Arizona Coyotes Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 1.3 to 51%

3 points 1 1-1

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup	100.0*	Pres Trophy
Los Angeles 2 Colorado 3	+0.3
Ottawa 3 Winnipeg 4 (ot)	*-0.2

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup	100.0*	Pres Trophy
Vegas vs Arizona	-6.3-1.5-1.4+4.1+4.5+5.5		-0.4-0.1-0.1+0.3+0.2+0.3		-0.9-0.2-0.3+0.4+0.7+0.8
Vancouver vs Montreal	-0.8-0.7-0.4+0.3*+0.1+0.9
Toronto vs Edmonton	+0.9+0.0+0.1*-0.4-0.7-0.8		+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
St. Louis vs San Jose	+0.8+0.4+0.1-0.7-0.8-0.7
Anaheim vs Minnesota	-0.7-0.6-0.6+0.3*+0.1+0.8

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Arizona finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Division seed				Conference seed (wildcard race)
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1a	1b	2	3	WCb	WCa	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

87	-109						In		Yes		100														290	*
86		39	9		-	5	In		98.5	%	99		1												135	*
85		39	10		-	4	In		98.8		100	0													248	*
84		38	10		-	5	In		97.4		100														417	*
83		38	11		-	4	In		96.5		99	0	0												665	*
82		37	11		-	5	In		95.1		98	1	1												1,113	*
81		36	11		-	6	In		91.3		97	2	1												1,774	*
80		36	12		-	5	In		87.9		96	2	2												2,644	*
79		35	12		-	6	In		79.9		93	4	3	0											3,919	*
78		35	13		-	5	In		72.4		91	5	4	0											5,823	*
77		34	13		-	6	In		62.1		85	8	7	0											8,189	*
76		34	14		-	5	In		49.3		78	11	11	0											11,078	*
75		33	14		-	6	In		36.3		70	15	15	1	0										15,278	*
74		33	15		-	5	In		23.2		60	19	19	1	0										20,123	*
73		32	15		-	6	100.0	%	12.7		48	24	25	3	0		0								26,142	*
72		32	16		-	5	100.0		5.8		36	27	32	5	0		0								32,630	*
71		31	16		-	6	100.0		2.1		25	29	37	9	1		0								39,550	*
70		31	17		-	5	99.9		0.5		14	28	42	14	2	0	0								47,991	*
69		30	17		-	6	99.7		0.1		7	24	44	20	4	0	0	0							56,088	*
68		30	18		-	5	99.0		0.0		3	19	42	28	7	0	1	0	0						64,351	*
67		29	18		-	6	97.6		No		1	13	37	33	13	0	2	0	0						72,487	*
66		29	19		-	5	94.5		No		0	8	29	37	19	1	5	1	0						79,957	*
65		28	19		-	6	88.7		No		0	4	21	36	24	4	9	2	0	0					85,492	*
64		28	20		-	5	79.2		No		0	2	13	31	25	9	16	4	1	0					89,639	*
63		27	20		-	6	66.8		No			1	7	24	20	15	22	10	2	0	0				92,955	*
62		27	21		-	5	51.5		No			0	3	16	13	20	25	17	6	1	0	0			93,555	*
61		26	21		-	6	36.3		No			0	1	9	6	20	22	25	13	4	1	0			91,608	*
60		26	22		-	5	23.4		No			0	0	5	2	16	15	27	22	10	2	0	0		88,583	*
59		25	22		-	6	13.2		No			0	0	2	1	10	8	23	29	19	7	1	0		84,308	*
58		25	23		-	5	6.7		No				0	1	0	6	4	16	28	27	14	4	0		78,058	*
57		24	23		-	6	3.1		No				0	0	0	3	1	8	22	31	23	10	2		70,669	*
56		24	24		-	5	1.2		No				0	0	0	1	0	4	14	28	31	18	4		62,192	*
55		23	24		-	6	0.5		No				0	0		0	0	1	7	21	33	27	9		54,748	*
54		23	25		-	5	0.2		No					0		0	0	0	3	14	30	35	17		46,624	*
53		22	25		-	6	0.1		No							0	0	0	1	8	25	40	26		38,372	*
52		22	26		-	5	0.0		No							0		0	0	4	18	41	37		31,474	*
51		21	26		-	6	0.0		No							0		0	0	2	12	38	48		25,206	*
50		21	27		-	5	0.0		No							0			0	1	7	32	60		19,986	*
49		20	27		-	6	Out		No									0	0	0	4	26	70		15,259	*
48		20	28		-	5	Out		No										0	0	2	20	77		11,290	*
47		19	28		-	6	Out		No											0	1	15	84		8,498	*
46		19	29		-	5	Out		No												0	12	88		6,007	*
45		18	29		-	6	Out		No											0	0	8	92		4,196	*
44		18	30		-	5	Out		No											0	0	5	95		2,807	*
43		17	30		-	6	Out		No													4	96		1,992	*
42		17	31		-	5	Out		No												0	2	98		1,260	*
41		16	31		-	6	Out		No													1	99		846	*
40		16	32		-	5	Out		No													1	99		521	*
39		15	32		-	6	Out		No													0	100		329	*
38		15	33		-	5	Out		No														100		200	*
37		14	33		-	6	Out		No													1	99		101	*
3	-36						Out		No														100		269	*

