How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders 3 Anaheim 0 +0.8
Chicago 8 Washington 5 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Toronto vs Arizona-5.5-1.0-1.1+3.6+4.5+4.6
-0.3*-0.0-0.1+0.2+0.3+0.3
NoNo*-0.0NoNo+0.0
Edmonton vs Carolina-0.6-0.7-0.5*+0.2*+0.1+0.8
-0.1*-0.1*-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Vancouver vs Detroit-0.7-0.7-0.5+0.4*+0.3+0.8
-0.1*-0.0*-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Colorado vs Nashville-0.2-0.6-0.5*-0.1*-0.1+0.4
Vegas vs Minnesota+0.5*-0.1*-0.1-0.4-0.5-0.3
Los Angeles vs St. Louis+0.5*-0.1*+0.1-0.3*-0.3-0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Arizona finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
109-116In79.4%100170*
108292-4InNo6722119*
107293-3In10.0501035520*
106294-2In1.6401635862*
105284-3In1.63515474129*
104274-4In0.3181552151297*
103275-3In0.2171052201636*
102265-4InNo910502831,190*
101266-3InNo38473652,037*
100256-4InNo264341903,615*
99257-3InNo0333471606,118*
98247-4InNo02254924110,030*
97248-3100.0%No011748322015,063*
96238-499.9No001143414022,557*
95239-399.6No06365080032,111*
94229-498.5No032853151043,399*
932210-395.4No0219502440057,185*
922110-488.4No011242331020072,920*
912111-375.7No07303819510089,189*
902011-457.8No0418362811200105,397*
892012-338.8No029283320710062,663*
1911-537.8No02927332171059,275*
881912-421.4No01417312914400133,875*
871913-39.7No01823332492078,964*
1812-59.6No018233224920065,125*
861813-43.4No0031429321740061,008
1712-63.4No0031328321850087,902*
851814-31.0No00162033281110150,119*
841714-40.2No002112835194059,534
1613-60.2No0002112735204085,969*
831614-50.0No01519353091136,765*
821615-40.0No002113038172124,742*
811515-5OutNo0152141275110,273*
801516-4OutNo0021338371194,932*
791416-5OutNo001731441877,795*
781417-4OutNo00322472763,297*
771418-3OutNo0114463848,591*
761318-4OutNo009415036,444*
751319-3OutNo05356027,154*
741219-4OutNo02287018,963*
731220-3OutNo01217812,890*
721120-4OutNo0116848,482*
711121-3OutNo010905,589*
701021-4OutNo06933,272*
691022-3OutNo4962,024*
68922-4OutNo3971,117*
67923-3OutNo199582*
66823-4OutNo0100317*
65824-3OutNo298176*
46-64OutNo100319*
Total:23.1%0.0%00149910111213131172,080,292

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Arizona finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupCalgaryWinnipegSan JoseVegasNashvilleColoradoMinnesotaDallasEdmontonVancouverSt. LouisAnaheimLos AngelesChicago
116350-05.4%1157491110121081921
111322-1NoYes
109313-1No333333
108292-4No1133331111
107293-3No5252055201010
106294-28.1103219352636382
105284-37.092526253512427
104274-48.41313132123238230
103275-35.71813428232234130
102265-46.719235301111330300
101266-35.51933830211122010
100256-46.220536292111220100
99257-36.32093428311122010
98247-46.0191332264111120100
97248-36.018173024511111010
237-56.519172824511111010
96238-46.2192226207111110100
249-26.3182026217111110100
227-66.319212520711111010
95239-35.9202622178211110100
228-56.121262117821111010
94229-46.4222919149211110100
2310-26.3222919158211110100
218-66.423291813921111000
932210-35.925301612921110000
219-55.9243115119111000000
2311-15.62529161282111000
208-75.825311411811110000
922110-45.327291298111000000
2211-25.52629139811100000
209-65.62729119711100000
912111-35.02625107611100000
2010-54.7252597611100000
199-74.7252396611100000
2212-14.92626107611100000
902011-43.72318754100000000
2112-23.822197541000000
1910-63.4211775400000000
892012-32.6171353300000000
1911-52.3151143200000000
2113-12.215114320000000
881912-41.310622100000000
2013-21.49622100000000
871913-30.6431110000000
861813-40.221000000000
851814-30.100000000
841714-40.0000000000
831715-30.00000000
821716-2No00
46-81No
Total:1.4%7.26.73.72.91.70.30.20.20.10.10.00.10.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Islanders 3 Anaheim 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Toronto vs Arizona+1.0+0.2+0.2-0.7-0.8-0.8
Edmonton vs Carolina+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1
Vancouver vs Detroit+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0+0.0-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Los Angeles vs St. Louis-0.0+0.1+0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.0
Florida vs San Jose+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
116350-08119
111322-1100
109313-1100
108292-4672211
107293-310401020155
106294-22391333428
105284-32331224154
104274-40181053813001411
103275-301765292211901
102265-4946202732523
101266-3326113051315050
100256-42157296230110900
99257-3003222532720101510
98247-4002015451928202131
97248-30010836113431257200
96238-4000416532422616400
95239-301041255523277100
94229-400030164715371141000
932210-30001092984314114100
922110-400010418340122183100
912111-301061307311184100
902011-4000301833310141251000
892012-3000209127615191462000
881912-40010401721020231572000
871913-300108041322241772000
861813-40030151423251882000
1712-60030151323251893000
851814-300100151423251993000
1713-50010015132326199300
841714-400000151323261993000
831614-50000151323261992000
821615-4000015142527188200
811515-5001616262717610
801516-4000271828261440
791416-500029223024102
781417-40014132732195
771418-3001619343010
761318-4000211293819
751319-3016214230
741219-4002144143
731220-30183556
721120-40042967
711121-30022177
701021-4011585
691022-30991
68922-4595
67923-3397
66823-4199
65824-3298
46-64100
Total:0000000002012728234667777665543