421016122000
107181-1026415201961000
106171-201235219221721000
105172-10126015193323100
104162-200180913492621000
103163-10011057601942000
102153-200602363111770000
101154-10030115901281600000
100144-20010051010730000000
99145-11004007544110000
98135-20003004357131000
124-40003004357132000
97136-100022022651430100
125-300020021661541100
96126-2000130116816622000
115-4000130116816723000
95127-10008006506946000
116-30007006406957000
94117-200400570599132000
106-400400570599142000
93118-1020047047132250000
107-302004603713236000
92108-201003602414291320000
97-40100350241429142000
9198-300002401212292481000
109-100002501212292471000
9099-200001600082232174000
88-4000015000822321840000
8989-300090004133128122000
88810-2005002522342381000
87811-1020012112933185000
86711-2010000417332913200
85712-1000000182335247100
84612-2000002123035173000
83613-10000041936309100
82513-20000019283919300
81514-100003174032810
80414-20001731421720
79415-1000319432970
78315-201936391420
77316-10042442255
76216-201143936100
75217-1073044200
74117-221944350
73118-101040490
72119-0532612
71019-1846388
70020-001157860
Total:00000001102140034611964210000000