How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Calgary 3 Nashville 5 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Winnipeg vs Arizona-5.1-1.0-1.0+3.5+4.0+4.3
-0.3*-0.1*-0.0+0.2+0.3+0.3
-0.4-0.2-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.4
Vancouver vs Boston-0.3-0.7-0.4*-0.0*+0.0+0.5
Los Angeles vs Buffalo-0.3-0.4*-0.2*-0.0*+0.1+0.4
San Jose vs NY Islanders-0.4*-0.2*-0.0*+0.0*+0.2+0.4
Edmonton vs Nashville-0.2*-0.2-0.4*+0.1*-0.0+0.3
Minnesota vs Tampa Bay-0.3*-0.1*-0.0*+0.2*+0.2+0.3
Toronto vs St. Louis+0.3*-0.1*-0.1*-0.2*-0.3-0.2
Columbus vs Chicago+0.3*+0.1*+0.3*-0.2*-0.3-0.3
Carolina vs Colorado+0.3*-0.0*+0.1*-0.2*-0.3-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Arizona finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
119-156In99.8%100451*
1185315-8In96.69712175*
1175316-7In96.79910273*
1165216-8In96.89910465*
1155116-9In94.59720676*
1145117-8In91.796221,046*
1135017-9In88.395321,544*
1125018-8In82.1925402,271*
1114918-9In75.3896403,208*
1104919-8In67.9859604,742*
1094819-9In56.97913806,469*
1084820-8In45.571161318,549*
1074720-9In34.7632016111,179*
1064721-8In24.35424202014,869*
1054621-9In14.94427253019,129*
1044622-8In8.334313150024,277*
1034522-9In3.625323671030,270*
1024523-8100.0%1.41631401110036,912*
1014423-9100.00.41029431630044,644*
1004424-8100.00.1625432151052,729*
994324-999.90.03204127810062,101*
984325-899.70.011538321230071,389*
974225-999.1No010323516510081,517*
964226-897.6No062636209200089,838*
954126-994.0No04193423155100098,977*
944127-887.1No0213302220103000106,426*
934027-975.3No018241824167200113,948*
924028-859.6No05181324231341000119,645*
913928-942.0No0212820262093000123,849*
903929-826.3No0184142425166100125,531*
893829-914.2No0042819272312410125,402*
883729-106.6No0021412242820820124,425*
873730-92.7No0010171827261540119,872*
863630-101.0No000031123302291115,458*
853631-90.3No000016172929153109,095*
843531-100.1No000003102433236101,119*
833532-90.0No000161833311192,811*
823432-100.0No0000031230371783,744*
813433-90.0No0001725412674,711*
803333-10OutNo01419413565,288*
793334-9OutNo000213394556,550*
783234-10OutNo0019365447,545*
773235-9OutNo005316340,167*
763135-10OutNo003257133,696*
753136-9OutNo02207826,773*
743036-10OutNo01158421,504*
733037-9OutNo01118817,064*
723038-8OutNo0089213,308*
712938-9OutNo069410,146*
702939-8OutNo04967,421*
692839-9OutNo3975,698*
682739-10OutNo2984,050*
672740-9OutNo1992,935*
662741-8OutNo1992,126*
652641-9OutNo1991,445*
642642-8OutNo01001,076*
632542-9OutNo199680*
622442-10OutNo100469*
612443-9OutNo199307*
4-60OutNo100726*
Total:40.0%1.3%34911667788910112,562,710

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Arizona finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNashvilleAnaheimColoradoChicagoWinnipegEdmontonCalgaryVancouverMinnesotaDallasSan JoseVegasSt. LouisLos Angeles
156760-05.4%974568810985848
129589-9NoYes
128579-10NoYes
1275912-5NoYes
1265711-8No333333
1255712-7No5050
1245814-433.3333333
1235815-37.17211471471414
1225614-616.0124884816128812
1215514-79.35722592199577147
1205414-83.131459893951181123
1195314-96.79738476107681079
1185315-84.66127387859591155
1175316-75.14975781085876107
1165216-84.56107571267888638
1155116-96.85107568810867858
1145117-85.8785678108658948
1135017-95.359666987759759
1125018-85.957765999668968
1114918-95.3586561099669967
1104919-86.6610655999668958
1094819-95.959665999668857
1084820-85.951055591010569858
1074720-96.2510555101010559858
1064721-86.4511555101010558958
1054621-96.3412555101010559948
1044622-86.1412444111111449948
1034522-96.1413444111111449938
1024523-86.43144441112124310938
1014423-96.231533312121233101038
1004424-86.131533313121233101028
994324-96.331633313121232101029
984325-86.341633313121232101028
974225-96.24163331212122210928
964226-86.2516433121212329928
954126-95.9515433111111328827
944127-85.5614443101010327726
934027-94.6611433888326615
924028-83.759333666225414
913928-92.646322444213313
903929-81.734211333112212
893829-90.912111211001101
883830-80.411000111000000
873831-70.200000000000000
863731-80.100000000000000
853631-90.00000000000000
843632-80.00000000000
833633-7No0000000
823533-8No00000
813433-9No0
4-80No
Total:2.5%2.26.01.71.51.54.64.54.51.31.13.53.50.93.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

FridayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Winnipeg vs Arizona+1.1+0.2+0.2-0.7-0.9-0.9
Vancouver vs Boston+0.0+0.1+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Edmonton vs Nashville+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Los Angeles vs Buffalo+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
121-156100
1205414-8982
1195314-9100
1185315-897112
1175316-797210
1165216-897210
1155116-995320
1145117-892422
1135017-988632
1125018-88210540
1114918-975146040
1104919-8681790600
1094819-957221308000
1084820-8452516013001
1074720-9352919115101
1064721-82430232181020
1054621-9152924322213000
1044622-8825256245250000
1034522-942123923940700100
1024523-811519121913701010100
1014423-901014151417111132130000
1004424-80591781814216424010
994324-90351541716416730701000
984325-8012131141581312601112000
974225-9011008121281610113350100
964226-800605714416133147812000
954126-900402314113136111212251000
944127-8002111109101161614693100
934027-900100704614216121214831000
924028-80005023131126171514831000
913928-900021110072181017161041000
903929-80001007040135121818126200000
893829-9000040208151319201583100
883729-1000002104025121922171041000
873730-90001010015111922191252000
863630-10000000014101823201362000
853631-900000001410182422146100
843531-100000000141019242213510
833532-90000014112026221130
823432-10000000151324272081
813433-9000027172828153
803333-100013102332248
793334-9001516313314
783234-10000210273822
773235-90015214133
763135-10003143943
753136-900193653
743036-100163063
733037-90032572
723038-8021979
712938-9011584
702939-811089
692839-90892
682739-100595
672740-90496
662741-80397
652641-9298
642642-8199
632542-9199
622442-10100
612443-9199
4-60100
Total:1223222323232334333344444445555