Calgary Flames Playoff Chances

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 57.1%
0 points   0 0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Calgary vs Vancouver+3.8+3.4+2.9-1.6-1.7-5.9
+0.3+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.4
+0.6+0.6+0.5-0.3-0.3-1.0
Los Angeles vs San Jose+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton vs Calgary-4.6-0.4-0.4+4.0+4.5+5.0
-0.3-0.0-0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3
-0.8-0.1-0.1+0.7+0.8+0.9
Pittsburgh vs Anaheim+0.4*+0.0*+0.0-0.4-0.4-0.4
Arizona vs Winnipeg-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.3
St. Louis vs NY Rangers-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.3
Nashville vs Ottawa-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.3
Dallas vs Chicago+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1
Minnesota vs Colorado+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.1-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Calgary finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
124-164In100.0%10011,675*
1235716-9In99.910003,091*
1225717-8In99.6100004,915*
1215617-9In99.6100007,813*
1205618-8In99.31000012,072*
1195518-9In99.01000018,837*
1185519-8In98.4990028,300*
1175419-9In97.7991041,607*
1165420-8In96.4991161,036*
1155320-9In94.39811087,146*
1145321-8In91.897210122,562*
1135221-9In88.195320169,237*
1125121-10In83.2934300229,337*
1115122-9In76.890640308,298*
1105022-10In68.8868600405,032*
1095023-9In59.38111900523,295*
1084923-10In48.574141200669,643*
1074924-9In37.166171510838,726*
1064824-10In26.45821202001,037,632*
1054825-9In16.84825243001,265,453*
1044725-10100.0%9.438282940001,513,134*
1034726-9100.04.529303471001,789,114*
1024626-10100.01.8203039101002,082,476*
1014627-9100.00.5132942142002,387,283*
1004527-10100.00.1826431940002,694,778*
994528-9100.00.0422432561002,996,900*
984428-1099.90.021740301020003,285,953*
974429-999.60.011236341430003,549,865*
964329-1098.8No08303618610003,783,460*
954330-997.0No0523362211300003,970,387*
944230-1093.0No0317342316610004,110,370*
934231-985.5No021229212111310004,193,246*
924131-1073.8No01724172417720004,214,261*
914132-958.6No004181224231341004,182,161*
904032-1042.0No0213720262092004,086,357*
894033-926.9No0184142526166103,934,618*
883933-1015.3No0152820282311303,737,008*
873934-97.8No0031414262818613,500,732*
863834-103.6No0010282130251123,235,844*
853835-91.5No0010141428311842,950,713*
843735-100.6No000002923332582,647,606*
833736-90.2No0000015163233132,346,330*
823636-100.1No000002112938202,051,169*
813637-90.0No00000162341281,761,542*
803537-100.0No0000041741371,499,077*
793538-90.0No0000021239471,255,586*
783438-100.0No0001835561,037,320*
773439-9OutNo00053065845,441*
763339-10OutNo0032473677,613*
753340-9OutNo0021979537,966*
743240-10OutNo011584418,459*
733241-9OutNo0001188321,851*
723141-10OutNo00892245,210*
713142-9OutNo0694183,627*
703042-10OutNo0496134,766*
693043-9OutNo039799,061*
682943-10OutNo029870,819*
672944-9OutNo019949,713*
662844-10OutNo019934,548*
652845-9OutNo19923,809*
642745-10OutNo010016,034*
632746-9OutNo010010,900*
622646-10OutNo01007,079*
612647-9OutNo01004,628*
602547-10OutNo01002,865*
0-59OutNo10011,994*
Total:57.1%3.3%7714147777777788,339,380

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Calgary finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWinnipegNashvilleArizonaDallasMinnesotaChicagoVancouverColoradoSt. LouisSan JoseEdmontonAnaheimLos Angeles
164820-07.7%8878878888878
1376510-7NoYes
1366410-8NoYes
1356613-3NoYes
1346311-850.05050
1336211-9No8158151581588
1326212-84.55239595514189