Total:							51.0	%	2.6	%	6	6	13	13	7	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	7		1,597,936

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Arizona finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:									Chance will play in first round
TP		W		L	-	OT	Win Cup		Vegas	Calgary	Winnipeg	Nashville	Colorado	Minnesota	St. Louis	Dallas	Anaheim	San Jose	Los Angeles	Edmonton	Vancouver	Chicago

109		53	0		-	0	9.4	%	7	5	3	7	10	11	13	8	5	4	7	5	6	9
95		43	4		-	6	No			Yes
93		43	6		-	4	50.0			50												50
92		43	7		-	3	No			Yes
91		41	6		-	6	No		40				20	40
90		41	7		-	5	14.3		7	7			21	7	21	14					21
89		40	7		-	6	12.5			19	13	13		6	25		6		6	6	6
88		40	8		-	5	5.9		2	4	8	6	14	12	16	10	2	4	4	2	6	12
87		40	9		-	4	9.7		6	3	13	7	10	14	7	4	7	1	4	7	4	14
86		39	9		-	5	3.0		4	4	8	7	10	9	10	8	7	9	7	6	5	7
85		39	10		-	4	6.0		4	3	11	8	8	10	9	9	5	6	2	5	7	13
84		38	10		-	5	6.7		7	3	8	9	9	7	10	9	4	5	5	7	4	13
83		38	11		-	4	7.7		5	6	9	10	10	8	7	10	4	6	5	6	5	9
82		37	11		-	5	5.6		5	4	10	8	11	8	10	9	5	6	5	5	6	9
81		36	11		-	6	6.5		5	6	9	9	10	10	9	10	6	5	4	5	5	8
80		36	12		-	5	5.7		6	6	9	8	10	10	10	9	5	5	4	5	5	9
79		35	12		-	6	6.0		7	6	9	10	9	9	8	8	5	5	5	5	6	9
78		35	13		-	5	6.2		6	6	8	9	9	9	9	9	6	5	5	6	6	8
77		34	13		-	6	5.8		7	6	9	8	9	8	9	8	5	5	5	6	6	8
76		34	14		-	5	6.1		7	7	9	8	8	8	8	8	6	6	6	6	6	8
75		33	14		-	6	6.0		8	8	8	8	8	8	7	7	6	6	6	6	6	7
74		33	15		-	5	6.3		9	9	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	7	7	7
73		32	15		-	6	6.3		10	10	6	6	6	6	6	6	8	7	7	7	7	6
72		32	16		-	5	6.2		11	12	6	5	6	5	5	5	9	8	7	8	8	5
71		31	16		-	6	6.4		13	13	5	5	5	5	5	5	9	8	8	8	9	4
70		31	17		-	5	6.1		14	14	4	4	4	4	4	4	10	9	9	9	9	3
69		30	17		-	6	6.3		15	15	3	3	3	3	3	3	11	10	9	9	10	2
68		30	18		-	5	6.3		16	16	3	3	3	3	3	3	11	10	9	9	9	2
67		29	18		-	6	6.1		15	16	3	3	2	2	2	3	11	10	10	9	9	2
		28	17		-	8	6.1		15	15	3	3	3	3	3	3	11	10	9	9	9	2
66		29	19		-	5	5.9		15	15	3	3	3	3	2	3	11	10	9	9	8	2
		30	20		-	3	5.9		15	15	3	3	3	3	3	3	11	9	9	9	8	2
65		28	19		-	6	5.7		13	14	3	4	3	3	3	3	10	8	8	8	8	2
		27	18		-	8	5.7		13	13	3	4	3	3	3	3	9	8	8	8	7	2
64		28	20		-	5	5.1		12	11	3	4	3	3	3	3	8	7	7	6	6	1
63		27	20		-	6	4.2		10	9	3	3	3	3	3	3	7	5	6	5	5	1
62		27	21		-	5	3.2		7	7	3	3	3	3	3	2	5	4	4	3	3	1
61		26	21		-	6	2.3		5	4	3	2	3	3	3	2	3	2	2	2	2	1
60		26	22		-	5	1.4		3	2	2	1	2	2	2	1	2	1	1	1	1	0
59		25	22		-	6	0.8		2	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0
58		25	23		-	5	0.4		1	1	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
57		24	23		-	6	0.2		1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
56		24	24		-	5	0.1		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
55		23	24		-	6	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
54		23	25		-	5	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0
53		23	26		-	4	0.0		0		0		0	0	0	0	0				0
52		23	27		-	3	0.0		0					0	0			0
51		22	27		-	4	No								0
50		20	26		-	7	No		0
3	-49						No

