Calgary Flames Playoff Chances

Beat Ottawa 5-1, average seed up 0.08 to 1.2
99 points   46 21-7

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Dallas 1 Colorado 3 -0.2
Calgary 5 Ottawa 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Los Angeles vs San Jose+0.1*+0.1*+0.1*-0.0-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Anaheim vs San Jose+0.2*+0.1+0.2*-0.1*-0.1-0.1
Washington vs Minnesota-0.0*-0.0*-0.0*+0.1*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Calgary finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
113-115InNo1003,809,526*
11261-1InNo9911,701,811
50-3InNo99161,393
11162-0InNo9822,638,972
51-2InNo973568,081
40-4InNo9738,290
11052-1InNo93071,762,170
41-3InNo90010103,016
30-5InNo88012711
10953-0InNo871131,822,654
42-2InNo83116479,108
31-4InNo7912010,899
20-6InNo8131631
10843-1InNo71227988,835
32-3InNo6423467,776
21-5InNo60338712
10-7InNo33673
10744-0InNo58339768,348
33-2InNo52444210,197
22-4InNo464505,294
11-6InNo4394823
10634-1InNo37558326,246
23-3InNo3056521,695
12-5InNo23671205
10535-0InNo256690202,553
24-2InNo20674051,314
13-4InNo1667801,101
02-6InNo1003
10425-1InNo11583063,021
14-3InNo848813,328
03-5InNo449123
10326-0InNo5588132,441
15-2InNo449116,465
04-4InNo4687294
10216-1InNo129156,678
05-3InNo02925216
10117-0InNo0287102,899
06-2InNo1909322
10007-1InNo8020284
9908-0InNo067331,382
Total:InNo89111015,728,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Calgary finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWinnipegSan JoseNashvilleVegasSt. LouisDallasColoradoArizonaMinnesotaChicagoVancouverEdmontonAnaheim
11580-017.0%00118352812510
11470-117.0000117362812510
11371-017.0000117362812511
60-216.9000116362912511
11261-117.0001116362811511
50-317.1001114372911521
11162-016.9002116362811511
51-216.9003114362811521
40-416.703113372811521
11052-116.8007114342711421
41-316.6010112342610421
30-518.112112332511421
10953-016.60013113322510411
42-216.60016112322494210
31-416.302011130239421
20-616.1163104216633
10843-116.2002711127208311
32-315.903411025187311
21-514.60381823187320
10-7No6733
10744-015.903811023166311
33-215.80441921156311
22-415.40501818145211
11-613.04841317134
10634-115.20581815114210
23-315.2065171293210
12-518.07116117301
10535-015.00069181073110
24-214.8007417962100
13-413.100781674211
02-6NoYes
10425-114.5008315531100
14-314.9008813421000
03-513.09144
10326-014.00008914321000
15-214.7009113210000
04-413.83866121
10216-114.4109502110000
05-313.019620
10117-013.2197010000
06-215.5109801
10007-114.8199
9908-013.219900
Total:16.7%0.00.00.010.70.714.332.525.310.14.31.30.70.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)