1316112-94.2413131381388174
1306012-1011.4595759727711918
1296114-76.975125152875106146
1286014-86.51291163412897666
1275914-98.4571058510979899
1265915-87.8789567118778107
1255815-97.4681167710659989
1245816-87.07710776866118810
1235716-98.276866797791099
1225717-87.57797779779998
1215617-97.67787779779899
1205618-87.36797669769999
1195518-97.57796779769999
1185519-87.77797769779999
1175419-97.47797779779999
1165420-87.37797769779999
1155320-97.57797779779999
1145321-87.57797779779999
1135221-97.46696669779999
1125121-107.56697669669999
1115122-97.56696669669999
1105022-107.366966696691099
1095023-97.36610666106610101010
1084923-107.36610666106610101010
1074924-97.36610666106610101010
1064824-107.25511555115510101010
1054825-97.15511555115511111111
1044725-107.05511555115511111111
1034726-96.94412444124412121212
1024626-106.84412444124412121212
1014627-96.63313333133313131313
1004527-106.53313333133313131313
994528-96.33313333133313131313
984428-106.23313333143313131313
974429-96.03313333133313131313
964329-105.93313333133313131313
954330-95.73313333133313131313
944230-105.33312333123312121212
934231-94.93310333103310101010
924131-104.23393339339999
914132-93.33373337337777
904032-102.42252225225555
894033-91.51131113113333
883933-100.91121112112222
873934-90.40010001001111
863834-100.20000000000000
853835-90.10000000000000
843836-80.00000000000000
833736-90.00000000000000
823636-100.00000000000000
813637-90.00000000000000
803638-80.0000000000
793437-110.00000000
783539-8No0000
0-77No
Total:3.5%2.22.27.02.22.22.27.02.22.27.07.07.07.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Calgary vs Vancouver-0.8-0.7-0.6+0.3+0.4+1.3
Los Angeles vs San Jose-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Edmonton vs Calgary+1.0+0.1+0.1-0.9-1.0-1.1
Pittsburgh vs Anaheim-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Arizona vs Winnipeg+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
125-164100
1245816-81000
1235716-910000
1225717-8100000
1215617-9100000
1205618-899000
1195518-999100
1185519-898100
1175419-998110
1165420-896211
1155320-9943110
1145321-89252010
1135221-988730200
1125121-1083104030000
1115122-97713604000
1105022-1069178060000
1095023-9592110080000
1084923-1048261301100000
1074924-9372917115101000
1064824-102631202181020000
1054825-917312232121030000
1044725-10929235235204000000
1034726-9524228238306001000
1024626-10218191220136091001000
1014627-911214151617901210020000
1004527-1007917102012115310400000
994528-90451652015315720601000
984428-10023142171571312509120000
974429-90111101212119168111330000
964329-1000807815518112126601000
954330-90050341621713511119130000
944230-100030121401211107161245100000
934231-9002001110781531811109410000
924131-10001007044171167171294100000
914132-90000040121501232110131052000000
904032-10000020111207119613161373100000
894033-900010080401427141816104100000
883933-100001005020813815201912620000
873934-90000030104013816212114720000
863834-1000001002001381622221572000
853835-900001001000138162323167200
843735-1000000000013817242315610
833736-900000000001391926231341
823636-1000000000141222282292
813637-900000000016152729174
803537-100000000292132269
793538-90000001415303416
783438-10000029253925
773439-900015194135
763339-100002133846
753340-9000183457
743240-1000052966
733241-900032374
723141-100021881
713142-90011386
703042-10001090
693043-900793
682943-1000595
672944-90397
662844-100298
652845-90198
642745-10199
632746-90199
622646-100100
612647-90100
602547-100100
592548-90100
582549-80100
572449-9100
562349-100100
0-55100
Total:343434343434343522333333333333