Total:							3.2	%	7.1	6.9	2.4	2.4	2.4	2.4	2.4	2.2	4.9	4.3	4.2	4.0	4.0	1.5

Points (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Los Angeles 2 Colorado 3	-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Vegas vs Arizona	+1.4+0.3+0.3-0.9-1.0-1.2
Toronto vs Edmonton	-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1
Vancouver vs Montreal	+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Anaheim vs Minnesota	+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
St. Louis vs San Jose	-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31

87	-109						100
86		39	9		-	5	99	1			1
85		39	10		-	4	99	1	0
84		38	10		-	5	97	3
83		38	11		-	4	97	3	0		0
82		37	11		-	5	95	3	1		1
81		36	11		-	6	91	6	2		1
80		36	12		-	5	88	8	2		2
79		35	12		-	6	80	13	4	0	3				0
78		35	13		-	5	72	18	5	0	4	0			0
77		34	13		-	6	62	23	8	0	7	0	0		0
76		34	14		-	5	49	29	11	0	10	0	0		0
75		33	14		-	6	36	33	14	1	14	1	0		1				0
74		33	15		-	5	23	37	17	2	17	2	0		1	0			0
73		32	15		-	6	13	35	19	4	20	4	1	0	3	0	0		0				0
72		32	16		-	5	6	30	20	8	21	8	2	0	5	0	0		0				0
71		31	16		-	6	2	22	17	12	19	14	4	0	8	1	0		1	0			0
70		31	17		-	5	0	14	12	16	14	20	7	1	12	2	0		2	0	0		0
69		30	17		-	6	0	7	7	17	7	23	11	2	14	5	1	0	4	0	0		0	0
68		30	18		-	5	0	3	3	16	3	21	13	5	14	11	3	0	7	1	0		1	0	0
67		29	18		-	6		1	1	12	1	14	11	11	10	17	6	0	10	3	0		2	0	0
66		29	19		-	5		0	0	8	0	7	7	15	5	21	10	2	12	7	1	0	4	1	0	0	0
65		28	19		-	6		0	0	4	0	3	3	15	1	18	11	6	10	14	3	0	8	3	1	0	0
64		28	20		-	5		0	0	2		1	1	11	0	10	8	12	5	19	7	1	11	7	3	1	0	0	0
63		27	20		-	6			0	1		0	0	7	0	4	4	15	2	19	10	4	10	12	8	3	1	0	0
62		27	21		-	5				0		0	0	3		1	1	13	0	12	9	11	6	13	15	9	4	1	0	0
61		26	21		-	6				0			0	1		0	0	8	0	6	5	15	2	8	16	17	12	6	2	0	0	0
60		26	22		-	5				0				0		0	0	5	0	2	2	14	0	3	9	16	19	16	9	3	1	0	0
59		25	22		-	6				0				0		0	0	2		1	1	10	0	1	3	8	16	21	19	12	5	2	0	0	0
58		25	23		-	5								0			0	1		0	0	6		0	0	2	7	14	21	22	16	8	3	1	0	0
57		24	23		-	6								0				0		0	0	3		0	0	0	2	6	13	21	23	18	10	4	1	0
56		24	24		-	5								0				0		0	0	1			0	0	0	1	5	12	20	24	20	11	4	1	0
55		23	24		-	6								0				0				0				0	0	0	1	4	11	20	26	21	11	3	0
54		23	25		-	5												0				0						0	0	1	4	12	22	27	21	10	2
53		22	25		-	6																0							0	0	1	5	14	26	29	19	5
52		22	26		-	5																0							0	0	0	2	7	19	31	29	11
51		21	26		-	6																0									0	0	3	11	27	37	21
50		21	27		-	5																0									0	0	1	6	20	40	33
49		20	27		-	6																										0	0	3	13	37	46
48		20	28		-	5																										0	0	1	8	33	57
47		19	28		-	6																											0	0	4	27	68
46		19	29		-	5																												0	2	21	77
45		18	29		-	6																												0	1	15	84
44		18	30		-	5																												0	0	10	90
43		17	30		-	6																													0	7	93
42		17	31		-	5																													0	4	96
41		16	31		-	6																													0	1	98
40		16	32		-	5																														2	98
39		15	32		-	6																														1	99
38		15	33		-	5																														1	100
37		14	33		-	6																														1	99
3	-36																																				100

Total:							3	4	2	4	3	4	2	4	3	4	2	4	2	5	2	4	2	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3